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2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district |
| country | Vermont |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2004 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont |
| previous_year | 2004 |
| next_election | 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont |
| next_year | 2008 |
| election_date | November 7, 2006 |
| image1 | File:Peter Welch, official 110th Congress photo 2.jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | **Peter Welch** |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **139,815** |
| percentage1 | **53.22%** |
| image2 | File:rainville official (cropped).jpg |
| nominee2 | Martha Rainville |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 117,023 |
| percentage2 | 44.54% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption | **Welch:** |
| **Rainville:** | |
| **Trudell:** | |
| title | U.S. Representative |
| before_election | Bernie Sanders |
| before_party | Independent (politician) |
| after_election | Peter Welch |
| after_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
Rainville:
Trudell:
The 2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 7, 2006, for representation of Vermont's at-large congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2009.
Incumbent Congressman Bernie Sanders, an independent member of Congress who caucused with the Democrats, did not seek a ninth term in the House, instead running successfully for the United States Senate.
To replace Congressman Sanders, Democrat Peter Welch defeated Republican Martha Rainville by a somewhat narrow margin (just under 10%) in staunchly-liberal Vermont. As of 2022, this is the last federal election in which a Republican received more than a third of the vote.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Peter Welch, State Senate President pro tempore, nominee for Governor in 1990, and candidate for this seat in 1988
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
- Martha Rainville, former Vermont National Guard Adjutant General
- Mark Shepard, State Senator
Results
Third-party and independent candidates
Declined
- David Zuckerman, member of the Vermont House of Representatives, farmer, businessman, environmentalist (Progressive Party)
General election
Polling
| Source | Date | Peter | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welch (D) | Martha | ||||
| Rainville (R) | Jane | ||||
| Newton (LU) | |||||
| Research 2000 | October 23–24, 2006 | **51%** | 41% | ||
| Greenburg Quinlan | October 8–9, 2006 | **52%** | 41% | ||
| Research 2000 | September 18–19, 2006 | **45%** | 39% | ||
| American Research Group | September 14, 2006 | **48%** | 45% | 2% | |
| American Research Group | July 27, 2006 | 41% | **42%** |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 6, 2006 | |
| Rothenberg | November 6, 2006 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 6, 2006 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 7, 2006 | |
| CQ Politics | November 7, 2006 |
Results
Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic
- Addison (largest municipality: Middlebury)
- Bennington (largest municipality: Bennington)
- Chittenden (largest municipality: Burlington)
- Lamoille (largest municipality: Morristown)
- Orange (Largest city: Randolph)
- Washington (largest municipality: Barre)
- Windham (largest municipality: Brattleboro)
- Windsor (largest municipality: Hartford)
Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican
- Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)
- Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
- Caledonia (largest municipality: St. Johnsbury)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Derby)
- Essex (Largest city: Lunenburg)
- Franklin (Largest city: St. Albans)
References
2006
References
- "Archived copy".
- "FairVote - All Articles".
- Porter, Louis. (2006-02-16). "Zuckerman out; House race clearer".
- "Rothenberg’s 2006 Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats".
- [http://www.timesargus.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20061027/NEWS/610270357/1003/NEWS02 Research 2000]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20061029163915/http://www.dccc.org/stakeholder/archives/005384.html Greenburg Quinlan]
- [http://www.timesargus.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060921/NEWS/609210324/1003/NEWS02 Research 2000]
- [http://americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
- (6 November 2006). "2006 Competitive House Race Chart". Cook Political Report.
- (6 November 2006). "2006 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- (6 November 2006). "2006 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- (7 November 2006). "Battle for the House of Representatives". Real Clear Politics.
- "Balance of Power Scorecard: House". Congressional Quarterly Inc.
- "2006 Election Statistics".
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