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2012 United States Senate election in Texas

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States Senate election in Texas
countryTexas
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States Senate election in Texas
previous_year2006
next_election2018 United States Senate election in Texas
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex150px
turnout64.8% (of registered voters)
49.7% (voting eligible)
image1Ted Cruz, official portrait (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Ted Cruz**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**4,440,137**
percentage1**56.46%**
image2File:Paul Sadler.JPG
nominee2Paul Sadler
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote23,194,927
percentage240.62%
map_size310px
map_caption**Cruz:**
**Sadler:**
map2_size310px
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionKay Bailey Hutchison
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionTed Cruz
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
map{{switcher

49.7% (voting eligible) Sadler:

| 310px | County results | [[File:2012 United States Senate election in Texas results map by congressional district.svg|310px]] | Congressional district results | [[File:TX SEN 2012.svg|310px]] | Precinct results The 2012 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2012, along with other elections to the United States Senate the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator Kay Bailey Hutchison decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a fourth full term. This was the first open election for this seat since 1957.

Libertarian John Jay Myers was elected by nomination at the Texas Libertarian Party State Convention on June 8, 2012. After the first round of primary voting on May 29, 2012, a runoff was held on July 31, 2012, for both the Democratic Party and Republican Party. Former state representative Paul Sadler and former state solicitor general Ted Cruz respectively won the Democratic and Republican runoffs; Cruz won the general election by a wide margin.

Background

In an interview with Texas Monthly published in December 2007, incumbent U.S. senator Kay Bailey Hutchison stated that she would not seek reelection and might also resign from the Senate as early as 2009 to run for Governor of Texas. After the 2008 elections, Hutchison formed an exploratory committee to run for the governorship in 2010. State Republican Party Chairman Cathie Adams later called upon Hutchison to clarify when she would vacate the Senate so that other Republican candidates could make preparations to run.

On December 4, 2008, Hutchison set up an exploratory committee, setting up a primary battle with incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry. Fellow Texas U.S. senator and National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn tried to convince Hutchison to stay in the Senate, for fear of losing the seat to the Democrats. On January 15, 2009, Hutchison transferred nearly all the money, approximately $8 million, from her federal campaign account to her gubernatorial exploratory committee. On November 13, 2009, Hutchison announced that she would not resign from the Senate seat until after the primary on March 2, 2010.

Hutchison lost the gubernatorial primary to Perry and on March 31, 2010, she announced her intention to serve out her third term. On January 13, 2011, after some discussion about whether she would change her mind, Hutchison announced she would not seek re-election in 2012.

Requirements for nomination

Texas requires a majority for nomination, as well as a second round runoff between the two candidates with the two highest pluralities if none win a majority on the first round. No candidate won a majority in either 2012 major party first round primary, so both parties had a runoff on July 31, 2012.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Glenn Addison, funeral home owner
  • Joe Agris, plastic surgeon
  • Curt Cleaver, owner of a hotel sales, consulting, and management company
  • Ted Cruz, former State Solicitor General
  • David Dewhurst, Texas Lieutenant Governor
  • Ben Gambini
  • Charles Holcomb, retired judge from the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals
  • Craig James, sports commentator and former professional football player
  • Tom Leppert, former mayor of Dallas
  • Lela Pittenger, mediator

Withdrew

  • Elizabeth Ames Jones, Texas Railroad Commissioner (ran for State Senate)
  • Florence Shapiro, Texas state senator (later dropped out)
  • Michael Williams, former Texas Railroad Commissioner (ran for U.S. House){{cite web |url= http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/tx/7621790.html
  • Roger Williams, former Texas Secretary of State (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

  • Kay Bailey Hutchison, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Robert Paul, doctor and son of Ron Paul, and brother of U.S. Senator Rand Paul
  • Ron Paul, U.S. representative from (ran for president)
  • Dan Patrick, Texas state senator

Endorsements

  • Sarah Palin, 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee and former governor of Alaska

  • Rand Paul, United States senator from Kentucky

  • Pat Toomey, United States senator from Pennsylvania

  • Justin Amash, United States Congressman from Michigan CD3

  • Jim DeMint, United States senator from South Carolina

  • Mike Lee, United States senator from Utah

  • Ron Paul, United States Congressman from Texas CD14 and 2012 Republican presidential candidate

  • Rick Santorum, former United States senator from Pennsylvania and 2012 Republican presidential candidate

  • Edwin Meese, former United States Attorney General

  • Cathie Adams, former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas

  • Tina Benkiser, former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas

  • George Strake, Jr., former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas

  • Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host

  • Erick Erickson, American conservative blogger and managing editor of the prominent blog site RedState

