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2013 British Columbia general election

Canadian provincial election


Canadian provincial election

FieldValue
election_name2013 British Columbia general election
countryBritish Columbia
typeparliamentary
party_colourno
party_nameno
previous_election2009 British Columbia general election
previous_year2009
outgoing_members39th Parliament of British Columbia
election_date
elected_members40th Parliament of British Columbia
next_election2017 British Columbia general election
next_year2017
seats_for_election85 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
majority_seats43
opinion_polls#Opinion polls
turnout55.32% 4.33 pp
image1[[File:Christy Clark 2014.jpgx150px]]
colour1
leader1Christy Clark
party1
leader_since1[February 26, 2011](2011-british-columbia-liberal-party-leadership-election)
leaders_seat1Vancouver-Point Grey *(lost re-election)*
last_election149 seats, 45.82%
seats_before145
seats1**49**
seat_change14
popular_vote1**795,946**
percentage1**44.14%**
swing11.68pp
image2[[File:Adrian Dix 2016.jpgx150px]]
colour2
leader2Adrian Dix
party2
leader_since2[April 17, 2011](2011-british-columbia-new-democratic-party-leadership-election)
leaders_seat2Vancouver-Kingsway
last_election235 seats, 42.15%
seats_before236
seats234
seat_change22
popular_vote2715,999
percentage239.71%
swing22.44pp
image3[[File:Jane Sterk Barrie.JPGx150px]]
colour3
leader3Jane Sterk
party3
leader_since3October 21, 2007
leaders_seat3*Ran in Victoria-Beacon Hill (lost)*
last_election30 seats, 8.21%
seats_before30
seats31
seat_change31
popular_vote3146,607
percentage38.13%
swing30.08pp
map_imageBritish_Columbia_2013_Election_Map.svg
map_size350px
map_captionPopular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
titlePremier
before_electionChristy Clark
before_party
posttitlePremier after election
after_electionChristy Clark
after_party

The 2013 British Columbia general election took place on May 14, 2013, to elect the 85 members of the 40th Parliament of British Columbia to the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia. The British Columbia Liberal Party (BC Liberals) formed the government during the 39th Parliament prior to this general election, initially under the leadership of Premier Gordon Campbell then after his resignation, Christy Clark. The British Columbia New Democratic Party (BC NDP) under the leadership of Carole James, and then Adrian Dix, formed the Official Opposition. The BC Green Party under the leadership of Jane Sterk and the BC Conservative Party under John Cummins were also included in polling, although neither party had representation at the end of the 39th Parliament.

The Liberal Party won its fourth straight majority; Clark was defeated in her riding, but she was re-elected to the legislature in a subsequent by-election in Westside-Kelowna on July 10, 2013, after Liberal MLA Ben Stewart stepped down on her behalf. The NDP remained the official opposition, losing two seats, and the Green Party won its first-ever seat with future leader Andrew Weaver being elected in the Victoria-area riding of Oak Bay-Gordon Head.

Clark's Liberals had consistently trailed the opposition New Democrats by multiple percentage points in every public opinion poll throughout the campaign. Even poll results released on the last day of the campaign suggested that the New Democrats had an eight to nine percentage point margin over the Liberals. Only one pollster, Forum Research, had released a poll which suggested that the Liberals were close enough that a victory was even possible for them, although even that poll had the New Democrats ahead by two percentage points. The Liberals' upset victory led to significant media debate about the quality of opinion polling in Canadian elections.

Timing

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the second Tuesday in May of the fourth calendar year after the last election. As an election was held on May 12, 2009, the next election was scheduled for May 14, 2013. The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit.

The writs were dropped April 16, 2013, and the general election was held on May 14, 2013, with advance voting made available on May 8 through 11.

Background

After leading the BC Liberals for 17 years, Gordon Campbell announced he would resign as Premier and party leader in November 2010. This was seen as the result of opposition to the Harmonized Sales Tax, which was very unpopular with voters.

In the ensuing leadership campaign, Christy Clark, the eventual winner, suggested she would prefer to hold an election earlier than 2013 to secure her own mandate. She was believed to be preparing her party for an election as early as autumn 2011. However, due to the unfavourable result from the HST referendum, she decided to rule out an early election.

