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2011 Polish parliamentary election

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2011 Polish parliamentary election

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FieldValue
countryPoland
typeparliamentary
previous_election2007 Polish parliamentary election
previous_year2007
outgoing_membersList_of_Sejm_members_(2007–2011)
next_election2015 Polish parliamentary election
next_year2015
elected_membersList_of_Sejm_members_(2011-2015)
opinion_pollsOpinion polling for the 2011 Polish parliamentary election
election_date9 October 2011
registered30,762,931
module{{Infobox election
embedyes
election_nameSejm
typelegislative
seats_for_electionAll 460 seats in the Sejm
majority_seats231
turnout15,050,027 (48.92%) 4.9 pp
image1
leader1Donald Tusk
party1Civic Platform
leader_since11 June 2003
last_election141.5%, 209 seats
seats1**207**
seat_change12
popular_vote1**5,629,773**
percentage1**39.2%**
swing12.3 pp
image2
leader2Jarosław Kaczyński
party2Law and Justice
leader_since218 January 2003
last_election232.1%, 166 seats
seats2157
seat_change29
popular_vote24,295,016
percentage229.9%
swing22.2 pp
image3
leader3Janusz Palikot
party3Palikot's Movement
leader_since31 June 2011
last_election3*Did not exist*
seats340
seat_change3*New*
popular_vote31,439,490
percentage310.0%
swing3*New party*
image4
leader4Waldemar Pawlak
party4Polish People's Party
leader_since429 January 2005
last_election48.9%, 31 seats
seats428
seat_change43
popular_vote41,201,628
percentage48.4%
swing40.5 pp
image5
leader5Grzegorz Napieralski
party5Democratic Left Alliance (Poland)
leader_since531 May 2008
last_election513.2%, 53 seats
seats527
seat_change526
popular_vote51,184,303
percentage58.2%
swing55.0 pp
image6
leader6Ryszard Galla
party6German Minority
leader_since620 January 2008
last_election60.2%, 1 seat
seats61
seat_change60
popular_vote628,014
percentage60.2%
swing60.0 pp
module{{Infobox legislative election
embedyes
election_nameSenate
seats_for_electionAll 100 seats in the Senate
majority_seats51
turnout15,048,260 (48.92%) 4.89 pp
noleaderyes
party1Civic Platformleader1 =last_election1 = 60seats1 = 63percentage1 = 35.60
party2Law and Justiceleader2 =last_election2 = 39seats2 = 31percentage2 = 26.94
party3Polish People's Partyleader3 =last_election3 = 0seats3 = 2percentage3 = 9.39
party4KWW Rafał Dutkiewiczcolor4=#d46008last_election4 = 0seats4 = 1percentage4 = 1.80
party5Independent (politician)leader5 =last_election5 = 1seats5 = 3percentage5 = 7.87
map{{Switcher
titleGovernment
before_electionFirst Tusk cabinetbefore_party = PO—PSL
after_electionSecond Tusk cabinetafter_party = PO—PSL

|[[File:2011 Polish parliamentary election.svg|400px]] |Sejm – results by constituency |[[File:Results of the Polish 2011 Sejm election by gmina.svg|400px]] |Sejm – results by gmina

Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 9 October 2011. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The ruling Civic Platform (PO) won a plurality of seats and Tusk became the first Polish prime minister to be appointed for a second consecutive term since the fall of communism. Both the Civic Platform and its junior partner, the Polish People's Party (PSL), agreed to continue their governing coalition after the election.

Electoral system

The election was for all 460 seats of the Sejm and all 100 seats of the Senate. Candidates for Deputies are nominated either by the electoral committees of the various political parties and or by individual voter committees. The process of election for the Sejm is through party-list proportional representation via the D'hondt method in multi-seat constituencies (41 in total), with a 5% threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions (requirements waived for national minorities).

The election was the first one to take place under a new Election Code which altered the electoral system in the Senate election from a plurality block voting to the first-past-the-post voting, with one member to be returned in each of the 100 single member constituencies.

