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2012 Washington gubernatorial election

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2012 Washington gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2012 Washington gubernatorial election
countryWashington
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 Washington gubernatorial election
previous_year2008
next_election2016 Washington gubernatorial election
next_year2016
election_date
image1File:Jay Inslee Official Photo (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
candidate1**Jay Inslee**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,582,802**
percentage1**51.54%**
image2File:Rob McKenna; Washington AG (cropped).jpg
candidate2Rob McKenna
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,488,245
percentage248.46%
map_image{{switcher[[File:2012 Washington gubernatorial election results map by county.svg275px]]County results
map_size275px
map_caption**Inslee**:
**McKenna**:
**Tie**:
titleGovernor
before_electionChristine Gregoire
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionJay Inslee
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 Washington gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|275px]]|Congressional district results |[[File:WA Governor 2012.svg|275px]] |Precinct results}} McKenna:
Tie:
The 2012 Washington gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Candidates in the election were chosen in an August 7, 2012 primary election, under the state's nonpartisan blanket primary system, which allows voters to vote for any candidate running in the race, regardless of party affiliation. The two candidates who received the most votes in the primary election qualified for the general election.

Incumbent Governor Christine Gregoire decided to retire rather than seek a third term. She endorsed fellow Democrat Jay Inslee, a U.S. Congressman, as her successor. On March 20, 2012, Inslee resigned from Congress in order to focus on his gubernatorial campaign.

Inslee and Republican Rob McKenna, the Attorney General of Washington, advanced to the general election. Inslee narrowly won the election, and McKenna conceded three days later.

Primary election

Democratic candidates

  • Rob Hill
  • Jay Inslee, U.S. Representative for WA-01 (1999–2012) and WA-04 (1993–1995)

Declined

  • Lisa Brown, State Senate Majority Leader
  • Dow Constantine, King County Executive
  • Christine Gregoire, incumbent Governor
  • Jim McIntire, State Treasurer (ran for reelection)
  • Aaron Reardon, Snohomish County Executive
  • Ron Sims, former King County Executive and Deputy Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
  • Brian Sonntag, State Auditor

Republican candidates

  • Shahram Hadian, pastor and small business owner
  • Javier O. Lopez
  • Rob McKenna, Attorney General of Washington
  • Max Sampson

Declined

Independent candidates

  • Christian Joubert
  • L. Dale Sorgen, computer programmer and former pastor
  • James White

Endorsements

Newspapers

  • The Seattle Times

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorRob
McKenna (R)Jay
Inslee (D)Lisa
Brown (D)Dow
Constantine (D)Clint
Didier (R)Bill
Bryant (R)Brian
Sonntag (D)Aaron
Reardon (D)Undecided
Chism StrategiesJune 28–30, 2011408 (LV)± 5.0%**20%****17%**3%3%3%2%2%1%**49%**

Results

County results

]]|County results|

Congressional district results

]]|Congressional district results}}

General election

Candidates

  • Jay Inslee (Democratic), former U.S. Representative
  • Rob McKenna (Republican), Attorney General of Washington

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Post-primary endorsements

U.S Presidents

  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States Newspapers
  • The Olympian
  • The Stranger U.S. Representatives
  • Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative from Washington's 8th congressional district Statewide officials
  • Brian Sonntag, 9th Washington State Auditor (Democrat) State legislators
  • Mark Doumit, former state senator (Democrat)
  • Tim Sheldon, state senator (Democrat) Newspapers
  • The Columbian
  • The Daily News
  • The Daily World
  • The Everett Herald
  • Kitsap Sun
  • The News Tribune
  • The Spokesman-Review
  • Tri-City Herald
  • Walla Walla Union-Bulletin
  • The Wenatchee World
  • Yakima Herald-Republic

