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2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
countryOklahoma
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1**Mitt Romney**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**Paul Ryan**
electoral_vote1**7**
popular_vote1**891,325**
percentage1**66.77%**
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2443,547
percentage233.23%
default1
map_size400px
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:Oklahoma Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|350px]] | County results | [[File:OK-12-pres-districts.svg|350px]] | Congressional district results | [[File:2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma results map by precinct.svg|350px]] | Precinct results Romney Obama No votes The 2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Voters chose seven electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. For the third election in a row since 2004, no third parties were allowed on the ballot.

With an extremely socially conservative electorate, Oklahoma has in recent years become one of the most Republican states in the nation. For the third cycle in a row, the Republicans won over 65% of the vote and swept every single county in the state.

With 66.77% of the popular vote to Obama's mere 33.23%, Mitt Romney carried almost exactly two thirds of the vote in the state while Obama merely carried one third. His vote share also the remains the third-highest for any Republican presidential candidate in Oklahoma history; as well as the strongest ever for a candidate who was not nationally successful. Oklahoma was Romney's third strongest state in the 2012 election, after Utah and Wyoming.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2012 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

President Obama faced four challengers in Oklahoma's Democratic primary. Challenger Randall Terry took 12 counties with candidate Jim Rogers winning in three counties. Candidates Bob Ely and Darcy Richardson also appeared on Oklahoma's ballot but failed to obtain a majority of votes in any county.

2012 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primaryCandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]] **Barack Obama** **(incumbent)****64,259****57.07%****35**
Randall Terry20,29418.02%7
Jim Rogers15,53513.80%3
Darcy Richardson7,1926.39%0
Bob Ely5,3184.72%0
**Totals****112,598****100.00%****45**

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.

Oklahoma had 43 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates were unbound by the primary results. 15 delegates were allocated by congressional districts, with 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate got a majority of the vote in a district, he took all 3 delegates from that district; if no one got a majority, the delegates were split either 2-to-1 or 1-1-1 depending on how many candidates got at least 15% of the vote. Another 25 delegates were awarded to the candidate who won a majority in the state, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 15% of the vote statewide if no one got a majority.

Results

2012 Oklahoma Republican presidential primaryCandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]] **Rick Santorum****96,849****33.8%****14**
Mitt Romney80,35628.0%13
Newt Gingrich78,73027.5%13
Ron Paul27,5969.6%0
*Rick Perry**1,291**0.45%**0*
*Michele Bachmann**951**0.33%**0*
*Jon Huntsman**750**0.26%**0*
**Unprojected delegates****3**
**Totals****286,523****100.0%****43**
**Key:***Withdrew*
prior to contest

Republican Conventions for Oklahoma's Congressional Districts

Fifteen delegates to the 2012 Republican national convention were elected at congressional-district conventions March 31 to April 14, 2012 — three from each of Oklahoma's five congressional districts.

Oklahoma Republican Convention

The Oklahoma Republican State Convention was held May 11–12, 2012 in Norman. Irregularities were reported.

At least two Ron Paul supporters said they were physically attacked by Romney supporters.

Oklahoma's (Republican) Governor Mary Fallin tried to speak at the convention. After loud chants of "Ron Paul" from the floor, she stated (referring to Romney) "We have a presidential nominee", resulting in loud booing.

Paul supporters said that the convention was stopped with unfinished business, without a two-thirds vote, and therefore against parliamentary procedure.

After the convention was stopped and the chairman left, many Paul supporters assembled outside and held a rump convention, chaired by Jake Peters, at which they elected a slate of Paul supporters as delegates to the national convention.{{cite web |title=Violent OK GOP State Convention

Four Paul supporters, including Jake Peters, made a formal complaint to the Oklahoma Republican Party, saying that Party rules were broken by failing to take a roll-call vote on the delegate slate and that the convention was adjourned without the required vote. The complaint asserted that state law is involved in the Republican Party's nominating process and cited case law to the effect that party process should be considered "an integral part of the State's election system".