There were 25,993 precincts for 30,512,850 voters.

Senate constituencies.

Election date

The date of the election, October 9, was set by the President of Poland, Bronisław Komorowski, and announced on 4 July. The latest possible date for the election to be held was 30 October 2011, four years after the previous election. Prior to the announcement of the election date, the most likely dates were thought to be 16 October or 23 October.

Although the governing coalition had a strong majority, it was suggested that the elections be brought forward to the spring, to avoid the campaign interrupting Poland's Presidency of the Council of the European Union in the second half of the year. The idea was supported by the Democratic Left Alliance and Poland Comes First, but firmly opposed by Law and Justice. The Civic Platform favoured an election date of 23 October. Since the State Electoral Commission decided that 30 October falls too close to the national holiday of All Saints' Day, and elections are always held on Sundays, 23 October was the latest possible date to hold the election. In the end, Komorowski decided on 9 October.

The idea of holding the election over two days instead of the usual one, to increase turnout, was raised. An election over two days would have cost 130–140 million złoty, compared to 90 million for a one-day election. The single day election option prevailed.

Parties

Civic Platform (PO), the largest governing party under prime minister Donald Tusk, was seeking reelection. Opinion polls over the past four years had fairly consistently shown the PO to have the largest level of popular support among Poland's political parties. PO was seeking either to win majority government in its own right, or to continue its coalition with the smaller Polish People's Party (PSL). During the election campaign, prime minister Donald Tusk ruled out the possibility of a coalition with either Law and Justice or Palikot's Movement.

Law and Justice Law and Justice (PiS), is Poland's second largest party as of 2007, and was the leading party of government from 2005 to 2007. PiS's greatest difficulty this election, was not only that it trailed PO in popular support, but that even if it were to outpoll the PO, it might have had difficulty in finding other parties willing to enter into a coalition with it. Jarosław Kaczyński had publicly denied the possibility of allying his party with the post-communist SLD and relations with the PSL (traditionally viewed by the media as an opportunist coalition partner, ready to form a coalition with everyone) were tense. This tension was exacerbated following PiS's spokesperson Adam Hofman's statement during the election campaign, in which he attacked PSL members in an abusive manner following the airing of the People's Party newest electoral TV ad.

Democratic Left Alliance Poland's strongest left-wing party, the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) had struggled since 2005 to regain its position as one of the countries two largest parties. The SLD indicated its potential interest in being a coalition partner with PO following the election.

Polish People's Party The Polish People's Party (PSL) is an agrarian-rooted party. It was the minority partner in a coalition government with PO. Although some opinion polls showed popular support for PSL to be dangerously close to the 5% electoral threshold, in the past PSL generally performed a little better than opinion polls indicated. It is widely seen as a coalition partner for every party that happens to need such.

Palikot's Movement Palikot's Movement (Ruch Palikota), officially the Movement of Support (Ruch Poparcia, RP), is a breakaway faction of the PO that followed MP Janusz Palikot after he had been expelled from the party for his "scandalous" remarks on late President Lech Kaczyński. The RP is distinctive on Poland's political scene in that it is the first party in the country's history that puts strong emphasis on its program's anticlerical features (the usual practice being that parties either try to win the Church's unofficial support or at least do not try to appear anti-Church) along with appeals for putting an end to the anti-abortion policy and introducing civil unions for same-sex couples. In terms of economy, the RP blends leftist and rightist ideas.

Poland Comes First A new party on the Polish political scene, Poland Comes First (PJN), emerged as a splinter group from PiS, following the 2010 Polish presidential election. PJN's future parliamentary representation was uncertain, given that most opinion polls showed support levels for PJN to be below the 5% electoral threshold. The party had suffered an almost constant internal crisis since its very foundation that led many of its MPs to leave it for the other parties in Parliament, including the most famous one, chairwoman Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska, who joined the PO. Commentators argue that the PJN failed to establish itself as a real alternative on the political scene, being widely perceived as nothing but a milder variant of the party it had once left.

