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2012 United States presidential election in Indiana

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2012 United States presidential election in Indiana

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Indiana
countryIndiana
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Indiana
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Indiana
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
turnout58.46%
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1**Mitt Romney**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**Paul Ryan**
electoral_vote1**11**
popular_vote1**1,420,543**
percentage1**54.13%**
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote21,152,887
percentage243.93%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:Indiana Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|180px]] | County results | [[File:IN-12-pres-districts el.svg|180px]] | Congressional district results Romney Obama A presidential election was held in Indiana on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Romney and Ryan carried Indiana with 54.13% of the popular vote to the Democratic ticket's 43.93%, thus winning the state's 11 electoral votes.

Indiana and North Carolina were the only two states Obama won in 2008 that flipped to the Republican column in 2012. Although Indiana normally leans Republican, in 2008 Obama had been the first Democrat to win Indiana since 1964, albeit by a narrow 1.03% margin. Unlike North Carolina, Indiana was not seriously contested again by the Obama campaign in 2012; consequently, Romney was able to carry it by a 10.2% margin and win 6 counties Obama won in 2008.

Obama carried Vigo County, home to Terre Haute, and at the time a noted bellwether; before 2020, it had voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892. After 2012, political realignment and shift of white working-class voters to Trump, exodus of young people to cities and the rightward turn of exurban areas accelerated by the Trump era have made Vigo County generally uncompetitive to the present day. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that Delaware, LaPorte, Perry, Porter, and Vigo counties have voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. Obama won nine counties compared to 83 for Romney, who won most rural areas of the state. Romney also performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs; Allen County, home of Fort Wayne; and Vanderburgh County, home of Evansville. As expected, Obama did better in urban, densely populated areas. Obama trounced Romney in Marion County, home of Indianapolis, as well as Lake County, home of Gary and East Chicago. Obama also for the most part did well in counties that contained major colleges, such as Monroe County, home of Indiana University Bloomington; St. Joseph County, home of the University of Notre Dame in South Bend; and Porter County, home of Valparaiso University. This was also the last election in which Indiana was considered a swing state by some outlets.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, securing 221,466 votes.

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on May 8, 2012.

CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate countAPCNN
FOXUnprojected delegates:181946Total:635,589100.00%464646
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]] **Mitt Romney**410,63564.61%2827
Ron Paul98,48715.50%
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)85,33213.43%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn)41,1356.47%

General election

Campaign

Incumbent Obama did not visit Indiana, although First Lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and former President Bill Clinton stumped in the state. Meanwhile, Romney visited Indiana several times.

Polling

Republican Nominee Mitt Romney won every pre-election poll conducted in the state by at least 5%, and often by double digits. The average of the final three polls had Romney leading Obama 51% to 43%.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in IndianaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****Willard M. Romney****Paul D. Ryan**1,420,543**54.13%****11**
DemocraticBarack H. Obama (incumbent)Joseph R. Biden Jr. (incumbent)1,152,88743.93%0
LibertarianGary E. JohnsonJim Gray50,1111.91%0
Green (write-in)Jill Stein (write-in)Cheri Honkala6250.02%0
Constitution (write-in)Virgil Goode (write-in)Jim Clymer2900.01%0
America's Party (write-in)Thomas Hoefling (write-in)Jonathan D. Ellis350.00%0
Socialist (write-in)Stewart Alexander (write-in)Alex Mendoza170.00%0
Write-insWrite-ins100.00%0
Unaffiliated (write-in)Jill Ann Reed (write-in)Tom Cary80.00%0
Independent (write-in)Randall Terry (write-in)Missy Smith80.00%0
**Totals****2,624,534****100.00%****11**

Following Romney's win in Indiana, The Indianapolis Star said that "Voters painted Indiana bright red on Tuesday- with a splash or so of blue" and that "voters also proved that while this state is conservative, it doesn't like to stray too far from the middle".

