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2014 Ontario general election
Canadian provincial general election
Canadian provincial general election
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 Ontario general election |
| country | Ontario |
| type | parliamentary |
| ongoing | no |
| party_colour | no |
| party_name | no |
| previous_election | 2011 Ontario general election |
| previous_year | 2011 |
| outgoing_members | 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
| election_date | |
| elected_members | 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
| next_election | 2018 Ontario general election |
| next_year | 2018 |
| seats_for_election | 107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
| majority_seats | 54 |
| opinion_polls | #Opinion polls |
| turnout | 51.3% (3.1pp) |
| image1 | File:Premier Kathleen Wynne 2014 (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| colour1 | |
| leader1 | Kathleen Wynne |
| party1 | |
| leader_since1 | [January 26, 2013](2013-ontario-liberal-party-leadership-election) |
| leaders_seat1 | Don Valley West |
| last_election1 | 53 seats, 37.65% |
| seats_before1 | 48 |
| seats1 | 58 |
| seat_change1 | 10 |
| popular_vote1 | 1,863,974 |
| percentage1 | 38.67% |
| swing1 | 1.02pp |
| image2 | File: Tim Hudak 2014 (cropped).jpg |
| colour2 | |
| leader2 | Tim Hudak |
| party2 | |
| leader_since2 | [June 27, 2009](2009-progressive-conservative-party-of-ontario-leadership-election) |
| leaders_seat2 | Niagara West—Glanbrook |
| last_election2 | 37 seats, 35.45% |
| seats_before2 | 37 |
| seats2 | 28 |
| seat_change2 | 9 |
| popular_vote2 | 1,505,436 |
| percentage2 | 31.23% |
| swing2 | 4.22pp |
| image3 | File:Andrea Horwath (cropped).jpg |
| colour3 | |
| leader3 | Andrea Horwath |
| party3 | |
| leader_since3 | [March 7, 2009](2009-ontario-new-democratic-party-leadership-election) |
| leaders_seat3 | Hamilton Centre |
| last_election3 | 17 seats, 22.74% |
| seats_before3 | 21 |
| seats3 | 21 |
| seat_change3 | |
| popular_vote3 | 1,144,822 |
| percentage3 | 23.75% |
| swing3 | 1.01pp |
| map_image | Ontario_Provincial_Election_2014_Riding_Results_Map.svg |
| map_size | 430px |
| map_caption | Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. |
| title | Premier |
| posttitle | Premier after election |
| before_election | Kathleen Wynne |
| before_party | |
| after_election | Kathleen Wynne |
| after_party |
General elections were held on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election. The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader. The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.
The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley, upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberals' minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.
With the election, Wynne became the first woman and the first openly gay person to lead a party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.
Timeline (2011–2014)
Seat changes
| Party | 2011 | Gain/(loss) due to | 2014 | Resignation | Byelection hold | Byelection gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | (8) | 3 | 48 | |||
| 37 | (2) | 1 | 1 | 37 | ||
| 17 | 4 | 21 | ||||
| – | 1 | 1 | ||||
| **Total** | 107 | (9) | 4 | 5 | 107 |
| Seat | Before | Change | Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | Kitchener—Waterloo | Vaughan | London West | Windsor—Tecumseh | Ottawa South | Scarborough—Guildwood | Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Niagara Falls | Thornhill | Brampton—Springdale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 27, 2012 | Elizabeth Witmer | Resignationafter being appointed chair of the Workplace Safety & Insurance Board | September 6, 2012 | Catherine Fife | |||||||||||||||
| August 1, 2012 | Greg Sorbara | Chair of the Management Board of Cabinet]] and Minister of Finance | September 6, 2012 | Steven Del Duca | |||||||||||||||
| February 14, 2013 | Chris Bentley | Minister of Aboriginal Affairs]] and Minister of Energy | August 1, 2013 | Peggy Sattler | |||||||||||||||
| February 14, 2013 | Dwight Duncan | Minister of Finance]] and Minister of Government Services | August 1, 2013 | Percy Hatfield | |||||||||||||||
| June 12, 2013 | Dalton McGuinty | Resignation | August 1, 2013 | John Fraser | |||||||||||||||
| June 27, 2013 | Margarett Best | Resignation | August 1, 2013 | Mitzie Hunter | |||||||||||||||
| July 2, 2013 | Laurel Broten | Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs]] | August 1, 2013 | Doug Holyday | |||||||||||||||
| September 24, 2013 | Kim Craitor | Resignation | February 13, 2014 | Wayne Gates | |||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2013 | Peter Shurman | Resignation | February 13, 2014 | Gila Martow | |||||||||||||||
| March 25, 2014 | Linda Jeffrey | Chair of Cabinet]] and Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing, to run for Mayor of Brampton |
Other developments
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| October 6, 2011 | [Election](2011-ontario-general-election) held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the [40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario](40th-legislative-assembly-of-ontario). |
| November 22, 2011 | The [40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario](40th-legislative-assembly-of-ontario) opens with a Speech from the throne. |
| March 28, 2012 | Dwight Duncan presents the Government's first minority budget, requiring support from at least one of the other two parties to ensure passage and avoid an early election. |
| April 10, 2012 | NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands to be met in exchange for her party to support the Liberal budget, which support is necessary for the approval of the budget following Tim Hudak's outright rejection of it. |
| June 15, 2012 | Premier Dalton McGuinty states he will drop the writ if his budget is not passed. |
| June 20, 2012 | The budget bill is passed, after the NDP agrees to abstain, avoiding a summer election. |
| October 15, 2012 | Dalton McGuinty announces his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party. |
| January 26, 2013 | Kathleen Wynne is [elected](2013-ontario-liberal-party-leadership-election) Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party. |
| February 11, 2013 | Wynne is sworn in as Premier, and a new cabinet is sworn in. |
| February 20, 2013 | Wynne resumes the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario with a Speech of the Throne. |
| May 1, 2014 | Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberals' budget, proposed earlier that day. |
| May 2, 2014 | Lieutenant Governor]] David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014. |
| June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election. Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party. |
| June 14, 2014 | A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill. |
| June 24, 2014 | A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives. |
Campaign
Contests
| Candidates nominated | Ridings | Party | Totals | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align="center" | **Lib** | align="center" | **PC** | align="center" | **NDP** | align="center" | **Green** |
| 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 | ||||
| 5 | 37 | 37 | 37 | ||||
| 6 | 33 | 33 | 33 | ||||
| 7 | 14 | 14 | 14 | ||||
| 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| Total | 107 | 107 | 107 |
Incumbents not running for reelection
| Electoral district | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee | New MPP | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham | John O'Toole | |||||||||
| Etobicoke Centre | Donna Cansfield | |||||||||
| Kingston and the Islands | John Gerretsen | |||||||||
| Kitchener Centre | John Milloy | |||||||||
| Newmarket—Aurora | title=MPP Frank Klees won't seek re-election | url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/01/21/mpp_frank_klees_wont_seek_reelection.html | access-date=January 21, 2014 | newspaper=Toronto Star | date=January 21, 2014 | archive-date=January 22, 2014 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140122053328/http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/01/21/mpp_frank_klees_wont_seek_reelection.html | url-status=live}} | ||
| Ottawa—Orléans | Phil McNeely | |||||||||
| Sudbury | Rick Bartolucci |
Results
|-
! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party
! rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party leader
! rowspan="2"|Candidates
! colspan="4"|Seats
! colspan="3"|Popular vote
|- bgcolor=CCCCCC
!Dissol.
