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2006 United States Senate election in Ohio

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FieldValue
election_name2006 United States Senate election in Ohio
countryOhio
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 United States Senate election in Ohio
previous_year2000
next_election2012 United States Senate election in Ohio
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 7, 2006
turnout**53.25%** (registered voters)
image1File:Sherrod Brown, official Senate photo portrait, 2007.jpg
nominee1**Sherrod Brown**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**2,257,369**
percentage1**56.16%**
image2File:Mike DeWine official photo.jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee2Mike DeWine
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,761,037
percentage243.82%
map_image{{switcher
map_caption**Brown**:
**DeWine**:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionMike DeWine
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionSherrod Brown
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2006 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by county.svg|210px]]|County results |[[File:2006 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by congressional district.svg|210px]]|Congressional district results}} DeWine:
The 2006 United States Senate election in Ohio was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Mike DeWine ran for re-election, but was defeated by Democratic congressman Sherrod Brown. As of , this is the most recent time a Democratic Senate candidate in Ohio won a race by double digits. This was also the last time an incumbent Senator lost reelection in Ohio until Brown was defeated in 2024 by Bernie Moreno.

To date, this is Mike DeWine's second general election loss of his political career, following his 1992 loss to John Glenn. Following his defeat, DeWine would later serve as Ohio's State Attorney General from 2011 to 2019 and has been the state's governor since 2019.

Background

The incumbent Republican Senator R. Michael DeWine had approval ratings at 38%, making him the second most unpopular U.S. Senator behind Pennsylvania Republican Rick Santorum, who was also up for reelection in 2006. Pre-election stories in the U.S. media suggested that the national Republican Party may have given up on saving Senator DeWine's Senate seat before election day. Sherrod Brown, former Ohio Secretary of State and U.S. Representative from Ohio's 13th district, easily won the Democratic nomination over Merrill Keiser Jr.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Mike DeWine, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1995
  • David Smith, candidate for U.S. Representative from Ohio's 2nd congressional district in 2005
  • William G. Pierce, engineer

Campaign

Both candidates campaigned as conservative alternatives to DeWine, citing DeWine's support for gun control measures and his role as one of the Republican members of the Gang of 14 which was a group of Republicans who compromised with Democrats in a dispute about judicial appointments.

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Sherrod Brown, U.S. Representative from Lorain
  • Merrill Keiser Jr., trucking business owner/operator and Vietnam War veteran

Withdrew

  • Paul Hackett, Iraq War veteran

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Sherrod Brown, U.S. Representative from Lorain (Democratic)
  • Mike DeWine, incumbent Senator since 1995 (Republican)
  • Richard Duncan (Independent)

Campaign

The Republican Party, which was facing multiple challenges to their Senate majority, was initially determined to assist DeWine in his competitive race while the National Democratic party supported Brown in hopes of taking control of the Senate. John McClelland, a spokesman for the Ohio Republican Party said, "It's vitally important to the Republican Party as a whole, so I think that's why you see the president coming to Ohio to support Mike DeWine." Phil Singer, a spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee said, "Mike DeWine Senior is in for the fight of his life, make no mistake about it."

On July 14, 2006, DeWine's campaign began airing TV commercials depicting a smoking World Trade Center. "The senator was notified... by a reporter at U.S. News & World Report that the image of the burning Twin Towers could not have depicted the actual event because the smoke was blowing the wrong way." DeWine's campaign admitted that the video was actually a still photo of the World Trade Center with smoke digitally added. He also was criticized for using an emotionally charged image to attack his challenger.

Another of DeWine's ads suggested that opponent Sherrod Brown didn't pay his taxes for thirteen years. This claim led to the Associated Press reporting on October 19 that, "Several Ohio television stations have stopped airing a Republican ad because state documents contradict the ad's accusation that Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown didn't pay an unemployment tax bill for 13 years." Brown produced a commercial citing these facts. DeWine's ads were changed to state only that he had failed to pay his unemployment taxes until legal action was taken against him.

On October 16, 2006, The New York Times reported that top national Republicans were moving resources away from the Ohio Senate race, as they had determined that DeWine was likely to lose and were seeking to spend money on races where Republican candidates were seen as having a better chance of winning.

