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2004 United States Senate election in Indiana

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States Senate election in Indiana
countryIndiana
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1998 United States Senate election in Indiana
previous_year1998
next_election2010 United States Senate election in Indiana
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
image1File:SenatorBayh (1).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Evan Bayh**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,496,976**
percentage1**61.65%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Marvin Scott
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2903,913
percentage237.23%
map_image160px
map_size160px
map_captionCounty results
**Bayh**:
**Scott**:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionEvan Bayh
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionEvan Bayh
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Bayh:
Scott:
The 2004 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh won re-election to a second term. To date, this was the last time the Democrats have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Indiana. Bayh won 86 of the state's 92 counties.

Major candidates

Democratic

  • Evan Bayh, incumbent U.S. Senator

Republican

  • Marvin Scott, Professor at Butler University and nominee for IN-10 in 1994

General Election

Campaign

In September, Bayh had $6.5 million cash on hand. Scott's strategy of trying to paint Bayh as too liberal failed to gain traction.

In early 2004, Bayh was considered a serious contender for the Vice Presidency as the running mate of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. Although Bayh was on the final shortlist, North Carolina Senator John Edwards was ultimately chosen instead.

Bayh easily won reelection, defeating Scott by more than 24 percentage points and carrying all but six counties, even while Kerry lost the state by more than 20 percentage points in the concurrent presidential election.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorEvan
Bayh (D)Marvin
Scott (R)Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 27–29, 2004586 (LV)± 4.0%**61%**34%5%

Results

By county

Bayh won 86 of Indiana's counties compared to 6 for Scott.

