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1996 Andalusian regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Andalusia


Election in the Spanish region of Andalusia

FieldValue
election_name1996 Andalusian regional election
countryAndalusia
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
previous_election1994 Andalusian regional election
previous_year1994
next_election2000 Andalusian regional election
next_year2000
seats_for_electionAll 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
majority_seats55
opinion_polls#Opinion polls
registered5,577,567 3.5%
turnout4,347,193 (77.9%)
10.6 pp
election_date3 March 1996
image1[[File:Manuel Chaves 1991 (cropped).jpg170x170px]]
leader1Manuel Chaves
party1PSOE–A
leader_since119 April 1990
leaders_seat1Cádiz
last_election145 seats, 38.7%
seats152
seat_change17
popular_vote11,903,160
percentage144.1%
swing15.4 pp
image2[[File:Javier Arenas 1996 (cropped).jpg170x170px]]
leader2Javier Arenas
party2People's Party of Andalusia
leader_since225 July 1993
leaders_seat2Seville
last_election241 seats, 34.4%
seats240
seat_change21
popular_vote21,466,980
percentage234.0%
swing20.4 pp
image3[[File:Portrait placeholder.svg170x170px]]
leader3Luis Carlos Rejón
party3United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia
leader_since321 July 1988
leaders_seat3Córdoba
last_election320 seats, 19.1%
seats313
seat_change37
popular_vote3603,495
percentage314.0%
swing35.1 pp
image4[[File:Portrait placeholder.svg170x170px]]
leader4Pedro Pacheco
party4Andalusian Party
leader_since41994
leaders_seat4Cádiz
last_election43 seats, 5.8%
seats44
seat_change41
popular_vote4287,764
percentage46.7%
swing40.9 pp
map_imageAndalusiaProvinceMapParliament1996.png
map_size375px
map_captionConstituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia
titlePresident
before_electionManuel Chaves
before_partyPSOE–A
after_electionManuel Chaves
after_partyPSOE–A

10.6 pp

A regional election was held in Andalusia on Sunday, 3 March 1996, to elect the 5th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with the 1996 Spanish general election.

The 1994 election had resulted in a hung parliament. Manuel Chaves had formed a minority government of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A), but was forced to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election for March 1996 after barely twenty months into his term, as a result of the conservative People's Party (PP) and left-wing United Left (IULV–CA) joining into an unofficial alliance (dubbed as la pinza, Spanish for "the clamp") to block the Chaves government's parliamentary action. Scandals rocking Felipe González's national government and favourable opinion polls were among the reasons that led the two parties to team up to bring down the PSOE regional government.

Despite opinion polls predicting a likely PSOE defeat, the election result was a major upset: the PSOE gained over 500,000 votes and 7 seats compared to the previous election and won a resounding victory as the PP stagnated and the IU vote collapsed. At 77.9%, turnout was the highest ever registered for a regional election in Andalusia. This result allowed Chaves to form a coalition government with the Andalusian Party (PA), ending the period of political turmoil that had dominated the previous legislature.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other).

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

SeatsConstituencies
**19**Seville
**15**Cádiz, Málaga
**13**Córdoba, Granada
**12**Jaén
**11**Almería, Huelva

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. Election day was to take place between the thirtieth and the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament barring any date from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 12 June 1994, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 12 June 1998. The election was required to take place no later than the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament on the condition that it was not held between 1 July and 31 August, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Tuesday, 30 June 1998.

After legal amendments in 1994, the president was granted the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.

Campaign

Election debates

DateOrganisersModerator(s)Present Surrogate
Not invited Invited Absent inviteePSOE–APPIULV–CAPAAudienceRef.Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"People's Party of Andalusia}};"United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"Andalusian Party}};"
28 FebruaryCadena SERIñaki Gabilondo**NI****NI**
29 FebruaryCanal SurRafael Rodríguez26.5%
(454,000)