Other parties The only other party contesting all 41 electoral districts for the Sejm in 2011, was the Polish Labour Party (PPP). The remaining parties include Congress of the New Right (KNP) (21 districts), Right of the Republic (PR) (20 districts), Our Homeland Poland (NDP) (9 districts) and German Minority group (MN) (1 district). With the exception of the German Minority group (which as an ethnic minority party is exempt from the 5% election threshold requirement), these parties were not expected to poll the required 5% to enter the Sejm. Some other minor parties, had decided not to contest the elections independently, opting instead to negotiate a place for their candidates on the electoral lists of the larger parties. This strategy had worked for some minor parties in past elections, and seen them get some of their candidates elected in this way.

Campaign

Tusk campaigned on a platform that drew on the record of its economic success during the previous government. He also said that he would pursue a "steady rapprochement" with Russia, in spite of prior rows over missile defence, gas pipelines and the inquiry into the plane crash that killed Poland's former president in 2010. Conversely the Law and Justice Party had been distrustful of Russia and Germany.

Monitors

Various delegations from the electoral boards and of political party representatives from Tunisia, Egypt and Libya, due to hold their own free elections in the coming months, monitored the election in Warsaw, Radom and Płock at the invitations of the Foreign Ministry, as Deputy Foreign Minister Krzysztof Stanowski said that "I hope the climax of our help comes when [the countries’ policymakers] begin discussing the constitution, reforms in economy and local government." Rania Mbarki, from a local election commission in Tunis, said that "it's obligatory to stand in the voting booth before putting pen to paper. Here, the ballot papers are marked on tables with families around. There is a discussion. In our country it's confidential, we can't say what we have chosen, you can't show what you have chosen, so this is different for us;" while Mounira Belghouthi, from a local election board in Kairouan, added that the advanced voting machines were more technologically advanced than in Tunisia and they sought to get an idea its usage.

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the Polish parliamentary election, 2011

Results

■ – Civic Platform

■ – Law and Justice ■ – Polish People's Party

■ – Democratic Left Alliance]]

''Sejm'' election result
Senate election result by constituency.

With all votes counted, voter turnout was 48.92%. In the Sejm, Poznań recorded the highest turnout of 60.2% and Elbląg recorded the lowest turnout with 41.24%. The valid votes were 95.48% of the ballots. In the Senate, voter turnout was 48.92% with one of Warszawa I's seats recording the highest turnout of 73.61% and Opole recording the lowest turnout with 38.1%. The valid votes were 96.57% of the ballots.

The Civic Platform party won a plurality with 207 seats in the Sejm, followed by the Law and Justice Party with 157 seats. The breakaway Palikot Movement won 40 seats and the second biggest incumbent coalition party, the Polish People's Party, won 28 seats. The Democratic Left Alliance got 27 seats. In the Senate, Civic Platform won an absolute majority with 63 seats, while Law & Justice came away with 31. The only other party to achieve Senate representation was the Polish People's Party, which won 2 seats. Four independents were also elected.

Sejm

Party breakdown

Janusz Korwin-Mikke](congress-of-the-new-right)|aspan49=6|party49=Congress of the New Right|votes49=78359|seats49=0 August 80](polish-labour-party-august-80)|aspan55=4|party55=Independents|votes55=44217|seats55=0 Andrzej Lepper's Self-Defence](self-defence-of-the-republic-of-poland)|aspan72=5|party72=Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland|votes72=7102|seats72=0

