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2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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FieldValue
election_name2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina
countrySouth Carolina
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina
previous_year2008
next_election2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina
next_year2020
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image_size150x150px
image1File:U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, Official Photo, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg
nominee1Lindsey Graham
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1672,942
percentage154.27%
image23x4.svg
nominee2Brad Hutto
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2480,933
percentage238.78%
map_image2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina results map by county.svg
map_size230px
map_captionCounty results
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionLindsey Graham
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionLindsey Graham
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Graham:
Hutto:
The 2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, concurrently with a special election for South Carolina's other Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham won reelection to a third term. He faced Democratic state senator Brad Hutto and Independent Thomas Ravenel in the general election. He defeated both of them by a 15-point margin.

As of 2022, this is the last time that Barnwell County, Darlington County, and Calhoun County voted Democratic in a Senate election.

Republican primary

Of all the Republican senators up for re-election in the 2014 cycle, Graham was considered one of the most vulnerable to a primary challenge, largely due to his low approval ratings and reputation for working with and compromising with Democrats. He expected a primary challenge from conservative activists, including the Tea Party movement, and Chris Chocola, president of the Club for Growth, indicated that his organization would support a primary challenge if an acceptable standard-bearer emerged.

However, a serious challenger to Graham failed to emerge and he was widely viewed as likely to win,

Candidates

Declared

  • Det Bowers, pastor and businessman
  • Lee Bright, state senator
  • Richard Cash, businessman and candidate for South Carolina's 3rd congressional district in 2010
  • Bill Connor, attorney, lieutenant colonel in the United States Army Reserve and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2010
  • Benjamin Dunn, attorney
  • Lindsey Graham, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Nancy Mace, businesswoman and author

Withdrew

  • Dave Feliciano, police officer

Declined

  • Bruce Carroll, co-founder of GOProud and blogger at gay conservative site GayPatriot
  • Tom Davis, state senator
  • Trey Gowdy, U.S. representative
  • Mick Mulvaney, U.S. representative
  • Thomas Ravenel, former South Carolina state treasurer (running as an independent)
  • Mark Sanford, U.S. representative and former governor of South Carolina
  • Joe Wilson, U.S. representative

Endorsements

  • Chris Christie, governor of New Jersey
  • Joe Manchin, U.S. senator from West Virginia (Democratic)

Newspapers

  • The State

Individuals

  • Curtis Bostic, former Charleston County councilman and candidate for SC-01 in 2013
  • Erick Erickson, editor-in-chief of RedState

Organizations

  • Sumter TEAvangical Patriots

Individuals

  • Greg Brannon, physician and 2014 North Carolina U.S Senate candidate
  • Bill Chumley, state representative
  • Thomas Massie, U.S. representative from Kentucky
  • William Rentiers, chairman of the Lexington County Republican Party
  • Steve Stockman, U.S. representative from Texas
  • Kevin Thomas, chairman of the Fairfield County Republican Party
  • Lewis Vaughn, former state senator

Organizations

  • Americans for Legal Immigration

  • Gun Owners of America

  • Gun Rights Across America

  • Kershaw County Patriots

  • Laurens County Tea Party

  • National Association for Gun Rights

  • Republican Liberty Caucus

  • Voice of the Unborn

  • Paul E. Vallely, retired US Army major general and senior military analyst for Fox News

  • National Association for Gun Rights

  • Tea Party Leadership Fund

  • Tim Scott, U.S. senator from South Carolina

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanKey:
Participant Absent Not invited Invited WithdrawnRepublican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Det BowersLee BrightRichard CashBill ConnorBenjamin DunnLindsey GrahamNancy Mace1
Jun. 7, 2014ETV
The Beaufort Gazette
The Greenville News
The Herald
The Island Packet
The Item
The State
The Sun NewsCharles Bierbauer