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregationDates
administeredDates
updatedJay
Inslee (D)Rob
McKenna (R)Other/Undecided
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 14 – November 3, 2012November 3, 2012**47.3%**46.3%6.4%**Inslee +1.0%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJay
Inslee (D)Rob
McKenna (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–3, 2012932± 3.2%**50%**48%2%
KING5/SurveyUSAOctober 28–31, 2012555± 4.2%**47%**46%7%
KCTS 9/Washington PollOctober 18–31, 2012632± 3.9%**49%**46%6%
Elway PollOctober 18–21, 2012451± 4.5%45%**47%**10%
Strategies360October 17–20, 2012500± 4.4%**45%****45%**10%
Public Policy Polling/WCVOctober 15–16, 2012574± n/a%**48%**42%10%
KCTS 9/Washington PollOctober 1–16, 2012782± 3.5%**48%**45%8%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 14, 2012500± 4.5%**47%**45%9%
SurveyUSAOctober 12–14, 2012543± 4.3%**47%**44%9%
SurveyUSASeptember 28–30, 2012540± 4.3%**48%**42%10%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 26, 2012500± 4.5%**46%**45%9%
Public Elway PollSeptember 9–12, 2012405± 5%**44%**41%15%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 2012563± 4.2%**48%**42%10%
Survey USASeptember 7–9, 2012524± 4.4%**49%**44%7%
Survey USAAugust 2–3, 2012524± 4.4%**48%**45%7%
Elway PollJuly 18–22, 2012405± 5.0%**43%**36%21%
Survey USAJuly 16–17, 2012630± 4.0%41%**42%**16%
Public Policy PollingJune 14–17, 20121,073± 3.0%40%**43%**17%
Elway PollJune 13–16, 2012408± 5.0%40%**42%**18%
Strategies360May 22–24, 2012500± 4.4%39%**43%**18%
Survey USAMay 8–9, 2012557± 4.2%38%**40%**22%
Grove Insights (D)March 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**38%**34%28%
Grove Insights (D)February 21–23, 2012500± 4.4%**38%****38%**24%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 16–19, 20121,264± 2.8%**42%****42%**16%
Survey USAFebruary 13–15, 2012572± 4.2%39%**49%**12%
Elway PollFebruary 7–9, 2012405± 5.0%36%**45%**19%
Survey USAJanuary 12–16, 2012617± 4.0%43%**46%**11%
Survey USANovember 21–23, 2011549± 4.3%38%**44%**17%
Washington PollOctober 10–30, 2011938± 3.2%38%**44%**18%
Survey USASeptember 21–22, 2011529± 4.3%38%**44%**18%
Survey USAJune 24–26, 2011600± 4.4%**47%**44%9%
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%38%**40%**22%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%41%**48%**11%

Christine Gregoire vs. Rob McKenna

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorChristine
Gregoire (D)Rob
McKenna (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%40%**49%**11%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%40%**52%**7%

Christine Gregoire vs. Dave Reichert

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorChristine
Gregoire (D)Dave
Reichert (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%**45%**41%14%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%44%**48%**8%

Jay Inslee vs. Dave Reichert

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJay
Inslee (D)Dave
Reichert (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%**42%**36%22%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%44%**46%**10%

Lisa Brown vs. Rob McKenna

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLisa
Brown (D)Rob
McKenna (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 27-August 1, 20101,204± 2.8%29%**47%**24%

Results

The race was close throughout the night, with results too close to call after 60 percent of ballots were counted. Inslee was declared the winner early in the morning three days later; McKenna conceded later in the evening.

Inslee won only eight of the state's 39 counties, relying on heavy margins in the Seattle metropolitan area to push him to victory.