Political parties

This is a list of political parties who ran candidates in the 2013 election:

PartyLeaderExpendituresNotes
British Columbia Liberal PartyChristy Clark$11,740,241The BC Liberals have formed a majority government since May 2001. With the resignation of party leader Gordon Campbell, the new party leader Christy Clark was [selected on February 26, 2011](2011-british-columbia-liberal-party-leadership-election). The party claims it is independent of the federal Liberals and the federal Conservatives.

Results

PartyLeaderCandidatesVotesSeats#±%Change (pp)[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)2013±1,802,149100.00%
Christy Clark85795,27443,61344.13{{bartable−1.69−51embackground:red}}49Adrian Dix85715,85524,291
**Total**376

Vote and seat summaries

|File:Ternary BC2009.svg |2009 |File:Ternary BC2013.svg |2013

MLAs elected

Synopsis of results

RidingWinning partyTurnoutVotesName**[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)**PartyVotesShareMargin
#Margin
%LibNDPGrnConIndOthTotal
Abbotsford-MissionLibLib10,41750.67%4,82623.48%56.63%10,4175,5911,8651,94661911920,557
Abbotsford SouthLibLib9,56347.74%3,97719.85%55.77%9,5634,2105,58667320,032
Abbotsford WestLibLib9,47350.65%4,04321.62%59.38%9,4735,4308771,7911,0824918,702
Alberni-Pacific RimNDPNDP10,56957.55%4,22823.02%58.22%6,34110,5691,45618,366
Boundary-SimilkameenLibLib8,49946.59%1,3867.60%61.85%8,4997,1131,6021,03018,244
Burnaby-Deer LakeNDPNDP8,18948.48%9035.35%48.03%7,2868,1891,41716,892
Burnaby-EdmondsNDPNDP9,25351.43%2,30312.80%49.00%6,9509,2531,57321517,991
Burnaby-LougheedLibNDP8,95244.26%7433.67%56.24%8,2098,9521,6651,39920,225
Burnaby NorthLibLib10,54346.82%6682.97%55.03%10,5439,8751,57752322,518
Cariboo-ChilcotinLibLib7,67956.18%2,93921.50%63.64%7,6794,74074750313,669
Cariboo NorthNDPLib5,86741.41%6034.26%59.77%5,8673,0365,26414,167
ChilliwackLibLib9,98947.56%3,43816.37%55.85 %9,9896,5511,7662,51518121,002
Chilliwack-HopeLibLib10,05349.15%2,68913.15%57.38%10,0537,3642,20283320,452
Columbia River-RevelstokeNDPNDP6,46348.26%1,61612.07%53.60%4,8476,4639211,16213,393
Comox ValleyLibLib14,24844.27%1,7685.49%63.99%14,24812,4803,7181,74032,186
Coquitlam-Burke MountainLibLib9,76649.90%2,45112.52%53.23%9,7667,3151,1441,07127719,573
Coquitlam-MaillardvilleNDPNDP9,93045.74%410.19%56.69%9,8899,9301,89121,710
Cowichan ValleyNDPNDP10,69640.14%1,3975.24%61.90%9,29910,6965,1021,22332626,646
Delta NorthNDPLib9,61344.53%2030.94%59.94%9,6139,4101,3129832105821,586
Delta SouthIndInd11,37647.80%2,65511.16%68.29%8,7213,70011,37623,797
