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2010 Nevada gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election |
| country | Nevada |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2006 Nevada gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2006 |
| next_election | 2014 Nevada gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2014 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| image1 | File:Brian Sandoval 2010 (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | **Brian Sandoval** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **382,350** |
| percentage1 | **53.36%** |
| image2 | File:Rory Reid.jpg |
| nominee2 | Rory Reid |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 298,170 |
| percentage2 | 41.61% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption | **Sandoval:** |
| **Reid:** | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Jim Gibbons |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Brian Sandoval |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Reid: The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbent Republican governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election. He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former attorney general of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated Democrat Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.
Republican primary
Candidates
A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.
Declared
- Tony Atwood
- Jim Gibbons, incumbent governor
- Stan Lusak, perennial candidate
- Mike Montandon, Mayor of North Las Vegas
- Brian Sandoval, former judge of the United States District Court for the District of Nevada and former Nevada Attorney General
Withdrew
- Joe Heck, former state senator (ran for NV-03 and won)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jim | ||||||
| Gibbons | Mike | ||||||
| Montandon | Brian | ||||||
| Sandoval | Undecided | ||||||
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | **48%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | May 10–11, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | **45%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 25% | 7% | **39%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 30% | 9% | **37%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | 23% | 7% | **39%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 18% | 6% | **39%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 20% | 4% | **41%** | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 17% | 3% | **33%** | — |
Results
| | | |{{legend|#ffccaa| ]]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.
Declared
- Frederick Conquest, anthropology professor
- Rory Reid, Clark County Commissioner and son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
Declined
- Barbara Buckley, Speaker of the Nevada Assembly
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Barbara | ||||||
| Buckley | Oscar | ||||||
| Goodman | Rory | ||||||
| Reid | Undecided | ||||||
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 25% | **34%** | 13% | — |
| — | — | **43%** | — | 22% | — |
Results
| | | | |{{legend|#afc6e9|Reid— |{{legend|#afe9af|Conquest— ]]
Other candidates
Independents
Declared
- Eugene "Gino" DiSimone
- Aaron Y. Honig
Declined
- Oscar Goodman, Mayor of Las Vegas
Green
- David Scott Curtis
Independent American
- Floyd Fitzgibbons
Libertarian
- Arthur Forest Lampitt
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | October 14, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | October 28, 2010 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 28, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Brian | ||||||
| Sandoval (R) | Rory | ||||||
| Reid (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 5, 2010 | — | — | **59%** | 41% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2010 | — | — | **49%** | 40% | — | — |
| Public Opinion Strategies | September 21–23, 2010 | — | — | **45%** | 39% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 21, 2010 | — | — | **49%** | 35% | — | — |
| CNN/Time Magazine | September 10–14, 2010 | — | — | **58%** | 31% | — | — |
| Reuters/Ipsos | September 10–12, 2010 | — | — | **60%** | 31% | — | — |
| Mason-Dixon | September 9, 2010 | — | — | **52%** | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | **58%** | 33% | 2% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 23–25, 2010 | — | — | **53%** | 31% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | **52%** | 36% | 3% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 11, 2010 | — | — | **52%** | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 27, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | **50%** | 40% | 6% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | — | — | **52%** | 38% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | July 12–14, 2010 | — | — | **47%** | 36% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 12, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | **57%** | 36% | 3% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **55%** | 33% | 8% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 9, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **54%** | 31% | 3% | 13% |