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,422,87254.04%1,154,27543.84%55,9962.13%268,59710.20%2,633,143
Adams8,93768.58%3,80629.21%2892.21%5,13139.37%13,032
Allen84,61357.46%60,03640.77%2,5971.77%24,57716.69%147,246
Bartholomew18,08361.52%10,62536.15%6842.33%7,45825.37%29,392
Benton2,32965.09%1,15932.39%902.52%1,17032.70%3,578
Blackford2,71156.95%1,92740.48%1222.57%78416.47%4,760
Boone18,80867.70%8,32829.98%6462.32%10,48037.72%27,782
Brown4,33256.75%3,06040.08%2423.17%1,27216.67%7,634
Carroll4,99964.01%2,63533.74%1762.25%2,36430.27%7,810
Cass8,44359.62%5,37137.93%3472.45%3,07221.69%14,161
Clark25,45053.83%20,80744.01%1,0212.16%4,6439.82%47,278
Clay7,09665.67%3,46032.02%2492.31%3,63633.65%10,805
Clinton6,33864.13%3,30833.47%2372.40%3,03030.66%9,883
Crawford2,42152.75%2,04144.47%1282.78%3808.28%4,590
Daviess7,63874.42%2,43723.74%1891.84%5,20150.68%10,264
Dearborn15,39468.86%6,52829.20%4341.94%8,86639.66%22,356
Decatur7,11968.94%2,94128.48%2672.58%4,17840.46%10,327
DeKalb10,58764.71%5,41933.12%3542.17%5,16831.59%16,360
Delaware21,25147.15%22,65450.26%1,1692.59%-1,403-3.11%45,074
Dubois11,65462.75%6,52235.12%3952.13%5,13227.63%18,571
Elkhart42,37862.29%24,39935.87%1,2521.84%17,97926.42%68,029
Fayette5,04557.09%3,55540.23%2372.68%1,49016.86%8,837
Floyd19,87856.17%14,81241.85%7021.98%5,06614.32%35,392
Fountain4,66465.59%2,23731.46%2102.95%2,42734.13%7,111
Franklin7,42470.17%2,90927.50%2472.33%4,51542.67%10,580
Fulton5,31765.43%2,62132.25%1882.32%2,69633.18%8,126
Gibson9,48764.45%4,92833.48%3062.07%4,55930.97%14,721
Grant15,15159.82%9,58937.86%5892.32%5,56221.96%25,329
Greene8,45764.36%4,35033.10%3342.21%4,10731.26%13,141
Hamilton90,74766.20%43,79631.95%2,5461.85%46,95134.25%137,089
Hancock22,79669.41%9,31928.37%7282.22%13,47741.04%32,843
Harrison10,64060.21%6,60737.39%4242.40%4,03322.82%17,671
Hendricks44,31266.37%21,11231.62%1,3372.01%23,20034.75%66,761
Henry10,83857.02%7,61340.05%5562.93%3,22516.97%19,007
Howard20,32756.01%15,13541.70%8292.29%5,19214.31%36,291
Huntington10,86268.76%4,59629.09%3392.15%6,26639.67%15,797
Jackson10,41962.34%5,83834.93%4552.73%4,58127.41%16,712
Jasper7,95561.57%4,67236.16%2932.27%3,28325.41%12,920
Jay4,64558.79%3,06338.77%1932.44%1,58220.02%7,901
Jefferson7,09653.94%5,72843.54%3322.52%1,36810.40%13,156
Jennings6,12059.71%3,82137.28%3093.01%2,29922.43%10,250
Johnson39,51368.02%17,26029.71%1,3192.27%22,25338.31%58,092
Knox9,61263.47%5,22834.52%3052.01%4,38428.95%15,145
Kosciusko22,55874.84%6,86222.77%7202.39%15,69652.07%30,140
LaGrange6,23166.88%2,89831.11%1872.01%3,33335.77%9,316
Lake68,43133.85%130,89764.75%2,8191.40%-62,466-30.90%202,147
LaPorte18,61542.62%24,10755.19%9592.19%-5,492-12.57%43,681
Lawrence11,62265.04%5,77932.34%4692.62%5,84332.70%17,870
Madison26,76950.98%24,40746.48%1,3342.54%2,3624.50%52,510
Marion136,50937.92%216,33660.10%7,1271.98%-79,827-22.18%359,972
Marshall11,26063.25%6,13734.48%4042.27%5,12328.77%17,801
Martin3,26268.78%1,35128.48%1302.74%1,91140.30%4,743
Miami8,17463.79%4,22232.95%4173.26%3,95230.84%12,813
Monroe22,48139.29%33,43658.43%1,3062.28%-10,955-19.14%57,223
Montgomery9,82468.03%4,27129.58%3452.39%5,55338.45%14,440
Morgan19,59169.17%7,96928.13%7652.70%11,62241.04%28,325
Newton3,29158.02%2,21239.00%1692.98%1,07919.02%5,672
Noble10,68065.63%5,22932.13%3642.24%5,45133.50%16,273
Ohio1,75962.40%99435.26%662.34%76527.14%2,819
Orange4,61759.38%2,93937.80%2202.82%1,67821.58%7,776
Owen5,06262.39%2,82334.80%2282.81%2,23927.59%8,113
Parke4,23464.85%2,11032.32%1852.83%2,12432.53%6,529
Perry3,40343.21%4,31654.81%1561.98%-913-11.60%7,875
Pike3,62761.20%2,12535.86%1742.94%1,50225.34%5,926
Porter34,40646.94%37,25250.82%1,6452.24%-2,846-3.88%73,303
Posey7,43060.77%4,53337.08%2632.15%2,89723.69%12,226
Pulaski3,36662.34%1,89935.17%1342.49%1,46727.17%5,399
Putnam9,00565.12%4,50732.59%3172.29%4,49832.53%13,829
Randolph6,21860.95%3,76936.94%2152.11%2,44924.01%10,202
Ripley7,48467.94%3,24129.42%2902.64%4,24338.52%11,015
Rush4,63365.94%2,22131.61%1722.45%2,41234.33%7,026
Scott4,53952.05%3,99845.85%1832.10%5416.20%8,720
Shelby10,97865.50%5,35931.97%4232.53%5,61933.53%16,760
Spencer5,51556.60%4,02641.32%2032.08%1,48915.28%9,744
St. Joseph52,57847.36%56,46050.86%1,9711.78%-3,882-3.50%111,009
Starke4,73854.03%3,80943.44%2222.53%92910.59%8,769
Steuben8,54762.41%4,85335.44%2952.15%3,69426.97%13,695
Sullivan4,90259.13%3,19138.49%1972.38%1,71120.64%8,290
Switzerland1,87255.11%1,43742.30%882.59%43512.81%3,397
Tippecanoe28,75750.40%26,71146.81%1,5952.79%2,0463.59%57,063
Tipton4,77364.74%2,43232.99%1682.27%2,34131.75%7,373
Union2,02265.14%1,01832.80%642.06%1,00432.34%3,104
Vanderburgh39,38954.26%31,72543.71%1,4742.03%7,66410.55%72,588
Vermillion3,42651.89%2,97945.12%1982.99%4476.77%6,603
Vigo19,36948.42%19,71249.27%9242.31%-343-0.85%40,005
Wabash8,64467.03%3,97330.81%2782.16%4,67136.22%12,895
Warren2,37762.55%1,32434.84%992.61%1,05327.71%3,800
Warrick17,68062.19%10,18135.81%5662.00%7,49926.38%28,427
Washington6,53360.85%3,90936.41%2952.74%2,62424.44%10,737
Wayne14,32156.21%10,59141.57%5652.22%3,73014.64%25,477
Wells9,25671.46%3,43626.53%2602.01%5,82044.93%12,952
White5,97060.09%3,63736.61%3283.30%2,33323.48%9,935
Whitley10,25868.24%4,42029.40%3542.36%5,83838.84%15,032
County flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Madison (largest city: Anderson)
  • Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
  • Starke (largest city: Knox)
  • Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
  • Vanderburgh (largest city: Evansville)
  • Vermillion (largest city: Clinton)