!2014
!Change
!#
!%
!Change
|107
|53
|48
|58
|5
|1,863,974
|38.67%
|1.02%
|107
|37
|37
|28
|9
|1,505,436
|31.23%
|4.22%
|107
|17
|21
|21
|4
|1,144,822
|23.75%
|1.01%
|107
|–
|–
|–
|–
|235,911
|4.89%
|1.97%
|74
|–
|–
|–
|–
|37,696
|0.78%
|0.33%
|42
|–
|–
|–
|–
|12,381
|0.26%
|0.05%
|6
|–
|–
|–
|–
|4,288
|0.09%
|0.13%
|8
|–
|–
|–
|–
|4,247
|0.09%
|–
|14
|–
|–
|–
|–
|3,854
|0.08%
|–
|11
|–
|–
|–
|–
|2,290
|0.05%
|0.02%
|4
|–
|–
|–
|–
|1,293
|0.03%
|0.03%
|5
|–
|–
|–
|–
|907
|0.02%
|0.01%
|5
|–
|–
|–
|–
|894
|0.02%
|0.01%
|3
|–
|–
|–
|–
|892
|0.02%
|–
|3
|–
|–
|–
|–
|709
|0.01%
|0.01%
|2
|–
|–
|–
|–
|551
|0.01%
|–
|2
|–
|–
|–
|–
|397
|0.01%
|–
|2
|–
|–
|–
|–
|366
|0.01%
|–
|2
|–
|–
|–
|–
|361
|0.01%
|–
|2
|–
|–
|–
|–
|335
|0.01%
|–
|3
|–
|–
|–
|–
|194
|–
|–
| 1 |
|---|
| | | |}
Vote and seat summaries
|File:Ternary ON2011.svg |2011 |File:Ternary ON2014.svg |2014
| Party | Votes | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| 1,863,974 | 1.02% | |
| 1,505,436 | 4.22% | |
| 1,144,822 | 1.01% | |
| 235,911 | 1.97% | |
| 37,696 | 0.33% |
Synopsis of results
Main article: Results of the 2014 Ontario general election by riding
| Riding | [2011](2011-ontario-general-election) | Winning party | Turnout | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| including spoilt ballots | Votesminor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately | Party | Votes | Share | Margin | ||||||||||||
| # | Margin | ||||||||||||||||
| % | Lib | PC | NDP | Green | Ind | Other | Total | ||||||||||
| Ajax—Pickering | Lib | Lib | 26,257 | 51.06% | 11,258 | 21.89% | 50.18% | 26,257 | 14,999 | 8,274 | 1,589 | – | 301 | 51,420 | |||
| Algoma—Manitoulin | NDP | NDP | 14,171 | 53.41% | 7,667 | 28.90% | 49.38% | 6,504 | 4,589 | 14,171 | 828 | – | 441 | 26,533 | |||
| Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale | Lib | Lib | 24,042 | 44.56% | 5,790 | 10.73% | 59.02% | 24,042 | 18,252 | 8,415 | 2,639 | – | 611 | 53,959 | |||
| Barrie | PC | Lib | 19,916 | 40.69% | 2,249 | 4.60% | 49.18% | 19,916 | 17,667 | 7,975 | 3,018 | – | 366 | 48,942 | |||
| Beaches—East York | NDP | Lib | 17,218 | 40.09% | 481 | 1.12% | 56.14% | 17,218 | 5,982 | 16,737 | 2,329 | – | 682 | 42,948 | |||
| Bramalea—Gore—Malton | NDP | NDP | 23,519 | 44.32% | 5,646 | 10.64% | 45.03% | 17,873 | 9,403 | 23,519 | 2,277 | – | – | 53,072 | |||
| Brampton—Springdale | Lib | Lib | 16,927 | 40.06% | 3,414 | 8.08% | 45.34% | 16,927 | 10,117 | 13,513 | 1,311 | – | 382 | 42,250 | |||
| Brampton West | Lib | Lib | 24,832 | 45.23% | 11,469 | 20.89% | 42.50% | 24,832 | 13,363 | 12,985 | 1,504 | – | 2,418 | 54,902 | |||
| Brant | Lib | Lib | 19,396 | 37.63% | 3,949 | 7.66% | 52.51% | 19,396 | 15,447 | 13,992 | 2,095 | – | 614 | 51,544 | |||
| Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PC | PC | 20,359 | 47.55% | 8,773 | 20.49% | 53.93% | 11,586 | 20,359 | 6,787 | 3,696 | – | 388 | 42,816 | |||
| Burlington | PC | Lib | 23,573 | 43.41% | 3,487 | 6.42% | 57.73% | 23,573 | 20,086 | 7,792 | 2,250 | – | 608 | 54,309 | |||
| Cambridge | PC | Lib | 18,763 | 38.93% | 3,069 | 6.37% | 48.95% | 18,763 | 15,694 | 10,413 | 2,726 | – | 605 | 48,201 | |||
| Carleton—Mississippi Mills | PC | PC | 30,590 | 47.49% | 10,118 | 15.71% | 56.08% | 20,472 | 30,590 | 8,744 | 4,614 | – | – | 64,420 | |||
| Chatham-Kent—Essex | PC | PC | 14,183 | 37.83% | 2,519 | 6.72% | 51.33% | 9,158 | 14,183 | 11,664 | 1,971 | – | 514 | 37,490 | |||
| Davenport | NDP | Lib | 16,272 | 45.61% | 1,950 | 5.47% | 49.56% | 16,272 | 2,665 | 14,322 | 1,784 | – | 631 | 35,674 | |||
| Don Valley East | Lib | Lib | 19,248 | 55.71% | 9,991 | 28.92% | 47.85% | 19,248 | 9,257 | 4,500 | 1,256 | – | 287 | 34,548 | |||
| Don Valley West | Lib | Lib | 26,215 | 57.01% | 12,133 | 26.39% | 53.90% | 26,215 | 14,082 | 3,569 | 1,286 | 138 | 690 | 45,980 | |||
| Dufferin—Caledon | PC | PC | 18,017 | 39.86% | 4,156 | 9.19% | 51.48% | 13,861 | 18,017 | 5,269 | 7,518 | – | 538 | 45,203 | |||
| Durham | PC | Lib | 19,816 | 36.45% | 1,176 | 2.16% | 55.71% | 19,816 | 18,640 | 13,094 | 2,382 | – | 434 | 54,366 | |||
| Eglinton—Lawrence | Lib | Lib | 22,855 | 54.80% | 8.776 | 21.04% | 53.99% | 22,855 | 14,079 | 3,060 | 1,305 | 143 | 264 | 41,706 | |||
| Elgin—Middlesex—London | PC | PC | 20,946 | 46.36% | 8,912 | 19.72% | 53.98% | 9,183 | 20,946 | 12,034 | 2,236 | – | 784 | 45,183 | |||
| Essex | NDP | NDP | 28,118 | 60.34% | 17,949 | 38.52% | 50.20% | 6,628 | 10,169 | 28,118 | 1,685 | – | – | 46,600 | |||
| Etobicoke Centre | Lib | Lib | 23,848 | 50.28% | 8,328 | 17.56% | 56.47% | 23,848 | 15,520 | 5,758 | 1,254 | – | 1,052 | 47,432 | |||
| Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Lib | Lib | 24,311 | 47.49% | 6,724 | 13.13% | 53.73% | 24,311 | 17,587 | 6,362 | 2,064 | – | 869 | 51,193 | |||
| Etobicoke North | Lib | Lib | 12,168 | 44.90% | 5,065 | 18.69% | 42.71% | 12,168 | 6,163 | 7,103 | 677 | – | 987 | 27,098 | |||
| Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Lib | Lib | 23,565 | 49.74% | 8,136 | 17.17% | 53.36% | 23,565 | 15,429 | 5,902 | 1,528 | 296 | 655 | 47,375 | |||
| Guelph | Lib | Lib | 22,014 | 41.52% | 10,966 | 20.68% | 55.47% | 22,014 | 11,048 | 9,385 | 10,230 | – | 348 | 53,025 | |||
| Haldimand—Norfolk | PC | PC | 22,066 | 52.22% | 12,280 | 29.06% | 53.97% | 8,331 | 22,066 | 9,786 | 2,071 | – | – | 42,254 | |||
| Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PC | PC | 21,641 | 40.96% | 3,129 | 5.92% | 55.98% | 18,512 | 21,641 | 10,431 | 2,255 | – | – | 52,839 | |||
| Halton | PC | Lib | 33,724 | 44.79% | 5,787 | 7.69% | 50.90% | 33,724 | 27,937 | 9,758 | 2,618 | – | 1,262 | 75,299 | |||
| Hamilton Centre | NDP | NDP | 18,697 | 52.01% | 10,247 | 28.50% | 44.76% | 8,450 | 5,173 | 18,697 | 3,067 | – | 563 | 35,950 | |||
| Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NDP | NDP | 19,958 | 46.81% | 7,525 | 17.65% | 48.84% | 12,433 | 7,574 | 19,958 | 1,742 | – | 930 | 42,637 | |||
| Hamilton Mountain | NDP | NDP | 23,006 | 46.90% | 8,498 | 17.32% | 52.85% | 14,508 | 8,795 | 23,006 | 2,047 | – | 699 | 49,055 | |||
| Huron—Bruce | PC | PC | 18,512 | 39.01% | 3,865 | 8.14% | 59.96% | 14,647 | 18,512 | 10,843 | 1,651 | – | 1,804 | 47,457 | |||
| Kenora—Rainy River | NDP | NDP | 12,889 | 55.66% | 6,984 | 30.16% | 46.72% | 3,652 | 5,905 | 12,889 | 711 | – | – | 23,157 | |||
| Kingston and the Islands | Lib | Lib | 20,838 | 41.59% | 6,027 | 12.03% | 52.14% | 20,838 | 10,652 | 14,811 | 3,566 | – | 242 | 50,109 | |||
| Kitchener Centre | Lib | Lib | 18,472 | 43.14% | 6,922 | 16.17% | 52.28% | 18,472 | 11,550 | 9,765 | 2,472 | – | 557 | 42,816 | |||
| Kitchener—Conestoga | PC | PC | 17,083 | 36.36% | 1,419 | 3.02% | 50.33% | 15,664 | 17,083 | 9,958 | 3,277 | – | 1,001 | 46,983 | |||
| Kitchener—Waterloo | PC | NDP | 20,536 | 37.43% | 4,002 | 7.29% | 54.95% | 16,534 | 14,450 | 20,536 | 2,859 | – | 481 | 54,860 | |||
| Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PC | PC | 20,710 | 45.17% | 8,550 | 18.65% | 56.93% | 9,298 | 20,710 | 12,160 | 2,104 | – | 1,575 | 45,847 | |||
| Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington | PC | PC | 21,966 | 43.52% | 6,929 | 13.73% | 53.95% | 15,037 | 21,966 | 10,184 | 3,283 | – | – | 50,470 | |||
| Leeds—Grenville | PC | PC | 23,253 | 56.07% | 14,754 | 35.58% | 52.86% | 8,499 | 23,253 | 7,219 | 2,030 | – | 471 | 41,472 | |||
| London—Fanshawe | NDP | NDP | 17,903 | 50.42% | 9,707 | 27.34% | 46.42% | 7,066 | 8,196 | 17,903 | 1,378 | 112 | 853 | 35,508 | |||
| London North Centre | Lib | Lib | 16,379 | 35.98% | 2,526 | 5.55% | 50.21% | 16,379 | 12,016 | 13,853 | 2,445 | – | 824 | 45,517 | |||
| London West | Lib | NDP | 22,243 | 40.36% | 5,948 | 10.79% | 56.03% | 13,070 | 16,295 | 22,243 | 2,310 | – | 1,188 | 55,106 | |||
| Markham—Unionville | Lib | Lib | 21,517 | 51.33% | 7,276 | 17.36% | 44.54% | 21,517 | 14,241 | 4,205 | 1,509 | – | 444 | 41,916 | |||
| Mississauga—Brampton South | Lib | Lib | 19,923 | 48.21% | 8,672 | 20.99% | 41.48% | 19,923 | 11,251 | 6,906 | 1,302 | 351 | 1,590 | 41,323 | |||
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | Lib | Lib | 20,934 | 52.33% | 10,455 | 26.14% | 43.89% | 20,934 | 10,479 | 6,158 | 1,408 | – | 1,022 | 40,001 | |||
| Mississauga—Erindale | Lib | Lib | 25,356 | 48.98% | 9,882 | 19.09% | 46.90% | 25,356 | 15,474 | 7,730 | 1,216 | – | 1,988 | 51,764 | |||
| Mississauga South | Lib | Lib | 22,192 | 50.76% | 7,678 | 17.56% | 53.55% | 22,192 | 14,514 | 4,649 | 1,418 | – | 946 | 43,719 | |||
| Mississauga—Streetsville | Lib | Lib | 22,587 | 52.57% | 10,527 | 24.50% | 46.76% | 22,587 | 12,060 | 5,885 | 1,566 | – | 866 | 42,964 | |||
| Nepean—Carleton | PC | PC | 30,901 | 46.77% | 8,927 | 13.51% | 55.39% | 21,974 | 30,901 | 8,628 | 3,630 | – | 940 | 66,073 | |||