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout[[File:Logo PSOE de Andalucía, 1979-1996.svg20pxlink=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of AndalusiaPSOE–A]][[File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (1993-2000).svg27pxlink=People's Party of AndalusiaPP]]IULV[[File:PA logo.svg25pxlink=Andalusian PartyPA]]LeadSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"People's Party of Andalusia}};"United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"Andalusian Party}};"
**1996 regional election**3 Mar 199678.1**44.1**
34.0
14.0
6.7
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"10.1
title=El PP ganará ampliamente en Andalucíaurl=http://elpais.com/diario/1996/02/24/espana/825116437_850215.htmllanguage=eswork=El Paísdate=24 February 1996}}16–21 Feb 1996?8033.3
**39.7**
18.3
7.5
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"6.4
title=Distribuciones de frecuencia marginales del Estudio 2207 (Andalucía)url=http://www.cis.es/cis/opencms/-Archivos/Marginales/2200_2219/2207/e220701.htmllanguage=eswork=CISdate=21 February 1996}}12–21 Feb 19962,49776.535.1**38.4**18.77.4People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"3.3
title=El PP ganará con claridad las elecciones andaluzas pero PSOE e IU tienen la mayoríaurl=http://www.elmundo.es/elecciones/feb26/noticias/not26-01.htmllanguage=eswork=El Mundodate=26 February 1996}}15–20 Feb 19962,200?32.5
**37.9**
18.7
8.5
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"5.4
title=Andalucía prepara un vuelco históricourl=http://archivo.elperiodico.com/ed/19960221/pag_063.htmllanguage=eswork=El Periódico de Catalunyadate=21 February 1996}}11–16 Feb 19962,000?34.9
**40.2**
17.7
6.0
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"5.3
title=El PP podría formar gobierno en Andalucía con el apoyo del PAurl=http://diariodenavarra.mynewsonline.com/index.php?screen=preview&ref=NAV19960219G005&matching=85&context=de+%3Cb%3EAndaluc%EDa%3C%2Fb%3E%2C+convocadas+junto+con+las+generales+el+pr%F3ximo+3+de+marzo%2C+seg%FAn+los+datos+parciales+del+macrosondeo+Colpisa+realizado+por+el+Instituto+Metra-Seis+para+Diario+de+Navarra.+Los+resultados+de+la+encuesta+permiten+prever+la+posibilidad+de+que+el+candidato+del+%3Cb%3EPP%3C%2Fb%3E%2C+Javier+Arenas%2C+forme+un+gobierno+mayoritario+con+el+Partido+%3Cb%3EAndalucis%3C%2Fb%3Eta+si+%E9ste+consigue+consolidar+al+alza+sus+actuales+expectativas.+La+izquierda+andaluza%2C+PSOE+e+IU%2C+sufre+un+hist%F3rico+retroceso%2C+que%2A+afecta+pr%E1cticamente+por+igual%2C+en+torno+a+4+puntos%2C+a+los+dos+partidos.+La+primera+oleada+de+la+macroencuesta+de+3.200+entrevistas+para+las+elecciones+andaluzas%2C+que+ser%E1+publicada+en+su+totalidad+el+pr%F3ximo+fin+de+semana%2C+refleja+una+ventaja+de+5+esca%F1os+del+%3Cb%3EPP%3C%2Fb%3E+sobre+el+PSOE%2C+que+gobierna+actualmente+la+comunidad+en+minor%EDa%2C+y+una+U+Ambito+y+universo%3A+conjunto+del+electoradolanguage=eswork=Diario de Navarradate=19 February 1996}}10–15 Feb 19961,617?34.0–
36.0
**39.0–
40.0**
14.0–
16.0
7.0–
9.0
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"4.0–
5.0
title=El PP ganará en Andalucía, pero no podrá formar un Gobierno estableurl=https://elpais.com/diario/1996/02/10/portada/823906803_850215.htmllanguage=eswork=El Paísdate=10 February 1996}}10 Feb 1996?8035.7
**39.3**
17.4
?
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"3.6
title=El PSOE pierde Andalucíaurl=http://www.elmundo.es/papel/hemeroteca/1996/01/29/nacional/language=eswork=El Mundodate=29 January 1996}}21–25 Jan 19962,200?32.7
**39.4**
18.0
8.2
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"6.7
title=El PP ganaría por primera vez las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas, según una encuestaurl=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1996/01/09/071.htmllanguage=eswork=ABCdate=9 January 1996}}3–10 Dec 1995??37.4
**38.7**
19.4
2.5
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"1.3
title=Una encuesta del PSOE le sitúa como vencedor en las autonómicas, mientras que la oposición replica que los datos son "absolutamente falsos" y que el sondeo no tiene "ninguna credibilidad"url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/1995/12/09/029.htmllanguage=eswork=ABCdate=9 December 1995}}9 Dec 19952,400?**38.0**34.018.05.0Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"4.0
title=El PP obtendría ahora en Andalucía ocho escaños más que los socialistas, según una encuesta del propio PSOEurl=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1995/11/27/061.htmllanguage=eswork=ABCdate=27 November 1995}}27 Nov 1995???
?
?
?
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"?
title=Felipe González decidirá finalmente la fecha de las autonómicasurl=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/1995/11/23/036.htmllanguage=eswork=ABCdate=23 November 1995}}23 Nov 1995???
?
?
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"?
title=Situación social y política en Andalucía. Elecciones Autonómicas. Octubre-noviembre 1995 (Estudio nº 2196)url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2180_2199/2196/e219600.htmllanguage=eswork=CISdate=18 October 1995}}27 Oct–5 Nov 19952,49872.834.5
**37.4**
21.6
5.9
People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"2.9
**1995 local elections**28 May 199568.8**34.0**31.218.16.9Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"2.8
**[1994 regional election](1994-andalusian-regional-election)**12 Jun 199467.3**38.7**
34.4
19.1
5.8
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"4.3