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in OklahomaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****Mitt Romney****Paul Ryan****891,325****66.77%****7**
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)443,54733.23%0
**Totals****1,334,872****100.00%****7**

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticMarginTotal#%#%#%Totals891,32566.77%443,54733.23%447,77833.54%1,334,872
Adair4,38167.32%2,12732.68%2,25434.64%6,508
Alfalfa1,76184.54%32215.46%1,43969.08%2,083
Atoka3,53874.00%1,24326.00%2,29548.00%4,781
Beaver2,06289.42%24410.58%1,81878.84%2,306
Beckham5,50879.54%1,41720.46%4,09159.08%6,925
Blaine2,82474.00%99226.00%1,83248.00%3,816
Bryan9,52072.12%3,68127.88%5,83944.24%13,201
Caddo5,68764.25%3,16435.75%2,52328.50%8,851
Canadian35,62577.17%10,53722.83%25,08854.34%46,162
Carter12,21471.34%4,90828.66%7,30642.68%17,122
Cherokee8,16257.05%6,14442.95%2,01814.10%14,306
Choctaw3,57270.51%1,49429.49%2,07841.02%5,066
Cimarron1,08290.39%1159.61%96780.78%1,197
Cleveland59,11662.97%34,77137.03%24,34525.94%93,887
Coal1,71072.49%64927.51%1,06144.98%2,359
Comanche17,66458.52%12,52141.48%5,14317.04%30,185
Cotton1,79673.22%65726.78%1,13946.44%2,453
Craig3,55967.08%1,74732.92%1,81234.16%5,306
Creek18,98672.70%7,12827.30%11,85845.40%26,114
Custer7,44675.94%2,35924.06%5,08751.88%9,805
Delaware10,08070.61%4,19629.39%5,88441.22%14,276
Dewey1,79285.62%30114.38%1,49171.24%2,093
Ellis1,57587.45%22612.55%1,34974.90%1,801
Garfield15,17776.23%4,73323.77%10,44452.46%19,910
Garvin6,92573.02%2,55926.98%4,36646.04%9,484
Grady14,83375.61%4,78624.39%10,04751.22%19,619
Grant1,67581.00%39319.00%1,28262.00%2,068
Greer1,34473.36%48826.64%85646.72%1,832
Harmon65971.40%26428.60%39542.80%923
Harper1,26187.94%17312.06%1,08875.88%1,434
Haskell3,06972.31%1,17527.69%1,89444.62%4,244
Hughes2,83867.44%1,37032.56%1,46834.88%4,208
Jackson5,96575.33%1,95424.67%4,01150.66%7,919
Jefferson1,63472.98%60527.02%1,02945.96%2,239
Johnston2,64969.97%1,13730.03%1,51239.94%3,786
Kay11,49971.31%4,62728.69%6,87242.62%16,126
Kingfisher4,87084.43%89815.57%3,97268.86%5,768
Kiowa2,31667.68%1,10632.32%1,21035.36%3,422
Latimer2,62869.19%1,17030.81%1,45838.38%3,798
LeFlore11,17770.57%4,66229.43%6,51541.14%15,839
Lincoln9,55374.48%3,27325.52%6,28048.96%12,826
Logan12,31472.27%4,72427.73%7,59044.54%17,038
Love2,43670.20%1,03429.80%1,40240.40%3,470
Major2,70085.82%44614.18%2,25471.64%3,146
Marshall3,74472.84%1,39627.16%2,34845.68%5,140
Mayes9,63766.65%4,82333.35%4,81433.30%14,460
McClain11,11277.67%3,19422.33%7,91855.34%14,306
McCurtain7,63575.78%2,44024.22%5,19551.56%10,075
McIntosh4,50961.87%2,77938.13%1,73023.74%7,288
Murray3,60670.07%1,54029.93%2,06640.14%5,146
Muskogee13,40457.39%9,95242.61%3,45214.78%23,356
Noble3,48875.32%1,14324.68%2,34550.64%4,631
Nowata2,83269.48%1,24430.52%1,58838.96%4,076
Okfuskee2,33565.02%1,25634.98%1,07930.04%3,591
Oklahoma149,72858.33%106,98241.67%42,74616.66%256,710
Okmulgee7,73158.73%5,43241.27%2,29917.46%13,163
Osage11,24262.64%6,70437.36%4,53825.28%17,946
Ottawa6,46664.82%3,50935.18%2,95729.64%9,975
Pawnee4,23270.01%1,81329.99%2,41940.02%6,045
Payne16,48164.18%9,19835.82%7,28328.36%25,679
Pittsburg10,84169.17%4,83130.83%6,01038.34%15,672
Pontotoc8,94569.38%3,94730.62%4,99838.76%12,892
Pottawatomie16,25069.33%7,18830.67%9,06238.66%23,438
Pushmataha3,08774.75%1,04325.25%2,04449.50%4,130
Roger Mills1,40283.75%27216.25%1,13067.50%1,674
Rogers27,55375.07%9,14824.93%18,40550.14%36,701
Seminole4,85665.13%2,60034.87%2,25630.26%7,456
Sequoyah9,57869.55%4,19330.45%5,38539.10%13,771
Stephens12,90876.62%3,93923.38%8,96953.24%16,847
Texas4,93085.12%86214.88%4,06870.24%5,792
Tillman1,81566.70%90633.30%90933.40%2,721
Tulsa145,06263.68%82,74436.32%62,31827.36%227,806
Wagoner20,90072.85%7,79127.15%13,10945.70%28,691
Washington15,66873.91%5,53226.09%10,13647.82%21,200
Washita3,49480.95%82219.05%2,67261.90%4,316
Woods2,72780.25%67119.75%2,05660.50%3,398
Woodward5,94583.99%1,13316.01%4,81267.98%7,078