| Newmarket—Aurora | PC | Lib | 22,997 | 43.94% | 3,412 | 6.52% | 53.40% | 22,997 | 19,585 | 6,023 | 2,144 | – | 1,584 | 52,333 | |||
| Niagara Falls | Lib | NDP | 24,131 | 47.39% | 7,429 | 14.59% | 51.21% | 7,329 | 16,702 | 24,131 | 1,724 | – | 1,037 | 50,923 | |||
| Niagara West—Glanbrook | PC | PC | 23,378 | 41.82% | 7,535 | 13.48% | 58.59% | 15,843 | 23,378 | 12,423 | 3,004 | – | 1,254 | 55,902 | |||
| Nickel Belt | NDP | NDP | 20,104 | 62.62% | 13,073 | 40.72% | 50.00% | 7,031 | 3,827 | 20,104 | 1,145 | – | – | 32,107 | |||
| Nipissing | PC | PC | 13,085 | 41.81% | 4,703 | 15.03% | 52.49% | 8,382 | 13,085 | 8,057 | 1,188 | 208 | 377 | 31,297 | |||
| Northumberland—Quinte West | PC | Lib | 23,419 | 42.97% | 3,836 | 7.04% | 55.81% | 23,419 | 19,583 | 9,211 | 2,283 | – | – | 54,496 | |||
| Oak Ridges—Markham | Lib | Lib | 36,782 | 45.55% | 6,526 | 8.08% | 46.21% | 36,782 | 30,256 | 9,355 | 2,791 | – | 1,571 | 80,755 | |||
| Oakville | Lib | Lib | 24,717 | 49.40% | 5,796 | 11.58% | 56.13% | 24,717 | 18,921 | 3,994 | 1,887 | – | 518 | 50,037 | |||
| Oshawa | PC | NDP | 22,232 | 46.70% | 7,692 | 16.16% | 50.19% | 9,051 | 14,540 | 22,232 | 1,785 | – | – | 47,608 | |||
| Ottawa Centre | Lib | Lib | 27,689 | 52.02% | 16,795 | 31.55% | 56.85% | 27,689 | 9,678 | 10,894 | 4,163 | – | 808 | 53,232 | |||
| Ottawa—Orléans | Lib | Lib | 29,911 | 53.50% | 11,386 | 20.37% | 59.33% | 29,911 | 18,525 | 5,022 | 2,036 | – | 411 | 55,905 | |||
| Ottawa South | Lib | Lib | 23,708 | 49.96% | 8,473 | 17.86% | 53.71% | 23,708 | 15,235 | 5,817 | 2,034 | – | 656 | 47,450 | |||
| Ottawa—Vanier | Lib | Lib | 21,810 | 55.55% | 13,060 | 33.26% | 48.86% | 21,810 | 8,750 | 5,228 | 3,144 | – | 329 | 39,261 | |||
| Ottawa West—Nepean | Lib | Lib | 21,035 | 44.84% | 5,140 | 10.96% | 55.95% | 21,035 | 15,895 | 6,760 | 2,899 | – | 318 | 46,907 | |||
| Oxford | PC | PC | 18,958 | 46.24% | 8,385 | 20.45% | 51.92% | 8,736 | 18,958 | 10,573 | 1,985 | – | 749 | 41,001 | |||
| Parkdale—High Park | NDP | NDP | 18,385 | 40.77% | 544 | 1.21% | 56.88% | 17,841 | 5,787 | 18,385 | 2,479 | – | 601 | 45,093 | |||
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | PC | PC | 15,761 | 40.73% | 5,603 | 14.48% | 52.11% | 10,158 | 15,761 | 4,999 | 7,484 | – | 296 | 38,698 | |||
| Perth—Wellington | PC | PC | 15,992 | 38.96% | 2,407 | 5.86% | 55.66% | 13,585 | 15,992 | 7,764 | 2,005 | 343 | 1,359 | 41,048 | |||
| Peterborough | Lib | Lib | 24,709 | 46.33% | 8,802 | 16.50% | 57.30% | 24,709 | 15,907 | 9,728 | 2,287 | 395 | 305 | 53,331 | |||
| Pickering—Scarborough East | Lib | Lib | 23,206 | 51.96% | 10,568 | 23.66% | 54.77% | 23,206 | 12,638 | 6,600 | 1,564 | – | 654 | 44,662 | |||
| Prince Edward—Hastings | PC | PC | 19,281 | 41.72% | 4,176 | 9.04% | 51.61% | 15,105 | 19,281 | 8,829 | 2,448 | – | 555 | 46,218 | |||
| Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PC | PC | 25,241 | 61.07% | 17,344 | 41.96% | 54.32% | 7,897 | 25,241 | 5,978 | 1,337 | 392 | 489 | 41,334 | |||
| Richmond Hill | Lib | Lib | 20,455 | 47.78% | 4,813 | 11.24% | 45.69% | 20,455 | 15,642 | 4,697 | 1,344 | – | 670 | 42,808 | |||
| St. Catharines | Lib | Lib | 19,070 | 41.00% | 5,256 | 11.30% | 54.80% | 19,070 | 13,814 | 11,350 | 1,792 | – | 488 | 46,514 | |||
| St. Paul's | Lib | Lib | 30,027 | 59.74% | 17,990 | 35.79% | 57.11% | 30,027 | 12,037 | 5,056 | 2,569 | – | 572 | 50,261 | |||
| Sarnia—Lambton | PC | PC | 18,722 | 41.01% | 2,395 | 5.25% | 57.35% | 8,152 | 18,722 | 16,327 | 2,109 | – | 340 | 45,650 | |||
| Sault Ste. Marie | Lib | Lib | 17,490 | 58.53% | 9,880 | 33.06% | 50.77% | 17,490 | 3,704 | 7,610 | 965 | – | 115 | 29,884 | |||
| Scarborough—Agincourt | Lib | Lib | 17,332 | 49.84% | 5,291 | 15.22% | 46.04% | 17,332 | 12,041 | 4,105 | 907 | – | 387 | 34,772 | |||
| Scarborough Centre | Lib | Lib | 19,390 | 55.05% | 11,791 | 33.48% | 48.09% | 19,390 | 7,599 | 7,145 | 1,086 | – | – | 35,220 | |||
| Scarborough—Guildwood | Lib | Lib | 17,318 | 49.89% | 7,597 | 21.89% | 49.24% | 17,318 | 9,721 | 5,894 | 1,034 | – | 744 | 34,711 | |||
| Scarborough—Rouge River | Lib | Lib | 16,095 | 38.71% | 3,076 | 7.40% | 47.48% | 16,095 | 11,500 | 13,019 | 571 | – | 398 | 41,583 | |||
| Scarborough Southwest | Lib | Lib | 18,420 | 50.23% | 9,746 | 26.58% | 49.91% | 18,420 | 7,573 | 8,674 | 1,493 | 185 | 328 | 36,673 | |||
| Simcoe—Grey | PC | PC | 25,988 | 47.12% | 8,789 | 15.94% | 52.00% | 17,199 | 25,988 | 7,793 | 4,172 | – | – | 55,152 | |||
| Simcoe North | PC | PC | 22,179 | 43.96% | 5,766 | 11.43% | 53.33% | 16,413 | 22,179 | 7,846 | 4,013 | – | – | 50,451 | |||
| Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PC | PC | 20,624 | 51.72% | 11,374 | 28.52% | 52.02% | 9,250 | 20,624 | 8,336 | 1,067 | – | 602 | 39,879 | |||
| Sudbury | Lib | NDP | 14,274 | 42.24% | 978 | 2.89% | 51.92% | 13,296 | 4,663 | 14,274 | 1,212 | 105 | 243 | 33,793 | |||
| Thornhill | PC | PC | 21,886 | 43.99% | 106 | 0.21% | 47.83% | 21,780 | 21,886 | 4,052 | 1,229 | – | 804 | 49,751 | |||
| Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Lib | Lib | 15,176 | 52.98% | 7,124 | 24.87% | 49.02% | 15,176 | 3,779 | 8,052 | 964 | – | 676 | 28,647 | |||
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | Lib | Lib | 15,519 | 55.97% | 7,350 | 26.51% | 50.41% | 15,519 | 1,991 | 8,169 | 997 | – | 1,049 | 27,725 | |||
| Timiskaming—Cochrane | NDP | NDP | 14,661 | 55.48% | 8,527 | 32.27% | 50.68% | 6,134 | 4,527 | 14,661 | 489 | – | 615 | 26,426 | |||
| Timmins—James Bay | NDP | NDP | 11,756 | 51.18% | 6,229 | 27.12% | 45.15% | 5,527 | 5,226 | 11,756 | 403 | – | 60 | 22,972 | |||
| Toronto Centre | Lib | Lib | 29,935 | 58.47% | 20,437 | 39.92% | 50.86% | 29,935 | 9,498 | 8,140 | 2,265 | – | 1,357 | 51,195 | |||
| Toronto—Danforth | NDP | NDP | 19,190 | 44.61% | 3,207 | 7.46% | 55.30% | 15,983 | 4,304 | 19,190 | 2,351 | – | 1,189 | 43,017 | |||
| Trinity—Spadina | NDP | Lib | 26,613 | 46.34% | 9,171 | 15.97% | 49.33% | 26,613 | 8,035 | 17,442 | 4,033 | – | 1,311 | 57,434 | |||
| Vaughan | Lib | Lib | 33,877 | 56.21% | 16,898 | 28.04% | 44.68% | 33,877 | 16,979 | 6,942 | 1,350 | – | 1,121 | 60,269 | |||
| Welland | NDP | NDP | 21,326 | 46.71% | 8,393 | 18.38% | 53.20% | 9,060 | 12,933 | 21,326 | 1,874 | – | 460 | 45,653 | |||
| Wellington—Halton Hills | PC | PC | 22,450 | 46.61% | 8,330 | 17.29% | 55.61% | 14,120 | 22,450 | 6,804 | 3,550 | – | 1,241 | 48,165 | |||
| Whitby—Oshawa | PC | PC | 24,027 | 40.65% | 5,410 | 9.15% | 54.35% | 18,617 | 24,027 | 13,621 | 2,523 | – | 322 | 59,110 | |||
| Willowdale | Lib | Lib | 24,300 | 52.58% | 8,832 | 19.11% | 46.88% | 24,300 | 15,468 | 4,693 | 1,758 | – | – | 46,219 | |||
| Windsor—Tecumseh | Lib | NDP | 22,818 | 62.16% | 17,219 | 46.91% | 42.77% | 5,599 | 2,118 | 22,818 | 5,493 | – | 682 | 36,710 | |||
| Windsor West | Lib | NDP | 15,043 | 41.41% | 1,042 | 2.87% | 42.71% | 14,001 | 5,225 | 15,043 | 1,171 | 891 | – | 36,331 | |||
| York Centre | Lib | Lib | 16,935 | 47.89% | 5,810 | 16.43% | 46.74% | 16,935 | 11,125 | 5,645 | 1,163 | – | 493 | 35,361 | |||
| York—Simcoe | PC | PC | 19,025 | 40.40% | 2,749 | 5.84% | 47.53% | 16,276 | 19,025 | 8,420 | 2,946 | – | 419 | 47,086 | |||
| York South—Weston | Lib | Lib | 15,669 | 47.85% | 3,469 | 10.59% | 46.13% | 15,669 | 3,687 | 12,200 | 797 | 146 | 249 | 32,748 | |||
| York West | Lib | Lib | 11,907 | 46.71% | 1,910 | 7.49% | 42.24% | 11,907 | 2,794 | 9,997 | 418 | 111 | 267 | 25,494 |
: = open seat : = turnout is above provincial average : = incumbent re-elected : = incumbency arose from byelection gain
Comparative analysis for ridings (2014 vs 2011)
| Riding and winning party | Turnout | Vote share | % | Change (pp) | % | Change (pp) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax—Pickering | Lib | Hold | 50.18 | {{bartable | 5.34 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 51.06 | ||
| Algoma—Manitoulin | NDP | Hold | 49.38 | {{bartable | -0.05 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 53.41 | ||
| Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale | Lib | Hold | 59.02 | {{bartable | 2.57 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.56 | ||
| Barrie | Lib | Gain | 49.18 | {{bartable | 3.18 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.69 | ||
| Beaches—East York | Lib | Gain | 56.14 | {{bartable | 4.50 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.09 | ||
| Bramalea—Gore—Malton | NDP | Hold | 45.03 | {{bartable | 4.32 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.32 | ||
| Brampton—Springdale | Lib | Hold | 45.34 | {{bartable | 4.80 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.06 | ||
| Brampton West | Lib | Hold | 42.50 | {{bartable | 4.21 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 45.23 | ||
