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2012 South Korean legislative election

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2012 South Korean legislative election

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FieldValue
countrySouth Korea
typelegislative
previous_election2008 South Korean legislative electionprevious_year = 2008election_date = 11 April 2012next_election = 2016 South Korean legislative electionnext_year = 2016
outgoing_membersList of members of the National Assembly (South Korea), 2008–2012elected_mps = List of members of the National Assembly (South Korea), 2012–2016
seats_for_electionAll 300 seats in the National Assembly
majority_seats151
turnout54.24% (8.16pp; Const. votes)
54.24% (8.16pp; PR votes)
1blankConstituency vote2blank = % and swing
3blankRegional vote4blank = % and swing
image1Park Geun-hye, 2009.jpg
leader1Park Geun-hye
party1Saenuri Party
last_election1167 seats
seats1**152**
seat_change115
1data1**9,324,911**2data1 = **43.28%** (3.87pp)
3data1**9,130,651**4data1 = **42.80%** (7.86pp)
image2Prime Minister Han Myeong-sook taking a commemorative photo with the Speaker of the National Assembly.jpg
leader2Han Myeong-sook
party2Democratic United Party
last_election281 seats
seats2127
seat_change246
1data28,156,0452data2 = 37.85% (8.93pp)
3data27,777,1234data2 = 36.46% ( 11.28pp)
image4Lee junghee 20120915.jpg
leader4Lee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jung
party4Unified Progressive Party
last_election45 seats
seats413
seat_change48
1data41,291,3062data4 = 5.99% (2.60pp)
3data42,198,4054data4 = 10.31% (4.63pp)
image5Lee Hoi-chang (2010).jpg
leader5Lee Hoi-chang
party5Liberty Forward
last_election518 seats
seats55
seat_change513
1data5474,0012data5 = 2.20% (3.52pp)
3data5690,7544data5 = 3.24% (3.61pp)
map_imageSouth Korean Legislative Election 2012 districts no llang.svg
titleSpeaker
before_electionChung Eui-hwabefore_party = Saenuri Party
after_electionKang Chang-heeafter_party = Saenuri Party

54.24% (8.16pp; PR votes)

Rhyu Si-min Sim Sang-jung

Legislative elections were held in South Korea on 11 April 2012. The election was won by the ruling Saenuri or New Frontier Party, which renewed its majority in the National Assembly, despite losing seats. The election was read as a bellwether for the presidential election to be held later in the year. The result confounded exit polls and media analysis, which had predicted a closer outcome.

Background

The South Korean National Assembly consists of 246 directly elected seats and 54 nationwide proportional representation seats chosen under an FPTP-PR parallel voting system. Proportional seats were only available to parties which one three percent of the national valid vote among seat-allocated parties and/or won five or more constituency seats. In South Korea's presidential system, the head of state controls the executive, but the loss of control in congress could have hampered President Lee's ability to govern alone.

Political parties

PartiesLeaderIdeologySeatsStatusLast electionBefore election
Saenuri Party}}"Saenuri PartyPark Geun-hyeConservatismGovernment}}
Democratic United Party}}"Democratic United PartyHan Myeong-sookLiberalism
Liberty Forward Party}}"Liberty Forward PartyLee Hoi-changConservatism
Unified Progressive Party}}"Unified Progressive PartyLee Jung-hee
Rhyu Si-min
Sim Sang-jungProgressivism
Creative Korea Party}}"Creative Korea PartyHan Myeon-heeCentrist reformism

Four parties won seats in the 2012 election:

  • Saenuri Party (, Saenuri-dang), led by Park Geun-hye. The largest conservative party and incumbent government. Formerly name the Grand National Party, the party was renamed in February after a period of internal crisis in which an Emergency Response Commission assumed control of the party.
  • Democratic United Party (, Minju Tonghap-dang), led by Han Myeong-sook. The largest liberal party and principal opposition.
  • Liberty Forward Party (, Jayu Seonjin-dang), led by Sim Dae-pyung. The second-largest conservative party with its primary support base in Chungcheong.
  • Unified Progressive Party (, Tonghap Jinbo-dang), led jointly by Rhyu Si-min, Lee Jung-hee, and Sim Sang-jeong. The largest left-progressive party.

Other parties that put forward candidates included the left-wing New Progressive Party and the centre-right Korea Vision Party.