By congressional district

Romney won all five congressional districts.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
**65.8%**34.2%Jim Bridenstine
**67.8%**32.2%Markwayne Mullin
**73.9%**26.1%Frank Lucas
**67.1%**32.9%Tom Cole
**59.2%**40.8%James Lankford

Analysis

As expected, Mitt Romney swept every county in the state, carrying 66.77% of the vote to Obama's measly 33.23%. Romney capitalized on his strength amongst white and conservative voters – Oklahoma's population is 65.6% white (a demographic Romney won nationwide by 59% to Obama's 39%) and the state has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, tied for the second most Republican in the nation along with Utah. His strongest performance was in the Oklahoma Panhandle, one of the most staunchly conservative regions in the country, where he garnered 80% to 90% of the vote in many of these counties. Romney also performed well in the Little Dixie region and on the state's border with Texas. Despite many counties having a plurality of registered Democratic voters exceeding the number of registered Republicans (such as Comanche and Okmulgee), Obama failed to carry any counties. However, Obama was still able to garner margins of around 45% to Romney's 55% in some counties, such as Cherokee County (Obama's best performance), which is 36.4% Native American and home to the capital of the Cherokee Nation, Tahlequah, and Muskogee County, which is located in the Creek Nation. He also had a formidable, but still lackluster, performance in Oklahoma County, home to the state's capital and largest city, Oklahoma City, which is quite conservative despite being the state's most urban region.

References

References

  1. "2012 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  2. [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/OK-D#0306 The Green Papers], Retrieved July 8, 2015
  3. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". [[CNN]].
  4. "Presidential Primary Dates". [[Federal Election Commission]].
  5. Nate Silver. (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
  6. (2012-05-23). "State of Oklahoma Presidential Results by Congressional District (2012 Primary)". Oklahoma State Election Board.
  7. [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/OK-R The Green Papers], Retrieved April 27
  8. "Oklahoma Republican Presidential Nominating Process".
  9. McNutt, Michael. (May 13, 2012). "Oklahoma Republicans elect delegates to national convention". newsok.com.
  10. (May 13, 2012). "2 Romney Supporters ASSAULT 2 Ron Paul Supporters in OK". www.youtube.com R11110000.
  11. (May 14, 2012). "Rachel Maddow Discusses Ron Paul & GOP Conventions Chaos".
  12. "Ron Paul Supporters Stage Rump Convention in OK – May 12, 2012".
  13. "Ron Paul Supporters Submit Challenge to Oklahoma GOP State Convention".
  14. "Rules of the Oklahoma Republican Party, Amended August 27, 2011".
  15. (May 12, 2012). "Report of the Committee on Rules and Order of Business". Oklahoma Republican State Convention.
  16. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  17. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  18. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  19. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  20. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  21. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  22. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  23. "Oklahoma State Election Board".
  24. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
  25. (2 July 2015). "State Population By Race, Ethnicity Data".
  26. "President Exit Polls". The New York Times.
  27. "State PVIs".
  28. (January 15, 2019). "Current Registration Statistics by County".
  29. "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Cherokee County, Oklahoma".
  30. "Cherokee County {{!}} The Encyclopedia of Oklahoma History and Culture".
  31. "Muskogee County {{!}} The Encyclopedia of Oklahoma History and Culture".
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