Esquimalt-Royal RoadsNDPNDP10,96348.20%4,45219.57%58.23%6,51110,9634,92834322,745
Fort Langley-AldergroveLibLib15,98955.10%8,47829.22%60.53%15,9897,5112,2292,61567229,016
Fraser-NicolaNDPLib6,00244.14%6144.52%61.52%6,0025,3881,31489513,599
Juan de FucaNDPNDP12,33853.32%5,21822.55%58.07%7,12012,3383,68223,140
Kamloops-North ThompsonLibLib12,18352.06%3,04413.01%57.97%12,1839,1391,64443623,402
Kamloops-South ThompsonLibLib14,95657.11%5,75221.96%62.18%14,9569,2041,60342526,188
Kelowna-Lake CountryLibLib12,14956.78%6,84331.98%47.71%12,1495,3061,5912,35121,397
Kelowna-MissionLibLib13,68756.86%7,46631.02%53.58%13,6876,2213,0511,11324,072
Kootenay EastLibLib10,25262.99%4,22925.98%53.41%10,2526,02316,275
Kootenay WestNDPNDP11,34963.01%7,50841.68%56.92%3,84111,3492,82218,012
LangleyLibLib14,03951.44%6,63624.31%59.06%14,0397,4032,6083,24227,292
Maple Ridge-MissionLibLib10,32746.61%1,5076.80%57.91%10,3278,8201,8181,19022,155
Maple Ridge-Pitt MeadowsNDPLib10,82445.49%6202.61%59.87%10,82410,2042,17858923,795
NanaimoNDPNDP10,82146.25%2,2539.63%57.96%8,56810,8212,5321,22125323,395
Nanaimo-North CowichanNDPNDP11,54246.21%3,85715.44%61.11%7,68511,5423,4301,60371824,978
Nechako LakesLibLib5,32453.79%2,58726.14%58.46%5,3242,7375101,253749,898
Nelson-CrestonNDPNDP8,20050.73%3,62322.41%57.63%4,5778,2003,38716,164
New WestminsterNDPNDP13,17048.84%4,17315.48%57.81%8,99713,1702,2521,3181,03819026,965
North CoastNDPNDP4,61756.72%1,92523.65%52.85%2,6924,6178318,140
North IslandNDPNDP11,88550.70%2,0028.54%57.28%9,88311,8851,67523,443
North Vancouver-LonsdaleLibLib11,06045.47%1,1884.88%60.38%11,0609,8722,25783330424,326
North Vancouver-SeymourLibLib13,18650.92%4,66218.00%66.99%13,1868,5241,8971,2061,08125,894
Oak Bay-Gordon HeadLibGrn10,72240.43%2,95511.14%69.56%7,7677,53610,72249226,517
Parksville-QualicumLibLib14,51850.13%3,78613.07%67.94%14,51810,7323,71028,960
Peace River NorthLibLib7,90558.94%4,61834.43%51.47%7,9051,3199003,28713,411
Peace River SouthLibLib4,37346.73%1,82719.52%49.89%4,3731,9882,5464519,358
PentictonLibLib11,53645.85%1,3825.49%58.27%11,53610,1542,2881,18525,163
Port CoquitlamNDPNDP11,75552.94%3,63516.37%57.26%8,12011,7551,52580522,205
Port Moody-CoquitlamLibLib9,67546.39%4372.10%58.75%9,6759,2381,70823720,858
Powell River-Sunshine CoastNDPNDP13,12055.20%5,32822.42%63.24%7,79213,1202,85623,768
Prince George-MackenzieLibLib10,52455.58%4,03621.32%56.86%10,5246,4881,07784518,934
Prince George-ValemountLibLib11,29156.95%4,17521.06%56.56%11,2917,1161,10531419,826
Richmond CentreLibLib9,46249.83%5,02626.47%43.65%9,4624,4361,6789612,3718218,990
