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2014 Ohio gubernatorial election

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2014 Ohio gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Ohio gubernatorial election
countryOhio
typepresidential
ongoingNo
previous_election2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Ohio gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image_sizex150px
image1File:Governor John Kasich.jpg
nominee1**John Kasich**
running_mate1**Mary Taylor**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,944,848**
percentage1**63.64%**
image2File:Ed FitzGerald.jpg
nominee2Ed FitzGerald
running_mate2Sharen Neuhardt
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,009,359
percentage233.03%
map_image{{switcher
default1
map_size210px
map_caption**Kasich:**
**FitzGerald:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionJohn Kasich
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJohn Kasich
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

|[[File:2014 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|210px]] |County results |[[File:2014 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|210px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:OH 2014 Gov.svg|210px]] |Precinct results FitzGerald:
Tie:
The 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich won a second term by a landslide over Democratic candidate Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios. Primary elections were held on May 6, 2014.

Kasich's landslide victory gave him the highest percentage of the vote since George Voinovich's win in 1994, a large improvement from his narrow victory in 2010. , this was the last time the counties of Cuyahoga and Franklin voted for the Republican candidate and the last time Monroe County voted for the Democratic candidate.

This was one of the nine Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2012 presidential election.

Background

Kasich, who was elected with Tea Party support in 2010, faced considerable backlash from the movement. His decision to accept the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's expansion of Medicaid, his increased spending, taxation of fracking on Ohio farmland and perceived failure to go far enough on charter schools and school vouchers caused Tea Party groups to refuse to support his campaign. When Kasich passed over Tea Party leader Tom Zawistowski for the position of executive director of the Ohio Republican Party in favor of Matt Borges, who worked with a gay rights group, that was widely seen as the last straw. Tea Party groups announced they would support a primary challenger, or, if none emerged, the Libertarian nominee. Zawistowski said, "John Kasich is going to lose in 2014. We don't care who else wins." Ultimately, Kasich was unopposed in the Republican primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Kasich, incumbent governor
    • Running mate: Mary Taylor, incumbent lieutenant governor

Withdrawn

  • Donald Allen, veterinarian and candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2010
    • Running mate: Kelly Kohls, education activist and chair of the Warren County Tea Party
  • Ted Stevenot, president of the Ohio Liberty Coalition

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Larry Ealy, former tow truck operator, former male stripper, perennial candidate and vexatious litigant
    • Running mate: Ken Gray, nurse
  • Ed FitzGerald, County Executive of Cuyahoga County and former mayor of Lakewood
    • Running mate: Sharen Neuhardt, attorney, nominee for Ohio's 7th congressional district in 2008 and for Ohio's 10th congressional district in 2012

Withdrew

  • Todd Portune, Hamilton County Commissioner

Declined

  • Michael B. Coleman, mayor of Columbus
  • Richard Cordray, director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and former Ohio Attorney General
  • Tim Ryan, U.S. representative
  • Ted Strickland, former governor
  • Betty Sutton, former U.S. representative

Results

Results by county:

| | | ]]

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Anita Rios, nominee for lieutenant governor of Ohio in 2006 and 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012
    • Running mate: Bob Fitrakis, author and perennial candidate

Disqualified

  • Dennis Spisak, perennial candidate (failed to gather enough valid signatures)
    • Running mate: Suzanne Patzer, information technology supervisor

Results

Libertarian primary

Charlie Earl gathered enough raw signatures to obtain ballot access. However, he was removed from the ballot because technical faults in collection rendered many of his signatures invalid. The decision was appealed in federal court.

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Charlie Earl, former Republican state representative
    • Running mate: Sherry Clark, newspaper publisher

General election

Campaign

FitzGerald released a plan for state-funded universal preschool in addition to announcing his support for gay marriage. He criticized Kasich for signing into law income tax cuts that save larger sums of money for wealthier Ohioans than poorer ones, while increasing sales taxes, which tax a larger percentage of income from poorer Ohioans than from wealthier ones. FitzGerald also chided Kasich for a lack of transparency at JobsOhio, the privatized economic development agency that Kasich formed, and for signing into law bills that cut early voting days and limit the distribution of absentee ballot applications. FitzGerald faced several scandals that damaged his candidacy, most notably the revelations that he had driven for several years without a valid driver's license, him being found in a car late at night with a woman who was not his wife, and that his initial running mate, State Sen. Eric Kearney, owed over $1 million in unpaid taxes. Additionally, FitzGerald consistently trailed Kasich in fundraising throughout the entire campaign.