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | **51%** | 41% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **53%** | 35% | 12% | 3% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | **50%** | 35% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **55%** | 34% | 6% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **53%** | 35% | 7% | 5% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | **51%** | 29% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **45%** | 33% | 11% | 12% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | **53%** | 31% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 4, 2009 | — | — | **49%** | 35% | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | **50%** | 33% | — | — |
With Gibbons
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jim | ||||||
| Gibbons (R) | Rory | ||||||
| Reid (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 31% | **52%** | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | **47%** | 12% | 3% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 40% | **42%** | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **45%** | 43% | 8% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | **44%** | 15% | 4% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 38% | **42%** | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | **44%** | 13% | 8% |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 34% | **48%** | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 37% | **49%** | — | — |
| Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 35% | **47%** | — | — |
With Montandon
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Mike | ||||||
| Montandon (R) | Rory | ||||||
| Reid (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 40% | **43%** | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **45%** | 39% | 9% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **45%** | 38% | 9% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | **42%** | 37% | 13% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | **40%** | 14% | 10% |
Results
By county
| County | Brian Sandoval | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rory Reid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | None of | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| These Candidates | Eugene DiSimone | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent | Floyd Fitzgibbons | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent American | Arthur Forest Lampitt Jr. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Libertarian | David Scott Curtis | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Green | Aaron Y. Honig | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent | Margin | Total votes cast | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 382,350 | 53.36% | 298,171 | 41.61% | 12,231 | 1.71% | 6,403 | 0.89% | 5,049 | 0.70% | 4,672 | 0.65% | 4,437 | 0.62% | 3,216 | 0.45% | 84,179 | 11.75% | 716,529 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Carson City | 11,512 | 59.06% | 6,676 | 34.25% | 511 | 2.62% | 267 | 1.37% | 208 | 1.07% | 115 | 0.59% | 132 | 0.68% | 71 | 0.36% | 4,836 | 24.81% | 19,492 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Churchill | 6,586 | 74.19% | 1,697 | 19.12% | 167 | 1.88% | 117 | 1.32% | 145 | 1.63% | 60 | 0.68% | 57 | 0.64% | 48 | 0.54% | 4,889 | 55.07% | 8,877 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clark | 224,751 | 48.61% | 217,113 | 46.96% | 7,008 | 1.52% | 3,598 | 0.78% | 2,347 | 0.51% | 2,837 | 0.61% | 2,547 | 0.55% | 2,171 | 0.47% | 7,638 | 1.65% | 462,372 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Douglas | 15,001 | 69.10% | 5,345 | 24.62% | 396 | 1.82% | 328 | 1.51% | 231 | 1.06% | 139 | 0.64% | 192 | 0.88% | 76 | 0.35% | 9,656 | 44.48% | 21,708 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elko | 9,489 | 73.97% | 2,194 | 17.10% | 321 | 2.50% | 159 | 1.24% | 394 | 3.07% | 102 | 0.80% | 99 | 0.77% | 71 | 0.55% | 7,295 | 56.86% | 12,829 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Esmeralda | 289 | 72.61% | 48 | 12.06% | 20 | 5.03% | 6 | 1.51% | 11 | 2.76% | 12 | 3.02% | 7 | 1.76% | 5 | 1.26% | 241 | 60.55% | 398 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eureka | 597 | 78.97% | 76 | 10.05% | 31 | 4.10% | 9 | 1.19% | 20 | 2.65% | 12 | 1.59% | 10 | 1.32% | 1 | 0.13% | 521 | 68.92% | 756 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Humboldt | 3,564 | 71.61% | 994 | 19.97% | 120 | 2.41% | 84 | 1.69% | 116 | 2.33% | 50 | 1.00% | 23 | 0.46% | 26 | 0.52% | 2,570 | 51.64% | 4,977 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lander | 1,449 | 76.42% | 277 | 14.61% | 61 | 3.22% | 28 | 1.48% | 33 | 1.74% | 16 | 0.84% | 20 | 1.05% | 12 | 0.63% | 1,172 | 61.81% | 1,896 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 1,381 | 70.93% | 380 | 19.52% | 72 | 3.70% | 17 | 0.87% | 48 | 2.47% | 26 | 1.34% | 12 | 0.62% | 11 | 0.56% | 1,001 | 51.41% | 1,947 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lyon | 11,937 | 68.46% | 4,331 | 24.84% | 340 | 1.95% | 226 | 1.30% | 266 | 1.53% | 113 | 0.65% | 139 | 0.80% | 85 | 0.49% | 7,606 | 43.62% | 17,437 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mineral | 1,136 | 59.88% | 556 | 29.31% | 89 | 4.69% | 36 | 1.90% | 43 | 2.27% | 10 | 0.53% | 18 | 0.95% | 9 | 0.47% | 580 | 30.57% | 1,897 