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2012 United States Senate election in Washington

none

Field	Value
election_name	2012 United States Senate election in Washington
country	Washington
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2006 United States Senate election in Washington
previous_year	2006
next_election	2018 United States Senate election in Washington
next_year	2018
election_date	November 6, 2012
image_size	x150px
turnout	64.1% (voting eligible)
image1	Maria Cantwell, official portrait, 110th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg
nominee1	Maria Cantwell
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	1,855,493
percentage1	60.45%
image2	File:Michael Baumgartner crop (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Michael Baumgartner
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	1,213,924
percentage2	39.55%
map_image	{{switcher	[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Washington results map by county.svg	275px]]	County results
map_caption	Cantwell:
Baumgartner:
Tie:
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Maria Cantwell
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Maria Cantwell
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Washington results map by congressional district.svg|275px]]|Congressional district results |[[File:WA Senate 2012.svg|275px]] |Precinct results}} Baumgartner:
Tie:
The 2012 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell won re-election to a third term by a significant margin, outperforming President Barack Obama's margin in the concurrent presidential election by 6%.

Background

Maria Cantwell won re-election to serve a second term with 56.85% of the vote against Mike McGavick in the 2006 Washingtonian U.S. senatorial election.

Top-two primary election

Candidates

Democratic

Maria Cantwell, incumbent U.S. Senator
Timothy Wilson

Republican

Michael Baumgartner, state senator
Art Coday, physician
Chuck Jackson, merchant mariner
Mike the Mover, perennial candidate
Glen R. Stockwell, president of Washington State Economic Development Corporation

Declined

Bill Bryant, Port of Seattle Commission President
Clint Didier, former NFL football player (endorsed Coday)
Doc Hastings, U.S. Representative
Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative
John Koster, Snohomish County Councilman and candidate for the 2nd congressional district in 2010 (running for the U.S. House)
Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative
Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative
Phillip Yin, Hong Kong–based anchor for Bloomberg Television

Others

Will Baker (Reform Party)

Results

County results

| | | | | | ]]|County results|

Congressional district results

| | | | | ]]|Congressional district results}}

General election

Candidates

Michael Baumgartner (Republican), state senator
Maria Cantwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 12, 2012 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
	Maria Cantwell (D)	$8,032,254	$6,355,260	$2,176,258	$2,171,350
	Michael Baumgartner (R)	$689,690	$422,428	$181,841	$45,689
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Maria Cantwell	Contribution	Michael Baumgartner	Contribution
Microsoft Corp	$83,982	Anderson Hay & Grain	$5,000
EMILY's List	$77,900	Columbia Management Systems, By Lar	$5,000
Morgan & Morgan	$40,000	Ignition Partners	$5,000
League of Conservation Voters	$39,900	Kvc Development Co	$5,000
University of Washington	$35,900	Acorn Campus Ventures	$4,000
K&L Gates	$35,048	Legacy LLC	$3,523
Boeing Co.	$30,625	Inland Empire Paper	$3,750
Intellectual Ventures LLC	$27,250	Savers Inc	$3,523
McBee Strategic Consulting	$26,650	Red Lion Hotels	$3,500
Second Avenue Partners	$24,500	National Cotton Council	$3,300

Top industries

Maria Cantwell	Contribution	Michael Baumgartner	Contribution
Lawyers/law firms	$696,936	Retired	$45,756
Retired	$621,231	Financial institutions	$10,000
Lobbyists	$539,418	Financial institutions	$310,487
Financial institutions	$310,487	Agribusiness	$9,550
Computers/Internet	$206,970	Health professionals	$6,150
Real estate	$179,169	Misc. finance	$4,250
Health professionals	$169,937	Mining	$4,25
Business services	$167,629	Timber/forest products	$3,750
Casinos/gambling	$165,850	General contractors	$3,000
Entertainment industry	$136,457	Real estate	$2,950

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report		November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics		November 5, 2012

Endorsements

State legislators

Dale Foreman, former majority leader of the Washington House of Representatives and former chair of the Washington State Republican Party (Republican) Newspapers
The Seattle Times