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamDet
BowersLee
BrightRichard
CashBill
ConnorBenjamin
DunnNancy
MaceUndecided
Landmark/Rosetta StoneAugust 25, 2013500± 4.5%42.4%12.6%6.7%10%28.3%
Harper PollingOctober 27–28, 2013379± 5.03%51%15%4%4%4%22%
Gravis MarketingNovember 30 – December 2, 2013601± 4%54%10%5%2%6%23%
North Star^January 20–26, 2014600± 4%53%11%3%3%8%23%
Wenzel Strategies*February 3–4, 2014623± 3.9%45.9%17.4%4.9%4.2%5.1%22.5%
Winthrop UniversityFebruary 16–23, 2014901± 3.2%45%8.5%2.9%3.5%3.7%36.5%
Gravis MarketingMarch 6–7, 2014735± 4%60%10%4%2%7%17%
TargetPointMarch 16–22, 2014600± 2.8%56%4%6%7%1%1%5%20%
Clemson UniversityMay 22–29, 2014400± 6%49%1%9%3%1%0%2%35%
  • ^ Internal poll for Lindsey Graham campaign
    • Internal poll for Lee Bright campaign
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamTom
DavisUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%67%17%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamJim
DeMintUndecided
Gravis MarketingNovember 30 – December 2, 2013601± 4%36%47%17%
Gravis MarketingMarch 6–7, 2014735± 4%44%42%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamTrey
GowdyUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%57%29%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamMick
MulvaneyUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%64%20%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamMark
SanfordUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–30, 2011559± 4.1%52%34%14%
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%64%26%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamTim
ScottUndecided
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%54%32%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamJoe
WilsonUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–30, 2011559± 4.1%41%43%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamSomeone more
conservativeUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–30, 2011559± 4.1%37%52%11%
Public Policy PollingMay 22–23, 2011638± 3.9%32%57%11%
Public Policy PollingDecember 7–9, 2012506± 4.4%51%40%9%
Gravis MarketingNovember 30 – December 2, 2013601± 4%37%39%24%
Gravis MarketingMarch 6–7, 2014735± 4%43%32%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamLee
BrightUndecided
Landmark/Rosetta StoneAugust 25, 2013500± 4.5%49.4%23.7%26.9%
North Star^January 20–26, 2014600± 4%57%27%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamRichard
CashUndecided
Landmark/Rosetta StoneAugust 25, 2013500± 4.5%49.3%20.5%30.2%
North Star^January 20–26, 2014600± 4%58%26%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamBill
ConnorUndecided
North Star^January 20–26, 2014600± 4%59%25%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
GrahamNancy
MaceUndecided
Landmark/Rosetta StoneAugust 25, 2013500± 4.5%48.2%23.2%28.6%
North Star^January 20–26, 2014600± 4%59%26%15%
  • ^ Internal poll for Lindsey Graham campaign

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Brad Hutto, state senator
  • Jay Stamper, entrepreneur

Declined

  • Jim Hodges, former governor of South Carolina

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Jim Clyburn, U.S. representative for (SC-06)
  • Jaime Harrison, chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party

Organizations

  • AFL-CIO, national trade union center
  • National Education Association, national labor union

Newspapers

  • The Greenville News
  • The State

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBrad
HuttoJay
StamperUndecided
Clemson UniversityMay 26 – June 2, 2014400± 6%8%3%89%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Victor Kocher, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002

Independent

In March 2014, with only controversial businessman and prankster Jay Stamper running for the Democrats, Dick Harpootlian, former chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party, had stated that business leaders were working on an effort to recruit a potential independent candidate to run in case Graham was defeated in the primary. Such a "contingency" plan was rendered moot by the entry of Democratic state senator Brad Hutto into the race.

Former Republican state treasurer Thomas Ravenel had confirmed that was considering running for the Senate as an independent and was likely to do so if Lindsey Graham won the Republican primary. In April 2014, with Graham polling strongly in the primary, Ravenel announced he would run. He officially announced his candidacy on July 4.