Debates

Fundraising

During the election cycle, DeWine raised $14.9 million and spent $15.5 million. Brown raised $8.9 million and spent $10.8 million.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateSherrod
Brown (D)Mike
DeWine (R)
ZogbyOctober 31, 2005**40%**37%
RasmussenDecember 2, 200541%**43%**
RasmussenJanuary 7, 200640%**45%**
RasmussenFebruary 18, 200637%**46%**
RasmussenMarch 31, 200642%**45%**
Zogby/WSJMarch 31, 2006**46%**37%
RasmussenApril 24, 200641%**43%**
Mason-DixonApril 26, 200636%**47%**
RasmussenMay 15, 2006**44%**41%
University of CincinnatiMay 25, 200642%**52%**
Survey USAJune 13, 2006**48%**39%
Zogby/WSJJune 21, 2006**47%**34%
RasmussenJune 27, 200639%**46%**
Columbus DispatchJuly 23, 2006**45%**37%
Zogby/WSJJuly 24, 2006**45%**37%
RasmussenAugust 1, 2006**44%**42%
SurveyUSAAugust 5, 2006**49%**41%
RasmussenAugust 26, 2006**45%**42%
Zogby/WSJAugust 28, 2006**47%**39%
GallupSeptember 5, 2006**46%**40%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 11, 2006**45%**41%
RasmussenSeptember 13, 2006**47%**41%
QuinnipiacSeptember 20, 2006**45%**44%
University of CincinnatiSeptember 20, 2006**51%**47%
SurveyUSASeptember 21, 2006**52%**42%
Columbus DispatchSeptember 24, 2006**47%**42%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 28, 2006**45%**41%
University of AkronSeptember 29, 2006**42%****42%**
Mason-DixonOctober 1, 2006**45%**43%
Reuters/ZogbyOctober 5, 2006**41%****41%**
RasmussenOctober 5, 2006**49%**41%
SurveyUSAOctober 12, 2006**54%**40%
RasmussenOctober 13, 2006**48%**42%
QuinnipiacOctober 17, 2006**53%**41%
University of CincinnatiOctober 17, 2006**52%**45%
CBS News/New York TimesOctober 17, 2006**49%**35%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBCOctober 24, 2006**48%**40%
Los Angeles Times/BloombergOctober 24, 2006**47%**39%
RasmussenOctober 26, 2006**53%**41%
SurveyUSAOctober 26, 2006**57%**37%
Opinion ConsultantsOctober 22–30, 2006**51%**44%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 31, 2006**54%**43%
Reuters/Zogby InternationalNovember 2, 2006**56%**42%
RasmussenNovember 4, 2006**54%**43%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC-McClatchyNovember 5, 2006**50%**44%
Columbus DispatchNovember 5, 2006**62%**38%
University of Cincinnati Ohio PollNovember 6, 2006**56%**44%
SurveyUSANovember 6, 2006**54%**42%

Results

Brown was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Ohio at 7:30. DeWine had the second worst performance of a Republican incumbent in 2006; only Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum had a worse performance. While DeWine was able to win rural counties in western Ohio, Brown managed to win most eastern Ohio counties, especially in heavily populated areas. DeWine's narrow 2,000 vote victory in Hamilton County which is home to Cincinnati, came nowhere close to making a dent in Brown's lead. Brown would go on to be reelected to a second term in 2012, and a third term in 2018. Also in 2018, both Brown and DeWine were on the ballot but this time for different races; DeWine would be elected Governor of Ohio. In 2024, Brown would be defeated for reelection.