CountyBayhVotesScottVotesBargerVotesTotal
Adams**57.4%*****7,551***41.6%*5,476*1.0%*126***13,153**
Allen**57.8%*****74,011***41.3%*52,845*0.9%*1,126***127,982**
Bartholomew**58.4%*****16,507***40.4%*11,422*1.1%*316***28,245**
Benton**63.0%*****2,501***35.3%*1,400*1.7%*69***3,970**
Blackford**69.1%*****3,694***30.1%*1,609*0.8%*42***5,345**
Boone48.8%*11,074***50.0%*****11,343***1.1%*255***22,672**
Brown**59.7%*****4,336***38.6%*2,803*1.7%*125***7,264**
Carroll**59.7%*****5,067***39.3%*3,331*1.0%*85***8,483**
Cass**56.8%*****7,873***42.1%*5,829*1.1%*159***13,861**
Clark**62.8%*****26,054***36.4%*15,091*0.9%*368***41,513**
Clay**64.9%*****6,928***34.0%*3,629*1.0%*112***10,669**
Clinton**56.3%*****6,600***42.8%*5,011*0.9%*108***11,719**
Crawford**63.6%*****2,832***35.3%*1,572*1.1%*47***4,451**
Daviess**56.4%*****5,891***42.6%*4,447*1.0%*107***10,445**
Dearborn45.7%*9,264***52.7%*****10,675***1.5%*311***20,250**
Decatur**61.3%*****6,173***37.8%*3,808*0.9%*88***10,069**
DeKalb**56.2%*****8,529***43.0%*6,523*0.9%*132***15,184**
Delaware**69.5%*****32,312***29.3%*13,627*1.2%*580***46,519**
Dubois**66.2%*****11,166***33.0%*5,560*0.8%*136***16,862**
Elkhart**51.2%*****31,186***47.9%*29,168*0.9%*546***60,900**
Fayette**64.0%*****5,961***34.5%*3,212*1.4%*134***9,307**
Floyd**62.1%*****20,898***36.9%*12,412*1.0%*332***33,642**
Fountain**60.1%*****4,532***39.2%*2,955*0.8%*60***7,547**
Franklin**53.5%*****5,247***44.8%*4,395*1.7%*171***9,813**
Fulton**60.7%*****5,264***38.3%*3,324*1.0%*91***8,679**
Gibson**69.6%*****10,110***29.5%*4,289*0.9%*129***14,528**
Grant**61.4%*****16,620***37.6%*10,189*0.9%*256***27,065**
Greene**64.7%*****8,336***34.2%*4,402*1.1%*137***12,875**
Hamilton46.4%*48,001***52.6%*****54,408***0.9%*970***103,379**
Hancock**52.3%*****14,548***46.6%*12,941*1.1%*309***27,798**
Harrison**59.0%*****10,094***39.9%*6,824*1.1%*180***17,098**
Hendricks48.0%*24,844***51.1%*****26,441***0.9%*486***51,771**
Henry**62.6%*****12,666***36.1%*7,312*1.3%*254***20,232**
Howard**58.9%*****21,732***40.1%*14,776*1.0%*368***36,876**
Huntington**52.8%*****8,125***46.2%*7,103*1.0%*160***15,388**
Jackson**62.2%*****10,071***36.7%*5,944*1.1%*171***16,186**
Jasper49.2%*5,727***49.6%*****5,772***1.1%*130***11,629**
Jay**63.5%*****5,117***35.3%*2,845*1.2%*94***8,056**
Jefferson**61.4%*****7,794***37.5%*4,764*1.1%*142***12,700**
Jennings**60.9%*****6,349***37.9%*3,944*1.2%*125***10,418**
Johnson**53.2%*****27,149***45.8%*23,330*1.0%*506***50,985**
Knox**71.5%*****11,130***27.5%*4,275*1.0%*155***15,560**
Kosciusko45.7%*12,554***53.0%*****14,574***1.3%*369***27,497**
LaGrange**54.3%*****4,865***44.7%*4,006*1.0%*90***8,961**
Lake**71.4%*****130,450***27.3%*49,919*1.3%*2,320***182,689**
LaPorte**69.7%*****28,826***28.3%*11,685*2.0%*840***41,351**
Lawrence**52.4%*****9,132***46.2%*8,064*1.4%*242***17,438**
Madison**64.3%*****34,379***34.7%*18,541*1.0%*524***53,444**
Marion**66.0%*****210,107***33.0%*104,819*1.0%*3,047***317,973**
Marshall**57.5%*****10,111***41.5%*7,293*1.0%*174***17,578**
Martin**66.7%*****3,297***32.1%*1,587*1.2%*58***5,058**
Miami**54.5%*****7,339***44.3%*5,967*1.2%*168***13,474**
Monroe**68.9%*****33,821***29.3%*14,396*1.8%*880***49,097**
Montgomery**59.9%*****8,651***39.0%*5,635*1.1%*159***14,445**
Morgan**50.1%*****12,878***48.7%*12,498*1.2%*313***25,689**
Newton**55.7%*****3,225***42.7%*2,475*1.6%*91***5,791**
Noble**57.0%*****8,853***42.0%*6,527*1.0%*160***15,540**
Ohio**54.4%*****1,572***44.3%*1,282*1.3%*37***2,891**
Orange**61.1%*****5,056***37.8%*3,127*1.1%*89***8,272**
Owen**60.5%*****4,538***38.0%*2,851*1.5%*114***7,503**
Parke**65.9%*****4,480***33.0%*2,249*1.1%*78***6,807**
Perry**71.6%*****5,790***27.6%*2,234*0.8%*62***8,086**
Pike**69.8%*****4,209***29.3%*1,765*1.0%*59***6,033**
Porter**63.9%*****39,876***34.3%*21,411*1.9%*1,159***62,446**
Posey**69.0%*****8,052***30.2%*3,523*0.8%*88***11,663**
Pulaski**59.1%*****3,328***39.7%*2,236*1.2%*65***5,629**
Putnam**59.1%*****7,683***39.9%*5,185*1.0%*134***13,002**
Randolph**61.9%*****6,625***36.8%*3,943*1.2%*133***10,701**
Ripley**53.3%*****6,212***45.3%*5,282*1.4%*168***11,662**
Rush**58.7%*****4,316***40.2%*2,962*1.1%*83***7,361**
Saint Joseph**70.0%*****75,340***29.2%*31,372*0.8%*886***107,598**
Scott**70.7%*****6,070***28.3%*2,435*1.0%*85***8,590**
Shelby**56.7%*****8,986***42.4%*6,717*0.9%*136***15,839**
Spencer**65.7%*****6,495***33.6%*3,317*0.7%*74***9,886**
Starke**67.8%*****6,108***30.6%*2,762*1.6%*142***9,012**
Steuben**58.7%*****7,447***40.0%*5,070*1.3%*169***12,686**
Sullivan**73.6%*****6,072***25.4%*2,099*1.0%*79***8,250**
Switzerland**59.6%*****2,148***38.9%*1,404*1.5%*53***3,605**
Tippecanoe**63.5%*****32,766***34.9%*18,002*1.6%*837***51,605**
Tipton**58.5%*****4,557***40.4%*3,142*1.1%*87***7,786**
Union**54.6%*****1,777***43.6%*1,417*1.8%*58***3,252**
Vanderburgh**67.6%*****46,088***31.2%*21,242*1.2%*817***68,147**
Vermillion**78.0%*****5,468***21.1%*1,480*0.9%*66***7,014**
Vigo**75.3%*****29,828***23.5%*9,307*1.2%*492***39,627**
Wabash**51.6%*****6,853***47.5%*6,313*0.8%*111***13,277**
Warren**61.1%*****2,357***37.7%*1,454*1.2%*48***3,859**
Warrick**62.2%*****15,572***37.0%*9,260*0.8%*205***25,037**
Washington**58.4%*****6,270***40.1%*4,304*1.5%*156***10,730**
Wayne**58.5%*****16,081***39.4%*10,821*2.1%*584***27,486**
Wells**53.5%*****6,532***45.7%*5,583*0.8%*103***12,218**
White**64.4%*****6,667***34.6%*3,589*1.0%*108***10,364**
Whitley**55.6%*****7,405***43.3%*5,761*1.1%*146***13,312**

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Dearborn (largest city: Lawrenceburg)
  • Jasper (largest city: Rennselaer)

Notes

References

References

  1. (March 2022)
  2. (March 2022)
  3. (19 August 2008). "Evan Bayh: The New Perennial Bridesmaid?".
  4. "The Final Predictions".
  5. [https://www.surveyusa.com/2004Elec.html SurveyUSA]
  6. (November 2, 2004). "United States Senator". Indiana of Secretary of State.
  7. (November 2, 2004). "United States Senator by County". Indiana Secretary of State.
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