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Ravenel, former Republican state treasurer

General election

Debates

Graham initially declined to debate his opponents. A spokesman said that his campaign was "in discussions with other groups, as well as looking at the schedule." Hutto said that Graham is "terrified at the thought of defending his own record in a public debate" and Ravenel said Graham's decision was "highly arrogant and disrespectful." Graham claimed he refused to debate because of the presence of independent candidate Thomas Ravenel, a convicted felon. He ultimately agreed to debate Hutto alone on October 27.

Fundraising

The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures for the pre-primary reporting period.

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursements ....Cash on handDebt
(R)$7,014,854$9,063,768$0$276,312
(D)$399,770$342,366$132,401$75,000

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
Graham (R)Brad
Hutto (D)Thomas
Ravenel (I)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 9–10, 2014750± 4%49%30%10%11%
Voter Survey ServiceJuly 7–13, 20141,000± 4%46%33%9%12%
Voter Survey ServiceJuly 16–20, 2014650± 4%45%33%10%4%8%
46%33%9%12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,183± 5.4%48%36%7%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 2014833± 5%42%29%8%2%19%
Winthrop UniversitySeptember 21–28, 20141,082± 3%46.3%28%8%3.5%14.3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20142,663± 2%44%27%8%1%20%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,566± 4%43%28%8%2%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLindsey
Graham (R)Jay
Stamper (D)Undecided
Harper PollingOctober 27–28, 2013676± 3.77%47%30%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNancy
Mace (R)Jay
Stamper (D)Undecided
Harper PollingOctober 27–28, 2013676± 3.77%40%33%27%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Barnwell (largest town: Barnwell)
  • Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
  • Darlington (largest city: Hartsville)
  • Dillon (largest city: Dillon)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Chester (largest town: Chester)
  • McCormick (largest town: McCormick)

