2008 United States presidential election in Maine

Caucuses

• 2008 Maine Democratic presidential caucuses
• 2008 Maine Republican presidential caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Maine

Obama won every single pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 55% to 39%.

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $465,676 in the state, while Barack Obama raised $2,205,059.

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $1,216,060 while McCain and the RNC spent $444,529. The Obama ticket didn't visit the state, but both McCain and Palin visited Maine once.

Analysis

Maine is located in New England, an area that has become a Democratic Party stronghold. It was once a classic Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in 1856 and stayed in the GOP fold for most of the next 132 years. The GOP carried the state in all but three elections (1912, 1964 and 1968) from 1856 to 1988. Additionally, Maine and Vermont were the only two states that voted against Franklin D. Roosevelt in all four of his campaigns. However, no Republican presidential nominee has carried Maine since George H. W. Bush in 1988, leading many analysts to reckon the state as part of the solid bloc of blue states in the Northeast. While George W. Bush held the state to single digits in 2000 and 2004, polls in 2008 never showed anything but a significant Obama lead.

Ultimately, Obama won the state by a comfortable margin, taking 57.71% of the vote—the highest percentage by a Democrat in Maine since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it as part of his 44-state landslide in 1964, although Bill Clinton in 1996 won with a wider margin when third parties were a more impactful factor. As evidence of how Democratic Maine has become, George W. Bush at the time was only the second Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Maine, the first being Richard Nixon in 1968 when Maine Senator Edmund Muskie was the Democratic vice-presidential nominee. At the same time, however, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Susan Collins defeated former Democratic U.S. Representative Tom Allen and won reelection to a third term with 61.33% of the vote. Maine was the only state carried by Obama to elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate in 2008.

The seat in Maine's 1st Congressional District that was vacated by Tom Allen in his unsuccessful bid for the U.S. Senate was retained by Democrat Chellie Pingree. At the state level, Democrats made gains in the Maine Legislature, picking up six seats in the Maine House of Representatives and one seat in the Maine Senate.

Results

Statewide

By county

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Washington (largest borough: Calais)

By congressional district

Barack Obama won both of Maine's congressional districts.

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maine is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just 2 of the electoral votes. The other 2 electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. Since Obama won both congressional districts, all 4 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:

• Robert O'Brien of Portland, ME. He works in a hardware store and has been active with the Democratic Party since 1984.
• Jill Duson, of Portland, ME. She's a third term city councilor and a former mayor.
• Samuel Shapiro of Waterville, ME. He's been a party activist since 1953 and is a former state treasurer.
• Tracie Reed of Portland, ME. She's a master's candidate in the University of Massachusetts Amherst's architecture program and a political organizer.

References

References

1. (2009-01-01). "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.".
2. (2015-05-05). "Presidential".
3. (2009-04-22). "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions".
4. "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".
5. Based on Takeaway
6. "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".
7. "RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map".
8. "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".
9. (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times.
10. (2008-10-31). "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN.
11. (April 27, 2010). "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News.
12. "roadto270".
13. "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".
14. [http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=23 Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections]
15. "Presidential Campaign Finance".
16. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
17. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
18. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2008-09 Tabulations".
19. "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2008-09 Tabulations".
20. "Electoral College". [[California Secretary of State]].
21. [http://morningsentinel.mainetoday.com/news/local/5566034.html Central Maine news, sports & weather & breaking news around Waterville. The Morning Sentinel, Waterville, ME]{{dead link. (July 2016)
22. (April 2019)
23. "Jill Duson — The League of Young Voters".
24. "Maine Office of the State Treasurer: About Us: Former Treasurers".
25. "Blogger: User Profile: Tracie Reed".