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2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

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2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
countryWisconsin
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2012 Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election
previous_year2012 (recall)
next_election2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
next_year2018
previous_seat_election2012 Wisconsin lieutenant gubernatorial recall election
previous_seat_year2012 (lt. gov. recall)
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image_sizex150px
image1Scott Walker (16485216228) (1).jpg
nominee1**Scott Walker**
party1Republican Party (United States)
running_mate1**Rebecca Kleefisch**
popular_vote1**1,259,706**
percentage1**52.26%**
image2File:Mary Burke (cropped).jpg
nominee2Mary Burke
party2Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate2John Lehman
popular_vote21,122,913
percentage246.59%
map_image
map_caption**Walker:**
**Burke:**
titleGovernor
before_electionScott Walker
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionScott Walker
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
turnout54.5% ( 3.3%)

Burke:
The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

This was one of nine Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2012 presidential election. Incumbent Republican governor Scott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic businesswoman and Madison school board member Mary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Walker, who was elected in 2010, survived an attempted recall in 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating Democrat Tom Barrett both times. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House. Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to Republican Vernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being Republican Lee S. Dreyfus in 1978.

The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among most analysts was that the race was either a tossup or leaning Republican. As of , this is the last time a Republican was elected governor of Wisconsin, and the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Wisconsin while winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

  • Scott Walker, incumbent governor

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

  • Rebecca Kleefisch, incumbent lieutenant governor

Results

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

  • Mary Burke, businesswoman, member of the Madison school district board and former Wisconsin Secretary of Commerce
  • Brett Hulsey, state representative

Disqualified

  • Marcia Mercedes Perkins
  • Hari Trivedi, independent candidate for governor in the 2012 recall election

Declined

  • Chris Abele, Milwaukee County Executive
  • Peter W. Barca, Minority Leader of the Wisconsin State Assembly and former U.S. representative
  • Tom Barrett, Mayor of Milwaukee and nominee for governor in 2010 and 2012
  • Deb Carey, founder and president of New Glarus Brewing Company
  • Dave Cieslewicz, former mayor of Madison
  • Lori Compas, executive director of the Wisconsin Business Alliance and nominee for the Wisconsin Senate in 2012
  • Kevin Conroy, biotechnology executive
  • John Dickert, Mayor of Racine
  • Jon Erpenbach, state senator
  • Kathleen Falk, former Dane County Executive and candidate for governor in 2012
  • Russ Feingold, former U.S. senator
  • Dave Hansen, state senator
  • Mark L. Harris, Winnebago County Executive
  • Dianne Hesselbein, state representative
  • Sara Johann, political activist
  • Steve Kagen, former U.S. representative
  • Ron Kind, U.S. representative
  • Jessica King, former state senator
  • Herb Kohl, former U.S. senator
  • Chris Larson, Minority Leader of the Wisconsin Senate
  • Julie Lassa, state senator
  • Cory Mason, state representative
  • Mahlon Mitchell, president of the Professional Fire Fighters of Wisconsin and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012
  • Gwen Moore, U.S. representative
  • Tom Nelson, Outagamie County Executive and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010
  • Dave Obey, former U.S. representative
  • Joe Parisi, Dane County executive
  • Jennifer Shilling, state senator
  • Chris Taylor, state representative
  • Kathleen Vinehout, state senator and candidate for governor in 2012

Endorsements

  • EMILY's List
  • Planned Parenthood Advocates of Wisconsin
  • Progressives United
  • Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMary
BurkeBrett
HulseyMarcia Mercedes
PerkinsHari
TrivediOtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityMay 15–18, 2014?± ?**66%**3%1%1%—24%

Results

Results by county

]]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

  • John Lehman, member of Wisconsin Senate
  • Mary Jo Walters

Results

Minor parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Robert Burke (Libertarian Party), founder of the Libertarian Party of Pierce-St. Croix{{cite web|url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/245571821.html :* Running mate: Joseph Brost
  • Dennis Fehr (The People's Party), businessman and founder of The People's Party
  • Brett Hulsey (write-in), state representative

