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2004 Indiana gubernatorial election

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2004 Indiana gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2004 Indiana gubernatorial election
countryIndiana
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 Indiana gubernatorial election
previous_year2000
next_election2008 Indiana gubernatorial election
next_year2008
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
image1Image:Mitch Daniels.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Mitch Daniels**
party1Republican Party (United States)
running_mate1**Becky Skillman**
popular_vote1**1,302,912**
percentage1**53.21%**
image2File:Joe Kernan.jpg
nominee2Joe Kernan
party2Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate2Kathy Davis
popular_vote21,113,900
percentage245.49%
map_image160px
map_size160px
map_captionCounty results
**Daniels**:
**Kernan**:
***Tie***:
titleGovernor
before_electionJoe Kernan
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionMitch Daniels
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Daniels:
Kernan:
Tie: The 2004 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004, to elect the governor of Indiana.

Despite Democrat Evan Bayh winning the concurring Senate election in a landslide, Incumbent Democratic governor Joe Kernan was defeated by Republican Mitch Daniels. Daniels' victory was the first time the Republican Party had been elected governor since 1984, and gave the party control of all the important statewide offices. It was also the first time an incumbent governor had been defeated since the Constitution of Indiana was amended in 1972 to permit governors to serve two consecutive terms.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Joe Kernan, incumbent governor since 2002

Withdrew

  • Joe Andrew, former chair of the Democratic National Committee
  • Vi Simpson, state senator from Bloomington

Campaign

Frank O'Bannon had been re-elected governor of Indiana in 2000 and was prevented from running for governor again by term limits. His lieutenant governor, Joe Kernan, on December 15, 2002, said that he would not be a candidate for governor. State Senator Vi Simpson and Joe Andrew then vied for nomination for the next ten months. However, on September 13, 2003, O'Bannon had a stroke and died, resulting in Kernan taking over as governor. Kernan decided two months later, on November 4, 2003, that he would run for governor in 2004 and was unopposed in the Democratic primary after both Simpson and Andrew dropped out.

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Mitch Daniels, former White House Director of the Office of Management and Budget
  • Eric Miller, activist

Withdrew

  • David M. McIntosh, nominee in 2000 and former U.S. representative from Muncie

Campaign

Former White House Director of the Office of Management and Budget Mitch Daniels easily defeated conservative activist Eric Miller in the Republican primary on May 4, 2004. The Republican candidate for governor in 2000, David M. McIntosh, had earlier dropped out of the race after President George W. Bush gave his support to Daniels. Daniels had quit as White House budget director in 2003 so he could return to Indiana and run for governor. President Bush came to South Bend, Indiana before the primary to support Daniels, and the President's nickname for Daniels, "My Man Mitch", became his campaign slogan.

Results

]]

General election

Campaign

Daniels campaigned by traveling throughout Indiana in his RV visiting all 92 Indiana counties at least three times.

In addition to the two major party tickets, there was the Libertarian ticket of Kenn Gividen and Elaine Badnarik.

All three candidates took part in two debates during the campaign. The first was held on September 28, 2004, at Franklin College with the candidates clashing over the state's economy, prescription drugs and the extension of Interstate 69 from Indianapolis to Evansville. The second debate was held on October 17, 2004, in New Albany, Indiana. Negative campaigning was the major issue.

Between Daniels and Kernan the two candidates raised over 28 million dollars, easily surpassing the previous record set in 2000 of 19.2 million dollars.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorMitch
Daniels (R)Joe
Kernan (D)Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 27–29, 2004587 (LV)± 4.1%**52%**44%4%

Statewide Results

County Results

Kernan won 17 of Indiana's counties compared to 73 for Daniels. The candidates finish tied in 2 counties.