Results

Overall

Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeatsVotes%±ppTotal+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)1,903,16044.05+5.33**52**+7
People's Party of Andalusia}}"People's Party (PP)1,466,98033.96−0.40**40**−1
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)603,49513.97−5.17**13**−7
Andalusian Party}}"Andalusian Party (PA)1287,7646.66+0.86**4**+1
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain}}"Communist Party of the Andalusian People (PCPA)7,3400.17−0.170±0
Andalusian Nation}}"Andalusian Nation (NA)5,8460.14−0.130±0
Humanist Party (Spain)}}"Humanist Party (PH)4,3390.10−0.050±0
Falange Española Auténtica}}"Authentic Spanish Phalanx (FEA)3,8690.09*New*0±0
Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}}"Centrist Union (UC)1,6880.04−0.230±0
Democratic Andalusian Unity (UAD)1,4860.03*New*0±0
Voice of the Andalusian People}}"Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA)8400.02*New*0±0
Blank ballots33,1650.77−0.08
Total4,319,972109±0
Valid votes4,319,97299.37−0.03
Invalid votes27,2210.63+0.03
Votes cast / turnout4,347,19377.94+10.67
Abstentions1,230,37422.06−10.67
Registered voters5,577,567
Sources
{{hiddenta1=lefttitle=Footnotes:content={{ubl1 Andalusian Party results are compared to Andalusian Coalition–Andalusian Power totals in the 1994 election.}}}}

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPSOE–APPIULV–CAPASpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"People's Party of Andalusia}}"United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"Andalusian Party}}"%S%S%S%SSources
AlmeríaSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"45.6**5**39.7**5**10.3**1**3.3
CádizSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"39.5**6**32.5**5**12.8**2**13.8**2**
CórdobaSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"41.7**6**31.6**4**19.7**3**5.7
GranadaSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"44.9**7**37.5**5**12.4**1**3.9
HuelvaSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"49.2**6**32.8**4**11.5**1**5.3
JaénSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"47.3**6**36.2**5**12.2**1**3.3
MálagaSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"39.6**6**37.3**6**15.8**2**5.7**1**
SevilleSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"47.4**10**29.7**6**13.9**2**7.5**1**
**Total**Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"44.1**52**34.0**40**14.0**13**6.7**4**

Aftermath

Ballot →11 April 1996Required majority →
55 out of 109
{{Collapsible listtitle = Yes• PSOE–A (52)• PA (4)
{{Collapsible listtitle = No• PP (40)• IULV–CA (13)
Abstentions
Absentees
Sources

Notes

References

;Opinion poll sources

;Other

References

  1. (23 November 1995). "Chaves anuncia elecciones anticipadas en Andalucía al ser rechazados los presupuestos". El País.
  2. (24 March 2015). "La "pinza" acabó en veinte meses con el único gobierno en minoría de Andalucía". ABC.
  3. (4 March 1996). "Chaves logra el quinto triunfo consecutivo del PSOE". El País.
  4. (4 March 1996). "Los socialistas conservan su feudo andaluz". La Vanguardia.
  5. (5 March 1996). "El estrepitoso final de la "pinza"". La Vanguardia.
  6. (5 March 1996). "Los socialistas andaluces se decantan por un pacto con el PA". El País.
  7. (14 April 1996). "Chaves incorpora a dos andalucistas a su Gobierno". El País.
  8. (30 December 1981). ["[Statute of Autonomy of Andalusia".
  9. (2 January 1986). "Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía".
  10. Gallagher, Michael. (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin.
  11. (19 June 1985). "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General".
  12. (21 July 1983). "Ley 6/1983, de 21 de Julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma".
  13. (30 January 1990). "Ley 1/1990, de 30 de enero, por la que se modifica la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma".
  14. (18 May 1994). "Ley 6/1994, de 18 de mayo, de Modificación de la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma, y la Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía".
  15. (29 February 1996). "Chaves y Arenas se enredan en mutuas acusaciones en su único 'duelo'". El País.
  16. (27 February 1996). "Chaves da marcha atrás y acepta finalmente celebrar el jueves en Canal Sur el debate a cuatro que rechazó ayer". ABC.
  17. (2 March 1996). "Unos 454.000 espectadores, audiencia media del debate entre los candidatos a la Presidencia". ABC.
  18. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (1982 - 2018)".
  19. "Electoral Results Consultation. Parliament of Andalusia. March 1996. Andalusia totals". [[Regional Government of Andalusia]].
  20. (26 March 1996). "Parliament of Andalusia election results, 3 March 1996". [[Junta Electoral Central.
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