Disqualified

  • Francis Klein (Pirate Party)

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Mary
Burke (D)OtherUndecided
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,494± 3.4%**45%**43%1%11%
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 20141,814± 3%**48%**47%—5%
Marquette UniversityOctober 23–26, 20141,164 LV± 3%**50%**43%1%7%
1,409 RV± 2.7%**46%**45%1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,308± 3%**46%**45%0%10%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20–21, 2014973± 3%48%**49%**1%2%
WPR/St. Norbert CollegeOctober 18–21, 2014525± 4.4%**47%**46%—6%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17–18, 2014860± ?**47%**46%—7%
Marquette UniversityOctober 9–12, 2014803 LV± 3.5%**47%**47%0%5%
1,004 RV± 3.2%**48%**45%1%6%
Gravis MarketingOctober 3–4, 2014837± 3%**50%**46%—4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20141,444± 3%48%**49%**0%3%
Marquette UniversitySeptember 25–28, 2014585 LV± 4.1%**51%**45%1%4%
801 RV± 3.5%**46%**45%1%8%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 22–23, 2014908± 3%45%**50%**—4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15–16, 2014650± 4%**48%**46%3%3%
Marquette UniversitySeptember 11–14, 2014589 LV± 4.1%**49%**46%1%4%
800 RV± 3.5%46%**46%**1%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20141,473± 4%**49%**45%0%5%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 3, 20141,170 LV± 3%44%**48%**2%6%
Marquette UniversityAugust 21–24, 2014609 LV± 4.1%47%**49%**1%4%
815 RV± 3.5%**48%**44%1%8%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 13–14, 2014750± 4%**48%**47%—5%
Gravis MarketingJuly 31–August 2, 20141,346± 3%**47%****47%**—6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,968± ?**47%**46%1%5%
Marquette UniversityJuly 17–20, 2014549 LV± 4.3%46%**47%**1%8%
804 RV± 3.5%**46%**45%1%8%
Marquette UniversityMay 15–18, 2014805± 3.5%**46%****46%**—6%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–20, 20141,144± 2.9%**48%**45%—7%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14–15, 2014851± 3.36%**47%****47%**2%4%
St. Norbert CollegeMarch 24–April 3, 2014401± 5%**55%**40%—5%
Marquette UniversityMarch 20–23, 2014801± 3.5%**48%**41%—11%
Gravis MarketingMarch 17, 2014988± 4%**49%**44%—7%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 10–11, 2014500± 4.5%**45%****45%**5%5%
Marquette UniversityJanuary 20–23, 2014802± 3.5%**47%**41%—8%
Marquette UniversityOctober 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%**47%**45%—8%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%**48%**42%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Jon
Erpenbach (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%**48%**42%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Russ
Feingold (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%47%**49%**—4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Mahlon
Mitchell (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%**48%**39%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Brett
Hulsey (D)OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityMay 15–18, 2014805± 3.5%**48%**39%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Steve
Kagen (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%**48%**41%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Tom
Nelson (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%**47%**40%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Ron
Kind (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%**46%**42%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Kathleen
Vinehout (D)OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityOctober 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%**47%**44%—9%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%**47%**41%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorScott
Walker (R)Peter W.
Barca (D)OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityOctober 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%**48%**42%—10%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%**47%**43%—10%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%**48%**43%—9%