| Brant | Lib | Hold | 52.51 | {{bartable | 4.29 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 37.63 | ||
| Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PC | Hold | 53.93 | {{bartable | -0.77 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.55 | ||
| Burlington | Lib | Gain | 57.73 | {{bartable | 2.90 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.41 | ||
| Cambridge | Lib | Gain | 48.95 | {{bartable | 2.91 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 38.93 | ||
| Carleton—Mississippi Mills | PC | Hold | 56.08 | {{bartable | 2.59 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.49 | ||
| Chatham-Kent—Essex | PC | Hold | 51.33 | {{bartable | 1.92 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 37.83 | ||
| Davenport | Lib | Gain | 49.56 | {{bartable | 3.97 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 45.61 | ||
| Don Valley East | Lib | Hold | 47.85 | {{bartable | 1.77 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.71 | ||
| Don Valley West | Lib | Hold | 53.90 | {{bartable | 2.96 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 57.01 | ||
| Dufferin—Caledon | PC | Hold | 51.48 | {{bartable | 3.74 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 39.86 | ||
| Durham | Lib | Gain | 55.71 | {{bartable | 5.97 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 36.45 | ||
| Eglinton—Lawrence | Lib | Hold | 53.99 | {{bartable | 2.18 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 54.80 | ||
| Elgin—Middlesex—London | PC | Hold | 53.98 | {{bartable | 2.70 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.36 | ||
| Essex | NDP | Hold | 50.20 | {{bartable | -1.18 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 60.34 | ||
| Etobicoke Centre | Lib | Hold | 56.47 | {{bartable | 3.85 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 50.28 | ||
| Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Lib | Hold | 53.73 | {{bartable | 3.72 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.49 | ||
| Etobicoke North | Lib | Hold | 42.71 | {{bartable | 2.56 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.90 | ||
| Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Lib | Hold | 53.36 | {{bartable | 5.55 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 49.74 | ||
| Guelph | Lib | Hold | 55.47 | {{bartable | 5.21 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.52 | ||
| Haldimand—Norfolk | PC | Hold | 53.97 | {{bartable | 0.67 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.22 | ||
| Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PC | Hold | 55.98 | {{bartable | 1.00 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.96 | ||
| Halton | Lib | Gain | 50.90 | {{bartable | 4.91 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.79 | ||
| Hamilton Centre | NDP | Hold | 44.76 | {{bartable | 2.32 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.01 | ||
| Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NDP | Hold | 48.84 | {{bartable | 2.58 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.81 | ||
| Hamilton Mountain | NDP | Hold | 52.85 | {{bartable | 2.40 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.90 | ||
| Huron—Bruce | PC | Hold | 59.96 | {{bartable | 0.73 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 39.01 | ||
| Kenora—Rainy River | NDP | Hold | 46.72 | {{bartable | 0.97 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.66 | ||
| Kingston and the Islands | Lib | Hold | 52.14 | {{bartable | 7.11 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.59 | ||
| Kitchener Centre | Lib | Hold | 52.28 | {{bartable | 3.12 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.14 | ||
| Kitchener—Conestoga | PC | Hold | 50.33 | {{bartable | 3.71 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 36.36 | ||
| Kitchener—Waterloo | NDP | Gain | 54.95 | {{bartable | 4.41 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 37.43 | ||
| Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PC | Hold | 56.93 | {{bartable | 2.85 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 45.17 | ||
| Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington | PC | Hold | 53.95 | {{bartable | 3.52 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.52 | ||
| Leeds—Grenville | PC | Hold | 52.86 | {{bartable | 2.22 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 56.07 | ||
| London—Fanshawe | NDP | Hold | 46.42 | {{bartable | 0.60 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 50.42 | ||
| London North Centre | Lib | Hold | 50.21 | {{bartable | 2.34 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 35.98 | ||
| London West | NDP | Gain | 56.03 | {{bartable | 3.03 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.36 | ||
| Markham—Unionville | Lib | Hold | 44.54 | {{bartable | 3.86 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 51.33 | ||
| Mississauga—Brampton South | Lib | Hold | 41.48 | {{bartable | 5.05 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 48.21 | ||
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | Lib | Hold | 43.89 | {{bartable | 3.39 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.33 | ||
| Mississauga—Erindale | Lib | Hold | 46.90 | {{bartable | 2.99 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 48.98 | ||
| Mississauga South | Lib | Hold | 53.55 | {{bartable | 2.30 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 50.76 | ||
| Mississauga—Streetsville | Lib | Hold | 46.76 | {{bartable | 5.30 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.57 | ||
| Nepean—Carleton | PC | Hold | 55.39 | {{bartable | 5.48 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.77 | ||
| Newmarket—Aurora | Lib | Gain | 53.40 | {{bartable | 4.07 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.94 | ||
| Niagara Falls | NDP | Gain | 51.21 | {{bartable | 1.77 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.39 | ||
| Niagara West—Glanbrook | PC | Hold | 58.59 | {{bartable | 3.71 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.82 | ||
| Nickel Belt | NDP | Hold | 50.00 | {{bartable | 0.44 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 62.62 | ||
| Nipissing | PC | Hold | 52.49 | {{bartable | 0.63 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.81 | ||
| Northumberland—Quinte West | Lib | Gain | 55.81 | {{bartable | 3.94 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 42.97 | ||
| Oak Ridges—Markham | Lib | Hold | 46.21 | {{bartable | 3.51 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 45.55 | ||
| Oakville | Lib | Hold | 56.13 | {{bartable | 3.42 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 49.40 | ||
| Oshawa | NDP | Gain | 50.19 | {{bartable | 5.92 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.70 | ||
| Ottawa Centre | Lib | Hold | 56.85 | {{bartable | 3.12 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.02 | ||
| Ottawa—Orléans | Lib | Hold | 59.33 | {{bartable | 6.68 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 53.50 | ||
| Ottawa South | Lib | Hold | 53.71 | {{bartable | 2.52 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 49.96 | ||
| Ottawa—Vanier | Lib | Hold | 48.86 | {{bartable | 2.05 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.55 | ||
| Ottawa West—Nepean | Lib | Hold | 55.95 | {{bartable | 1.93 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.84 | ||
| Oxford | PC | Hold | 51.92 | {{bartable | 2.74 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.24 | ||
| Parkdale—High Park | NDP | Hold | 56.88 | {{bartable | 5.10 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.77 | ||
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | PC | Hold | 52.11 | {{bartable | 0.33 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.73 | ||
| Perth—Wellington | PC | Hold | 55.66 | {{bartable | 3.77 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 38.96 | ||
| Peterborough | Lib | Hold | 57.30 | {{bartable | 4.11 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.33 | ||
| Pickering—Scarborough East | Lib | Hold | 54.77 | {{bartable | 5.08 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 51.96 | ||
| Prince Edward—Hastings | PC | Hold | 51.61 | {{bartable | -0.14 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.72 | ||
| Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PC | Hold | 54.32 | {{bartable | 1.63 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 61.07 | ||
| Richmond Hill | Lib | Hold | 45.69 | {{bartable | 3.20 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.78 | ||
| St. Catharines | Lib | Hold | 54.80 | {{bartable | 3.80 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.00 | ||
| St. Paul's | Lib | Hold | 57.11 | {{bartable | 6.70 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 59.74 | ||