By county

CountySherrod Brown
DemocraticMike DeWine
RepublicanRichard Duncan
IndependentMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Totals2,257,36956.16%1,761,03743.82%8300.02%496,33212.34%4,019,236
Adams3,90345.54%4,66754.46%00.00%-764-8.92%8,570
Allen16,59745.95%19,52154.04%50.01%-2,924-8.09%36,123
Ashland8,89046.31%10,29953.65%90.04%-1,409-7.34%19,198
Ashtabula21,15161.79%13,07838.21%10.00%8,07323.58%34,230
Athens13,98870.55%5,83929.45%00.00%8,14941.10%19,827
Auglaize6,84540.28%10,14259.68%80.04%-3,297-19.40%16,995
Belmont15,49065.76%8,05634.20%100.04%7,43431.56%23,556
Brown6,85048.57%7,24751.38%70.05%-397-2.81%14,104
Butler49,44342.88%65,85457.11%50.01%-16,411-14.23%115,302
Carroll6,14355.58%4,90844.40%20.02%1,23511.18%11,053
Champaign6,80947.26%7,59852.73%20.01%-789-5.47%14,409
Clark26,40052.73%23,65647.25%60.02%2,7445.48%50,062
Clermont25,33339.00%39,58860.95%340.05%-14,255-21.95%64,955
Clinton5,00539.43%7,68760.56%10.01%-2,682-21.13%12,693
Columbiana21,80259.20%15,02540.80%20.00%6,77718.40%36,829
Coshocton7,02452.55%6,34047.43%20.02%6845.12%13,366
Crawford8,22749.31%8,45550.68%10.01%-228-1.37%16,683
Cuyahoga319,56870.57%133,23529.42%290.01%186,33341.15%452,832
Darke8,26740.95%11,91159.00%90.05%-3,644-18.05%20,187
Defiance6,62448.68%6,97751.28%60.04%-353-2.60%13,607
Delaware27,10941.87%37,62458.11%170.02%-10,515-16.24%64,750
Erie19,37263.74%11,01836.25%10.01%8,35427.49%30,391
Fairfield25,28346.99%28,50652.98%120.03%-3,223-5.99%53,801
Fayette3,79344.91%4,65155.07%20.02%-858-10.16%8,446
Franklin217,96158.57%154,09841.41%510.02%63,86317.16%372,110
Fulton7,93649.53%8,07950.43%60.04%-143-0.90%16,021
Gallia4,80347.75%5,25552.25%00.00%-452-4.50%10,058
Geauga19,90350.29%19,65349.66%170.05%2500.63%39,573
Greene24,41541.18%34,79758.69%760.13%-10,382-17.51%59,288
Guernsey7,33455.40%5,90544.60%00.00%1,42910.80%13,239
Hamilton142,13449.63%144,16750.34%960.03%-2,033-0.71%286,397
Hancock10,49840.97%15,12159.02%30.01%-4,623-18.05%25,622
Hardin4,77949.86%4,80350.11%20.03%-24-0.25%9,584
Harrison3,53059.02%2,45040.96%10.02%1,08018.06%5,981
Henry5,35447.12%6,00752.86%20.02%-653-5.74%11,363
Highland5,67443.71%7,29756.21%100.08%-1,623-12.50%12,981
Hocking5,66458.22%4,06241.75%30.03%1,60216.47%9,729
Holmes2,81034.89%5,24165.07%40.04%-2,431-30.18%8,055
Huron10,23454.06%8,69445.93%20.01%1,5408.13%18,930
Jackson5,45353.00%4,83346.98%20.02%6206.02%10,288
Jefferson15,67361.08%9,98838.92%00.00%5,68522.16%25,661
Knox9,64146.62%11,03653.37%10.01%-1,395-6.75%20,678
Lake50,64957.13%37,98842.85%150.02%12,66114.28%88,652
Lawrence10,56154.22%8,91645.78%00.00%1,6458.44%19,477
Licking28,59948.54%30,31251.44%120.02%-1,713-2.90%58,923
Logan6,90942.62%9,29757.35%40.03%-2,388-14.73%16,210
Lorain67,42966.39%34,12933.60%50.01%33,30032.79%101,563
Lucas94,63066.50%47,65933.49%150.01%46,97133.01%142,304
Madison6,41447.41%7,11052.55%50.04%-696-5.14%13,529
Mahoning69,66473.47%25,15126.53%00.00%44,51346.94%94,815
Marion11,07851.28%10,52648.72%00.00%5522.56%21,604
Medina36,38655.48%29,18644.50%110.02%7,20010.98%65,583
Meigs3,99051.42%3,76948.58%00.00%2212.84%7,759
Mercer5,41334.85%10,11865.14%10.01%-4,705-30.29%15,532
Miami15,73442.48%21,29957.50%60.02%-5,565-15.02%37,039
Monroe4,13168.09%1,93531.89%10.02%2,19636.20%6,067
Montgomery100,49153.22%88,32246.77%230.01%12,1696.45%188,836
Morgan2,95553.88%2,52346.01%60.11%4327.87%5,484
Morrow5,97647.88%6,49952.07%60.05%-523-4.19%12,481
Muskingum15,66455.55%12,53444.45%20.00%3,13011.10%28,200
Noble2,61150.50%2,55949.50%00.00%521.00%5,170
Ottawa10,54860.20%6,97239.79%10.01%3,57620.41%17,521
Paulding3,55647.21%3,97652.78%10.01%-420-5.57%7,533
Perry6,62759.23%4,55540.71%70.06%2,07218.52%11,189
Pickaway8,85849.44%9,05950.56%00.00%-201-1.12%17,917
Pike5,84560.60%3,79839.38%20.02%2,04721.22%9,645
Portage34,57663.23%20,07536.71%340.06%14,50126.52%54,685
Preble7,22145.98%8,43653.72%460.30%-1,215-7.74%15,703
Putnam5,60039.60%8,53960.38%20.02%-2,939-20.78%14,141
Richland24,43153.24%21,45146.75%70.01%2,9806.49%45,889
Ross13,06155.42%10,50144.56%40.02%2,56010.86%23,566
Sandusky12,89956.37%9,98343.63%00.00%2,91612.74%22,882
Scioto15,86660.62%10,30839.38%00.00%5,55821.24%26,174
Seneca10,74253.48%9,34346.51%10.01%1,3996.97%20,086
Shelby7,12241.34%10,10158.64%30.02%-2,979-17.30%17,226
Stark79,90057.37%59,35342.62%110.01%20,54714.75%139,264
Summit126,77663.57%72,55936.39%810.04%54,21727.18%199,416
Trumbull58,58673.12%21,52026.86%180.02%37,06646.26%80,124
Tuscarawas17,36055.31%14,02444.68%10.01%3,33610.63%31,385
Union6,88140.85%9,95059.07%120.08%-3,069-18.22%16,843
Van Wert4,17740.09%6,23959.88%40.03%-2,062-19.79%10,420
Vinton2,48455.38%2,00144.62%00.00%48310.76%4,485
Warren25,10236.54%43,58863.45%80.01%-18,486-26.91%68,698
Washington11,63151.08%11,14048.92%00.00%4912.16%22,771
Wayne18,29947.79%19,98552.19%90.02%-1,686-4.40%38,293
Williams6,43849.57%6,54350.38%70.05%-105-0.81%12,988
Wood25,87556.85%19,63743.14%30.01%6,23813.71%45,515
Wyandot3,91248.17%4,20151.72%90.11%-289-3.55%8,122