The conservative parties were fragmented, particularly between Saenuri and the new KVP over the latter recruiting high-profile defected members of the incumbent party and those who were denied tickets in the election, which was also reflective of a division grew between Park's leadership and loyalists of Lee Myung-bak. However, the DUP–UPP coalition also came under strain due to irregularities in the UPP's primaries that involved co-leader Lee Jung-hee.

Campaign

Campaigning for the election officially began on 29 March, though party leaders toured the country beforehand to rally support for their bids. The international media suggested that the main issues in the campaign were economic, including inflation, educational and housing costs, unemployment and underemployment, the income gap, and social welfare, while the North Korean issue did not play a role.

The opposition DUP tried to harness discontent with the incumbent Lee's administration, and called on the electorate to adjudge the election as a referendum on Lee's presidency. The opposition coalition endeavored to depict the ruling party as unsocial and favoring the rich, while promising to create jobs. The incumbent government emphasised the threat of North Korea and made the case for continuing their hard line towards the northern neighbour and maintaining a close alliance with the United States. They accused the opposition of jeopardising the free trade agreement with the U.S. The DUP had demanded renegotiation of the treaty and threatened to cancel it in case of the United States' refusal to negotiate.

The international media highlighted the candidacy of Cho Myung-chul, a professor who defected from North Korea in 1994. In its newspaper Rodong Sinmun, the North Korean Workers' Party called on the electorate to vote out the incumbent government: "Young voters, students and people must deliver a crushing defeat to the traitors."

Scandals

After accusations of unauthorized government surveillance surfaced, legislators called for an investigation, while the ruling party accused the previous government of doing the same. The presidential office published an analysis stating that 84% of the recorded incidents had taken place under the previous administration of Roh Moo-hyun. A post-election analysis by polling institute Realmeter showed that the ruling party's handling of scandal was effective, and that the surveillance scandal didn't affect voters' decision much. A DUP candidate, , was also accused of having made numerous offensive comments on the podcast-talk-show Naneun Ggomsuda, for which he apologized but refused to rescind his candidacy, despite the DUP leadership advising him to do so. Kim subsequently failed to win his seat in the election.

Opinion polling

Polls were barred in the final week of the election, just before indications suggested the two largest parties would get somewhere between 130 and 135 seats each. A high turnout, particularly with the youth, was seen as beneficial to the opposition.

InstituteDateSaenuri
(SP)Democratic United
(DUP)Unified Progressive
(UPP)Liberty Forward
(LFP)Korea Vision
(KVP)New Progressive
(NPP)RealmeterRealmeterRealmeterRealmeterRealmeterHankyoreh / KSOIRealmeterRealmeterKBSRealmeterRealmeterRealmeter{{cite newsurl=http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=391&file_name=20120402120317.htm&Cpage=1script-title=ko:핵안보 정상회담으로 당청 지지율 반등RealmeterHankyoreh / KSOIResearch View
23 December 2011Saenuri Party}}"31.2%30.9%6.1%2.2%1.3%
13 January 201229.5%Democratic United Party}}"34.7%3.2%2.4%1.8%
Jan.25–27, 201230.3%Democratic United Party}}"37.1%4.0%2.0%1.0%
Jan.30–Feb.2, 201232.9%Democratic United Party}}"36.9%3.9%1.5%0.9%
Feb.6–10, 201233.9%Democratic United Party}}"35.8%4.2%2.4%0.8%
Feb.24–25, 2012Saenuri Party}}"38.2%32.9%3.1%1.7%1.5%1.1%
Feb.27–Mar.2, 2012Saenuri Party}}"36.3%Democratic United Party}}"36.3%6.1%1.7%0.4%
5–9 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"40.3%32.7%4.8%2.3%
10–11 March 201234.1%Democratic United Party}}"35.4%3.6%1.7%
12–16 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"39.4%33.7%5.7%2.3%
19–23 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"37.4%33.3%7.5%2.1%
date=2 April 2012access-date=13 April 2012language=ko}}26–30 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"39.8%30.5%8.1%2.3%
28 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"37.8%30.5%12.1%2.3%1.9%1.6%
31 March 2012Saenuri Party}}"38.3%33.5%7.2%2.4%0.3%1.0%
1 April 2012Saenuri Party}}"42.3%29.5%9.7%3.9%1.1%2.1%

