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Military budget of China

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According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, SIPRI, China was the fourth largest arms exporter in 2019–23 when it accounted for 5.8 per cent of total global arms exports. Its arms exports decreased by 5.3 per cent compared to 2014–18. The bulk of Chinese arms exports (85 per cent) went to states in Asia and Oceania, followed by states in Africa (9.9 per cent). China delivered major arms to 40 states in 2019–23, but well over half of its arms exports (61 per cent) went to just one state—Pakistan.

Official announcements

PublicationValue
March 200858.8
March 200970.0
March 2010date=28 December 2015title=What does China really spend on its military?url=https://chinapower.csis.org/military-spending/url-status=livearchive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180816061738/https://chinapower.csis.org/military-spending/archive-date=16 August 2018access-date=15 August 2018}}
March 201190.2
March 2012103.1
March 2013116.2
March 2014131.2
March 2015142.4
March 2016143.7
March 2017151.4
March 2018165.5
March 2019177.6
May 2020183.5
March 2021last1=Grevattfirst1=Jonlast2=Andrewfirst2=MacDonalddate=5 March 2021title=China announces 6.8% increase in 2021 defence budgeturl=https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/china-announces-68-increase-in-2021-defence-budget-0503url-status=livearchive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210428181241/https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/china-announces-68-increase-in-2021-defence-budget-0503archive-date=28 April 2021access-date=28 April 2021website=Janes}}
March 2022author=Yew Lun Tiandate=5 March 2022title=China plans 7.1% defence spending rise this year, outpacing GDP targeturl=https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-defence-spending-rise-outpace-gdp-target-this-year-2022-03-05/url-status=livearchive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220305040743/https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-defence-spending-rise-outpace-gdp-target-this-year-2022-03-05/archive-date=5 March 2022access-date=5 March 2022website=Reuters}}
March 2023235.8

The Chinese government annually announces the budget for the internal security forces and the PLA at the National People's Congress in early March.

  • 2014: the budget was announced to be US$131billion.
  • 2015: the budget was announced to be US$141billion. At the same time, the Chinese government estimated the Chinese economy to grow 7% in 2015.
  • 2016: the budget was announced to be 954.35 billion yuan (US$147 billion), raised 6-7 % above last year's estimates.
  • 2017: the budget was announced to be 1.044 trillion yuan ($151.4 billion), which is an increase of 7% over the last year.
  • 2018: the budget was announced to be 1.11 trillion yuan (US$175 billion), which is an increase of 8.1% over the last year. This was China's largest defense budget raise in three years.
  • 2019: the budget was announced to be 1.19 trillion yuan (US$176 billion), which is an increase of 7.5% over the last year.
  • 2020: the budget was announced to be 1.27 trillion yuan (US$178 billion), which is an increase of 6.6% over the last year.
  • 2021: the budget was announced to be 1.35 trillion yuan (US$209 billion), which is an increase of 6.8% over the last year.
  • 2022: the budget was announced to be 1.45 trillion yuan (US$230 billion), which is an increase of 7.1% over the last year.
  • 2023: the budget was announced to be 1.55 trillion yuan (US$224 billion), which is an increase of 7.2% over the last year.
  • 2024: the budget was announced to be 1.67 trillion yuan (US$231 billion), which is an increase of 7.2% over the last year.
  • 2025: the budget was announced to be 1.78 trillion yuan (US$246 billion), which is an increase of 7.2% over the last year.

Unofficial estimates

Unofficial estimates place the total amount of military spending for China higher than the Chinese government figures, but these calculations tend to differ between organizations.

A RAND Corporation study for year 2003 estimated China's defense spending to be higher than the official number but lower than United States Department of Defense calculations. The defense spending of China was estimated, in the mid-range estimate, to be 38 billion dollars or 2.3% of China's GDP in 2003. The official figure was 22.4 billion dollars. Nevertheless, Chinese military spending doubled between 1997 and 2003, nearly reaching the level of the United Kingdom and Japan, and it continued to grow over 10% annually during 2003–2005.