Senate

By constituency

#VoivodeshipCommission#PartyElected member
1Lower SilesianLegnicaICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
2IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJózef Pinior
3IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeDorota Czudowska
4WałbrzychICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionWiesław Kilian
5IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionStanisław Jurcewicz
6WrocławICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJarosław Duda
7IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAlicja Chybicka
8IIIRafał Dutkiewicz Electoral CommitteeJarosław Obremski
9Kuyavian-PomeranianBydgoszczICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
10IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJan Rulewski
11ToruńICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJan Wyrowiński
12IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMichał Wojtczak
13IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAndrzej Person
14LublinLublinILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
15IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeGrzegorz Czelej
16IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeHenryk Cioch
17ChełmILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeGrzegorz Bierecki
18IIPolish People's Party}}"Polish People's PartyJózef Zając
19IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeJerzy Chróścikowski
20LubuszZielona GóraICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
21IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionHelena Hatka
22IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionRobert Dowhan
23ŁódźŁódźICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
24IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionRyszard Bonisławski
25SieradzILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticePrzemysław Błaszczyk
26IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAndrzej Owczarek
27IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeMichał Seweryński
28Piotrków TrybunalskiILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeWiesław Dobkowski
29IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeGrzegorz Wojciechowski
30Lesser PolandKrakówILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
31IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeBogdan Pęk
32IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJanusz Sepioł
33IVCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionBogdan Klich
34TarnówILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeMaciej Klima
35IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeKazimierz Wiatr
36Nowy SączICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionStanisław Hodorowicz
37IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeStanisław Kogut
38MasovianPłockILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
39IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeJan Jackowski
40WarszawaICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAnna Aksamit
41IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionŁukasz Abgarowicz
42IIIIndependent}}"IndependentMarek Borowski
43IVCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMarek Rocki
44VCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionBarbara Borys-Damięcka
45VICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAleksander Pociej
46SiedlceILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeRobert Mamątow
47IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeHenryk Górski
48IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeWaldemar Kraska
49RadomILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeStanisław Karczewski
50IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeWojciech Skurkiewicz
51OpoleOpoleICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
52IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionPiotr Wach
53IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAleksander Świeykowski
54SubcarpathianRzeszówILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
55IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeWładysław Ortyl
56IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeKazimierz Jaworski
57KrosnoILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeAlicja Zając
58IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeAndrzej Matusiewicz
59PodlaskieBiałystokILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
60IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionTadeusz Arłukowicz
61IIIIndependent}}"IndependentWłodzimierz Cimoszewicz
62PomeranianSłupskICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
63IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionRoman Zaborowski
64IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionEdmund Wittbrodt
65GdańskICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionBogdan Borusewicz
66IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAndrzej Grzyb
67IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionLeszek Czarnobaj
68SilesianCzęstochowaICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
69IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAndrzej Szewiński
70KatowiceICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMaria Pańczyk-Pozdziej
71IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAndrzej Misiołek
72Bielsko-BiałaICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAdam Zdziebło
73IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionAntoni Motyczka
74KatowiceIIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionLeszek Piechota
75IVCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionElżbieta Bieńkowska
76VCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionZbigniew Meres
77VICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionBogusław Śmigielski
78Bielsko-BiałaIIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionRafał Muchacki
79IVCivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionTadeusz Kopeć
80KatowiceVIIIndependent}}"IndependentKazimierz Kutz
81ŚwiętokrzyskieKielceILaw and Justice}}"Law and Justice
82IILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeBeata Gosiewska
83IIILaw and Justice}}"Law and JusticeKrzysztof Słoń
84Warmian-MasurianElblągICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
85IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionStanisław Gorczyca
86OlsztynICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionRyszard Górecki
87IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMarek Konopka
88Greater PolandPiłaICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
89IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJan Libicki
90PoznańICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMarek Ziółkowski
91IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionJadwiga Rotnicka
92KoninICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionPiotr Gruszczyński
93IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionIreneusz Niewiarowski
94KaliszICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionMarian Poślednik
95IIPolish People's Party}}"Polish People's PartyAndżelika Możdżanowska
96IIICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionWitold Sitarz
97West PomeranianSzczecinICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic Coalition
98IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionSławomir Preiss
99KoszalinICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionGrażyna Sztark
100IICivic Coalition (Poland)}}"Civic CoalitionPiotr Zientarski

Reactions

Civic Platform's Donald Tusk said of the victory that: "It is the highest honour for me and for Civic Platform that we will be working for the next four years for all of you, regardless of who you voted for today. In the next four years we will work twice as hard." Polish financial markets reacted positively to the outcome, while the zloty rose.