Endorsements

Newspapers

  • The Cincinnati Enquirer
  • The Columbus Dispatch
  • The Plain Dealer

Organizations

  • Indiana/Kentucky/Ohio Regional Council of Carpenters
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 18
  • National Federation of Independent Business
  • Ohio Chamber of Commerce
  • Ohio Restaurant Association

Individuals

  • Sherrod Brown, United States senator (D-OH)
  • Michael B. Coleman, mayor of Columbus
  • Frank G. Jackson, mayor of Cleveland
  • Marcy Kaptur, U.S. representative (D-OH-9)
  • Ted Strickland, former governor of Ohio

Organizations

  • Ohio AFL–CIO
  • Ohio Civil Service Employees Association
  • Ohio Education Association
  • Ohio Federation of Teachers
  • Service Employees International Union
  • United Automobile Workers
  • United Food and Commercial Workers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Ed
FitzGerald (D)OtherUndecided
The Columbus DispatchOctober 22–31, 20141,009± 3.3%**62%**34%—4%
Fox NewsOctober 28–30, 2014803± 3%**51%**36%2%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20142,728± 3%**54%**35%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20143,082± 2%**52%**36%1%11%
QuinnipiacSeptember 24–29, 2014999± 3.1%**57%**35%2%7%
The Columbus DispatchSeptember 3–5, 20141,185± 2.9%**59%**29%3%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20142,978± 3%**50%**37%2%11%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 8–9, 2014780± 4%**50%**30%—20%
Buckeye PollAugust 31, 2014600± 4%**46%**27%4%23%
Public Policy Polling^August 8–9, 2014801± ?**50%**44%—6%
QuinnipiacJuly 24–28, 20141,366± 2.7%**48%**36%1%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20143,624± ?**49%**43%1%7%
Public Policy Polling^July 9–10, 2014889± ?**45%**44%—11%
QuinnipiacMay 7–12, 20141,174± 2.9%**50%**35%1%13%
Public Policy Polling^May 9–11, 2014740± ?**47%**43%—10%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 7–8, 2014750± 4%**45%**38%4%13%
SurveyUSAApril 24–28, 2014618± 4%**46%**36%4%14%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14–15, 2014857± 3.35%**47%**41%5%7%
Public Policy Polling^April 14–15, 20141,050± ?**44%****44%**—11%
QuinnipiacFebruary 12–17, 20141,370± 2.7%**43%**38%1%18%
Public Policy PollingDecember 6–8, 20131,011± 3.1%**40%**38%6%16%
QuinnipiacNovember 19–24, 20131,361± 2.7%**44%**37%2%19%
Public Policy Polling^November 5–6, 2013595± 4%**41%****41%**6%13%
Public Policy PollingAugust 16–19, 2013551± 4.2%35%**38%**—27%
QuinnipiacJune 18–23, 2013941± 3.2%**47%**33%1%19%
QuinnipiacApril 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9%**46%**37%1%17%
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%**45%**35%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Michael B.
Coleman (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%**43%**36%—22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Richard
Cordray (D)OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacJune 18–23, 2013941± 3.2%**47%**36%1%17%
QuinnipiacApril 10–15, 20131,138± 2.9%**45%**38%2%15%
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%**44%**38%1%18%
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%**41%**40%—19%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%**42%****42%**—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Larry
Ealy (D)Anita
Rios (G)Undecided
SurveyUSAApril 24–28, 2014618± 4%**50%**25%7%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Dennis
Kucinich (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%**45%**35%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Tim
Ryan (D)OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%**44%**36%1%19%
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%**41%**33%—26%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40%**41%**—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Ted
Strickland (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 21–24, 2012673± 3.8%**44%**42%—14%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 2012875± 3.3%40%**47%**—12%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 28–29, 2012820± 3.4%36%**56%**—8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Kasich (R)Betty
Sutton (D)OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacFebruary 21–26, 20131,011± 3.1%**45%**38%1%16%
  • ^ Polling for the Ohio Democratic Party