  • George P. Bush, co-founder of "Hispanic Republicans of Texas" and nephew of President George W. Bush

  • Michael Farris, founder of the Home School Legal Defense Association

  • David Barton, founder of WallBuilders

  • Dr. Robert P. George, professor of Princeton University and former chairman of the National Organization for Marriage

  • Dr. James Dobson, psychologist, founder of Focus on the Family and Family Research Council

  • Family Research Council

  • Americans For Prosperity

  • Concerned Women for America

  • Republican Liberty Caucus

  • Club for Growth, a fiscally conservative PAC

  • FreedomWorks, conservative Tea Party group

  • Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio and Fox News host

  • Tea Party Conservative, conservative blog

  • Tea Party Express

  • Citizens United

  • Gun Owners of America

  • Young Conservatives of Texas

  • Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and 2012 Republican presidential candidate

  • James Inhofe, United States senator from Oklahoma

  • Dallas Morning News,

  • Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas and 2008 presidential candidate

  • Michael Reagan, conservative talk radio host

  • Rick Scarborough, President of Vision America

  • BEEF-PAC

  • Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas

  • Independent Bankers Association of Texas

  • National Association of Realtors

  • Texas Agricultural Aviation Association

  • Texas Alliance for Life

  • Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association

  • Texas Apartment Association

  • Texas Association of Business

  • Texas Association of Manufacturers

  • Texas Department of Public Safety Officers Association

  • Texas Farm Bureau Friends of Agriculture Fund

  • Texas Hospital Association

  • Texas Medical Association

  • Texas Municipal Police Association

  • Texas Oil and Gas PAC

  • Texas Poultry Federation

  • Texas Restaurant Association

  • Texas Retailers Association

  • Texas Right to Life

  • Texas Society of Professional Engineers

  • Texas State Association of Fire Fighters

  • Texas State Lodge of the Fraternal Order of Police

  • Texas Wildlife Association

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
CruzDavid
DewhurstElizabeth
Ames JonesCraig
JamesTom
LeppertLela
PittengerMichael
WilliamsRoger
WilliamsOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011400±4.9%3%**23%**6%6%3%3%1%55%
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 11–17, 2011374±5.07%3%**27%**2%2%5%2%59%
UoT/Texas TribuneMay 11–18, 2011388±4.98%2%**25%**1%1%4%6%2%59%
Texas LyceumMay 24–31, 2011147±8.08%1%**27%**2%2%3%0%4%61%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011400±4.9%12%**41%**7%7%6%6%21%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 19–26, 2011800±4.93%10%**22%**2%2%5%41%
Baselice & AssociatesOctober 31 – November 2, 2011600±4%6%**50%**9%2%35%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012559±4.2%18%**36%**4%7%1%3%31%
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 8–15, 2012366±5.12%27%**38%**7%7%1%20%
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012400±4.9%26%**38%**7%8%22%
DWBSApril 27–30, 2012400±4.5%16%**51%**2%7%24%
UoT/Texas TribuneMay 2012274±5.92%31%**40%**4%17%3%4%2%
BOR/People Calling PeopleMay 15–16, 2012557±4.2%30%**43%**5%14%4%3%
Public Policy PollingMay 22–23, 2012482±4.5%29%**46%**5%15%2%5%
  • Commissioned by David Dewhurst

With Dan Patrick

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
CruzDavid
DewhurstElizabeth
Ames JonesTom
LeppertDan
PatrickRoger
WilliamsOtherUndecided
DWBSJune 4–5, 2011450±4.62%2%4%11%**19%**6%**58%**
6%**29%****64%**
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011400±4.9%11%**40%**3%5%11%2%2%26%
  • Commissioned by Dan Patrick

Results

Runoff

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
CruzDavid
DewhurstUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 22–23, 2012482±4.5%34%**59%**7%
Wenzel StrategiesJuly 10–11, 2012600±4%**47%**38%14%
Public Policy PollingJuly 10–11, 2012468±4.5%**49%**44%7%
Public Policy PollingJuly 28–29, 2012665±3.8%**52%**42%6%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Filed

  • Addie Allen, disaster assistance employee for the Department of Homeland Security
  • Sean Hubbard, businessman
  • Paul Sadler, attorney and former state Representative
  • Grady Yarbrough, retired teacher

Withdrew

  • Daniel Boone, retired Air Force Colonel (ran for U.S. House)
  • Jason Gibson, president of the Houston Trial Lawyers Association (filed, but dropped out)
  • Ricardo Sanchez, former United States Army Lieutenant General (dropped out)