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation	Dates
administered	Dates
updated	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Michael
Baumgartner (R)	Other/Undecided
Margin
Real Clear Politics	October 14 – November 3, 2012	November 3, 2012	56.7%	36.3%	7.0%	Cantwell +20.4%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Michael
Baumgartner (R)	Other	Undecided
Survey USA	November 21–23, 2011	549	±4.3%	51%	39%	—	10%
Survey USA	January 12–16, 2012	617	±4.0%	50%	41%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	February 16–19, 2012	1,264	±2.76%	51%	36%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	June 14–17, 2012	1,073	±3.0%	51%	35%	—	14%
Survey USA	July 16–17, 2012	630	±4.0%	51%	40%	—	9%
Survey USA	September 7–9, 2012	524	±4.4%	54%	38%	—	8%
Rasmussen Reports	September 26, 2012	500	±4.5%	57%	37%	1%	5%
SurveyUSA	September 28–30, 2012	540	±4.3%	53%	40%	—	6%
The Washington Poll	October 1–16, 2012	782	±3.5%	58%	35%	—	7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 14, 2012	500	±4.5%	52%	37%	1%	9%
KCTS 9/Washington Poll	October 18–31, 2012	632	±3.9%	61%	33%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2012	932	±3.2%	57%	39%	—	4%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Bill
Bryant (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 16–19, 2012	1,264	±2.76%	50%	36%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Cathy M.
Rodgers (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 27 – August 1, 2010	1,204	±2.8%	49%	37%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	1,098	±3.0%	50%	31%	—	19%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Dave
Reichert (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 27 – August 1, 2010	1,204	±2.8%	47%	41%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	1,098	±3.0%	49%	35%	—	16%
Survey USA	November 21–23, 2011	549	±4.3%	48%	41%	—	10%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Clint
Didier (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	1,098	±3.0%	51%	35%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Susan
Hutchison (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	1,098	±3.0%	49%	35%	—	16%
Survey USA	November 21–23, 2011	549	±4.3%	49%	38%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Maria
Cantwell (D)	Dino
Rossi (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	1,098	±3.0%	53%	40%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	February 16–19, 2012	1,264	±2.76%	53%	41%	—	7%

Results

By county

County	Maria Cantwell	Michael Baumgartner	Margin	Total	%	#	%	#
	Adams	39.29%	1,859	60.71%	*2,872*	–21.41%	–1,013	4,731
	Asotin	46.77%	4,563	53.23%	*5,193*	–6.46%	–630	9,756
	Benton	42.69%	33,391	57.31%	*44,828*	–14.62%	–11,437	78,219
	Chelan	46.98%	14,892	53.02%	*16,808*	–6.04%	–1,916	31,700
	Clallam	53.89%	*20,252*	46.11%	17,331	7.77%	2,921	37,583
	Clark	53.05%	*98,457*	46.95%	87,150	6.09%	11,307	185,607
	Columbia	36.97%	827	63.03%	*1,410*	–26.06%	–583	2,237
	Cowlitz	56.42%	*24,820*	43.58%	19,170	12.89%	5,670	43,990
	Douglas	42.09%	6,228	57.91%	*8,570*	–15.83%	–2,342	14,798
	Ferry	43.67%	1,494	56.33%	*1,927*	–12.66%	–433	3,421
	Franklin	43.11%	9,689	56.89%	*12,786*	–13.78%	–3,097	22,475
	Garfield	36.39%	453	63.61%	*792*	–27.23%	–339	1,245
	Grant	38.72%	10,621	61.28%	*16,811*	–22.56%	–6,190	27,432
	Grays Harbor	61.45%	*17,491*	38.55%	10,971	22.91%	6,520	28,462
	Island	55.48%	*23,024*	44.52%	18,475	10.96%	4,549	41,499
	Jefferson	68.78%	*13,471*	31.22%	6,114	37.56%	7,357	19,585
	King	72.27%	*683,067*	27.73%	262,034	44.55%	421,033	945,101
	Kitsap	58.95%	*71,656*	41.05%	49,890	17.91%	21,766	121,546
	Kittitas	49.22%	8,746	50.78%	*9,023*	–1.56%	–277	17,769
	Klickitat	50.62%	*5,115*	49.38%	4,990	1.24%	125	10,105
	Lewis	43.01%	14,445	56.99%	*19,139*	–13.98%	–4,694	33,584
	Lincoln	37.12%	2,157	62.88%	*3,654*	–25.76%	–1,497	5,811
	Mason	57.47%	*16,057*	42.53%	11,885	14.93%	4,172	27,942
	Okanogan	47.84%	7,963	52.16%	*8,683*	–4.33%	–720	16,646
	Pacific	60.86%	*6,323*	39.14%	4,067	21.71%	2,256	10,390
	Pend Oreille	43.20%	2,867	56.80%	*3,769*	–13.59%	–902	6,636
	Pierce	59.76%	*201,827*	40.24%	135,888	19.53%	65,939	337,715
	San Juan	70.37%	*7,351*	29.63%	3,095	40.74%	4,256	10,446
	Skagit	56.17%	*30,635*	43.83%	23,900	12.35%	6,735	54,535
	Skamania	53.13%	*2,823*	46.87%	2,490	6.27%	333	5,313
	Snohomish	60.50%	*196,534*	39.50%	128,322	21.00%	68,212	324,856
	Spokane	49.92%	110,033	50.08%	*110,372*	–0.15%	–339	220,405
	Stevens	39.21%	8,671	60.79%	*13,441*	–21.57%	–4,770	22,112
	Thurston	62.82%	*78,468*	37.18%	46,449	25.63%	32,019	124,917
	Wahkiakum	55.32%	*1,253*	44.68%	1,012	10.64%	241	2,265
	Walla Walla	46.45%	11,464	53.55%	*13,217*	–7.10%	–1,753	24,681
	Whatcom	59.49%	*59,938*	40.51%	40,818	18.98%	19,120	100,756
	Whitman	49.77%	8,384	50.23%	*8,463*	–0.47%	–79	16,847
	Yakima	50.05%	*38,184*	49.95%	38,115	0.09%	69	76,299
Total	60.45%	1,855,493	39.55%	1,213,924	20.90%	641,569	3,069,417

