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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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FieldValue
election_name2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
countryWyoming
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States Senate election in Wyoming
previous_year2008
next_election2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming
next_year2020
election_date
image1File:Mike Enzi, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Mike Enzi**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**121,554**
percentage1**72.19%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Charlie Hardy
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote229,377
percentage217.45%
image33x4.svg
image_sizex150px
nominee3Curt Gottshall
party3Independent
popular_vote313,311
percentage37.90%
map_image2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
map_size245px
map_captionCounty results
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionMike Enzi
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionMike Enzi
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Enzi:
The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant

Withdrew

  • Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney

Endorsements

  • John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)
  • Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)
  • Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)
  • John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)
  • Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)
  • Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)
  • John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008
  • Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader
  • Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)
  • Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)
  • Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)

U.S. Ambassadors

  • Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy Individuals
  • Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator
  • Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator
  • Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator
  • Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
EnziLiz
CheneyUndecided
Harper PollingJuly 17–18, 2013422± 4.77%**55%**21%24%
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%**54%**26%19%
Wickers Group ^August 22–28, 2013400± 4.5%**61%**21%18%
Wickers Group ^October 25–28, 2013400± 4.5%**69%**17%14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLiz
CheneyCynthia
LummisUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%34%**41%**25%

Results

Results by county:

| | ]]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010

Declined

  • Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008

Results

Results by county:

| | | | ]]

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot
  • Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Enzi (R)Charlie
Hardy (D)OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 2014419± 5.1%**66%**23%5%7%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 20–21, 2014700± 4%**63%**27%4%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 2014350± 8%**66%**21%4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 2014264± 7%**75%**17%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 2014258± 11%**67%**27%0%6%

With Enzi

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Enzi (R)Dave
Freudenthal (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%**54%**31%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Enzi (R)Gary
Trauner (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%**66%**19%14%

With Cheney

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLiz
Cheney (R)Dave
Freudenthal (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%42%**45%**13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLiz
Cheney (R)Gary
Trauner (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%**49%**31%20%

Results

By county

Mike Enzi
RepublicanCharlie Hardy
DemocratCurt Gottshall
IndependentAll OthersCountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Albany**5,672****55.3%**3,27631.9%1,04110.1%2742.7%
Big Horn**3,398****81.9%**3518.5%2486.0%2543.7%
Campbell**8,903****83.6%**7166.7%7036.6%2293.1%
Carbon**3,356****73.5%**82017.9%2836.2%1102.4%
Converse**3,255****76.8%**3849.1%49711.7%1012.3%
Crook**2,369****84.9%**1967.0%1445.2%813.0%
Fremont**8,629****70.0%**2,33118.9%1,1239.1%2492.0%
Goshen**3,302****76.5%**51111.8%4169.6%882.0%
Hot Springs**1,529****75.1%**1909.3%24812.2%683.3%
Johnson**2,735****83.3%**3209.7%1604.9%682.0%
Laramie**17,647****68.2%**5,56021.5%2,0437.9%6132.4%
Lincoln**4,758****82.0%**58010.0%3045.2%1582.7%
Natrona**14,361****68.1%**3,38716.1%2,85613.6%4712.3%
Niobrara**875****83.3%**848.0%706.7%222.1%
Park**7,695****80.6%**1,06611.2%5235.5%2662.7%
Platte**2,625****74.0%**55215.6%2848.0%882.5%
Sheridan**7,307****76.5%**1,47415.4%5575.8%2132.2%
Sublette**2,546****79.9%**41613.1%1384.3%852.7%
Sweetwater**7,656****68.0%**2,71124.1%6365.6%2542.2%
Teton**4,261****54.4%**3,10339.6%2613.3%2022.6%
Uinta**4,368****76.4%**89215.6%3225.6%1342.3%
Washakie**2,280****79.9%**2639.2%2538.9%572.0%
Weston**2,027****81.6%**1947.8%2018.1%632.5%

References

References

  1. Ostermeier, Eric. (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  2. Ostermeier, Eric. (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
  3. (May 17, 2013). "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun.
  4. (June 28, 2013). "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs".
  5. "2014 Primary Candidate Roster". Wyoming Secretary of State.
  6. (May 30, 2014). "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune.
  7. Reilly, Mollie. (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post.
  8. Martin, Jonathan. (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". [[The New York Times]].
  9. Zeleny, Jeff. (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News.
  10. Everett, Burgess. (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico.
  11. (July 21, 2013). "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com.
  12. Burns, Alexander. (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". [[Politico]].
  13. Everett, Burgess. (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". [[Politico]].
  14. (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico.
  15. (July 16, 2013). "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com.
  16. (July 19, 2013). "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post.
  17. Spiering, Charlie. (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney".
  18. Gold, Hadas. (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico.
  19. [https://web.archive.org/web/20130721181630/http://conservativeintel.com/liz-cheney-vs-mike-enzi-conservative-intel-poll-for-wysen/ Harper Polling]
  20. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WY_723.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  21. [https://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/mike-enzi-liz-cheney-poll-99814.html Wickers Group ^]
  22. "2014 Official Primary Election results". Wyoming Secretary of State.
  23. Roerink, Kyle. (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". [[Casper Star-Tribune]].
  24. Laura Hancock. (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". [[Casper Star-Tribune]].
  25. Trevor Brown. (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". [[Wyoming Tribune Eagle]].
  26. Roerink, Kyle. (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". [[Casper Star-Tribune]].
  27. Edwards-Levy, Ariel. (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post.
  28. Trevor Brown. (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". [[Wyoming Tribune Eagle]].
  29. Trevor Brown. (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". [[Wyoming Tribune Eagle]].
  30. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  31. (November 3, 2014). "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  32. "2014 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  33. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics.
  34. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  35. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/wyoming/election_2014_wyoming_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  36. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-wyoming/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  37. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  38. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014".
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