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2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election
countryConnecticut
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Connecticut gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
turnout55.60% ( 1.85%)
election_date
next_election2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election
next_year2018
image1File:Dannel Malloy 2016.jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee1**Dannel Malloy**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
alliance1Working Families
running_mate1**Nancy Wyman**
popular_vote1**554,314**
percentage1**50.73%**
map{{switcher220px
map_caption**Malloy:**
**Foley:**
titleGovernor
before_electionDannel Malloy
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionDannel Malloy
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
image2File:Official portrait of Tom Foley, U.S. Ambassador to Ireland (cropped).jpg
nominee2Thomas C. Foley
running_mate2Heather Somers
party2Republican Party (United States)
alliance2Independent
popular_vote2526,295
percentage248.16%

|County results |220px |Municipality results |[[File:2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|220px]] |Congressional district results }}

Foley:

The 2014 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy won re-election to a second term in office. Connecticut, unlike most states, holds separate primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor, with the winners then running together on the same ticket.

Malloy and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Nancy Wyman were renominated unopposed. The Republicans nominated former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010 Thomas C. Foley and Groton Town Councilor Heather Somers, making the contest a rematch of the 2010 election. Independent candidate Joe Visconti, a former West Hartford Town Councilor and the Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 was running with Chester Harris, a former Republican Haddam School Board Member. Visconti suspended his campaign on November 2 and endorsed Foley. However, due to the suspension coming only two days before the election, Visconti's name remained on the ballot. Former State Representative Jonathan Pelto (D-Mansfield) explored a third-party candidacy through a petition drive but was disqualified due to an inadequate number of signatures.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Dannel Malloy, incumbent Governor

Withdrew

  • Lee Whitnum, writer, candidate for Connecticut's 4th congressional district in 2008 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Nancy Wyman, incumbent Lieutenant Governor

Results

Malloy and Wyman ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination, so no primaries were held.

Republican primary

Governor

2010 nominee Thomas C. Foley won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 57.1% of the vote. Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton and State Senate Minority Leader John McKinney took 22.3% and 17.72%, respectively, meeting the 15% vote threshold and thus also qualified for the primary ballot. Shelton Mayor Mark Lauretti and former West Hartford Town Councilor Joe Visconti failed to get 15% of the vote at the convention, so neither automatically qualified for the ballot. Visconti began collecting signatures to petition his way onto the ballot. He needed the signatures of 8,190 registered Republican voters by June 10 in order to qualify and he started collecting signatures when primary petitions became available at the end of April. Lauretti began to collect signatures a few days after the convention, but withdrew those petitions on May 22 to instead try to petition onto the ballot for lieutenant governor.

On June 6, Visconti announced that he was short of the required number of signatures, and with the filing deadline only 4 days away, was withdrawing from the race to run as an Independent instead. Boughton suspended his campaign on June 18, primarily because he did not think Lauretti, his unofficial running mate, would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing. He called for "party unity behind the endorsed Republican candidate, Tom Foley."

Candidates

Declared
  • Thomas C. Foley, former U.S. Ambassador to Ireland and nominee for governor in 2010
  • John P. McKinney, Minority Leader of the Connecticut Senate
Withdrew
  • Toni Boucher, state senator
  • Mark Boughton, Mayor of Danbury and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010
  • Martha Dean, nominee for Connecticut Attorney General in 2002 and 2010
  • Mark Lauretti, Mayor of Shelton (ran for Lieutenant Governor)
  • Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor and nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 (running as unaffiliated)
Declined
  • Lawrence F. Cafero, Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives
  • Michael Fedele, former lieutenant governor and candidate for governor in 2010 (running for Mayor of Stamford)
  • Pauline R. Kezer, former Secretary of the State of Connecticut
  • Linda McMahon, businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012
  • Chris Shays, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorToni
BoucherMark
BoughtonLawrence F.
CaferoMartha
DeanThomas C.
FoleyMark
LaurettiJohn P.
McKinneyJoe
ViscontiOtherUndecided
QuinnipiacMay 1–6, 2014443±4.7%9%5%**39%**3%8%4%2%30%
QuinnipiacFeb. 26–March 2, 2014477±4.5%2%11%**36%**6%3%3%1%**37%**
QuinnipiacJune 12–17, 2013283±5.8%8%4%**36%**11%1%**41%**

Results

Results by county:

]]

Lieutenant governor

Although separate primary elections are held for governor and lieutenant governor, candidates for each office often join together to form unofficial "tickets". Heather Bond Somers had originally been running on such a "ticket" with Mark Boughton, but she withdrew from the arrangement. Boughton later announced Mark Lauretti as his new running mate. This arrangement came to an end when Boughton withdrew, primarily because he did not think Lauretti would qualify for the ballot, which would have meant Boughton failing to qualify for public financing. Bacchiochi did not join any "ticket".

Bacchiochi won the endorsement of the state party at the Republican State Convention on May 17, winning 50.9% of the vote. Somers took 31.5% and Walker got 17.4%, meaning they both also qualified for the primary ballot.

