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2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

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2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
countryGeorgia (U.S. state)
typepresidential
ongoingno
turnout42.25%
previous_election2010 Georgia gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Georgia gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1File:Nathan Deal, April 25, 2017 (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Nathan Deal**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,345,237**
percentage1**52.74%**
image2File:Jason Carter 02 (cropped).jpg
nominee2Jason Carter
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,144,794
percentage244.88%
map_image
map_size250px
map_caption**Deal:**
**Carter:**
**Hunt:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionNathan Deal
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionNathan Deal
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Carter:
Hunt:
Tie:
The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic state senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor; and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Barge, State School Superintendent
  • Nathan Deal, incumbent governor
  • David Pennington, Mayor of Dalton

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
DealJohn
BargeDavid
PenningtonUndecided
InsiderAdvantageMay 18, 2014852±3.36%**62.1%**5.1%9.9%22.9%
SurveyUSAMay 8–12, 2014634± 4%**63%**10%15%12%
SurveyUSAApril 24–27, 2014501± 4.3%**64%**10%11%16%
InsiderAdvantageApril 13–15, 2014804±3.4%**61%**4%7%28%
Landmark/RosettaMarch 23–24, 2014600± 4%**58%**8%7%27%
SurveyUSAMarch 16–18, 2014508± 4.2%**65%**7%11%17%
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013260± 6.1%**71%**8%21%
**71%**11%19%
[20/20 Insight, LLC](20-20-insight-llc)May 7–9, 2013?± ?**53%**18%29%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jason Carter, state senator and grandson of former U.S. president and former governor Jimmy Carter