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Yakima (largest city: Yakima)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Asotin (largest city: Clarkston)
Spokane (largest city: Spokane)
Whitman (largest city: Pullman)

| | | | | | | | |

Democratic Republican

By congressional district

Cantwell won eight of ten congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.

District	Cantwell	Representative
57%	43%	Suzan DelBene
63%	37%	Rick Larsen
53%	47%	Jaime Herrera Beutler
45%	55%	Doc Hastings
48%	52%	Cathy McMorris Rodgers
61%	39%	Derek Kilmer
82%	18%	Jim McDermott
55%	45%	Dave Reichert
72%	28%	Adam Smith
61%	39%	Denny Heck

Notes

References

Dr. Michael McDonald. (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". [[George Mason University]].
Blumenthal, Les. (November 21, 2010). "Washington state's Cantwell not looking ahead to 2012 -- yet". [[McClatchy Newspapers]].
"timwilsonforsenate.org - timwilsonforsenate Resources and Information.".
"Makupfront: Up Front With Robert Mak".
Camden, Jim. (January 30, 2012). "U.S. Senate race: Cantwell has $4 million in bank". [[The Spokesman-Review]].
"2012 Candidates Appearing in the Primary". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
"Candidate Statement". Secretary of State of Washington.
"Corporation Registration Detail". Secretary of State of Washington.
Myrick, Bryan. (March 12, 2012). "Port Commission President Bill Bryant Will Not Challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate". NW Daily Marker.
"Endorsements - Art Coday for US Senate, Washington 2012".
Faulk, Mike. (February 24, 2012). "Doc Hastings rules out reform". [[Tri-City Herald]].
Mathieu, Stevie. (January 16, 2012). "Congresswoman talks town halls, confirms re-election bid". [[The Columbian]].
"John Koster officially files to unseat Rep. Rick Larsen {{!}} Politics {{!}} Everett News".
(March 17, 2011). "McMorris Rodgers starting 2012 campaign". [[The Spokesman-Review]].
Brunner, Jim. (February 2, 2012). "Reichert won't challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate seat". The Seattle Times.
Mak, Robert. (October 26, 2011). "GOP Senate hopeful drops out of race". [[KING-TV.
Reed, Sam. (August 7, 2012). "U.S. Senator". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Maria Cantwell Campaign Finances]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Michael Baumgartner Campaign Finances]
[http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WAS1 [[OpenSecrets]]
Top Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)]
"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
"2012 Senate".
"2012 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics.
"Extra Jolt: Longtime Republican Leader Endorses Cantwell over Baumgartner".
Editorial Board, The Seattle Times. (October 19, 2012). "The Times recommends returning Democrat Maria Cantwell to the U.S. Senate". [[The Seattle Times]].
[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/wa/washington_senate_baumgartner_vs_cantwell-3012.html Real Clear Politics]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=baa19978-df0f-4904-827b-65df44d845fb Survey USA]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3e569851-5364-447f-84cf-4bc6ac6bf688 Survey USA]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_0224.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_062012.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2786ebbd-3348-4795-b0a8-0ee124a9707d Survey USA]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=07b89034-43b1-4d60-8d0f-2982bd314434 Survey USA]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/washington/election_2012_washington_senate Rasmussen Reports]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20130217181256/http://www.king5.com/news/politics/KING-5-poll-poll-majority-support-gay-marriage-marijuana--172885681.html SurveyUSA]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20121025111411/http://www.washingtonpoll.org/results/kcts9wapoll_oct18.pdf The Washington Poll]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140318055359/http://kcts9.org/sites/default/files/kcts9wapoll_oct31.pdf KCTS 9/Washington Poll]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_1103.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110504105333/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WA_805.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110518165849/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WA_05171025.pdf Public Policy Polling]
Reed, Sam. (November 6, 2012). "U.S. Senator". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
Reed, Sam. (November 6, 2012). "U.S. Senator - County Results". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
"2012 General Data".