CountyDanielsVotesKernanVotesGividenVotesTotal
Adams**62.9%*****8,350***36.3%*4,816*0.7%*99***13,265**
Allen**57.2%*****73,689***41.9%*53,899*0.9%*1,183***128,771**
Bartholomew**59.4%*****16,858***38.8%*11,008*1.8%*519***28,385**
Benton**60.8%*****2,432***37.2%*1,498*1.7%*69***3,999**
Blackford**51.2%*****2,741***47.9%*2,567*0.9%*46***5,354**
Boone**70.9%*****16,189***27.3%*6,326*1.3%*305***22,820**
Brown**55.0%*****4,010***42.8%*3,118*2.2%*164***7,292**
Carroll**59.2%*****5,090***39.4%*3,387*1.3%*115***8,592**
Cass**56.9%*****7,946***41.6%*5,808*1.6%*221***13,975**
Clark49.0%*20,471***50.2%*****20,964***0.9%*360***41,795**
Clay**54.3%*****5,724***44.3%*4,677*1.4%*148***10,549**
Clinton**63.8%*****7,537***35.0%*4,129*1.3%*148***11,814**
Crawford**49.3%*****2,231*****49.3%*****2,231***1.4%*60***4,522**
Daviess**59.5%*****6,223***38.7%*4,049*1.8%*183***10,455**
Dearborn**61.3%*****12,514***37.2%*7,573*1.5%*297***20,384**
Decatur**63.4%*****6,355***35.2%*3,524*1.4%*140***10,019**
DeKalb**59.8%*****9,242***39.0%*6,012*1.2%*181***15,435**
Delaware48.0%*22,917***50.6%*****24,132***1.4%*663***47,712**
Dubois**57.1%*****9,385***41.9%*6,871*1.0%*169***16,425**
Elkhart**62.7%*****38,430***36.5%*22,406*0.8%*503***61,339**
Fayette**53.4%*****4,981***45.3%*4,224*1.3%*121***9,326**
Floyd**50.1%*****16,869***49.1%*16,503*0.8%*279***33,651**
Fountain**61.6%*****4,786***37.1%*2,878*1.3%*101***7,765**
Franklin**59.4%*****5,822***39.4%*3,862*1.2%*114***9,798**
Fulton**58.4%*****5,103***40.3%*3,513*1.3%*110***8,726**
Gibson**50.1%*****7,289***48.1%*7,101*1.1%*166***14,556**
Grant**57.2%*****15,543***41.8%*11,376*1.0%*275***27,194**
Greene**51.7%*****6,791***46.7%*6,123*1.6%*213***13,127**
Hamilton**73.0%*****76,433***26.1%*27,316*0.9%*920***104,669**
Hancock**67.4%*****18,825***31.3%*8,746*1.3%*359***27,930**
Harrison**53.7%*****9,242***45.3%*7,809*1.0%*171***17,222**
Hendricks**68.6%*****35,761***30.2%*15,691*1.2%*641***52,093**
Henry**56.0%*****11,408***42.6%*8,674*1.4%*289***20,371**
Howard**53.7%*****19,885***45.2%*16,742*1.1%*415***37,042**
Huntington**67.1%*****10,484***31.7%*4,953*1.2%*183***15,620**
Jackson**58.8%*****9,587***40.0%*6,527*1.2%*191***16,305**
Jasper**58.2%*****6,781***40.4%*4,701*1.4%*167***11,649**
Jay**56.2%*****4,537***42.8%*3,453*1.0%*80***8,070**
Jefferson**51.1%*****6,542***47.7%*6,109*1.2%*150***12,801**
Jennings**55.4%*****5,806***42.8%*4,482*1.8%*190***10,478**
Johnson**66.9%*****34,269***31.7%*16,253*1.4%*701***51,223**
Knox48.5%*7,569***50.0%*****7,797***1.5%*228***15,594**
Kosciusko**71.0%*****20,047***27.9%*7,885*1.1%*316***28,248**
LaGrange**63.2%*****5,748***35.2%*3,171*1.1%*97***9,016**
Lake33.7%*61,720***64.9%*****118,697***1.4%*2,617***183,034**
LaPorte38.5%*16,234***59.4%*****25,049***2.1%*881***42,164**
Lawrence**65.0%*****11,480***33.5%*5,904*1.5%*257***17,641**
Madison**51.4%*****28,142***47.5%*25,972*1.1%*623***54,737**
Marion46.5%*148,825***52.3%*****167,097***1.2%*3,895***319,817**
Marshall**60.6%*****10,745***38.2%*6,756*1.2%*204***17,705**
Martin**53.7%*****2,664***44.4%*2,205*1.9%*94***4,963**
Miami**60.9%*****8,155***37.8%*5,062*1.3%*179***13,396**
Monroe44.5%*22,031***53.1%*****26,317***2.4%*1,192***49,540**
Montgomery**66.2%*****9,639***32.4%*4,711*1.4%*199***14,549**
Morgan**64.6%*****16,716***33.8%*8,740*1.6%*424***25,880**
Newton**54.5%*****3,164***43.6%*2,531*1.9%*111***5,806**
Noble**61.3%*****9,570***37.6%*5,863*1.1%*176***15,609**
Ohio**52.5%*****1,512***46.1%*1,328*1.4%*41***2,881**
Orange**56.4%*****4,818***42.4%*3,621*1.3%*109***8,548**
Owen**55.0%*****4,179***42.7%*3,249*2.3%*176***7,604**
Parke**53.8%*****3,745***44.6%*3,101*1.6%*108***6,954**
Perry43.0%*3,559***56.2%*****4,640***0.8%*64***8,263**
Pike41.1%*2,517***57.3%*****3,510***1.6%*99***6,126**
Porter43.2%*27,565***55.1%*****35,206***1.7%*1,108***63,879**
Posey**52.6%*****6,252***46.5%*5,525*0.9%*109***11,886**
Pulaski**57.8%*****3,185***41.1%*2,267*1.1%*61***5,513**
Putnam**60.8%*****8,002***37.8%*4,984*1.4%*185***13,171**
Randolph**56.8%*****6,274***41.9%*4,628*1.3%*146***11,048**
Ripley**59.1%*****6,925***39.6%*4,635*1.3%*151***11,711**
Rush**61.9%*****4,529***36.6%*2,676*1.6%*116***7,321**
Saint Joseph45.3%*49,198***53.8%*****58,327***0.9%*1,000***108,525**
Scott44.7%*3,862***54.3%*****4,681***1.0%*90***8,633**
Shelby**61.9%*****9,862***36.9%*5,885*1.2%*194***15,941**
Spencer**52.3%*****5,183***46.5%*4,612*1.2%*114***9,909**
Starke46.6%*4,024***52.2%*****4,539***1.5%*131***8,694**
Steuben**60.2%*****7,684***38.5%*4,915*1.3%*165***12,764**
Sullivan44.2%*3,687***54.4%*****4,530***1.4%*116***8,333**
Switzerland**49.3%*****1,780*****49.3%*****1,780***1.4%*48***3,608**
Tippecanoe**54.9%*****28,458***43.4%*22,504*1.7%*865***51,827**
Tipton**60.5%*****4,729***38.1%*2,973*1.4%*108***7,810**
Union**61.5%*****2,040***36.7%*1,217*1.8%*59***3,316**
Vanderburgh48.9%*34,129***49.9%*****34,819***1.2%*863***69,811**
Vermillion39.5%*2,769***58.8%*****4,121***1.7%*118***7,008**
Vigo42.4%*16,804***55.6%*****22,054***2.0%*806***39,664**
Wabash**64.9%*****8,691***34.1%*4,569*1.0%*134***13,394**
Warren**56.0%*****2,214***42.5%*1,679*1.5%*58***3,951**
Warrick**53.8%*****13,877***45.2%*11,678*1.0%*262***25,817**
Washington**59.2%*****6,419***39.6%*4,297*1.2%*134***10,850**
Wayne**52.5%*****14,530***45.4%*12,565*2.1%*595***27,690**
Wells**66.4%*****8,071***32.7%*3,979*0.9%*113***12,163**
White**57.5%*****5,980***40.9%*4,260*1.6%*167***10,407**
Whitley**62.9%*****8,332***36.0%*4,758*1.1%*149***13,239**