| Sarnia—Lambton | PC | Hold | 57.35 | {{bartable | 5.60 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.01 | ||
| Sault Ste. Marie | Lib | Hold | 50.77 | {{bartable | 1.42 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 58.53 | ||
| Scarborough—Agincourt | Lib | Hold | 46.04 | {{bartable | 2.47 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 49.84 | ||
| Scarborough Centre | Lib | Hold | 48.09 | {{bartable | 3.60 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.05 | ||
| Scarborough—Guildwood | Lib | Hold | 49.24 | {{bartable | 1.59 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 49.89 | ||
| Scarborough—Rouge River | Lib | Hold | 47.48 | {{bartable | 4.58 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 38.71 | ||
| Scarborough Southwest | Lib | Hold | 49.91 | {{bartable | 2.13 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 50.23 | ||
| Simcoe—Grey | PC | Hold | 52.00 | {{bartable | 3.88 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.12 | ||
| Simcoe North | PC | Hold | 53.33 | {{bartable | 2.35 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.96 | ||
| Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PC | Hold | 52.02 | {{bartable | 0.63 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 51.72 | ||
| Sudbury | NDP | Gain | 51.92 | {{bartable | 1.97 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 42.24 | ||
| Thornhill | PC | Hold | 47.83 | {{bartable | 2.48 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 43.99 | ||
| Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Lib | Hold | 49.02 | {{bartable | 2.42 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.98 | ||
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | Lib | Hold | 50.41 | {{bartable | 2.21 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.97 | ||
| Timiskaming—Cochrane | NDP | Hold | 50.68 | {{bartable | 0.67 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 55.48 | ||
| Timmins—James Bay | NDP | Hold | 45.15 | {{bartable | -1.68 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 51.18 | ||
| Toronto Centre | Lib | Hold | 50.86 | {{bartable | 2.44 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 58.47 | ||
| Toronto—Danforth | NDP | Hold | 55.30 | {{bartable | 6.00 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 44.61 | ||
| Trinity—Spadina | Lib | Gain | 49.33 | {{bartable | 6.33 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.34 | ||
| Vaughan | Lib | Hold | 44.68 | {{bartable | 3.60 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 56.21 | ||
| Welland | NDP | Hold | 53.20 | {{bartable | 1.56 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.71 | ||
| Wellington—Halton Hills | PC | Hold | 55.61 | {{bartable | 4.50 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.61 | ||
| Whitby—Oshawa | PC | Hold | 54.35 | {{bartable | 4.66 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.65 | ||
| Willowdale | Lib | Hold | 46.88 | {{bartable | 1.48 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 52.58 | ||
| Windsor—Tecumseh | NDP | Gain | 42.77 | {{bartable | -1.92 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 62.16 | ||
| Windsor West | NDP | Gain | 42.71 | {{bartable | 1.13 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 41.41 | ||
| York Centre | Lib | Hold | 46.74 | {{bartable | 1.00 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.89 | ||
| York—Simcoe | PC | Hold | 47.53 | {{bartable | 4.62 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 40.40 | ||
| York South—Weston | Lib | Hold | 46.13 | {{bartable | 1.27 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 47.85 | ||
| York West | Lib | Hold | 42.24 | {{bartable | 3.01 | -5 | 1em | background:#708090}} | 46.71 |
Maps
File:Ontario general election, 2014 results by riding - Liberal Party strength.svg|Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding File:Ontario Election 2014 - Progressive Conservative Party Vote.svg|Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding File:Ontario general election 2014 - New Democratic Party Strength.svg|Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding File:Ontario general election, 2014 results by riding - Green Party strength.svg|Support for Green Party candidates by riding File:Ontario general election, 2014 results by riding - Libertarian Party strength.svg|Support for Libertarian Party candidates by riding
Summary analysis
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| **Party** | **2011** | **Gain from (loss to)** | **2014** | colspan="2" align="center" width="50" | **Lib** | align="center" width="50" | **PC** | colspan="2" align="center" width="50" | **NDP** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Liberal** | 53 | 7 | 3 | ||||||
| **Conservative** | 37 | (7) | |||||||
| **New Democratic** | 17 | 5 | (3) | 2 | |||||
| **Total** | 107 | 5 | (10) | 9 | 3 | (7) |
Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:
:* PC to Liberal: 2.6% :* PC to NDP: 2.6% :* Liberal to NDP: insignificant
Regional analysis
| Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Liberal** | 20 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | |
| **Conservative** | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| **New Democratic** | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| **Total** | 22 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 107 |
| Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Liberal** | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | (3) | (1) | |||
| **Conservative** | (1) | (2) | (4) | (2) | |||||
| **New Democratic** | (3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Principal races
| Party in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total | align="center" | Lib | align="center" | PC | align="center" | NDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | 43 | 15 | 58 | |||||
| 22 | – | 6 | 28 | |||||
| 14 | 7 | – | 21 | |||||
| Total | 36 | 50 | 21 | 107 |
| Parties | Seats |
|---|---|
| Total | 107 |
| Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 36 | 13 | 107 | |||
| 28 | 50 | 28 | 1 | 107 | ||
| 21 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 107 | ||
| 4 | 101 | 2 | 107 | |||
| 1 | 61 | 62 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | |||||
| 15 | 15 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 |
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
| Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huron—Bruce | Andrew Zettel | 1,353 | 5th | |
| Kitchener—Conestoga | David Schumm | 1,001 | 5th | |
| London West | Al Gretzky | 1,188 | 5th | |
| Oak Ridges—Markham | Karl Boelling | 1,358 | 5th | |
| Vaughan | Paolo Fabrizio | 1,121 | 5th | |
| Wellington—Halton Hills | Jason Cousineau | 1,043 | 5th |
Seats changing hands
There were 17 seats that changed allegiance from the 2011 election.
;PC to Liberal
- Barrie
- Burlington
- Cambridge
- Durham
- Halton
- Newmarket—Aurora
- Northumberland—Quinte West
;PC to NDP
- Kitchener—Waterloo
- Oshawa
;NDP to Liberal
- Beaches—East York
- Davenport
- Trinity—Spadina
;Liberal to NDP
- London West
- Niagara Falls
- Sudbury
- Windsor—Tecumseh
- Windsor West
| Source | Party | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align="center" | **Lib** | align="center" | **PC** | align="center" | **NDP** |
| Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 42 | |||
| Open seats held | 5 | ||||
| Byelection loss reversed | 1 | ||||
| Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 8 | |||
| Open seats gained | 2 | ||||
| Byelection gains held | |||||
| **Total** | 58 | 28 |
Marginal seats
The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election:
| Marginal constituencies (Ontario general election, 2014) | Constituency | Rank of parties | Margins | Result | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 1st vs 2nd | 1st vs 3rd | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrie | 40.7% | 36.1% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 24.4% | Lib **gain** | |||||||
| Beaches—East York | 40.1% | 39.0% | 13.9% | 1.1% | 26.2% | Lib **gain** | |||||||
| Durham | 36.5% | 34.3% | 24.1% | 2.2% | 12.4% | Lib **gain** | |||||||
| Kitchener—Conestoga | 36.4% | 33.3% | 21.2% | 3.1% | 15.2% | PC **hold** | |||||||
| Parkdale—High Park | 40.8% | 40.0% | 12.8% | 0.8% | 28.0% | NDP **hold** | |||||||
| Sudbury | 42.2% | 39.4% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 28.4% | NDP **gain** | |||||||
| Thornhill | 44.0% | 43.8% | 8.1% | 0.2% | 35.9% | PC **hold** | |||||||
| Windsor West | 41.4% | 38.5% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 27.0% | NDP **gain** |
Opinion polls
Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory, as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.
General opinion polls