Results

By county

CountyScott Walker
RepublicanMary Burke
DemocraticAll Others
VariousMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Total1,259,70652.26%1,122,91346.59%27,6951.15%136,7935.68%2,410,314
Adams4,29752.50%3,76245.96%1261.54%5356.54%8,185
Ashland2,33335.53%4,15063.20%831.26%-1,817-27.67%6,566
Barron9,69657.89%6,83240.79%2211.32%2,86417.10%16,749
Bayfield3,07538.33%4,88860.92%600.75%-1,813-22.60%8,023
Brown58,40858.24%40,75140.63%1,1321.13%17,65717.61%100,291
Buffalo3,16957.58%2,26741.19%681.24%90216.39%5,504
Burnett3,86859.17%2,61540.00%540.83%1,25319.17%6,537
Calumet14,08665.17%7,28533.71%2431.12%6,80131.47%21,614
Chippewa13,76556.17%10,40242.45%3391.38%3,36313.72%24,506
Clark7,40965.04%3,84833.78%1341.18%3,56131.26%11,391
Columbia11,83747.92%12,52750.72%3361.36%-690-2.79%24,700
Crawford2,97447.41%3,22551.41%741.18%-251-4.00%6,273
Dane73,67629.18%175,93769.69%2,8561.13%-102,261-40.50%252,469
Dodge23,71564.38%12,73234.56%3911.06%10,98329.81%36,838
Door8,16053.79%6,84245.10%1681.11%1,3188.69%15,170
Douglas6,00138.11%9,59060.91%1540.98%-3,589-22.79%15,745
Dunn8,22953.02%7,06645.53%2251.45%1,1637.49%15,520
Eau Claire20,30448.22%21,23950.44%5621.33%-935-2.22%42,105
Florence1,34967.42%62931.43%231.15%72035.98%2,001
Fond du Lac27,48564.02%15,01434.97%4301.00%12,47129.05%42,929
Forest2,03256.57%1,51142.07%491.36%52114.50%3,592
Grant9,14950.36%8,70447.91%3131.72%4452.45%18,166
Green7,19346.90%7,94851.82%1971.28%-755-4.92%15,338
Green Lake5,33667.77%2,46431.29%740.94%2,87236.47%7,874
Iowa4,48042.34%5,93756.12%1631.54%-1,457-13.77%10,580
Iron1,75561.06%1,08537.75%341.18%67023.31%2,874
Jackson3,81250.52%3,63148.12%1021.35%1812.40%7,545
Jefferson21,44359.96%13,87638.80%4431.24%7,56721.16%35,762
Juneau4,81753.33%4,08045.17%1351.49%7378.16%9,032
Kenosha28,39850.28%27,36748.45%7171.27%1,0311.83%56,482
Kewaunee5,67662.14%3,37936.99%790.86%2,29725.15%9,134
La Crosse22,32146.10%25,42952.52%6721.39%-3,108-6.42%48,422
Lafayette3,19151.05%2,98247.70%781.25%2093.34%6,251
Langlade5,47664.59%2,92134.45%810.96%2,55530.14%8,478
Lincoln6,86656.52%5,10442.02%1781.47%1,76214.50%12,148
Manitowoc21,04461.83%12,56336.91%4261.25%8,48124.92%34,033
Marathon34,58361.19%21,30537.70%6251.11%13,27823.50%56,513
Marinette9,61060.87%6,02338.15%1550.98%3,58722.72%15,788
Marquette3,61157.08%2,62941.56%861.36%98215.52%6,326
Menominee21521.52%75375.38%313.10%-538-53.85%999
Milwaukee132,70636.05%231,31662.84%4,0711.11%-98,610-26.79%368,093
Monroe8,44655.98%6,39942.41%2431.61%2,04713.57%15,088
Oconto10,30063.84%5,65735.06%1781.10%4,64328.78%16,135
Oneida9,85256.90%7,19041.53%2721.57%2,66215.37%17,314
Outagamie44,54359.43%29,50339.37%8991.20%15,04020.07%74,945
Ozaukee32,69669.95%13,69629.30%3490.75%19,00040.65%46,741
Pepin1,79156.62%1,33342.14%391.23%45814.48%3,163
Pierce7,76053.02%6,66645.54%2111.44%1,0947.47%14,637
Polk9,34558.16%6,51640.55%2071.29%2,82917.61%16,068
Portage14,65048.26%15,28350.34%4251.40%-633-2.09%30,358
Price3,72557.29%2,70041.53%771.18%1,02515.76%6,502
Racine42,94453.96%35,76944.95%8681.09%7,1759.02%79,581
Richland3,43550.25%3,31548.49%861.26%1201.76%6,836
Rock24,99342.76%32,52355.64%9321.59%-7,530-12.88%58,448
Rusk3,50259.48%2,28638.82%1001.70%1,21620.65%5,888
Sauk12,22247.73%13,04150.92%3461.35%-819-3.20%25,609
Sawyer3,72154.51%3,02944.37%761.11%69210.14%6,826
Shawano10,93764.95%5,73034.03%1711.02%5,20730.92%16,838
Sheboygan31,72863.16%17,95535.74%5491.09%13,77327.42%50,232
St. Croix20,06659.44%13,23139.19%4631.37%6,83520.25%33,760
Taylor5,40669.81%2,24829.03%901.16%3,15840.78%7,744
Trempealeau5,61752.34%4,97446.35%1401.30%6435.99%10,731
Vernon5,68748.31%5,93250.40%1521.29%-245-2.08%11,771
Vilas6,94261.34%4,24037.47%1351.19%2,70223.88%11,317
Walworth25,41564.00%13,80934.77%4881.23%11,60629.23%39,712
Washburn3,94555.63%3,07443.34%731.03%87112.28%7,092
Washington50,27875.88%15,50723.40%4780.72%34,77152.47%66,263
Waukesha147,26672.46%54,50026.81%1,4820.73%92,76645.64%203,248
Waupaca13,13063.13%7,47135.92%1970.95%5,65927.21%20,798
Waushara6,10062.19%3,60936.79%1001.02%2,49125.40%9,809
Winnebago37,89454.75%30,25843.72%1,0611.53%7,63611.03%69,213
Wood17,82057.30%12,86141.35%4201.35%4,95915.94%31,101