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Madison (largest city: Anderson)
  • Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
  • Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
  • Blackford (Largest city: Hartford City)
  • Crawford (Largest city: Marengo) (became tied)
  • Floyd (Largest city: New Albany)
  • Gibson (Largest city: Princeton)
  • Jefferson (Largest city: Madison)
  • Posey (Largest city: Mount Vernon)
  • Switzerland (Largest city: Vevay) (became tied)
  • Warrick (Largest city: Boonville)
  • Adams (Largest city: Decatur)
  • Allen (Largest city: Fort Wayne)
  • Bartholomew (Largest city: Columbus)
  • Benton (Largest city: Fowler)
  • Brown (Largest city: Nashville)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Delphi)
  • Warrick (Largest city: Logansport)
  • Clay (Largest city: Brazil)
  • Decatur (Largest city: Greensburg)
  • DeKalb (Largest city: Auburn)
  • Dubois (Largest city: Jasper)
  • Fayette (Largest city: Connersville)
  • Fountain (Largest city: Attica)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Brookville)
  • Fulton (Largest city: Rochester)
  • Grant (Largest city: Marion)
  • Greene (Largest city: Linton)
  • Hancock (Largest city: Greenfield)
  • Harrison (Largest city: Corydon)
  • Henry (Largest city: New Castle)
  • Howard (Largest city: Kokomo)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Seymour)
  • Jay (Largest city: Portland)
  • Jennings (Largest city: North Vernon)
  • LaGrange (Largest city: LaGrange)
  • Marshall (Largest city: Plymouth)
  • Martin (Largest city: Loogootee)
  • Montgomery (Largest city: Crawfordsville)
  • Newton (Largest city: Kentland)
  • Noble (Largest city: Kendallville)
  • Ohio (Largest city: Rising Sun)
  • Orange (Largest city: Paoli)
  • Owen (Largest city: Spencer)
  • Parke (Largest city: Rockville)
  • Pulaski (Largest city: Winamac)
  • Putnam (Largest city: Greencastle)
  • Randolph (Largest city: Winchester)
  • Ripley (Largest city: Batesville)
  • Rush (Largest city: Rushville)
  • Shelby (Largest city: Shelbyville)
  • Steuben (Largest city: Angola)
  • Tipton (Largest city: Tipton)
  • Warren (Largest city: Williamsport)
  • Washington (Largest city: Salem)
  • Wayne (Largest city: Richmond)
  • White (Largest city: Monticello)
  • Whitley (Largest city: Columbia City)