Declined

  • Julian Castro, Mayor of San Antonio
  • Adrian Garcia, Harris County sheriff
  • Ron Kirk, U.S. trade representative and former Mayor of Dallas
  • Nick Lampson, former U.S. representative
  • John Sharp, former Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
  • Leticia Van de Putte, Texas state senator
  • Bill White, former Mayor of Houston, originally announced that he would be running for the seat when it is vacated by Hutchison. On December 4, 2009, White announced that he was running for governor instead. After receiving the Democratic nomination for governor and losing the general election, White declared on November 15, 2010, that he would not run for the U.S. Senate in 2012.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAddie
AllenSean
HubbardPaul
SadlerGrady
YarbroughOthers
University of Texas/Texas TribuneMay 2012234±6.41%22%22%**35%**12%Don't know (9%)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAddie
AllenDaniel
BooneSean
HubbardJohn
MortonPaul
SadlerOthers
University of Texas/Texas TribuneFebruary 8–15, 2012255±6.14%10%10%**12%**3%10%**Other (55%)**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorChris
BellChet
EdwardsSylvia
GarciaRicardo
SanchezJohn
SharpOthers
Texas LyceumMay 24–31, 2011103±9.66%**9%**6%5%6%6%**Haven't thought much about it (64%)**
University of Texas/Texas TribuneMay 11–18, 2011252±6.17%7%11%**14%**6%**Don't know (63%)**
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 11–17, 2011297±5.69%**16%**13%12%**Don't know (59%)**

Results

Runoff

Libertarian Party nomination

The Libertarian Party was qualified for the ballot (based on its 2010 performance at the polls). The Texas Libertarian Party nominated John Jay Myers as its Senate candidate, using approval voting on June 9 at the state convention in Fort Worth. The nominating process followed a two-round debate featuring six candidates for the nomination.

Candidates

  • Robert Butler
  • Wayne Huffman
  • Scott Jameson
  • John Jay Myers, restaurant owner
  • S. Ropal Raju
  • Jon Roland

Results

Green Party nomination

The Green Party of Texas reported two candidates pre-selected at the June 9 convention: David B. Collins and Victoria Ann Zabaras. Collins was ultimately nominated (official blog).

General election

Candidates

  • Ted Cruz, (Republican) former state solicitor general
  • Paul Sadler, (Democratic) former state representative
  • John Jay Myers, (Libertarian) restaurant owner
  • David Collins (Green), IT service desk analyst
  • Chris Tina Bruce (independent)
  • Mike Champion (independent)

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Ted Cruz (R)$9,053,212$7,600,914$1,452,297$795,000
Paul Sadler (D)$139,197$108,442$30,753$12,197
John Jay Myers (L)$6,139$547$5,591$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Paul SadlerContributionTed CruzContribution
Communications Workers of America$5,000Club for Growth$659,777
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers$5,000Senate Conservatives Fund$200,549
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers$5,000Morgan, Lewis & Bockius$41,600
United Transportation Union$5,000Goldman Sachs$40,750
Velvin Oil Co$5,000RE Janes Gravel Co$37,500
[3-D Secure](3-d-secure)$2,500Woodforest National Bank$37,000
American Federation of Teachers$2,500Jones Day$34,900
Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers$2,500Bartlit, Beck, Herman, Palenchar & Scott$36,350
Galyean Lp$2,500Baker Botts$32,313
University of Houston$2,500Crow Holdings$30,000

Top industries

Paul SadlerContributionTed CruzContribution
Industrial unions$15,000Republican/Conservative$825,098
Lawyers/law firms$9,000Lawyers/law firms$551,662
Transportation unions$7,500Retired$437,961
Retired$7,500Oil and gas$325,850
Public sector unions$2,500Financial institutions$305,110
Financial institutions$2,500Real estate$240,300
Education$2,500Leadership PACs$235,549
Candidate committees$2,000Misc finance$185,700
Lobbyists$1,000Health professionals$155,880
Civil servants/public officials$500Misc business$148,874

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)Paul
Sadler (D)John Jay
Myers (L)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**41%**31%28%
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**44%**34%22%
Frederick PollingSeptember 2012700±3.7%**49%**32%6%14%
YouGovSeptember 14, 20121,201±2.8%**50%**31%19%
Texas LyceumSeptember 10–26, 20121,175±2.83%**50%**24%26%
University of Texas/Texas TribuneOctober 15–20, 2012540±4.22%**54%**39%7%

with David Dewhurst

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Paul
Sadler (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**49%**31%20%
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**49%**35%16%

with Julian Castro

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**53%**25%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorElizabeth
Ames Jones (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**48%**27%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**48%**25%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMichael
Williams (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**45%**26%29%