By county

CountyJay Inslee
DemocraticRob McKenna
RepublicanMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%Totals1,582,80251.54%1,488,24548.46%94,5573.08%3,071,047
Adams1,40829.78%3,32070.22%-1,912-40.44%4,728
Asotin4,02741.50%5,67758.50%-1,650-17.00%9,704
Benton27,29134.97%50,75765.03%-23,466-30.07%78,048
Chelan11,61636.41%20,29163.59%-8,675-27.19%31,907
Clallam17,51646.66%20,02153.34%-2,505-6.67%37,537
Clark86,73246.92%98,13153.08%-11,399-6.17%184,863
Columbia65629.54%1,56570.46%-909-40.93%2,221
Cowlitz21,05148.21%22,61251.79%-1,561-3.58%43,663
Douglas4,74631.88%10,13968.12%-5,393-36.23%14,885
Ferry1,29937.98%2,12162.02%-822-24.04%3,420
Franklin8,18136.50%14,23263.50%-6,051-27.00%22,413
Garfield33326.58%92073.42%-587-46.85%1,253
Grant8,65431.59%18,74268.41%-10,088-36.82%27,396
Grays Harbor14,49150.90%13,97849.10%5131.80%28,469
Island19,32446.67%22,08253.33%-2,758-6.66%41,406
Jefferson12,17662.29%7,37037.71%4,80624.59%19,546
King590,87962.36%356,71337.64%234,16624.71%947,592
Kitsap60,57849.72%61,26150.28%-683-0.56%121,839
Kittitas7,13739.90%10,75260.10%-3,615-20.21%17,889
Klickitat4,44244.07%5,63855.93%-1,196-11.87%10,080
Lewis11,86535.03%22,00264.97%-10,137-29.93%33,867
Lincoln1,71629.57%4,08870.43%-2,372-40.87%5,804
Mason13,17547.25%14,70852.75%-1,533-5.50%27,883
Okanogan6,75940.55%9,90959.45%-3,150-18.90%16,668
Pacific5,37951.73%5,02048.27%3593.45%10,399
Pend Oreille2,44237.06%4,14862.94%-1,706-25.89%6,590
Pierce164,21148.54%174,07851.46%-9,867-2.92%338,289
San Juan6,76364.82%3,67135.18%3,09229.63%10,434
Skagit25,87847.33%28,80352.67%-2,925-5.35%54,681
Skamania2,43445.92%2,86754.08%-433-8.17%5,301
Snohomish166,45251.23%158,44048.77%8,0122.47%324,892
Spokane95,35443.49%123,89456.51%-28,540-13.02%219,248
Stevens7,42633.79%14,55466.21%-7,128-32.43%21,980
Thurston67,35353.75%57,94846.25%9,4057.51%125,301
Wahkiakum96442.83%1,28757.17%-323-14.35%2,251
Walla Walla9,35338.03%15,23861.97%-5,885-23.93%24,591
Whatcom53,59953.10%47,34046.90%6,2596.20%100,939
Whitman7,35143.83%9,42156.17%-2,070-12.34%16,772
Yakima31,79141.67%44,50758.33%-12,716-16.67%76,298

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Island (largest city: Oak Harbor)
  • Kitsap (largest city: Bremerton)
  • Pierce (largest city: Tacoma)
  • Skagit (largest city: Mount Vernon)

| | | | | | |

| | | | | | | |

{{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican

By congressional district

Inslee won five of ten congressional districts, with the remaining five going to McKenna, including one that elected a Democrat.

DistrictInsleeMcKennaRepresentative
48%**52%**Suzan DelBene
**54%**46%Rick Larsen
46%**54%**Jaime Herrera Beutler
37%**63%**Doc Hastings
42%**58%**Cathy McMorris Rodgers
**51%**49%Norm Dicks
Derek Kilmer
**74%**26%Jim McDermott
43%**57%**Dave Reichert
**61%**39%Adam Smith
**51%**49%Denny Heck

Notes

Partisan clients

References

References

  1. "Washington's 2012 elections". Balletopedia.
  2. "RCW 29a.04.311: Primaries.".
  3. [http://wei.secstate.wa.gov/osos/en/Pages/Top2PrimaryFAQ.aspx Pages - Top 2 Primary] {{webarchive. link. (April 25, 2011)
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  6. Brunner, Jim. (November 10, 2012). "McKenna concedes; Inslee to be governor". The Seattle Times.
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