Results

|State Senate district results|thumb]]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Ashtabula (largest city: Ashtabula)
  • Belmont (largest city: Martins Ferry)
  • Cuyahoga (largest city: Cleveland)
  • Erie (largest city: Sandusky)
  • Franklin (largest city: Columbus)
  • Harrison (largest city: Cadiz)
  • Hocking (largest city: Logan)
  • Jackson (largest city: Jackson)
  • Jefferson (largest city: Steubenville)
  • Lawrence (largest city: Ironton)
  • Lorain (largest municipality: Lorain)
  • Lucas (largest city: Toledo)
  • Mahoning (largest municipality: Youngstown)
  • Meigs (largest city: Middleport)
  • Montgomery (largest city: Dayton)
  • Noble (largest city: Caldwell)
  • Ottawa (largest city: Port Clinton)
  • Perry (largest city: New Lexington)
  • Pike (largest city: Waverly)
  • Ross (largest city: Chillicothe)
  • Scioto (largest city: Portsmouth)
  • Summit (largest city: Akron)
  • Trumbull (largest city: Warren)
  • Vinton (largest city: McArthur)
  • Washington (largest city: Marietta)
  • Wood (largest city: Bowling Green)

By congressional district

Kasich won 14 of 16 congressional districts, including two that voted for Democrats.

DistrictKasichFitzGeraldRepresentative
**65%**32%Steve Chabot
**69%**30%Brad Wenstrup
47%**49%**Joyce Beatty
**71%**26%Jim Jordan
**69%**28%Bob Latta
**63%**34%Bill Johnson
**70%**27%Bob Gibbs
**74%**24%John Boehner
**52%**44%Marcy Kaptur
**65%**32%Mike Turner
35%**61%**Marcia Fudge
**70%**27%Pat Tiberi
**53%**43%Tim Ryan
**68%**29%David Joyce
**66%**30%Steve Stivers
**70%**27%Jim Renacci