| Polling firm | Last date | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| of polling | Link | ON | Liberal}}; width:45px;" | **Liberal** | ON | PC}}; width:45px;" | **PC** | ON | NDP}}; width:45px;" | **NDP** | ON | Green}}; width:45px;" | **Green** | ON | Libertarian}}; width:45px;" | **Libertarian** | ON | Independent}}; width:45px;" | **Other** | Type |
| of poll | Sample | |||||||||||||||||||
| size | Margin | |||||||||||||||||||
| of Error | ||||||||||||||||||||
| *Election 2014* | ** | *[HTML](https://web.archive.org/web/20140625105441/http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx)* | ***38.65*** | *31.25* | *23.75* | *4.84* | *1.51* | *Ballot* | *4,851,333* | |||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014.06.11)%20Forum%20Research.pdf) | **41** | 35 | 20 | 3 | 1 | IVR | 1,054 | ±3% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/final_report_ontario_june_11_2014.pdf) | **37.3** | 31.3 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 3.9 | IVR | 1,311 | ±2.7% | |||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714180821/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave5FINAL.pdf) | **35** | 32 | 26 | 6 | 1 | Online | 1,882 | ±2.3% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6532) | **33** | 31 | 30 | 5 | Online | 1,991 | ±2.4% | ||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_11_2014.pdf) | **36.6** | 30.2 | 21.5 | 6.6 | 5.0 | IVR | 1,332 | ±2.7% | |||||||||||
| Angus Reid | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714161429/http://www.angusreidglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/ARG-Ontario-Voter-Intention-June-2014.pdf) | **36** | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,866 | ±2.3% | |||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014.06.09)%20Forum%20Research.pdf) | **42** | 35 | 19 | 3 | 1 | IVR | 739 | ±4% | |||||||||||
| Léger Marketing | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714174712/http://www.leger360.com/admin/upload/publi_pdf/201406111en.pdf) | **37** | **37** | 20 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,050 | ±3.2% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_10_2014.pdf) | **34.7** | 34.5 | 19.8 | 6.7 | 4.3 | IVR | 1,417 | ±2.6% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_9_2014.pdf) | **35.9** | **35.9** | 17.6 | 7.7 | 2.8 | IVR | 1,331 | ±2.7% | |||||||||||
| Oraclepoll Research | [PDF](http://huffstrategy.com/MediaManager/Media/Text/1402338073_Oraclepoll+June+9+Prov+FINAL.pdf) | 35 | **36** | 24 | 5 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.1% | ||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714202344/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave4FINAL.pdf) | **34** | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_7_2014.pdf) | 34.2 | **35.5** | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.4 | IVR | 1,767 | ±2.3% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6528) | **35** | **35** | 26 | 4 | Online | 2,140 | ±2.4% | ||||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20%282014.06.05%29%20Forum%20Research.pdf) | **39** | 37 | 17 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,022 | ±3% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_6_2014.pdf) | 33.9 | **34.9** | 20.5 | 8.4 | 2.3 | IVR | 1,690 | ±2.4% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_5_2014.pdf) | **35.7** | 30.9 | 19.8 | 9.6 | 4.0 | IVR | 1,303 | ±2.7% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_4_2014.pdf) | **36.4** | 31.0 | 19.3 | 8.4 | 4.9 | IVR | 997 | ±3.1% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_3_2014.pdf) | **38.8** | 30.5 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 4.5 | IVR | 934 | ±3.2% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_2_2014.pdf) | **38.5** | 33.7 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 3.0 | IVR | 927 | ±3.2% | |||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140606213948/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave3FINALA.pdf) | **37** | 30 | 24 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6516) | 34 | **36** | 23 | 7 | Online | 868 | ±3.8% | ||||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/56810_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.28%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | **36** | **36** | 20 | 7 | 1 | IVR | 882 | ±3% | |||||||||||
| Oraclepoll Research | [PDF](http://huffstrategy.com/MediaManager/Media/Text/1401459590_Media+Release_Vote+intent_May+30.pdf) | 32 | **36** | 25 | 7 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.1% | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140606222057/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S14-T606.pdf) | **37.7** | 31.2 | 23.7 | 5.3 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20151207193354/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave2FINAL.pdf) | **34** | 32 | 25 | 6 | 2 | Online | 1,000 | ±3.1% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_may_23_2014.pdf) | **35.8** | 30.0 | 20.4 | 11.9 | 1.9 | IVR | 1,215 | ±2.8% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6512) | 31 | **35** | 28 | 6 | Online | 800 | ±3.9% | ||||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014.05.20)%20Forum%20Research.pdf) | **41** | 34 | 20 | 4 | 1 | IVR | 1,136 | ±3% | |||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140525233122/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave1FINALb.pdf) | **33** | **33** | 26 | 6 | 2 | Online | 2,000 | ±2.2% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_may_16_2014.pdf) | **37.1** | 30.3 | 20.9 | 7.3 | 4.5 | IVR | 1,111 | ±2.9% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6500) | 30 | **39** | 24 | 7 | Online | 801 | ±3.9% | ||||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/14953_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.13%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | **38** | 35 | 21 | 5 | 1 | IVR | 996 | ±3% | |||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6497) | 31 | **37** | 28 | 4 | Online | 821 | ±3.9% | ||||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140513234651/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf,%20doc,%20docx,%20jpg,%20png,%20xls,%20xlsx/Ontario%20Political%20Landscape%20(May%209%202014)%20-%20For%20Release.pdf) | **38.8** | 32.8 | 19.9 | 6.5 | 2.0 | Online | 1,000 | *N/A* | |||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140513234651/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf,%20doc,%20docx,%20jpg,%20png,%20xls,%20xlsx/Ontario%20Political%20Landscape%20(May%209%202014)%20-%20For%20Release.pdf) | **38.7** | 32.8 | 23.7 | 4.3 | 0.5 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |||||||||||
| Oraclepoll Research | [PDF](http://www.oraclepoll.com/uploads/CanSiA_Presentation_ppt_Oracle.pdf) | 31 | **42** | 25 | 3 | Telephone | 1,000 | ±3.2% | ||||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/26292_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.03%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | 33 | **38** | 22 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,845 | ±2% | |||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_may_2_2014.pdf) | **34.7** | 31.6 | 22.2 | 9.4 | 2.0 | IVR | 1,576 | ±2.5% | |||||||||||
| *[Election 2011](2011-ontario-general-election)* | ** | *[PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140501145454/http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/5604/SummaryofValidBallotsCast2011.pdf)* | ***37.65*** | *35.45* | *22.74* | *2.92* | *1.24* | *Ballot* | *4,316,382* |
Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:
Likely voters
| Polling firm | Last date | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| of polling | Link | ON | Liberal}}; width:45px;" | **Liberal** | ON | PC}}; width:45px;" | **PC** | ON | NDP}}; width:45px;" | **NDP** | ON | Green}}; width:45px;" | **Green** | ON | Libertarian}}; width:45px;" | **Libertarian** | ON | Independent}}; width:45px;" | **Other** |
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/final_report_ontario_june_11_2014.pdf) | **42.2** | 35.9 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714180821/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave5FINAL.pdf) | **36** | **36** | 23 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6532) | 30 | **36** | 30 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_11_2014.pdf) | **41.1** | 33.2 | 17.1 | 5.6 | 2.9 | |||||||||||||
