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(669555) 2012 YQ1

Asteroid


Asteroid

FieldValue
minorplanetyes
background#FFC2E0
name
imageOrbit-2012-YQ1-Today-20130206-20130206-test4433.gif
captionOrbit (blue) of asteroid for 6 February 2013
discovery_ref
discovererA. Oreshko
T. Kryachko
discovery_siteElena Remote Obs.
discovered19 December 2012
(first observed only)
mpc_name
mp_categoryNEOApolloPHA
orbit_ref
epoch13 January 2016 (JD 2457400.5)
uncertainty6
aphelion3.11880 AU
perihelion0.86916 AU
semimajor1.99398 AU
eccentricity0.56411
period2.82 yr (1028.4 d)
inclination5.15193°
asc_node120.16813°
mean_anomaly12.74578°
arg_peri42.09537°
mean_motion/day
moid0.00774939 AU
mean_diameter~220 m
abs_magnitude20.9

T. Kryachko (first observed only)

**** is a sub-kilometer asteroid, classified as a near-Earth object and a potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group, approximately 200 meters in diameter. It was first observed on 19 December 2012, by astronomers Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko at the Elena Remote Observatory (G32) located in the Chilean Atacama desert.

Description

With a 4-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 3 million chance of impacting in 2106. With a 10-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 10 million chance of impacting in 2106. On 5 January 2013, the asteroid passed 0.10 AU from Earth. It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 8 January 2013. It had an observation arc of 32 days and an orbital uncertainty of 7. Since the asteroid had a poorly known orbit, the cone of uncertainty quickly multiplied as a result of perturbations by the inner planets and prevented precise/reliable ephemeris data. Eliminating an entry on the Sentry Risk Table is a negative prediction; a prediction of where it will NOT be. With MPEC 2024-C131 the Minor Planet Center published a newly computed orbit on 12 February 2024, using observations till 12 November 2023 and prediscovery observations from 31 May till 5 June 2010, reducing the uncertainty to 1.

In 2013, an article, originally posted on The Voice of Russia had a poorly researched headline stating "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World". This story was reposted on Space Daily, but then astronomer Phil Plait clarified that it was "a fascinating mix of fact and error. A lot of what it says is accurate, but the most important claim—that an asteroid will impact Earth in 2106—is simply wrong."

References

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20020602101400/http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/removed.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=2002-06-02

References

  1. Zamanskaya, Yulia. (2013-02-08). "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World: killer asteroid to hit Earth in 2106: Voice of Russia".
  2. Phil Plait. (13 Feb 2013). "No, An Asteroid Is NOT Going to Hit Earth in 2106". Slate.
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