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2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

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2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States Senate election in Ohio
countryOhio
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States Senate election in Ohio
previous_year2006
next_election2018 United States Senate election in Ohio
next_year2018
election_date
turnout64.6%
image1File:Sherrod Brown official photo 2009 2 (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Sherrod Brown**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**2,762,766**
percentage1**50.70%**
image2File:Josh Mandel.jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee2Josh Mandel
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote22,435,744
percentage244.70%
map_image{{switcher
map_size210px
map_caption**Brown:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionSherrod Brown
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionSherrod Brown
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by county.svg|210px]] |County results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by congressional district.svg|210px]] |Congressional district results | [[File:OH 2012 sen.svg|210px]] | Precinct results

Mandel:
Tie:
The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed

  • Russell Bliss
  • David Dodt
  • Donna Glisman, retired entrepreneur
  • Eric LaMont Gregory, medical scientist
  • Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer
  • Michael Pryce, surgeon

Withdrew

  • Kevin Coughlin, former Ohio state senator (dropped out)

Declined

  • Jim Tressel, Ohio State football coach

Endorsements

Josh Mandel was endorsed by Rob Portman, U.S. Senator (R-OH); Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (R-SC); Jim Jordan, U.S. Congressman (R-OH); Club for Growth; National Rifle Association of America; Tea Party Express; John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ); Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL); Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey; Afghanistan & Iraq Veterans for Congress (AIVC); Buckeye Firearms Association National Right to Life Committee; Ohio Right to Life; and National Federation of Independent Business

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

General election

Candidates

  • Sherrod Brown (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Josh Mandel (Republican), Ohio State Treasurer
  • Scott Rupert (Independent), truck driver

Debates

Campaign

U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown defeated two-term incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike DeWine 56%-44% in the 2006 election. Over the next six years, he established a very progressive, and populist record. The National Journal named Brown the most liberal U.S. Senator in the past two years. The Washington Post called him a "modern-day Paul Wellstone." One article said "Brown is way to the left of Ohio in general, but probably the only person who could outwork Brown is Portman." Brown is the only candidate the 60 Plus Association targeted in the 2012 election cycle.

Mandel, 34, was elected state treasurer in 2010. Before that, he was a Lyndhurst City Councilman and Ohio State Representative. He was criticized as Ohio Treasurer for not fulfilling his pledge to serve a four-year term and for not attending any of the Board of Deposit monthly meetings. However, Mandel raised a lot of money. He was called a rising star in the Republican Party and was called "the rock star of the party." He was also compared to Marco Rubio.

Mandel's campaign was singled out by the independent fact-checking group Politifact for its "casual relationship with the truth" and its tendency to "double down" after inaccuracies were pointed out. The fact-checking group wrote: "For all the gifts Mandel has, from his compelling personal narrative as an Iraq war veteran to a well-oiled fundraising machine, whoppers are fast becoming a calling card of his candidacy."

Mandel raised $7.2 million through the first quarter of 2012. He had $5.3 million cash on hand, trailing Brown's $6.3 million. However, Mandel benefited from massive support from conservative out-of-state superPACs, which raise unlimited amounts of money from anonymous donors. These outside groups, including Crossroads GPS, aired over $60 million in TV advertising supporting Mandel and attacking Brown, outspending Democratically aligned outside groups by more than five-to-one. Mandel's campaign was aided by over $1 million spent primarily on attack ads by a 501(c)(4) organization called the Government Integrity Fund. The group was funded by anonymous donors and run by lobbyist Tom Norris of Columbus, Ohio-based Cap Square Solutions.

Endorsements

Brown was endorsed by the Cleveland Plain Dealer, the Columbus Dispatch, the Toledo Blade, the Youngstown Vindicator, The Cincinnati Enquirer, and the Akron Beacon-Journal.

Mandel was endorsed by the Warren Tribune-Chronicle and the Marietta Times.