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County	Maria Cantwell	Michael Baumgartner	Margin	Total	%	#	%	#
	Adams	39.29%	1,859	60.71%	*2,872*	–21.41%	–1,013	4,731
	Asotin	46.77%	4,563	53.23%	*5,193*	–6.46%	–630	9,756
	Benton	42.69%	33,391	57.31%	*44,828*	–14.62%	–11,437	78,219
	Chelan	46.98%	14,892	53.02%	*16,808*	–6.04%	–1,916	31,700
	Clallam	53.89%	*20,252*	46.11%	17,331	7.77%	2,921	37,583
	Clark	53.05%	*98,457*	46.95%	87,150	6.09%	11,307	185,607
	Columbia	36.97%	827	63.03%	*1,410*	–26.06%	–583	2,237
	Cowlitz	56.42%	*24,820*	43.58%	19,170	12.89%	5,670	43,990
	Douglas	42.09%	6,228	57.91%	*8,570*	–15.83%	–2,342	14,798
	Ferry	43.67%	1,494	56.33%	*1,927*	–12.66%	–433	3,421
	Franklin	43.11%	9,689	56.89%	*12,786*	–13.78%	–3,097	22,475
	Garfield	36.39%	453	63.61%	*792*	–27.23%	–339	1,245
	Grant	38.72%	10,621	61.28%	*16,811*	–22.56%	–6,190	27,432
	Grays Harbor	61.45%	*17,491*	38.55%	10,971	22.91%	6,520	28,462
	Island	55.48%	*23,024*	44.52%	18,475	10.96%	4,549	41,499
	Jefferson	68.78%	*13,471*	31.22%	6,114	37.56%	7,357	19,585
	King	72.27%	*683,067*	27.73%	262,034	44.55%	421,033	945,101
	Kitsap	58.95%	*71,656*	41.05%	49,890	17.91%	21,766	121,546
	Kittitas	49.22%	8,746	50.78%	*9,023*	–1.56%	–277	17,769
	Klickitat	50.62%	*5,115*	49.38%	4,990	1.24%	125	10,105
	Lewis	43.01%	14,445	56.99%	*19,139*	–13.98%	–4,694	33,584
	Lincoln	37.12%	2,157	62.88%	*3,654*	–25.76%	–1,497	5,811
	Mason	57.47%	*16,057*	42.53%	11,885	14.93%	4,172	27,942
	Okanogan	47.84%	7,963	52.16%	*8,683*	–4.33%	–720	16,646
	Pacific	60.86%	*6,323*	39.14%	4,067	21.71%	2,256	10,390
	Pend Oreille	43.20%	2,867	56.80%	*3,769*	–13.59%	–902	6,636
	Pierce	59.76%	*201,827*	40.24%	135,888	19.53%	65,939	337,715
	San Juan	70.37%	*7,351*	29.63%	3,095	40.74%	4,256	10,446
	Skagit	56.17%	*30,635*	43.83%	23,900	12.35%	6,735	54,535
	Skamania	53.13%	*2,823*	46.87%	2,490	6.27%	333	5,313
	Snohomish	60.50%	*196,534*	39.50%	128,322	21.00%	68,212	324,856
	Spokane	49.92%	110,033	50.08%	*110,372*	–0.15%	–339	220,405
	Stevens	39.21%	8,671	60.79%	*13,441*	–21.57%	–4,770	22,112
	Thurston	62.82%	*78,468*	37.18%	46,449	25.63%	32,019	124,917
	Wahkiakum	55.32%	*1,253*	44.68%	1,012	10.64%	241	2,265
	Walla Walla	46.45%	11,464	53.55%	*13,217*	–7.10%	–1,753	24,681
	Whatcom	59.49%	*59,938*	40.51%	40,818	18.98%	19,120	100,756
	Whitman	49.77%	8,384	50.23%	*8,463*	–0.47%	–79	16,847
	Yakima	50.05%	*38,184*	49.95%	38,115	0.09%	69	76,299
Total	60.45%	1,855,493	39.55%	1,213,924	20.90%	641,569	3,069,417