Withdrew

Declined

  • Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives
  • Roy Barnes, former governor and nominee for governor in 2010
  • Shirley Franklin, former mayor of Atlanta
  • Scott Holcomb, state representative
  • Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)Jason
Carter (D)Andrew
Hunt (L)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–3, 2014975± 3.1%**47%**43%4%6%
**49%**45%6%
Landmark CommunicationsNovember 2, 20141,500± 2.5%**51%**45%3%2%
Insider AdvantageNovember 2, 20141,463± 3%**47%**44%5%4%
SurveyUSAOctober 30 – November 2, 2014591± 4.1%**47%**42%5%5%
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,743± 3.2%**45%**41%1%1%12%
NBC News/MaristOctober 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%**48%**43%3%1%5%
875 RV± 3.3%**46%**42%4%1%7%
Landmark CommunicationsOctober 29, 20141,500± 2.5%**48%**46%4%3%
Vox Populi PollingOctober 28, 2014602± 4%**49%**42%3%7%
MonmouthOctober 26–28, 2014436± 4.7%**48%**42%5%5%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 25–27, 2014977± 3%**49%**43%2%6%
SurveyUSAOctober 24–27, 2014611± 4%**46%**44%3%6%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–24, 2014771± ?%**48%**45%4%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,774± 4%**47%**43%2%0%8%
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionOctober 16–23, 20141,170± 3.6%**46%**41%6%7%
Insider AdvantageOctober 21–22, 2014704± 3.7%**44%****44%**5%8%
CNN/ORC InternationalOctober 19–22, 2014565± 4%46%**48%**6%
Landmark CommunicationsOctober 20–21, 20141,000± 2.75%**48%**45%5%2%
SurveyUSAOctober 17–20, 2014606± 4.1%**45%**43%4%8%
GaPundit.comOctober 13–14, 20141,543± 2.49%**44%****44%**6%5%
SurveyUSAOctober 10–13, 2014563± 4.2%**46%****46%**4%4%
Landmark CommunicationsOctober 7–9, 20141,000± 3.1%**45%****45%**5%5%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–6, 2014566± 4.2%**46%**44%4%7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 2–5, 2014895± 3.3%**46%**41%4%9%
**50%**45%5%
Hickman AnalyticsSeptember 26 – October 5, 2014500± 4.4%**44%**36%9%13%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 30 – October 1, 20141,000± 4%**49%**43%2%6%
Insider AdvantageSeptember 29 – October 1, 2014947± 3.2%**44%**43%4%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,851± 3%**48%**43%1%0%7%
SurveyUSASeptember 19–22, 2014550± 4.3%44%**45%**4%7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15–16, 2014750± 4%**45%**44%3%8%
Insider AdvantageSeptember 10–11, 20141,167± 2.9%**44%**40%7%9%
Landmark CommunicationsSeptember 9–11, 20141,109± 2.9%44%**47%**4%5%
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionSeptember 8–11, 2014884± 4%**43%**42%7%8%
SurveyUSASeptember 5–8, 2014558± 4.2%**45%**44%4%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20141,900± 3%**47%**39%4%1%9%
GaPundit.comAugust 24–25, 20141,578± 2.47%**44%**42%7%8%
Landmark CommunicationsAugust 20–21, 2014600± 4%40%**44%**16%
SurveyUSAAugust 14–17, 2014560± 4.2%**48%**39%4%8%
InsiderAdvantageAugust 12–13, 2014719± 3.7%**43%**39%7%11%
Hicks Evaluation GroupAugust 8–10, 2014788± 3.48%**45%****45%**9%
Landmark CommunicationsJuly 25, 2014750± 3.8%40%**47%**5%9%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 23–24, 2014750± 4%44%**45%**3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20142,568± 3.4%**50%**41%1%8%
Landmark CommunicationsJuly 15, 2014750± 441%**49%**4%6%
Public Policy PollingJuly 11–13, 2014664± ?**41%**40%8%11%
Insider AdvantageJune 24–25, 20141,349± 2.7%**47%**40%3%10%
SurveyUSAJune 3–5, 2014999± 3.2%**44%**38%7%11%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 21–22, 2014750± 4%41%**48%**3%7%
Public Policy PollingMay 21–22, 2014803± ?%**43%****43%**7%7%
SurveyUSAMay 8–12, 20141,380± 2.7%**43%**37%7%14%
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionMay 5–8, 20141,012± 4%**48%**44%8%
Saint LeoMay 5–6, 20141,000± 3%**38%**35%11%16%
NBC News/MaristApril 30 – May 5, 20142,196± 2.1%**50%**40%1%10%
SurveyUSAApril 24–27, 20141,567± 2.5%**41%**37%9%13%
Public Policy PollingApril 1–3, 2014628± 4%42%**43%**15%
Landmark/Rosetta StoneMarch 30, 2014575± 4%**43%**39%18%
Insider AdvantageMarch 13, 2014486± 4.3%38%**41%**21%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 19–20, 2014833± 4%**45%**42%12%
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionJanuary 6–9, 2014802± 4%**47%**38%15%
Insider AdvantageJanuary 6, 2014529± 4.6%**44%**22%34%
Anzalone Liszt GroveOctober 14–20, 2013600± 4%**44%**36%20%
Public Policy PollingOctober 7–8, 2013602± 4.1%**44%**40%16%
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%**48%**33%19%
[20/20 Insight, LLC](20-20-insight-llc)May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%42%**45%**13%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15–18, 2013602± 4%**46%**38%16%
Public Policy PollingNovember 30–December 2, 2012729± 3.6%**46%**38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)Stacey
Abrams (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%**47%**34%19%
[20/20 Insight, LLC](20-20-insight-llc)May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%**45%**39%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)John
Barrow (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15–18, 2013602± 4%**48%**38%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%**44%**40%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)Scott
Holcomb (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%**48%**28%24%
[20/20 Insight, LLC](20-20-insight-llc)May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%**41%****41%**18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)Kasim
Reed (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15–18, 2013602± 4%**48%**38%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%**47%**40%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNathan
Deal (R)Jason
Carter (D)OtherUndecided
NBC News/MaristOctober 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%**50%**46%4%
875 RV± 3.3%**48%**45%1%6%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Douglas (largest town: Douglasville)
  • Henry (largest city: Stockbridge)
  • Newton (largest town: Covington)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Baker (largest city: Newton)
  • Brooks (largest city: Quitman)
  • Clinch (Largest city: Homerville)
  • Early (largest city: Blakely)
  • McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien)
  • Mitchell (largest municipality: Camilla)
  • Peach (largest municipality: Fort Valley)
  • Webster (largest town: Preston)

References

References

  1. Cassidy, Christina A.. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". [[Marietta Daily Journal]].
  2. Bluestein, Greg. (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
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