Analysis

The Civic Platform was considered to be the big winner of the election, being the only Polish political party to have achieved reelection over the past 20 years of democratic elections. Further to that, PO saw only a very small voter swing against it (-2.3%) and a loss of only two seats from its 2007 outcome which was a record result. The other big winner, was the newly established Palikot Movement, which managed to poll double figures (10%) to come in at third place, ahead of PSL and SLD, both of which were longstanding established parties. Opinion polls, of only a month or so prior to the election, had Palikot's Movement at around 2% of the vote, well below the election threshold. The Polish People's Party (8.4%) managed to hang on to its support base (despite some opinion polls suggesting that they would struggle to achieve the threshold), allowing it to continue its coalition with PO, and maintain its level of representation in the new government.

On the other hand, Law and Justice was one of the big losers in the election. PiS was seeking to defeat PO, but failed to even lift its own vote (falling from over 32% in 2007 to less than 30% in 2011). The other big loser was the Democratic Left Alliance, which for the first time in its history failed to achieve a result above 10% (2001 -40%, 2005 - 11%, 2007 - 13%). It was the first time in which SLD fell to fifth place in party results, and the first time in which it polled below the Polish People's Party. Poland Comes First, failed to capture the middle ground between the two major parties, as it was hoping to do, and lost all of its parliamentary seats, achieving only a very modest 2.2% of the vote.

Bloomberg said of the victory for Civic Platform that, as Poland was the only EU country to avoid a recession in 2009, it could continue with its economic initiatives such as consolidating the budget with an expected shortfall and also to avoid austerity measures that many other EU countries have been forced to endure. It also added that the success of the breakaway Palikot movement, coupled with the People Party's reluctance to support some policies, could provide a counterweight to keeping Civic Platform from getting complacent.

Government formation

Following Civic Platform's victory, Tusk said that his party's coalition alliance with the smaller Polish People's Party would continue. Tusk also declared that his ministry would remain unchanged for the remainder of the year, citing the fact that this was the preferable course of action given Poland's presidency of the EU, which continues to the end of the year.

Notes

References

References

  1. "Electoral law".
  2. "Elections to the Polish Sejm, Part I".
  3. "Republic Of Poland." ''Background Notes On Countries Of The World 2003'' (2003): 1-13. ''Academic Search Premier.'' Web. 22 Dec. 2011.
  4. (5 January 2011). "Kodeks wyborczy".
  5. "Elections 2011 to the Sejm and Senate".
  6. (24 February 2010). "President to choose election date". [[Polskie Radio]].
  7. "Parliamentary elections on October 16 or 23 - Warsaw Business Journal - Online Portal - wbj.pl".
  8. (1 December 2010). "An interview with Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska". [[The Economist]].
  9. (2 March 2011). "PM and president discuss possible election date". [[Polskie Radio]].
  10. (24 February 2011). "State commission gives possible election dates". [[Polskie Radio]].
  11. (4 August 2011). "Wybory jednodniowe 9 października".
  12. "IFES Election Guide {{!}} Elections: Poland Sejm October 2011".
  13. "Elections 2011 to the Sejm and Senate".
  14. (10 October 2011). "Poland re-elects PM Donald Tusk". [[BBC News]].
  15. "Elections 2011 - Senate Results".
  16. "Polish PM wins second term".
  17. Pidd, Helen. (10 October 2011). "Poland re-elects PM Donald Tusk". The Guardian.
  18. (11 October 2011). "Poland's New Parliamentary Party May Help Spur Tusk's Economic Overhaul". Bloomberg.
  19. (12 October 2011). "Election 2011 – Tusk: 'No change in government till New Year'".
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