| Angus Reid | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714161429/http://www.angusreidglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/ARG-Ontario-Voter-Intention-June-2014.pdf) | 34 | **36** | 24 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_10_2014.pdf) | **38.1** | 36.3 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 3.1 | |||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_9_2014.pdf) | **42.2** | 35.4 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140714202344/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave4FINAL.pdf) | **34** | **34** | 26 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_7_2014.pdf) | **40.7** | 35.7 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 1.8 | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6528) | 32 | **40** | 24 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_6_2014.pdf) | **39.5** | 35.6 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_june_5_2014.pdf) | **41.4** | 32.0 | 17.8 | 6.2 | 3 | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140606213948/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave3FINALA.pdf) | **37** | 35 | 22 | 5 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6516) | 29 | **41** | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20151207193354/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave2FINAL.pdf) | **36** | 33 | 24 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6512) | 30 | **41** | 26 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140525233122/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/OntarioElection_Ballot_Wave1FINALb.pdf) | 33 | **36** | 25 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6500) | 31 | **43** | 22 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6497) | 28 | **42** | 27 | 2 |
Pre-campaign period
.png)
| Pre-campaign period polling (October 2011 – April 2014) | Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | ON | Liberal}};" | **Liberal** | ON | PC}};" | **PC** | ON | NDP}};" | **NDP** | ON | Green}};" | **Green** | Type of poll | Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6479) | 32 | **37** | 27 | 5 | Online | 813 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140424161312/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/CIOP%20April%202014%20-%20Ontario%20Polling%20-%20Presentation%20RELEASE.pdf) | **39** | 30 | 23 | 7 | Online | 800 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140424160346/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-W14-T603.pdf) | **36.3** | 36.0 | 21.6 | 5.7 | Telephone | 503 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/06128_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.04.07%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | 31 | **38** | 23 | 7 | IVR | 928 | ||||||||||
| Oraclepoll Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140512215228/http://www.oraclepoll.com/uploads/OSEA_April_Omnibus_Executive_Summary.pdf) | **35** | 34 | 24 | 8 | Telephone | 1,000 | ||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_april_9_2014.pdf) | **32.3** | 27.4 | 29.0 | 8.3 | IVR | 1,234 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140413140442/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/PAAC%20Presentation%20Deck%20for%20Release%202014.pdf) | **38** | 33 | 25 | 4 | Online | 1,017 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/24545_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.03.24%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | **35** | 32 | 25 | 7 | IVR | 908 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140407074048/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-W14-T597.pdf) | **35.7** | 32.9 | 24.5 | 6.8 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [HTML](https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/02/27/minority_looms_in_next_ontario_election_poll.html) | 32 | **35** | 26 | 6 | IVR | 1,014 | ||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](https://web.archive.org/web/20140320021752/http://www.ctvnews.ca/more/456693/ontario-tories-take-slight-lead-over-liberals-ndp-poll-1.1690132) | 31 | **34** | 31 | 4 | Online | 828 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [HTML](https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/01/28/hudaks_righttowork_policy_may_be_hurting_tories_popularity_poll_suggests.html) | 33 | **36** | 26 | 4 | IVR | 1,222 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140201171156/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-W14-T594.pdf) | **35.5** | 28.1 | 27.4 | 8.1 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [HTML](https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2013/12/23/ontario_headed_toward_another_minority_government_poll.html) | 31 | **38** | 24 | 5 | IVR | 1,044 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/95865_ON_Horserace_%282013.11.26%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | 32 | **38** | 23 | 6 | IVR | 1,126 | ||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.threehundredeight.com/2013/11/ontario-ndp-gains-in-uncertainty.html) | **34** | 31 | 31 | 5 | Online | 832 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [HTML](https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2013/10/29/better_canada_pension_plan_more_popular_than_proposed_ontario_version_poll_suggests.html) | 31 | **34** | 27 | 7 | IVR | 1,049 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [HTML](https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2013/10/03/tim_hudak_targets_ndp_as_well_as_liberals_in_bid_to_expand_support.html) | 33 | **36** | 23 | 7 | IVR | 1,093 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20131007060635/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-W13-T586.pdf) | **36.0** | 31.3 | 26.1 | 6.3 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Campaign Research | [PDF](https://www.scribd.com/doc/170581777/Campaign-Research-on-Political-Tracking-Poll-Sept-19-2013) | **36** | 32 | 22 | 8 | IVR | 1,414 | ||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415084538/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/OntarioPoliticalUpdateSept2013.pdf) | 30 | **33** | 30 | 5 | Online | 1,000 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/54112_ON_Horserace_%28290813%29_Forum_Research.pdf) | 32 | **35** | 26 | 6 | IVR | 1,063 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [HTML](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ontario-voters-not-dismayed-by-liberal-gas-plant-scandal-poll-suggests/article14213337/) | **37** | 30 | 22 | 10 | Telephone | 600 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/16574_ON_Horserace_%28Forum_Research%29%2807232013%29.pdf) | 31 | **36** | 27 | 5 | IVR | 914 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415033356/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202013-07.pdf) | **37.2** | 30.6 | 27.0 | 4.9 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_july_19_2013.pdf) | **31.9** | 28.9 | 25.9 | 9.4 | IVR | 830 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/49759_ON_Horserace_%28Forum_Research%29%2806272013%29.pdf) | 33 | **35** | 24 | 8 | IVR | 1,037 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/83255_ON_Horserace_%2829052013%29%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | **38** | 34 | 21 | 6 | IVR | 918 | ||||||||||
| EKOS | [HTML](http://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2013/07/ekos-poll-may-2013/) | **34.9** | 29.6 | 22.6 | 9.4 | IVR | 1,152 | ||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6127) | **34** | **34** | 26 | 5 | Online | 1,772 | ||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415084641/http://abacusinsider.com/abacusinsider/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/VoteIntention_GasPlants_May162013.pdf) | **34** | **34** | 25 | 6 | Online | 1,185 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415041100/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/130515_OTM%20Release%20Deck.pdf) | **37** | 30 | 25 | 6 | Telephone | 610 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/28970_ON_Horserace_%2804052013%29%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | **35** | **35** | 25 | 4 | IVR | 869 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/11624_Ontario_-_Horserace_%28Forum_Research%29%2804282013%29.pdf) | **36** | **36** | 24 | 4 | IVR | 1,133 | ||||||||||
