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2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

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2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election
countryKentucky
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election
previous_year2007
election_dateNovember 8, 2011
next_election2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
next_year2015
image1File:Steve Beshear by Gage Skidmore (1).jpg
nominee1**Steve Beshear**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate1**Jerry Abramson**
popular_vote1**464,245**
percentage1**55.72%**
map_image
map_size301px
map_caption**Beshear**:
**Williams**:
titleGovernor
before_electionSteve Beshear
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionSteve Beshear
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
turnout28.6% ( 9.2%)
image2File:David L. Williams (1).jpg
nominee2David L. Williams
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2294,034
percentage235.29%
running_mate2Richie Farmer
image3File:Gatewood Gailbraith 2011 (1).jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee3Gatewood Galbraith
party3Independent
popular_vote374,860
percentage38.99%
running_mate3Dea Riley

Williams:
The 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011, to elect the governor of Kentucky and the lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear won re-election, defeating Republican challenger David L. Williams, then the president of the state senate, and Gatewood Galbraith, an independent candidate. Statewide turnout in this election was 28%.

This was one of the two Democratic-held governorships up for election in a state that John McCain won in the 2008 presidential election, the other being West Virginia.

Background

On July 19, 2009, Beshear announced his intention to run for re-election. However, in that announcement, he stated that then-Louisville mayor Jerry Abramson would be his running mate in 2011 instead of current Lt. Governor Daniel Mongiardo, who chose to run for the U.S. Senate in 2010. Kentucky state law requires that gubernatorial candidates file to run with running mates, otherwise they cannot legally raise money. Beshear wanted to fundraise and this would have required Mongiardo also saying that he was running in 2011, which he couldn't do. Beshear and Abramson did not face any opposition for the Democratic nomination.

Among Republicans, Kentucky State Senate President David Williams from Burkesville announced his official candidacy along with running mate Richie Farmer, the term-limited State Agriculture Commissioner and former Kentucky Wildcats basketball player. Louisville businessman Phil Moffett also announced his ticket with State Representative Mike Harmon from Danville as his running mate. Moffett was seen as the Tea Party favorite. However, Williams also advocated for similar positions as Moffett, such as the repeal of the Seventeenth Amendment to the United States Constitution and promoting tax reforms similar to what Moffett proposed.

Attorney Gatewood Galbraith of Lexington filed to run his fourth gubernatorial campaign as an independent on July 4, 2009, choosing marketing consultant Dea Riley as his running mate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Steve Beshear, incumbent governor of Kentucky, 2007–2015; former Lt. Governor of Kentucky, 1983–1987; former Attorney General of Kentucky, 1979–1983; and former State Representative, 1974–1979.
    • Running mate: Jerry Abramson, Louisville Mayor, 1986-1999 and 2003–2011.

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bobbie Holsclaw, Jefferson County Clerk, 1998–2010, 2014–2025
    • Running mate: Bill Vermillion, retired U.S. Navy master chief
  • Phil Moffett, Louisville businessman and Tea Party activist
    • Running mate: Mike Harmon, state representative, 2003–2016
  • David L. Williams, state senate president, 2000–2012; state senator 1987–2012; and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1992
    • Running mate: Richie Farmer, Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner, 2004–2012

Polling

Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBobbie
HolsclawPhil
MoffettDavid
WilliamsUndecided
Survey USAMay 4–10, 2011500± 4.5%12%21%**47%**21%
Survey USAApril 8–13, 2011507± 4.4%12%14%**49%**25%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | | | | | ]]

Independents

Declared

  • Gatewood Galbraith, attorney, industrial hemp advocate and perennial candidate
    • Running mate: Dea Riley, political consultant

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 4, 2011
GoverningNovember 4, 2011
CookNovember 4, 2011
SabatoNovember 4, 2011

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Beshear (D)David
Williams (R)Gatewood
Galbraith (I)Undecided
Survey USAOctober 28 – November 1, 2011576± 4.2%**54%**29%9%8%
Braun ResearchOctober 17–19, 2011802± 3.5%**54%**26%8%12%
Survey USASeptember 22–27, 2011569± 4.2%**57%**26%8%9%
Braun ResearchAugust 29–31, 2011803± 3.5%**54%**25%7%14%
Public Policy PollingAugust 25–28, 2011600± 4.0%**55%**28%10%8%
Survey USAJuly 22–27, 2011512± 4.4%**52%**28%9%11%
Braun ResearchJune 6–8, 2011802± 3.5%**51%**30%6%14%
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%**51%**39%—10%
Braun ResearchFebruary 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5%**48%**38%—14%
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1%**44%**35%—21%
Mason-DixonOctober 18–19, 2010625± 4.0%**45%**30%5%20%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–12, 2010959± 3.2%**44%**39%—17%
date=November 2018bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}August 30 – September 1, 2010802± 3.5%**44%**38%—18%
Braun ResearchJuly 19–21, 2010803± 3.4%**48%**30%—20%