By congressional district

Romney won seven of nine congressional districts.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
37.39%**61.19%**Pete Visclosky
**56.1%**42.14%Jackie Walorski
**62.54%**35.7%Marlin Stutzman
**60.88%**36.87%Todd Rokita
**57.5%**40.7%Susan Brooks
**60.43%**37.28%Luke Messer
35.35%**62.9%**André Carson
**58.37%**39.61%Larry Bucshon
**57.17%**40.7%Todd Young

Sources

References

References

  1. "General Election Turnout and Registration".
  2. "2012 Presidential Election - Indiana". Politico.
  3. GALOFARO, CLAIRE. "The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this year. Just look at Terre Haute, Indiana.".
  4. "Indiana Voters".
  5. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". [[CNN]].
  6. "Presidential Primary Dates". [[Federal Election Commission]].
  7. [http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/primary/sos_primary12 Secretary of State election results]. June 5, 2012. Retrieved June 27, 2012.
  8. "Hoosiers go for Romney; Obama fails to repeat his narrow win here in '08". [[The Indianapolis Star]].
  9. "2012 Presidential Election Polls - IN".
  10. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  11. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  12. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  13. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  14. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  15. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  16. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  17. "2012 Presidential General Election Results".
  18. "Analysis: Hoosiers back Republicans but want them in the middle". [[The Indianapolis Star]].
  19. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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