Richmond EastLibLib11,59254.68%5,54526.16%47.58%11,5926,0471,1781,82738017521,199
Richmond-StevestonLibLib12,13751.80%5,52923.60%55.39%12,1376,6081,8992,62516223,431
Saanich North and the IslandsLibNDP10,51533.27%1630.52%69.21%10,35210,51510,13659931,602
Saanich SouthNDPNDP11,94645.55%2,69010.26%67.11%9,25611,9464,01187314226,228
ShuswapLibLib11,99247.92%4,59418.36%60.41%11,9927,3982,3383,2326325,023
SkeenaNDPNDP5,60947.71%5224.44%55.85%5,0875,60979726311,756
StikineNDPNDP4,08147.11%90910.49%62.82%3,1724,081303533595148,662
Surrey-CloverdaleLibLib18,05159.53%9,27430.59%57.79%18,0518,7772,54594930,322
Surrey-FleetwoodNDPLib8,97445.43%2001.01%55.72%8,9748,7741,1478015919,755
Surrey-Green TimbersNDPNDP9,38658.06%3,80523.54%52.32%5,5819,38665544410116,167
Surrey-NewtonNDPNDP9,78856.42%3,18418.35%52.56%6,6049,78867428217,348
Surrey-PanoramaLibLib14,13954.29%4,83118.55%57.72%14,1399,3081,4781,0378126,043
Surrey-TyneheadLibLib9,17248.15%1,6338.57%52.13%9,1727,5392,04029819,049
Surrey-WhalleyNDPNDP10,40561.43%5,40131.88%46.28%5,00410,4051,11042016,939
Surrey-White RockLibLib15,09258.09%7,91230.45%64.73%15,0927,1802,3041,30110525,982
Vancouver-FairviewLibNDP12,64947.32%1,3515.05%58.98%11,29812,6492,78526,732
Vancouver-False CreekLibLib11,22852.21%3,24715.10%50.11%11,2287,9811,92819917121,507
Vancouver-FraserviewLibLib10,11846.74%4702.17%54.96%10,1189,6481,23065321,649
Vancouver-HastingsNDPNDP12,78259.51%6,84631.87%53.21%5,93612,7822,38637421,478
Vancouver-KensingtonNDPNDP10,68751.37%2,72213.09%54.33%7,96510,6871,57857220,802
Vancouver-KingswayNDPNDP10,40956.77%3,80920.77%48.96%6,60010,4091,32718,336
Vancouver-LangaraLibLib10,23452.60%2,78714.33%50.52%10,2347,4471,0556744519,455
Vancouver-Mount PleasantNDPNDP13,84565.83%9,90347.09%49.77%3,94213,8452,50626047821,031
Vancouver-Point GreyLibNDP11,49947.59%1,0634.40%58.97%10,43611,4991,6363927212824,163
Vancouver-QuilchenaLibLib14,49664.32%8,79139.00%59.45%14,4965,7051,66767122,539
Vancouver-West EndNDPNDP10,75556.81%5,40628.55%50.64%5,34910,7552,15613254018,932
Vernon-MonasheeLibLib12,50346.34%3,27012.12%57.41%12,5039,2331,9053,16916926,979
Victoria-Beacon HillNDPNDP12,69748.82%3,90115.00%58.67%4,38612,6978,79613126,010
Victoria-Swan LakeNDPNDP12,35054.49%7,09031.28%58.07%5,05512,3505,26022,665
West Vancouver-CapilanoLibLib15,77667.03%10,50944.65%60.47%15,7765,2671,1561,01832023,537
West Vancouver-Sea to SkyLibLib11,27552.50%4,30920.06%56.68%11,2756,9662,35965322521,478
Westside-KelownaLibLib12,40558.07%5,81727.23%47.52%12,4056,5882,36821,361