References

References

  1. Tom Kludt. (April 8, 2014). "Lindsey Graham Faces Big - But Weak - Field of Challengers". NBC News.
  2. Tom Kludt. (October 30, 2013). "Poll: Lindsey Graham's Approval Rating Tumbles In S.C". Talkingpointsmemo.com.
  3. Rosen, James. "WASHINGTON: Graham: 'I expect' a primary challenge | News". The State.
  4. Sullivan, Sean. (September 20, 2012). "Lindsey Graham, 2014 target?". The Washington Post.
  5. Manu Raju. (April 23, 2014). "How Lindsey Graham outmaneuvered the tea party". Politico.
  6. Molly Ball. (June 10, 2014). "How Lindsey Graham Stomped the Tea Party". The Atlantic.
  7. Jonathan Martin. (June 10, 2014). "In South Carolina, Graham Prevails Without a Runoff". The New York Times.
  8. Hamby, Peter. (February 4, 2014). "Pastor joins crowded GOP race to unseat Lindsey Graham". [[CNN]].
  9. Shain, Andrew. (August 1, 2013). "First Citadel female grad, Sen. Bright will take on Graham". The State.
  10. (September 2024). "Republican Cash to run against Graham in 2014". [[The Greenville News]].
  11. Self, Jamie. (November 8, 2013). "SC Senate race: Bill Connor becomes Lindsey Graham's 4th GOP opponent". [[The State (newspaper).
  12. Self, Jamie. (March 13, 2014). "Despite 'ambiguously gay' barb, four Graham foes unite". [[The State (newspaper).
  13. Acosta, Adrian. (January 24, 2014). "Spartanburg police officer resigns to join U.S. Senate race". [[WHNS.
  14. Staff, Twitchy. (March 27, 2013). "Bruce Carroll pulls a Judd, will not challenge Lindsey Graham". [[Twitchy]].
  15. Smith, Gina. (February 1, 2013). "EXCLUSIVE: Sen. Tom Davis will not run for U.S. Senate, governor's office". [[The Island Packet]].
  16. Arkin, James. (July 15, 2013). "Trey Gowdy: No 'interest' in Graham race". Politico.
  17. (December 12, 2012). "Rep. Mulvaney won't run against Graham or his House colleagues for Senate". TheHill.
  18. (July 14, 2013). "Other views: Campaign cash packs new punch at the polls". Aiken Standard.
  19. (July 14, 2013). "Thomas Ravenel Mulling US Senate Bid". FITSNews.
  20. Cameron Joseph. (December 6, 2012). "Mark Sanford not ruling out run for DeMint's seat". Roll Call.
  21. Mollie Reilly. (December 6, 2012). "Mark Sanford Mulls Senate Run In South Carolina: Report". The Huffington Post.
  22. "Lindsey Graham may be tough to beat in 2014 - Scott Wong and David Catanese". Politico.Com.
  23. Tom Kludt. (November 6, 2013). "Chris Christie To Campaign For Lindsey Graham". Talkingpointsmemo.com.
  24. Burgess Everett and Manu Raju. (April 15, 2014). "GOP Senate may run purple". [[Politico]].
  25. (May 24, 2014). "Editorial: SC, US needs Lindsey Graham in the Senate". [[The State (newspaper).
  26. Bostic, Curtis. (March 3, 2014). "Our Perspective on the 2014 Graham Senate Seat...". Constant Contact.
  27. Self, Jamie. (April 30, 2014). "RedState's Erick Erickson endorses Det Bowers in US Senate race". [[The State (newspaper).
  28. (May 16, 2014). "Sumter TEAvangelicals Endorse Det Bowers for US Senate". Det Bowers for Senate.
  29. (January 30, 2014). "Greg Brannon Endorses Lee Bright for Senate". Bright for Senate.
  30. Self, Jamie. (May 31, 2014). "Lee Bright endorsed for US Senate by SC representative, fellow Obamacare nullifier". [[The State (newspaper).
  31. (April 9, 2014). "Congressman Thomas Massie Endorses Lee Bright for US Senate".
  32. (November 5, 2013). "Surging Lee Bright Campaign Scores Another Endorsement". Bright for Senate.
  33. (January 30, 2014). "Bright Scores Major Endorsement from Congressman Stockman". Bright for Senate.
  34. (October 29, 2013). "Fairfield GOP Chair Resigns from Team Graham: Endorses Lee Bright for Senate". Bright for Senate.
  35. (February 25, 2014). "Lewis Vaughn Endorses Lee Bright". YouTube.
  36. (April 15, 2014). "Lee Bright's Campaign Endorsed Against Illegal Alien Amnesty Supporter Lindsey Graham". Americans for Legal Immigration PAC.
  37. (March 28, 2014). "Top Challenger Bright Nabs Third Major 2nd Amendment Endorsement". Bright for Senate.
  38. (October 24, 2013). "Lee Bright Gets Pro-Gun Nod". FITS News.
  39. (October 7, 2013). "Kershaw County Patriots Endorse Lee Bright". FITS News.
  40. {{usurped
  41. Bright, Lee. (February 21, 2014). "The Laurens County Tea Party voted to endorse me for U.S. Senate with over 80% of the vote". Twitter.
  42. Self, Jamie. (February 26, 2014). "ELECTION 2014: Bright, Mace endorsed by same gun group". [[The State (newspaper).
  43. Jamie Self. (December 12, 2013). "Sen. Lee Bright reports $1.4 million in debt from failed trucking business". Spartanburg Herald-Journal.
  44. (January 21, 2014). "Voice of the Unborn Endorses Lee Bright". [[YouTube]].
  45. Tom Kludt. (February 25, 2014). "Tea Party Leader and FoxNews analyst endorses Connor". Bill Connor for US Senate.