In 2010, the US Department of Defense's annual report to Congress on China's military strength estimated the actual 2009 Chinese military spending at US$150 billion. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) estimates that the military spending of the People's Republic of China for 2009 was US$100 billion, higher than the official budget, but lower than the US DoD estimate.

The International Institute for Strategic Studies in a 2011 report argued that if spending trends continue China will achieve military equality with the United States in 15–20 years.

Jane's Defence Forecasts in 2012 estimated that China's defense budget would increase from $119.80 billion to $238.20 billion between 2011 and 2015. This would make it larger than the defense budgets of all other major Asian nations combined. This is still smaller than the estimated United States defense budget of $525.40 billion for 2013. However, United States defense spending is slightly declining.

In 2017, the magazine Popular Mechanics estimated that China's annual military spending is greater than $200 billion, around 2% of the GDP.{{cite web|url=https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a25261/china-west-military-power/|title=China's Military Power Nears "Parity" With the West, Report Says

In 2019, Peter Robertson, a professor from the University of Western Australia, argued that using conventional currency conversion as opposed to more accurate "purchasing power parity" (PPP) exchange rates dramatically understated China's military capabilities and that China's real military spending was equivalent to US spending of $455 billion, calculated from a PPP perspective.

In 2023, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute estimated the China's military spending is $296 billion which accounted for 1.7% of the country total GDP.

A 2024 study by Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric Heginbotham estimated China's total military spending for 2024 at US$471 billion.

Comparison with other countries

References

References

  1. (5 March 2025). "China maintains defence spending increase at 7.2% amid roiling geopolitical tensions". [[Reuters]].
  2. "SIPRI Yearbook 2024". Oxford University Press.
  3. (4 March 2008). "China increases military spending". The New York Times.
  4. (28 December 2015). "What does China really spend on its military?".
  5. "China says defence spending increase to be 'appropriate' | News | al Jazeera".
  6. "China Sets Date for 'Two Sessions' in Latest Move Toward Post-COVID Normal".
  7. (28 December 2015). "What Does China Really Spend on its Military?".
  8. (5 March 2021). "China announces 6.8% increase in 2021 defence budget".
  9. Yew Lun Tian. (5 March 2022). "China plans 7.1% defence spending rise this year, outpacing GDP target".
  10. (2016-04-19). "What does China really spend on its military?". ChinaPower, CSIS.
  11. (2015-03-05). "China to raise defence budget 10.1 pct this year in high-tech drive". Reuters.
  12. (2015-03-05). "China aims for around seven percent economic growth in 2015: Premier Li". Reuters.
  13. (2016-03-05). "China says defense spending pace to slow, to improve intelligence". Reuters.
  14. (2017-03-06). "China confirms 7 percent increase in 2017 defense budget". Reuters.
  15. "China to increase 2018 defense budget by 8.1 percent - Xinhua {{!}} English.news.cn".
  16. (5 March 2018). "China boosts defense spending, rattling its neighbors' nerves". Reuters.
  17. Nectar Gan and James Griffiths. (21 May 2020). "China's leaders look to send message of control at annual political showcase".
  18. Tian, Yew Lun. (2021-03-05). "China defence spending gets mild boost amid economic caution". Reuters.
  19. "China to raise military budget by 7.1% this year". www.chinadaily.com.cn.
  20. Jash, Amrita. (April 14, 2023). "China's 2023 Defense Spending: Figures, Intentions and Concerns". [[Jamestown Foundation]].
  21. (5 March 2024). "China boosts military spending by 7.2%, vows to 'resolutely' deter Taiwan 'separatist activities'".
  22. [https://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2005/RAND_MG260-1.pdf Modernizing China’s Military Opportunities and Constraints]
  23. "Archived copy".
  24. "The 15 major spender countries in 2011 (table)". sipri.org.
  25. (2011-03-08). "East-West military gap rapidly shrinking: report". Reuters.
  26. (2012-02-16). "AIRSHOW-Fighters, radar, marine patrols top Asia's military wish-list". Reuters.
  27. Robertson, Peter. (October 2019). "China's military might is much closer to the US than you probably think".
  28. (April 2024). "Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2023".
  29. Fravel, M. Taylor. (2024-06-06). "Estimating China's Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)".
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