| Ipsos Reid | [HTML](http://globalnews.ca/news/508703/ontario-liberals-trail-behind-conservatives-poll/) | 28 | **37** | 29 | 6 | Online | 1,360 | ||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_ontario_april_16_2013.pdf) | 30.8 | **31.7** | 25.5 | 9.7 | IVR | 1,084 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/55954_Ontario_-_Horserace_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820130328%29.pdf) | 33 | **35** | 26 | 5 | IVR | 1,156 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/68208_Ontario_-_Horserace_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820130304%29.pdf) | **32** | **32** | 29 | 5 | IVR | 2,773 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/74920_Ontario_-_Political_Issues_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820130221%29.pdf) | 29 | **36** | 28 | 5 | IVR | 1,053 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20130228134349/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202013-02.pdf) | 33.6 | **33.7** | 26.5 | 5.4 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| EKOS | [PDF](http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_on_february_15_2013.pdf) | **32.5** | 28.5 | 25.6 | 10.1 | IVR | 1,797 | ||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](http://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/OntarioBALLOT_Feb2013.pdf) | 30 | **33** | 31 | 5 | Online | 1,020 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415042212/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/Release%20-%20Ontario%20Provincial%20Polling%20%2830-Jan-2013%29_0.pdf) | **31** | 30 | 27 | 9 | Telephone | 446 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/97990_Ontario_-_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820130123%29.pdf) | 27 | 32 | **35** | 5 | IVR | 1,108 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/59695_Ontario_-_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820121219%29.pdf) | 27 | **33** | 31 | 8 | IVR | 990 | ||||||||||
| Abacus Data | [PDF](http://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/OntarioUPDATE_Dec2012.pdf) | 28 | **35** | 31 | 5 | Online | 821 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/70523_Ontario_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 29 | **35** | 27 | 8 | IVR | 1,127 | ||||||||||
| Oraclepoll Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415061808/http://www.oraclepoll.com/uploads/Ontario_November_Vote_Intent.pdf) | 26 | **37** | 31 | 6 | Telephone | |||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/66583_Ontario_Political_Issues_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820121101%29.pdf) | 22 | **37** | 32 | 7 | IVR | 1,102 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20121224074537/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf,%20doc,%20docx,%20jpg,%20png,%20xls,%20xlsx/OTM1210%20-%20In-Depth%20-%20vFINAL2.pdf) | 28 | **32** | 31 | 9 | Telephone | 600 | ||||||||||
| Angus Reid | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415041025/http://www.angusreidglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012.10.20_Politics_ON.pdf) | 26 | **36** | 32 | 5 | Online | 802 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/12413_Ontario_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 20 | **37** | 35 | 7 | IVR | 851 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20120907073841/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202012-08.pdf) | 34.0 | **34.7** | 22.1 | 6.8 | Telephone | 1,000 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/43644_Ontario_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820120815%29.pdf) | 27 | **38** | 28 | 6 | IVR | 1,021 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/74655_Ontario_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 26 | **38** | 30 | 5 | IVR | 1,098 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/02523_Ontario_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820120605%29.pdf) | 28 | **36** | 30 | 4 | IVR | 1,038 | ||||||||||
| Environics | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20120617080624/http://www.environics.ca/uploads/File/Environics-Research---Ontario-Vote-Intention-June-1-2012-final.pdf) | 25 | **37** | 28 | 10 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/18368_Ontario_Political_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 27 | **34** | 32 | 5 | IVR | 1,072 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415035204/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202012-05.pdf) | 31.0 | **33.6** | 28.5 | 5.6 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/91725_Ontario_Issues_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29_%2820120417%29.pdf) | 28 | **34** | 31 | 5 | IVR | 1,084 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415040211/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202012-04.pdf) | **35.4** | 32.1 | 26.5 | 6.0 | Telephone | 501 | ||||||||||
| Environics | [HTML](http://ontarionewswatch.com/onw-news.html?id=308) | 27 | **37** | 30 | 6 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/34144_Ontario_Issues_-_Political_Party_Standing_Issues_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 30 | **34** | 30 | 5 | IVR | 1,131 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/00000_Ontario_Issues_-_Political_Party_Standing_Issues_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 28 | **40** | 23 | 8 | IVR | 1,065 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415035734/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202012-03.pdf) | **39.9** | 30.0 | 24.7 | 4.3 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/69368_Ontario_-_Party_Preference__Issues_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 32 | **36** | 26 | 5 | IVR | 1,218 | ||||||||||
| Forum Research | [PDF](http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/34541_Ontario_-_Provincial_Party_Preference_and_Leadership_Approval_Poll_%28Forum_Research%29.pdf) | 33 | **41** | 20 | 4 | IVR | 1,041 | ||||||||||
| Nanos Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140415040106/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/Ontario%20Ballot%202011-11.pdf) | **39.1** | 34.5 | 21.6 | 3.5 | Telephone | 500 | ||||||||||
| Innovative Research | [PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20120413082944/http://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/Counsel%20v3.pdf) | **39** | 34 | 23 | 4 | Online | 545 | ||||||||||
| *[Election 2011](2011-ontario-general-election)* | ** | *[PDF](https://web.archive.org/web/20140501145454/http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/5604/SummaryofValidBallotsCast2011.pdf)* | ***37.65*** | *35.45* | *22.74* | *2.92* | *Ballot* | *4,316,382* |
Issues
Economy
Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years. The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).
The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.
The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.
The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.
The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation. Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property" and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.
The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19 as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.
Transit
Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.
The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa. A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service. The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.
Endorsements
Media endorsements
The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:
Liberal
- Toronto Star
- Now
- Torontoist
Progressive Conservative
- Burlington Post, The Flamborough Review, Oakville Beaver
- The Globe and Mail
- National Post
- Ottawa Citizen
- Toronto Sun, Ottawa Sun
- Windsor Star
New Democratic Party
- Sudbury Star
Explicitly not endorsing any party
- Hamilton Spectator
- The Kitchener-Waterloo Record
Public figure endorsements
- Deputy Mayor of Toronto, and acting mayor, Norm Kelly endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.
- Mayor of Mississauga, Hazel McCallion endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.
- Mayor of Kitchener, Carl Zehr endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.
Notes
References
References
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- [http://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/4569491-the-spectator-s-view-picking-the-least-unappealing-option/ "The Spectator's View: Picking the least unappealing option"] {{Webarchive. link. (2018-11-16 . ''[[Hamilton Spectator]]'', June 11, 2014)
- (2014-06-07). "Stark choices for Ontario voters". [[The Kitchener-Waterloo Record]], a division of [[Metroland Media Group]].
- (2014-06-05). "Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly endorses Wynne". [[Toronto Sun]].
- [http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/mississauga-mayor-hazel-mccallion-endorses-kathleen-wynne-1.2642660 Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion endorses Kathleen Wynne] {{Webarchive. link. (2022-03-23 . ''CBC News''. 2014-05-14.)
- (2014-06-09). "Kitchener Mayor Carl Zehr endorses Kathleen Wynne". [[CBC News.
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