References

References

  1. Terkel, Amanda. (March 11, 2013). "John Kasich Faces Tea Party Protest Over Medicaid Decision". HuffPost.
  2. Green, Justin. (May 6, 2013). "Why Does the Tea Party Want to Let Democrats Run Ohio?". The Daily Beast.
  3. Freedlander, David. (September 4, 2013). "Ohio Republican Party Goes to War With Itself, Leaving 2016 in Doubt". The Daily Beast.
  4. Vardon, Joe. (November 8, 2012). "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid". [[Columbus Dispatch]].
  5. Pelzer, Jeremy. (January 13, 2014). "Another tea party-backed candidate mulls run for Ohio governor". The Plain Dealer.
  6. Thompson, Chrissie. (January 30, 2014). "Tea party has no challenger for Kasich after all". [[The Cincinnati Enquirer]].
  7. Casey Weldon. "Tea party activist Ted Stevenot won't challenge Ohio Gov. John Kasich in Republican primary". WCPO.
  8. "Ohio Decides 2014".
  9. Henry J. Gomez. (February 6, 2014). "Who is Larry Ealy? Ohio Politics Roundup". The Plain Dealer.
  10. Henry J. Gomez. (February 18, 2014). "Larry Ealy, little-known Democrat from Dayton, talks about his campaign for governor". The Plain Dealer.
  11. Joe Vardon. (May 1, 2014). "Ex-stripper running for Ohio governor opens up about past". The Columbus Dispatch.
  12. Jim Provance. (February 2, 2014). "FitzGerald might have competition". The Toledo Blade.
  13. Gomez, Henry J.. (April 24, 2013). "Cuyahoga County executive Ed FitzGerald announces bid for Ohio governor". The Blade.
  14. Joe Vardon. "Ed FitzGerald names Sharen Neuhardt as running mate". The Columbus Dispatch.
  15. Troy, Tom. (December 17, 2013). "Primary challenge for FitzGerald? Hamilton County Commissioner Todd Portune may run for governor". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  16. Schultheis, Emily. (December 30, 2013). "Ohio governor race 2014: 2nd Democrat to go for seat". [[POLITICO]].
  17. Gomez, Henry J.. (July 16, 2013). "With Richard Cordray's future now set, Ed FitzGerald controls his own destiny in Ohio governor's race: Analysis". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  18. Eaton, Sabrina. (March 15, 2013). "Rep. Tim Ryan decides to skip gubernatorial bid". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  19. Gomez, Henry J.. (January 8, 2013). "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  20. Gomez, Henry J.. (March 22, 2013). "Former Rep. Betty Sutton will not run for governor". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  21. Collins, Kathleen. (February 27, 2014). "Write-in candidates file for Primary, state issue added to ballot". Akron Ohio News.
  22. (November 24, 2013). "Ohio Green Dennis Spisak announces gubernatorial run". Green Party of Ohio.
  23. Vardon, Joe. (February 19, 2014). "Larry Ealy qualifies for ballot setting up Democratic gubernatorial primary". The Columbus Dispatch.
  24. Gomez, Henry J.. (February 18, 2014). "Ed FitzGerald faces only primary among statewide candidates; Libertarians fail to field full slate". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  25. Joe Vardon. "Libertarians angry at GOP while acknowledging faults". The Columbus Dispatch.
  26. McAvoy, John. (September 6, 2013). "Earl for Ohio Governor Campaign Launch".
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  28. (May 14, 2014). "FitzGerald proposes $500 million universal preschool plan". The Plain Dealer.
  29. (June 28, 2013). "Ed FitzGerald assails Ohio budget as harmful to middle-class families, the poor and women". The Plain Dealer.
  30. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140517124037/https://www.nbc4i.com/story/25393739/jobs-ohio-doesnt-have-to-disclose-records-on-taxpayer-money Jobs Ohio Doesn't Have To Disclose Records On Taxpayer Money]
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  33. (February 22, 2014). "Kasich signs voting bills that end Golden Week and limit distribution of absentee ballots". The Plain Dealer.
  34. (April 9, 2014). "Cuyahoga County". The Plain Dealer.
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  37. (September 21, 2014). "For governor; John Kasich has reinvigorated Ohio and deserves second term". [[The Columbus Dispatch]].
  38. (October 24, 2014). "John Kasich for Ohio governor: endorsement editorial". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  39. Borchardt, Jackie. (October 22, 2014). "John Kasich accepts second labor endorsement from carpenters' union". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  40. Tobias, Andrew. (October 9, 2014). "Ohio Gov. John Kasich plays up blue-collar roots, mentions 'a shot and a beer' while accepting endorsement from construction union". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  41. (July 8, 2014). "NFIB/Ohio Supports Governor Kasich in Re-Election Bid". NFIB.com.
  42. Higgs, Robert. (September 10, 2014). "Ohio Chamber backs Kasich for re-election, marking just its second gubernatorial endorsement". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  43. Gomez, Henry. (July 28, 2014). "Ohio Restaurant Association sticks with Gov. John Kasich despite split over guns in bars". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  44. Troy, Tom. (November 15, 2013). "U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown comes to Toledo to endorse FitzGerald for governor". [[Toledo Blade]].
  45. Drabold, Will. (April 9, 2014). "Mayor Coleman endorses FitzGerald for governor". [[The Columbus Dispatch]].
  46. Gomez, Henry J.. (January 16, 2014). "Ed FitzGerald collects endorsement from Cleveland Mayor Frank Jackson; announcement on new running mate 'coming very soon'". [[The Plain Dealer]].
  47. Troy, Tom. (August 15, 2013). "Kaptur endorses FitzGerald in governor's race". [[Toledo Blade]].
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  50. (November 4, 2013). "Ohio Education Association Endorses FitzGerald for Governor". [[Ohio Education Association]].
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