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Harrison (Largest city: Cadiz)
  • Hocking (Largest city: Logan)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Jackson)
  • Lawrence (Largest city: Ironton)
  • Noble (Largest city: Caldwell)
  • Vinton (Largest city: McArthur)
  • Seneca (Largest city: Tiffin)
  • Huron (Largest city: Norwalk)
  • Columbiana (Largest city: Salem)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Carrollton)
  • Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)
  • Guernsey (Largest city: Cambridge)
  • Coshocton (Largest city: Coshocton)
  • Geauga (Largest city: Chardon)
  • Medina (Largest city: Medina)
  • Morgan (Largest city: McConnelsville)
  • Washington (Largest city: Marietta)
  • Muskingum (Largest city: Zanesville)
  • Perry (Largest city: New Lexington)
  • Hocking (Largest city: Logan)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Jackson)
  • Lawrence (Largest city: Ironton)
  • Noble (Largest city: Caldwell)
  • Vinton (Largest city: McArthur)
  • Seneca (Largest city: Tiffin)
  • Huron (Largest city: Norwalk)
  • Columbiana (Largest city: Salem)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Carrollton)
  • Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)
  • Guernsey (Largest city: Cambridge)
  • Coshocton (Largest city: Coshocton)
  • Geauga (Largest city: Chardon)
  • Medina (Largest city: Medina)
  • Morgan (Largest city: McConnelsville)
  • Washington (Largest city: Marietta)
  • Muskingum (Largest city: Zanesville)
  • Perry (Largest city: New Lexington)
  • Pike (Largest city: Waverly)
  • Ross (Largest city: Chillicothe)
  • Scioto (Largest city: Portsmouth)
  • Jefferson (largest city: Steubenville)
  • Sandusky (Largest city: Fremont)
  • Clark (largest municipality: Springfield)
  • Stark (largest city: Canton)
  • Athens (Largest city: Athens)
  • Montgomery (largest city: Dayton)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Columbus)
  • Portage (largest city: Kent)
  • Ashtabula (largest city: Ashtabula)
  • Summit (Largest city: Akron)
  • Lake (Largest city: Mentor)
  • Lorain (largest municipality: Lorain)
  • Erie (largest city: Sandusky)
  • Cuyahoga (Largest city: Cleveland)
  • Lucas (Largest city: Toledo)
  • Ottawa (Largest city: Port Clinton)
  • Wood (Largest city: Bowling Green)