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Kenosha (largest city: Kenosha)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Crawford (largest municipality: Prairie du Chien)
  • Eau Claire (largest municipality: Eau Claire)
  • Green (largest municipality: Monroe)
  • Sauk (largest city: Baraboo)
  • Vernon (largest municipality: Viroqua)

By congressional district

Walker won six of eight congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

DistrictWalkerBurkeRepresentative
**58.25%**40.73%Paul Ryan
33.35%**65.51%**Mark Pocan
**50.1%**48.52%Ron Kind
27.35%**71.65%**Gwen Moore
**67.64%**31.53%Jim Sensenbrenner
**60.71%**38.17%Glenn Grothman
**57.84%**40.98%Sean Duffy
**60.16%**38.76%Reid Ribble

References

References

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  2. Ostermeier, Eric. (September 17, 2014). "Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up?". Smart Politics.
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  5. Bauer, Scott. (June 25, 2013). "Democrats testing potential candidacy of Mary Burke against Walker in 2014". Star Tribune.
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  7. Schultze, Steve. (February 26, 2013). "Citing rapport with Gov. Walker, Abele says he's not contemplating 2014 Democratic run for governor". [[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]].
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  52. [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/07/23/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-burke-tied-in-wisconsin-governors-race/ Marquette University]
  53. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_WI_423.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  54. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Wisconsin_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies]
  55. [http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2014/201404frequencies.pdf St. Norbert College]
  56. [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/03/26/wisconsin-gov-scott-walker-holds-lead-over-challenger-mary-burke-in-new-marquette-law-school-poll/ Marquette University]
  57. [http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/gravis-phone-survey-shows-scott-walker-ahead-in-wi/ Gravis Marketing]
  58. [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/01/27/new-marquette-law-school-poll-examines-wi-governors-race-direction-of-the-state-and-jobs-outlook/ Marquette University]
  59. [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013/10/29/marquette-law-school-poll-shows-walker-in-tight-race-with-burke-for-wisconsin-governor-in-2014/ Marquette University]
  60. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WI_917.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  61. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022613.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  62. "Canvass Summary 2014 General Election". Wisconsin Government Accountability Board.
  63. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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