: = Open seat : = turnout is above provincial average : = winning candidate was in previous Legislature : = Incumbent had switched allegiance : = Previously incumbent in another riding : = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature : = Incumbency arose from by-election gain : = other incumbents renominated : = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada : = Multiple candidates

Summary analysis

Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotalLibNDPGrnConInd
451349
32234
11
11
Total344521385
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
49342
34456
1311917
1245112
130241
24
22
2
12
11
11
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
SourcePartyTotal
**Lib**align="center"**NDP**align="center"**Grn**
Seats retainedIncumbents returned24
Open seats held – new MLAs163
Open seats held – taken by MLA previously incumbent in another riding1
Byelection losses reversed2
Ouster of incumbent changing allegiance1
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated3
Open seats gained22
**Total**4934

Voter turnout

Voter turnout was 57.1 percent, but varied from riding to riding. 10 of the 85 ridings had less than 50 percent voter turnout. Richmond and Kelowna were the only major cities with under 50 percent turnout.

File:VoterTurnout2.svg|Voter turnout in the 2013 BC general election

Retiring incumbents

;Liberals

  • George Abbott, Shuswap
  • Bill Barisoff, Penticton
  • Pat Bell, Prince George-Mackenzie
  • Harry Bloy, Burnaby-Lougheed
  • Ron Cantelon, Parksville-Qualicum
  • Murray Coell, Saanich North and the Islands
  • Kevin Falcon, Surrey-Cloverdale
  • Colin Hansen, Vancouver-Quilchena
  • Randy Hawes, Abbotsford-Mission
  • Dave Hayer, Surrey-Tynehead
  • Kash Heed, Vancouver-Fraserview
  • Rob Howard, Richmond Centre
  • Kevin Krueger, Kamloops-South Thompson
  • Blair Lekstrom, Peace River South
  • John Les, Chilliwack
  • Joan McIntyre, West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
  • Mary McNeil, Vancouver-False Creek ;New Democrats
  • Dawn Black, New Westminster
  • Gary Coons, North Coast
  • Guy Gentner, Delta North
  • Michael Sather, Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
  • Diane Thorne, Coquitlam-Maillardville

;Independents

  • John Slater, Boundary-Similkameen

Seats changing hands

8 incumbent MLAs lost their seats:

PartyNameConstituencyYear electedSeat held by party sinceDefeated byElected party in 2013
New DemocraticHarry LaliFraser-Nicola[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)Jackie Tegart
New DemocraticGwen O'MahonyChilliwack-Hope*2012**2012*Laurie Throness
New DemocraticJagrup BrarSurrey-Fleetwood*2004*[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)Peter Fassbender
BC LiberalHarry BloyBurnaby-Lougheed[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)Jane Shin
New DemocraticJoe TrasoliniPort Moody-Coquitlam*2012**2012*Linda Reimer
BC LiberalMargaret MacDiarmidVancouver-Fairview[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)[2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)George Heyman
BC LiberalChristy ClarkVancouver-Point Grey*2011**2011*David Eby
BC LiberalIda ChongOak Bay-Gordon Head[1996](1996-british-columbia-general-election)[1996](1996-british-columbia-general-election)Andrew Weaver

Open seats changing hands

Party in 2009CandidateRetiring incumbentConstituencyDefeated byElected party in 2013
New DemocraticElizabeth RosenauMichael SatherMaple Ridge-Pitt MeadowsDoug Bing
New DemocraticSylvia BishopGuy GentnerDelta NorthScott Hamilton
BC LiberalStephen P. RobertsMurray CoellSaanich North and the IslandsGary Holman

Opinion polls

File:BC provincial polling during the 2013 campaign.png|Voting intentions leading up to the 2013 election File:BC provincial polling since the 2009 election.png|Voting intentions since the 2009 election