Notes

References

References

  1. (2004-11-07). "Republicans to stand alone at state's helm". [[The Indianapolis Star]].
  2. (2004-11-03). "Daniels vows changes to government, economy after ending Democratic rule". [[The Indianapolis Star]].
  3. (2004-11-24). "Indiana election results 2004". [[The Washington Post]].
  4. (2004-05-05). "The Race for Indiana Governor Is Now Set". NFIB.com.
  5. (2004-05-04). "Daniels wins Ind. GOP nomination for governor". [[USA Today]].
  6. "2004 Official Primary Election Totals".
  7. (2004-11-01). "GOP, Daniels see breakthrough to governor's office". [[CNN]].
  8. (30 Jun 2004). "Libertarians vow to end property tax". The South Bend Tribune.
  9. (2004-09-29). "Indiana gubernatorial candidates outline differences in debate". Online NewsHour.
  10. (2004-10-18). "Indiana gubernatorial candidates spar over negative campaigning". Online NewsHour.
  11. (2004-11-01). "Spending Soars in 11 Gubernatorial Races". [[Fox News Channel]].
  12. "The Final Predictions".
  13. [https://www.surveyusa.com/2004Elec.html SurveyUSA]
  14. (2004-11-02). "Indiana General Election November 2, 2004, Statewide". Indiana Secretary of State.
  15. (2004-11-02). "Indiana General Election November 2, 2004, by County". Indiana Secretary of State.
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