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Sherrod Brown (D)$8,132,882$3,379,775$6,273,316$0
Josh Mandel (R)$7,286,390$1,999,397$5,286,993$0
Scott Rupert (I)$3,153$2,594$389$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Sherrod BrownContributionJosh MandelContribution
JStreetPAC$71,175Club for Growth$172,904
Ohio State University$69,470Senate Conservatives Fund$114,400
Kohrman, Jackson & Krantz$59,500Suarez Corp$90,000
Cleveland Clinic$57,971Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman$41,600
Forest City Enterprises$51,600American Financial Group$32,750
American Electric Power$42,350Cintas Corp$30,000
Squire Sanders$39,400Sullivan & Cromwell$25,475
Baker & Hostetler$38,906Susquehanna International Group$22,500
Case Western Reserve University$35,450Timken Company$22,500
Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease$34,167Crawford Group$22,000

Top industries

Sherrod BrownContributionJosh MandelContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$1,587,113Retired$480,900
Retired$942,717Financial Institutions$397,140
Health Professionals$536,954Real Estate$371,057
Real Estate$435,066Lawyers/Law Firms$362,515
Lobbyists$393,651Leadership PACs$320,050
Education$369,722Republican/Conservative$278,924
Leadership PACs$318,975Manufacturing & Distributing$276,600
Hospitals/Nursing Homes$286,072Misc Finance$205,350
Insurance$223,983Retail Industry$166,650
Financial Institutions$204,350Pro-Israel$163,000