Opinion polling in the election periodPolling firmDate of pollingSourceLibNDPGrnConOthType of pollSample size
***2013 election*****44.14**39.718.134.763.25Ballot1,803,051
Ipsos Reid37BCNDP}}"**45**963Online800
Angus Reid36BCNDP}}"**45**973Online803
EKOS34.5BCNDP}}"**40.5**13.09.32.7IVR861
Angus Reid36BCNDP}}"**45**964Online808
Justason Market Intelligence31BCNDP}}"**45**1483Online700
Ipsos Reid37BCNDP}}"**43**1073Online800
Forum Research41BCNDP}}"**43**862IVR1,147
Hill & Knowlton34.6BCNDP}}"**41.1**13.67.53.3Online804
Oraclepoll Research37BCNDP}}"**41**1210Telephone1,000
Campaign Research35BCNDP}}"**38**13105IVR1,303
Angus Reid34BCNDP}}"**41**12103Online808
Ipsos Reid35BCNDP}}"**45**1073Online1,000
Insights West33BCNDP}}"**41**14111Online855
Forum Research35BCNDP}}"**39**1293IVR1,055
Abacus Data33BCNDP}}"**43**1293Online1,042
Angus Reid31BCNDP}}"**45**10113Online812
Justason Market Intelligence27BCNDP}}"**49**12112Telephone/online600
Ipsos Reid29BCNDP}}"**48**9113Online800
Angus Reid28BCNDP}}"**45**13123Online804
EKOS28.4BCNDP}}"**44.9**11.113.02.7IVR917
*[Election 2009](2009-british-columbia-general-election)***45.82**42.158.212.101.72Ballot1,640,542
Opinion polling from 2009 to March 2013Polling firmDate of pollingSourceLibNDPGrnConOthType of pollSample size
Insights West28**45**15102Online855
Angus Reid28**48**11112Online809
Campaign Research33**38**12134IVR1,112
Ipsos Reid32**51**791Online1,000
Angus Reid31**47**1093Online803
EKOS27.4**39.0**13.514.65.5IVR687
Justason Market Intelligence26**48**11123Telephone/online600
Mustel Group33**43**11112Telephone509
Angus Reid31**46**10103Online802
Ipsos Reid35**48**791Online1,000
Angus Reid29**47**9122Online800
Angus Reid26**49**7162Online800
Justason Market Intelligence28**48**1391Telephone/online539
Ipsos Reid32**49**6121Online1,006
Angus Reid25**46**8191Online800
Environics25.4**44.8**7.819.82.2Online854
Forum Research23**45**10202IVR902
Angus Reid22**49**9192Online804
Forum Research23**49**9182IVR1,064
Angus Reid23**45**8222Online801
Forum Research20**50**11190IVR1,014
Ipsos Reid29**48**6161Online1,026
Angus Reid23**50**6192Online802
Forum Research23**48**8191IVR1,054
Forum Research23**46**8231IVR1,069
Angus Reid23**43**8233Online800
Forum Research21**47**9212IVR1,063
Mustel Group34**42**6172Telephone518
Justason Market Intelligence31**45**8142Telephone/online611
Forum Research24**42**10222IVR858
NRG Research Group36**42**1013Telephone600
Ipsos Reid32**44**7162Online1,000
Angus Reid28**42**10191Online800
Forum Research26**39**9224IVR988
Forum Research23**34**15235IVR1,045
Oraclepoll Research25**44**1615Telephone600
Angus Reid31**40**8183Online803
Ipsos Reid38**45**6123Online1,000
Mustel Group**37**359181Telephone500
Ipsos Reid**41**398102Telephone/online1,200
Angus Reiddate=August 2024}}**43**381054Online807
Angus Reid**41**381146Online811
Angus Reid**38****38**1275Online806
Mustel Group**41**361572Telephone500
Angus Reid**36****36**1468Online804
Mustel Group37**42**1093Telephone502
Angus Reid26**47**10107Online807
Angus Reid24**49**1386Online804
Angus Reid25**48**1386Online805
Mustel Group33**42**12112Telephone502
Angus Reid27**48**1366Online800
Angus Reid23**46**1489Online801
Angus Reid26**46**148Online1,612
Mustel Group32**44**1373Telephone500
Angus Reid29**47**145Online800
Angus Reid35**43**136Online905
Mustel Group35**43**1552500
Angus Reid33**47**107Online800
Ipsos Reid35**45**137Telephone800
Angus Reid31**45**117Online783
Mustel Group38**46**1224500
Angus Reid34**42**1275Online805
*[2009 election](2009-british-columbia-general-election)***45.82**42.158.212.101.72Ballot1,640,542

Notes

References

References

  1. "B.C. Voter Participation: 1983 to 2013". [[Elections BC]].
  2. [https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2013/07/11/bcs_premier_christy_clark_wins_byelection_returns_to_legislature.html "B.C.'s Premier Christy Clark wins byelection, returns to legislature"] {{Webarchive. link. (January 6, 2016. ''[[Toronto Star]]'', July 10, 2013.)
  3. [https://vancouversun.com/news/Stewart+steps+aside+Kelowna+Premier+Christy+Clark/8483307/story.html "Ben Stewart steps aside in Kelowna for B.C. Premier Christy Clark"] {{Webarchive. link. (January 11, 2019. ''[[Vancouver Sun]]'', June 5, 2013.)
  4. [https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/why-were-polls-so-wrong-about-the-b-c-election-1.1411026 "Why were polls so wrong about the B.C. election?"] . [[CBC News]], May 15, 2013.
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