with Chet Edwards

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)Chet
Edwards (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**37%**33%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Chet
Edwards (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3%**50%**31%19%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**43%**35%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Chet
Edwards (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3%**46%**30%24%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**39%**33%28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorElizabeth
Ames Jones (R)Chet
Edwards (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3%**44%**31%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMichael
Williams (R)Chet
Edwards (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**42%**31%27%

with Sean Hubbard

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)Sean
Hubbard (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**43%**33%25%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**39%**29%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Sean
Hubbard (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**50%**35%15%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**48%**31%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorCraig
James (R)Sean
Hubbard (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**41%**35%24%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**40%**32%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Sean
Hubbard (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**44%**34%22%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**43%**22%26%

with Tommy Lee Jones

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)Tommy
Lee Jones (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.537%**38%**25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Tommy
Lee Jones (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5**43%**39%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Tommy
Lee Jones (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5**38%**37%26%

with Paul Sadler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorCraig
James (R)Paul
Sadler (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**40%**36%24%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**42%**32%26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Paul
Sadler (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 19–22, 2012591±4.0%**44%**33%22%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012700±3.7%**44%**31%25%

with Ricardo Sanchez

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)Ricardo
Sanchez (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**42%**31%27%
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5%**41%**32%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Ricardo
Sanchez (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**47%**32%22%
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5%**45%**37%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)Ricardo
Sanchez (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 15–18, 2011569±4.1%**41%**32%27%
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5%**38%**35%27%

with John Sharp

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**44%**36%19%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20091,409±2.6%**36%**28%36%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTed
Cruz (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5**40%**36%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5**43%**37%19%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**49%**31%19%
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**34%**33%33%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20091,409±2.6%**42%**36%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorElizabeth
Ames Jones (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**44%**30%26%
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**33%**31%**37%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Leppert (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011795±3.5**39%**38%23%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 14–16, 2011892±3.3**42%**30%28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorFlorence
Shapiro (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%31%**32%****37%**
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20091,409±2.634%**37%**29%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRoger
Williams (R)John
Sharp (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%29%**33%****38%**

with Bill White

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**37%**28%36%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20091,409±2.6%**42%**36%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Dewhurst (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**38%**36%26%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20091,409±2.6%**42%**37%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorElizabeth
Ames Jones (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**33%**30%**37%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorFlorence
Shapiro (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**32%**31%**37%**
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 20111,409±2.6**37%**36%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMichael
Williams (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%**35%**31%34%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRoger
Williams (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
University of Texas, AustinFebruary 24 – March 6, 2009715±3.66%31%**33%****38%**

Republican primary (when asked specifically, if Dewhurst were not running)

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGlenn
AddisonTed
CruzElizabeth
Ames JonesTom
LeppertDan
PatrickLela
PittengerRoger
Williams
Public Policy PollingJune 25–27, 2011400±4.9%4%**16%**11%12%13%0%3%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
  • Cameron (largest community: Brownsville)
  • Jefferson (largest city: Beaumont)
  • Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
  • Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
  • La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
  • Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
  • Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
  • Dallas (largest city: Dallas)

By congressional district

Cruz won 25 of 36 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

DistrictCruzSadlerRepresentative
**67.74%**30.55%Louie Gohmert
**62.92%**34.35%Ted Poe
**63.52%**33.52%Sam Johnson
**69.79%**27.6%Ralph Hall
**62.41%**35.41%Jeb Hensarling
**57.16%**40.12%Joe Barton
**59.63%**37.73%John Culberson
**75.64%**21.88%Kevin Brady
21.91%**76.35%**Al Green
**57.76%**38.76%Michael McCaul
**77.32%**19.92%Mike Conaway
**65.74%**31.22%Kay Granger
**78.17%**19.12%Mac Thornberry
**57.98%**39.8%Randy Weber
42.74%**54.55%**Rubén Hinojosa
37.02%**59.66%**Beto O'Rourke
**59.36%**37.24%Bill Flores
23.51%**74.37%**Sheila Jackson Lee
**72.65%**24.37%Randy Neugebauer
39.33%**57.47%**Joaquín Castro
**59.38%**37.32%Lamar Smith
**62.02%**35.74%Pete Olson
**51.67%**45.28%Pete Gallego
**59.97%**36.88%Kenny Marchant
**58.07%**37.79%Roger Williams
**66.74%**29.66%Michael Burgess
**59.12%**38.11%Blake Farenthold
41.5%**55.14%**Henry Cuellar
34.47%**63.27%**Gene Green
20.58%**77.58%**Eddie Bernice Johnson
**58.13%**37.46%John Carter
**56.03%**41.03%Pete Sessions
28.71%**68.96%**Marc Veasey
41.71%**55.23%**Filemon Vela Jr.
34.14%**61.38%**Lloyd Doggett
**71.03%**26.66%Steve Stockman

Notes

References

References

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