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Josh
Mandel (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**48%**32%—21%
QuinnipiacMay 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%**45%**31%2%21%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–22, 2011565±4.1%**48%**31%—21%
QuinnipiacJuly 12–18, 20111,659±4.1%**49%**34%1%16%
Public Policy PollingAugust 11–14, 2011792±3.5%**48%**33%—19%
QuinnipiacSeptember 20–25, 20111,301±2.7%**49%**36%—13%
Public Policy PollingOctober 13–16, 2011581±4.1%**48%**40%—12%
QuinnipiacOctober 17–23, 20111,668±2.4%**49%**34%1%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 4–6, 20111,421±2.6%**48%**35%—14%
QuinnipiacJanuary 9–16, 20121,610±2.4%**47%**32%1%18%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–29, 2012820±3.4%**47%**36%—17%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 8, 2012500±4.5%**44%**40%4%12%
QuinnipiacFebruary 7–12, 2012500±4.5%**48%**35%4%17%
NBC News/MaristFebruary 29 – March 2, 20123,079±1.8%**47%**37%—16%
QuinnipiacMarch 20–26, 20121,246±2.8%**46%**36%3%14%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 26, 2012500±4.5%**43%****43%**3%11%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 18, 2012500±4.5%**44%**41%3%12%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875±3.3%**45%**37%—19%
QuinnipiacMay 2–7, 20121,069±3.0%**46%**40%1%13%
NBC News/MaristMay 17–20, 20121,103±3.0%**51%**37%—12%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 29, 2012500±4.5%**47%**42%3%7%
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673±3.8%**46%**39%—15%
QuinnipiacJune 19–25, 20121,237±2.8%**50%**34%1%14%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 18, 2012500±4.5%**46%**42%4%8%
Magellan StrategiesJuly 23–24, 2012597±4.0%**45%**38%12%5%
QuinnipiacJuly 24–30, 20121,193±2.8%**51%**39%1%9%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 13, 2012500±4.5%**44%****44%**3%9%
QuinnipiacAugust 15–21, 20121,253±2.8%**48%**45%1%10%
Ohio PollAugust 16–21, 2012847±3.4%**48%**47%—5%
*Columbus Dispatch*August 15–25, 20121,758±2.1%**44%****44%**—12%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 7–8, 20121,548±2.7%**47%**42%—11%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 20121,072±3.0%**48%**40%—11%
NBC/WSJ/Marist PollSeptember 9–11, 2012979±3.1%**49%**42%—9%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 12, 2012500±4.5%**49%**41%3%7%
Ohio Newspaper OrganizationSeptember 13–18, 2012861±3.3%**52%**45%1%2%
Fox News PollSeptember 16–18, 20121,009±3.0%**47%**40%1%9%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 21–22, 2012594±4.3%**44%**43%—13%
*The Washington Post*September 19–23, 2012934±4.0%**53%**41%—6%
CBS/*The New York Times*/QuinnipiacSeptember 18–24, 20121,162±4.0%**50%**40%—10%
NBC/WSJ/MaristSeptember 30 – October 1, 2012931±3.2%**50%**41%1%7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 4, 2012500±4.5%**46%****46%**2%6%
SurveyUSAOctober 5–8, 2012808±3.5%**42%**38%4%16%
NBC/WSJ/Marist PollOctober 7–9, 2012994±3.1%**52%**41%1%6%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 10, 2012500±4.5%**47%**46%2%4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12–13, 2012880±3.3%**49%**42%—9%
Survey USAOctober 12–15, 2012613±4.0%**43%**38%4%14%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 17, 2012750±4.0%**49%**44%1%5%
CBS News/QuinnipiacOctober 17–20, 20121,548±3.0%**51%**42%—7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 18–20, 2012532±4.3%**49%**44%—7%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 18–20, 2012550±4.2%**52%**45%3%—
SuffolkOctober 18–21, 2012600unknown**46%**39%6%10%
Pharos ResearchOctober 19–21, 2012810±3.4%**52%**41%—7%
SurveyUSAOctober 20–22, 2012725±4.2%**43%**42%3%12%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 23, 2012750±4.0%**48%**44%2%5%
*The Cincinnati Enquirer*/Ohio NewsOctober 18–23, 20121,015±3.1%**51%**47%1%2%
Gravis MarketingOctober 27, 2012730±3.6%**48%**47%—5%
CBS/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 23–28, 20121,110±3.0%**51%**42%—7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26–28, 2012718±3.7%**53%**42%—6%
Pharos ResearchOctober 26–28, 2012765±3.5%**53%**43%—7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 28, 2012750±4.0%**50%**48%1%1%
SurveyUSAOctober 26–29, 2012603±4.1%**46%**41%3%10%
University of Cincinnati/Ohio PollOctober 25–30, 20121,182±2.9%**49%**44%4%3%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 29–31, 2012885±3.8%**49%**41%4%6%
NBC/WSJ/MaristOctober 31 – November 1, 2012971±3.1%**50%**45%1%4%
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 1, 2012750±4.0%**48%****48%**2%2%
*Columbus Dispatch*October 24 – November 3, 20121,501±2.2%**51%**45%4%—
Ohio Poll/Univ. of CincinnatiOctober 31 – November 4, 2012901±3.3%**51%**47%3%—
SurveyUSANovember 1–4, 2012803±3.5%**44%**41%4%9%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 2–4, 2012572±4.1%**52%**46%2%—
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 20121,000±3.1%**54%**44%—3%
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 4, 2012750±4%**50%**48%1%1%

Democratic primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
BrownOther/
Undecided
American Public PollingJanuary 23, 20121,600±3%**77%**23%
American Public PollingFebruary 6, 20121,600±3%**84%**16%
American Public PollingFebruary 13, 20121,600±3%**81%**19%
American Public PollingFebruary 20–27, 20121,600±3%**91%**9%

Republican primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorKevin
CoughlinJosh
MandelOther/
Undecided
QuinnipiacJuly 12–18, 2011563±4.1%12%**35%****46%**
Public Policy PollingAugust 11–14, 2011400±4.9%12%**31%****57%**
QuinnipiacSeptember 20–25, 2011423±4.8%12%**33%****53%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorKen
BlackwellKevin
CoughlinJosh
MandelOther/
Undecided
QuinnipiacMay 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%**33%**5%17%**46%**