  46. Joseph, Cameron. (November 21, 2013). "Tim Scott won't endorse Lindsey Graham". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  47. [https://www.c-span.org/video/?319650-1/south-carolina-republican-senate-primary-debate C-SPAN]
  48. "Landmark/Rosetta Stone".
  49. [https://web.archive.org/web/20131102002910/http://www.conservativeintel.com/1030-conservative-intel-poll-of-scsen-and-fits-primary-2016# Harper Polling]
  50. [http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/south-carolina-public-opinion-poll-us-senate-presidential-primary-republican/ Gravis Marketing]
  51. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140221120627/http://www.thestate.com/2014/02/06/3249491/election-2014-lindsey-graham-would.html North Star^]
  52. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/205478000/SC-Sen-A-Wenzel-Strategies-for-Lee-Bright-Feb-2014 Wenzel Strategies*]
  53. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120321213048/http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804 Winthrop University]
  54. [http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/telephone-survey-latest-sc-political-poll/ Gravis Marketing]
  55. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140606192852/http://www.thestate.com/2014/05/27/3471062/sc-politics-graham-could-avoid.html TargetPoint]
  56. [http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/palmetto-poll-shows-voter-support-for-incumbents-in-s-c/ Clemson University] {{Webarchive. link. (June 6, 2014)
  57. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0207.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  58. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2010/PPP_Release_SC_601.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  59. "Official results 2014 Statewide Primary Election June 10, 2014". South Carolina State Election Commission.
  60. Shain, Andrew. (March 28, 2014). "ELECTION 2014 (updated): Who's filed for statewide, State House, Congressional offices". [[The State (newspaper).
  61. Corey Hutchins. (March 4, 2014). "Independent 'contingency plan' in works if Lindsey Graham loses primary". [[Charleston City Paper]].
  62. Mary Troyan. (June 15, 2014). "Dems pin Senate hopes on Hutto". Greenville News.
  63. Jeffrey Collins. (May 18, 2014). "S.C. Democratic leaders choose sides in Senate race". The Times and Democrat.
  64. (May 14, 2014). "South Carolina AFL-CIO Endorses Brad Hutto for US Senate". Brad Hutto for U.S. Senate.
  65. (August 12, 2014). "Educators recommend South Carolina's Brad Hutto for U.S. Senate". National Education Association.
  66. (June 9, 2014). "Brad Hutto for Dem nomination for U.S. Senate". [[The Greenville News]].
  67. (May 26, 2014). "Editorial: Brad Hutto is only choice for Democratic nomination against US Sen Lindsey Graham". [[The State (newspaper).
  68. [http://media.clemson.edu/newsroom/Palmetto-Poll-June-2014.pdf Clemson University]
  69. (March 29, 2014). "Hutto seeking U.S. Senate seat". Fort Mill Times.
  70. Schuyler Kropf. (March 4, 2014). "Newly minted reality TV star Thomas Ravenel may challenge Lindsey Graham for U.S. Senate seat in fall". [[The Post and Courier]].
  71. Schuyler Kropf. (April 8, 2014). "Southern Charm recap: Thomas Ravenel and the U.S. Senate?". The State.
  72. Callum, Lillia. "GREENVILLE, SC: Ravenel makes US Senate run official | Politics". The State.
  73. (October 3, 2014). "Graham not participating in debate with opponents". The State.
  74. (October 27, 2014). "Graham, Hutto plan first faceoff in Columbia".
  75. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  76. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  77. "2014 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  78. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics.
  79. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/south_carolina/election_2014_south_carolina_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  80. [http://www.abcnews4.com/story/26106533/poll-ravenel-not-a-factor-for-graham-in-senate-race Voter Survey Service]
  81. Victor Kocher (L)
  82. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  83. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-south-carolina/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  84. [https://web.archive.org/web/20141001212629/http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3 Winthrop University]
  85. Victor Kocher (L) 2.6%, Other 0.9%
  86. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  87. "SC - Election Results".
  88. Aggregated total includes 24,207 votes Hutto received under the Working Families Party.
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