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Madison (Largest city: London)

By congressional district

Sherrod Brown won 14 of 18 congressional districts, including seven districts which elected Republicans to the House.

DistrictBrownDeWineRepresentative1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th
**51.8%**48.2%Steve Chabot
43.2%**56.8%**
Jean Schmidt
49.5%**50.5%**Mike Turner
46.8%**53.2%**Mike Oxley ([109th Congress](109th-united-states-congress))
Jim Jordan ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
**50.9%**49.1%Paul Gillmor
**60.0%**40.0%Ted Strickland ([109th Congress](109th-united-states-congress))
Charlie Wilson ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
**51.4%**48.6%Dave Hobson
42.0%**56.0%**John Boehner
**65.7%**34.3%Marcy Kaptur
**65.5%**34.5%Dennis Kucinich
**82.2%**17.8%Stephanie Tubbs Jones
**52.5%**47.5%Pat Tiberi
**63.9%**36.1%Sherrod Brown ([109th Congress](109th-united-states-congress))
Betty Sutton ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
**56.2%**43.8%Steve LaTourette
**55.0%**45.0%Deborah Pryce
**54.3%**45.7%Ralph Regula
**72.4%**27.6%Tim Ryan
**53.9%**46.1%Bob Ney ([109th Congress](109th-united-states-congress))
Zack Space ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))

References

References

  1. (November 7, 2006). "Democrats Score First Senate Win". CBS News.
  2. "www.surveyusa.com.".
  3. (2006-06-13). "2006 Election Results".
  4. Collins, Michael. (February 23, 2006). "Bush visit all politics this time". [[E. W. Scripps Company]].
  5. [https://www.usnews.com/usnews/news/articles/060719/19dewinead.htm Nation & World: DeWine blunder adds fuel to controversial September 11 ad - U.S. News & World Report] {{webarchive. link. (October 12, 2008)
  6. (June 2021). "Washington Post}}{{dead link".
  7. "Sherrod Brown".
  8. Adam Nagourney, [https://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/16/us/politics/16spend.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&pagewanted=print "In Final Weeks, G.O.P. Focuses on Best Bets"], ''The New York Times'', October 16, 2006.
  9. "Sen. Mike DeWine: Campaign Finance/Money - Summary - Senator 2006 {{!}} OpenSecrets".
  10. "Rep. Sherrod Brown: Campaign Finance/Money - Summary - Representative 2006 {{!}} OpenSecrets".
  11. "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006".
  12. (November 6, 2006). "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".
  13. "2006 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  14. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics.
  15. [https://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash05a.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1&mod=blogs Zogby]
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  19. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060406183311/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/March%202006/Ohio%20Senate%20March.htm Rasmussen]
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  21. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060614065123/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/April%202006/Ohio%20Senate%20April.htm Rasmussen]
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  24. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060710070131/http://www.newarkadvocate.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20060525%2FNEWS01%2F60525004%2F100Z University of Cincinnati]
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  27. [http://www.dispatch.com/?story=dispatch/2006/07/23/20060723-A1-01.html Columbus Dispatch]
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  32. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061005190751/http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=24358 Gallup]
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