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nye | 8,829 | 61.49% | 4,224 | 29.42% | 289 | 2.01% | 221 | 1.54% | 349 | 2.43% | 206 | 1.43% | 144 | 1.00% | 97 | 0.68% | 4,605 | 32.07% | 14,359 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pershing | 1,140 | 65.86% | 396 | 22.88% | 85 | 4.91% | 32 | 1.85% | 42 | 2.43% | 10 | 0.58% | 11 | 0.64% | 15 | 0.87% | 744 | 42.98% | 1,731 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Storey | 1,355 | 63.70% | 615 | 28.91% | 53 | 2.49% | 35 | 1.65% | 26 | 1.22% | 14 | 0.66% | 22 | 1.03% | 7 | 0.33% | 740 | 34.79% | 2,127 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washoe | 81,073 | 57.72% | 52,730 | 37.54% | 2,555 | 1.82% | 1,156 | 0.82% | 685 | 0.49% | 811 | 0.58% | 970 | 0.69% | 488 | 0.35% | 28,343 | 20.18% | 140,468 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| White Pine | 2,261 | 69.40% | 519 | 15.93% | 113 | 3.47% | 84 | 2.58% | 85 | 2.61% | 139 | 4.27% | 34 | 1.04% | 23 | 0.71% | 1,742 | 53.47% | 3,258 |
;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Clark (largest municipality: Las Vegas)
Notes
References
References
- Gentry, Dana. (2008-06-04). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". [[Las Vegas Sun]].
- Vogel, Ed. (2008-06-13). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". [[Las Vegas Review-Journal]].
- Schwartz, David McGrath. (2009-07-19). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". [[Las Vegas Sun]].
- "2010 Filed Candidates". [[Secretary of State of Nevada]].
- McGrath Schwartz, David. (2008-09-21). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". [[Las Vegas Sun]].
- (2009-07-01). "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com.
- Damon, Anjeanette. (2009-09-15). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". [[Reno Gazette-Journal]].
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100606115849/http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/6/2/NV/541 Research 2000]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20110408121825/http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/may_2010_2_polls.html Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120722005041/http://media.lvrj.com/images/4385969-6-4.jpg Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/gibbons-still-faces-challenging-campaign Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121021104356/http://media.lvrj.com/images/4136735.jpg Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20091207023551/http://politicalwire.com/archives/2009/12/04/sandoval_leads_for_nevada_governor.html Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20091015081930/http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/october_2009_2_polls.html Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121021104350/http://media.lvrj.com/images/new_gibbons.jpg/ Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- (June 8, 2010). "2010 Official Statewide Primary Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State.
- (October 14, 2009). "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN.
- (2009-09-12). "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com.
- (January 25, 2010). "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times.
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
- "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_september_1_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://media.lasvegassun.com/media/pdfs/blogs/documents/2010/09/24/NVStatewideRANSeptemberInterviewSchedule.pdf Public Opinion Strategies]
- [http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/15/nv-oh-wa-poll2.pdf CNN/Time Magazine]
- [https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-elections-idUSTRE68D3VQ20100914 Reuters/Ipsos]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/sandoval-keeps-large-lead-governor-race Mason-Dixon]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/poll-reid-cant-gain-ground-sandoval Mason-Dixon]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_august_16_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/sandoval-still-control Mason-Dixon]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/election_2010_nevada_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100820120600/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NV_721.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/sandoval-keeps-double-digit-lead Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_july_12_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_june_22_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_june_9_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_april_27_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/toplines/toplines_nevada_governor_february_3_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/poll-sandoval-would-top-gibbons-gop-primary-reid-november Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121019212445/http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/dec_2009_2_polls.html Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- [https://archive.today/20150608034940/http://media.lvrj.com/images/3795363.jpg Mason Dixon/LVJR]
- (2010-11-02). "2010 Official Statewide General Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State.
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