With Moffett

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Beshear (D)Phil
Moffett (R)Gatewood
Galbraith (I)Other/
Undecided
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%**54%**34%—13%
Braun ResearchFebruary 28-March 1, 2011804± 3.5%**53%**28%—19%
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1%**45%**26%—29%
Mason-DixonOctober 18–19, 2010625± 4.0%**43%**24%6%26%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–12, 2010959± 3.2%**46%**28%—26%
Braun ResearchSeptember 1, 2010——**49%**29%—22%

With Holsclaw

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Beshear (D)Bobbie
Holsclaw (R)Gatewood
Galbraith (I)Other/
Undecided
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%**53%**34%—13%
Braun ResearchFebruary 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5%**53%**27%—21%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Garrard (Largest city: Lancaster)
  • Grayson (Largest city: Leitchfield)
  • Green (Largest city: Greensburg)
  • Jessamine (Largest city: Nicholasville)
  • Knox (Largest city: Barbourville)
  • Lincoln (Largest city: Stanford)
  • Oldham (Largest city: La Grange)
  • Taylor (Largest city: Campbellsville)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Bell (Largest city: Middlesboro)
  • Crittenden (Largest city: Marion)
  • Edmonson (Largest city: Brownsville)
  • Leslie (Largest city: Hyden)
  • Martin (Largest city: Inez)
  • Owsley (Largest city: Booneville)
  • Todd (Largest city: Elkton)
  • Trigg (Largest city: Cadiz)

By congressional district

Beshear won all six congressional districts, including four that were represented by Republicans.

DistrictBeshearWilliamsGalbraithRepresentative
**54%**41%5%Ed Whitfield
**57%**38%6%Brett Guthrie
**67%**27%6%John Yarmuth
**53%**40%6%Geoff Davis
**47%**44%8%Hal Rogers
**56%**23%21%Ben Chandler

References

References

  1. "Voter Turnout Report for the 11/08/11 General Election".
  2. "Election summary".
  3. Gerth, Joseph. (2009-07-19). "Abramson to be Beshear's running mate in 2011". [[The Courier-Journal]].
  4. Ronnie Ellis. (2009-03-27). "Beshear endorses Mongiardo for Senate". News-tribune.net.
  5. "Mongiardo considers running for Senate".
  6. Alford, Roger. (2009-10-28). "Farmer mulls run for governor". Lexington Herald-Leader.
  7. Arnold, Joe. (2010-07-29). "Phil Moffett announces candidacy for governor | WHAS11.com Louisville". Whas11.com.
  8. (November 15, 2010). "David Williams and Phil Moffett in a battle for the Republican Party's soul". Lexington Herald Leader.
  9. Jack Brammer, ''Lexington Herald Leader'', November 19, 2010 [http://bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com/2010/11/10/calling-himself-a-tea-partier-david-williams-pushes-repeal-of-17th-amendment/ "Williams pushes repeal of 17th amendment"]
  10. (January 25, 2011). "Stage Set For the Primary Election".
  11. (2010-07-29). "Louisville businessman Phil Moffett running for governor : Bluegrass Politics". Bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com.
  12. (2009-07-29). "Republican Phil Moffett announces gubernatorial campaign, hopes for Tea Party support". [[Apex MediaWire]].
  13. Brammer, Jack. (2010-09-02). "David Williams and Richie Farmer form slate to seek state's top offices". Lexington Herald-Leader.
  14. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cce11ec2-3752-4c6c-bccf-07738c1a9301/ Survey USA]
  15. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=04dd2822-cc19-4ded-a82c-7585e931de64/ Survey USA]
  16. "KY – Election Results".
  17. (October 13, 2011). "Dea Riley brings energy, and baggage, to Gatewood Galbraith's campaign". Lexington Herald Leader.
  18. "Gubernatorial Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections".
  19. (July 25, 2011). "An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests". Governing.
  20. (September 15, 2011). "2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS".
  21. "2012 Governor".
  22. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a6252cf4-7dc0-42af-b52f-61d935033d10 Survey USA]
  23. [http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-and-other-democrats-still-lead-as-numbers-barely-move-from-aug-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research]
  24. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9abf6d5a-9a7e-4f08-942d-9c6ad23f126c Survey USA]
  25. [http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-beshear-s-lead-increases-but-other-races-largely-unchanged-since-june Braun Research]
  26. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_0830513.pdf Public Policy Polling] {{dead link. (August 2012)
  27. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ea0ffebf-3883-4d8e-904c-4a6e511077ce Survey USA]
  28. [http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-leads-williams-by-21-points-after-ad-blitz-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research]
  29. [http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-governors-race-march Braun Research]
  30. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_1109.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  31. [http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive. link. (May 18, 2011)
  32. [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/11/KY/2/UXa34 Public Policy Polling]
  33. [http://politics.mycn2.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Sept-2-Governors-race-poll.pdf Braun Research] {{Dead link. (November 2018)
  34. [http://mycn2.com/politics/david-williams-confirms-interest-in-running-for-governor-with-richie-farmer-as-running-mate Braun Research]
  35. [http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive. link. (May 18, 2011)
  36. "KY – Election Results".
  37. https://x.com/kentucky_kiwi/status/1690856927197024258
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