General election

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Ken
Blackwell (R)OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacMay 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%**44%**35%2%18%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–22, 2011565±4.1%**51%**33%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Drew
Carey (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**49%**34%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Kevin
Coughlin (R)OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacMay 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%**44%**28%3%23%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–22, 2011565±4.1%**51%**30%—19%
QuinnipiacJuly 12–18, 20111,659±4.1%**50%**32%1%18%
Public Policy PollingAugust 11–14, 2011792±3.5%**47%**33%—20%
QuinnipiacSeptember 20–25, 20111,301±2.7%**53%**32%—13%
Public Policy PollingOctober 13–16, 2011581±4.1%**48%**37%—15%
QuinnipiacOctober 17–23, 20111,668±2.4%**51%**30%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Mike
DeWine (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 10–12, 2010510±4.3%**43%****43%**—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Jon
Husted (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 10–12, 2010510±4.3%**43%**38%—18%
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**49%**34%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Jim
Jordan (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 10–12, 2010510±4.3%**43%**35%—22%
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**49%**30%—21%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–22, 2011565±4.1%**49%**31%—21%
Public Policy PollingAugust 11–14, 2011792±3.5%**47%**35%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Steve
LaTourette (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**48%**30%—22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Mary
Taylor (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 10–12, 2010510±4.3%**40%**38%—22%
Public Policy PollingMarch 10–13, 2011559±4.1%**49%**30%—21%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–22, 2011565±4.1%**50%**31%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSherrod
Brown (D)Jim
Tressel (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 11–14, 2011792±3.5%**46%**34%—20%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Harrison (Largest city: Cadiz)
  • Hocking (Largest city: Logan)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Jackson)
  • Lawrence (Largest city: Ironton)
  • Noble (Largest city: Caldwell)
  • Vinton (Largest city: McArthur)
  • Seneca (Largest city: Tiffin)
  • Huron (Largest city: Norwalk)
  • Columbiana (Largest city: Salem)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Carrollton)
  • Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)
  • Guernsey (Largest city: Cambridge)
  • Coshocton (Largest city: Coshocton)
  • Geauga (Largest city: Chardon)
  • Medina (Largest city: Medina)
  • Morgan (Largest city: McConnelsville)
  • Washington (Largest city: Marietta)
  • Muskingum (Largest city: Zanesville)
  • Perry (Largest city: New Lexington)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Hamilton (largest municipality: Cincinnati)

By congressional district

Brown won six of 16 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans to the House.

DistrictBrownMandelRepresentative1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
47.20%**49.13%**Steve Chabot
44.52%**51.01%**Jean Schmidt ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Brad Wenstrup ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
**68.41%**27.73%Mike Turner ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Joyce Beatty ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
40.48%**54.19%**Jim Jordan
43.26%**51.76%**Bob Latta
44.46%**49.92%**Bill Johnson
44.18%**49.81%**Steve Austria ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Bob Gibbs ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
36.53%**58.92%**John Boehner
**66.47%**28.93%Marcy Kaptur
**48.52%**47.74%Dennis Kucinich ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Mike Turner ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
**81.90%**15.71%Marcia Fudge
44.27%**51.09%**Pat Tiberi
**63.80%**30.99%Betty Sutton ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Tim Ryan ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
**48.07%**47.14%Steve LaTourette ([112th Congress](112th-united-states-congress))
Dave Joyce ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
46.15%**48.89%**Steve Stivers
46.46%**48.47%**Jim Renacci