Candidates

Declared
  • Penny Bacchiochi, state representative
  • Heather Bond Somers, Groton Town Councilor and former Mayor of Groton
  • David M. Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States
Withdrew
  • Mark Lauretti, Mayor of Shelton

Results

Republican primary results by county

]]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor and Republican nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008
  • :Running mate: Chester Harris, former Republican Haddam School Board Member

Disqualified

  • Jonathan Pelto, Democratic former state representative
  • :Running mate: Ebony Murphy-Root, teacher

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 10, 2014CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handSource: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission
Dannel Malloy (D)$6,501,239$6,716,337$2,326,904
Thomas C. Foley (R)$7,944,883$8,230,236$4,238,039

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Thomas C.
Foley (R)Joe
Visconti (I)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 28 – November 2, 2014926± 3.2%**43%**42%8%1%6%
**47%**44%1%7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 30 – November 1, 2014931± 3.2%**44%**41%6%8%
**47%**44%8%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 29–30, 2014977± 3%**48%**47%2%4%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 22–27, 2014838± 3.4%**43%****43%**7%1%6%
44%**46%**1%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,267± 4%**40%****40%**3%0%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 14–20, 20141,010± 3.1%**43%**42%9%1%6%
**45%****45%**2%8%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 14–16, 2014980± 3.5%43%**50%**2%4%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 1–6, 20141,085± 3%**43%****43%**9%5%
**46%****46%**1%7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 2–5, 2014861± 3.3%**43%**35%9%14%
**45%**39%16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,284± 3%**41%****41%**3%1%14%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 3–8, 20141,304± 2.7%40%**46%**7%1%6%
43%**49%**1%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20141,808± 3%**42%**41%3%14%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 18–19, 2014750± 4%38%**45%**7%10%
Gravis MarketingAugust 4–7, 2014440± 5%38%**46%**16%
Anzalone Liszt GroveJuly 28–29, 2014900± ?**46%****46%**8%
Vox Populi PollingJuly 27–28, 2014550± 4.2%**35%**34%3%27%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,177± ?41%**48%**4%8%
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**43%****43%**1%12%
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**42%****42%**1%14%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%40%**43%**1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Toni
Boucher (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**45%**34%2%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Mark
Boughton (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**44%**39%1%16%
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**44%**35%2%19%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%**43%**36%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Lawrence F.
Cafero (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%**44%**37%2%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Martha
Dean (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**46%**37%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Mark
Lauretti (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**45%**37%1%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**44%**34%2%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)John P.
McKinney (R)OtherUndecided
Gravis MarketingAugust 4–7, 2014440± 5%38%**45%**17%
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**44%**40%1%14%
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**43%**37%1%18%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 12–17, 20131,154± 2.9%**44%**37%1%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Generic
RepublicanOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–2, 20121,220± 2.8%**48%**37%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDannel
Malloy (D)Joe
Visconti (R)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 1–6, 20141,668± 2.4%**46%**36%1%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 26 – March 2, 20141,878± 2.3%**45%**34%2%19%

Results

By county

County**Dannel Malloy**Thomas FoleyVarious candidatesTotal votes castTotal554,31450.73%526,29548.16%12,1641.11%1,092,773
Fairfield128,71449.72%128,62949.69%1,5300.59%258,873
Hartford148,09653.51%125,72245.43%2,9471.06%276,765
Litchfield27,28239.40%40,99259.20%9741.41%69,248
Middlesex31,47849.45%31,34249.24%8331.31%63,653
New Haven135,97353.37%116,06845.56%2,7131.06%254,754
New London42,98351.30%39,66647.34%1,1321.35%83,781
Tolland23,88745.99%27,31552.59%7381.42%66,450
Windham15,90148.11%16,56150.11%5891.78%33,051

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Fairfield (largest town: Bridgeport)
  • Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
  • New London (largest town: Norwich)

By congressional district

Despite his win, and managing to flip back three counties, Malloy only won two of the five congressional districts, while Foley won the other three, all of which were held by Democrats. This result exactly replicated the previous election for governor in 2010 by congressional district between Malloy and Foley.

DistrictDannel Malloy
DemocraticThomas Foley
RepublicanVarious candidates
IndependentTotal votes castRepresentative#%#%#%Totals554,31450.73%526,29548.16%12,1641.11%1,092,773
1st122,09754.33%100,03144.51%2,6101.16%224,738John B. Larson
2nd111,56047.96%117,78850.64%3,2461.40%232,594Joe Courtney
3rd120,93856.17%92,10742.79%2,2441.04%215,289Rosa DeLauro
4th100,66749.60%100,71149.62%1,5860.78%202,964Jim Himes
5th99,05245.60%115,65853.26%2,4781.14%217,188Elizabeth Esty

References

References

  1. "Statistics and Data".
  2. (12 June 2014). "Jonathan Pelto Announces Candidacy for Governor".
  3. (29 August 2014). "Pelto falls 3,200 signatures short of spot on CT gubernatorial ballot".
  4. (28 March 2014). "Yes, Dan Malloy is running in 2014". Ctmirror.org.
  5. Vigdor, Neil. (March 17, 2014). "Whitnum says she's running for governor". [[Greenwich Time (newspaper).
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  8. Stuart, Christine. (April 24, 2014). "Visconti To Petition His Way Onto Primary Ballot". CT News Junkie.
  9. Staff Report. (May 22, 2014). "Lauretti Drops Down To Lieutenant Governor Race". CT News Junkie.
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  12. (June 18, 2014). "Mark Boughton Calls Off Campaign for Governor". NBC Connecticut.
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  14. (January 29, 2014). "Tom Foley to Run for Governor". [[WVIT.
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