References

References

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  2. (April 2019)
  3. [https://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/Senate/2012/Primary/OH Election Map 2012: Live Voting Results - POLITICO.com]
  4. "Ohio SOS".
  5. "Glisman for Senate". www.VoteGlisman.com (Campaign site).
  6. "Eric LaMont Gregory - America First - Mansfield". www.theoxfordscientist.com.
  7. Guillen, Joe. (March 12, 2012). "After months of campaigning, Josh Mandel formally announces bid for U.S. Senate". The Plain Dealer.
  8. "Michael Pryce M.D. for U.S. Senate Ohio". Michaelpryce.com.
  9. Catanese, David. (October 24, 2011). "Coughlin terminates bid". POLITICO.com.
  10. Miller, Joshua. (October 25, 2011). "State Senator Ends Ohio Senate Primary Bid". Roll Call Politics.
  11. (February 11, 2025). "Morning Digest: Trump's DOJ orders prosecutors to drop Eric Adams corruption charges".
  12. Miller, Joshua. (October 25, 2011). "Sen. Portman supports Mandel in email - The Hill's Ballot Box". Roll Call.
  13. Center, Shira T.. (June 27, 2011). "DeMint Endorses Josh Mandel in Ohio". Roll Call Politics.
  14. Koff, Stephen. (August 22, 2011). "Ending the Jim Jordan speculation: He endorses Josh Mandel". The Plain Dealer.
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  18. [http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2012/04/sen_mccain_praises_mandels_mil.html Sen. John McCain praises Josh Mandel's military experience in endorsing his Senate campaign {{! cleveland.com]
  19. "Ohio: Marco Rubio Stumps for Josh Mandel {{!}} Josh Mandel for U.S. Senate".
  20. "John McCain, Chris Christie campaign for Ohio GOP Senate candidate Josh Mandel".
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  22. "Buckeye Firearms Association endorses Josh Mandel for U.S. Senate | Buckeye Firearms Association".
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  28. Terkel, Amanda. (December 22, 2011). "Which Senate Race Is Attracting Most GOP Third-Party Spending?". Huffington Post.
  29. Blake, Aaron. (November 8, 2011). "Sherrod Brown and the Wellstone factor". The Washington Post.
  30. Neal, Meghan. (March 5, 2012). "GOP 'Rock Star' Could Spell Trouble For Sherrod Brown". Huffington Post.
  31. McAuliff, Michael. (February 24, 2012). "Ohio Senate Candidate Skipped Board Meetings For No Known Reason". Huffington Post.
  32. [https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/03/is-josh-mandel-the-next-marco-rubio/253956/ Politics - Molly Ball - Is Josh Mandel the Next Marco Rubio? - The Atlantic]
  33. Gomez, Henry. (March 26, 2012). "Even in an age of fact checking, the whopper lives". [[Politifact]].
  34. Wehrman, Jessica. (April 16, 2012). "Incumbents winning in fundraising". Dayton Daily News.
  35. (November 7, 2012). "Sherrod Brown: 'Karl Rove Had A Bad Night'".
  36. Welna, David. (July 5, 2012). "Ohio Senator Vulnerable For Health Law Support". [[NPR]].
  37. Elliot, Justin. (September 7, 2012). "Revealed: The Dark Money Group Attacking Sen. Sherrod Brown". [[ProPublica]].
  38. (October 6, 2012). "Sherrod Brown has earned a second term in the Senate: editorial". The Plain Dealer.
  39. (October 31, 2012). "Brown's experience makes him the better choice for voters". Columbus Dispatch (subscription).
  40. (October 7, 2012). "Re-elect Senator Brown". The Toledo Blade.
  41. (October 8, 2012). "Sherrod Brown: the clear choice in Ohio's U.S. Senate race". The Youngstown Vindicator.
  42. (October 27, 2012). "Brown dedicated to Ohio's needs, problems". Cincinnati Enquirer.
  43. (September 22, 2012). "For the U.S. Senate: Sherrod Brown". Akron Beacon Journal.
  44. (October 21, 2012). "Mandel best for economic future of Ohio". Tribune Chronicle (Warren, OH).
  45. (October 13, 2012). "Vote for Mandel on Nov. 6". Marietta Times.
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  48. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Scott Rupert Campaign Finances]
  49. [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=OHS1 OpenSecrets]
  50. Top Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)]
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  56. (May 2019)
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