Results

Main article: List of members of the National Assembly (South Korea), 2012–2016

The voting centres were open from 6:00−18:00. Voting occurred via electronic ballot counting and scanning that gave an instantaneous result.{{cite news|url=http://blogs.aljazeera.net/asia/2012/04/12/tale-two-koreas|title=A tale of two Koreas| work=Al Jazeera Blogs

청년당 (대한민국)}}|votes13=73194|seats13=0|votes13_2=5569|seats13_2=0|totseats13=0|sc13=New

By city/province

Graph of constituencies won
RegionSaenuriDUPUPPLFPInd.Total
seatsSaenuri Party}}"Democratic United Party}}"Unified Progressive Party}}"Liberty Forward Party}}"Total127106733246
Seoul16**30**20048
Busan**16**200018
Daegu**12**000012
Incheon**6****6**00012
Gwangju0**6**1018
Daejeon**3****3**0006
Ulsan**6**00006
Sejong0**1**0001
Gyeonggi21**29**20052
Gangwon**9**00009
North Chungcheong**5**30008
South Chungcheong**4**303010
North Jeolla0**9**10111
South Jeolla0**10**10011
North Gyeongsang**15**000015
South Gyeongsang**14**100116
Jeju0**3**0003
RegionSaenuriDUPUPPLFPOtherSaenuri Party}}"Democratic United Party}}"Unified Progressive Party}}"Liberty Forward Party}}"Overall total42.836.510.33.27.2Seat allocation
Seoul**42.3**38.210.62.16.9
Busan**51.3**31.88.41.96.6
Daegu**66.5**16.47.02.08.1
Incheon**42.9**37.79.72.67.1
Gwangju5.5**68.9**18.61.05.9
Daejeon**34.3**33.79.017.95.1
Ulsan**49.5**25.216.31.67.4
Sejong27.8**38.7**5.422.65.5
Gyeonggi**42.4**27.711.02.26.7
Gangwon**51.3**33.56.61.86.8
North Chungcheong**43.8**36.07.75.37.1
South Chungcheong**36.6**30.46.820.45.8
North Jeolla9.6**65.6**14.21.49.2
South Jeolla6.3**69.6**14.81.28.2
North Gyeongsang**69.0**13.46.21.49.9
South Gyeongsang**53.8**25.610.51.68.5
Jeju38.5**39.5**12.42.07.6
2521620

Reactions and aftermath

President Lee said that the "people made wise choices. The government will do its best to manage state affairs in a stable manner and take care of the people's livelihood". The DUP's secretary-general Park Sun-sook conceded the election and added: "The DUP failed to turn public calls for punishing the ... ruling party into reality. We apologise for disappointing supporters. We will sincerely think over what today's election means and try ceaselessly to be reborn as a party the people can lean and rely on." Sim Dae-pyung, leader of the Liberty Forward Party, announced his resignation after the party's poor performance.

On 13 April, the DUP leader Han Myeong-sook announced her resignation on account of her party's defeat.

Notes

:1. Comparison includes the Pro-Park Coalition, which split from and subsequently reintegrated with the Grand National Party. :2. This survey asked separate questions on party support and voting intention. The latter result is reported here. :3. This survey dealt specifically with seats allocated by proportional representation.

References

References

  1. (11 April 2012). "S. Korea's ruling party pulls off upset victory in crucial general elections". [[Yonhap News Agency]].
  2. [https://blogs.wsj.com/korearealtime/2012/04/12/odds-ends-a-day-after-the-election/ Odds & Ends A Day After The Election]. ''[[The Wall Street Journal]]'', 12 April 2012. Retrieved 15 April 2012.
  3. Hong Yeong-rim (홍영림). (9 April 2012). "(총선 D-2) 비례대표 의석(총 54석) 전망도 새누리·민주 초박빙". [[The Chosun Ilbo]].
  4. Yoon, Sangwon. (11 April 2012). "S. Korea Ruling Party Risks Election Loss". Bloomberg Businessweek.
  5. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120402093117/http://atimes.com/atimes/Korea/ND03Dg01.html The South: Busy at the polls]. ''Asia Times'', 2 April 2012. Retrieved 11 April 2012.
  6. [http://english.donga.com/srv/service.php3?biid=2011121742158 Ruling party`s emergency committee]. ''[[The Dong-A Ilbo]]'', 17 December 2011. Retrieved 12 April 2012.
  7. {{usurped
  8. [https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-17685360 South Korea's ruling party holds on to parliament]. [[BBC News]], 12 April 2012. Retrieved 12 April 2012.
  9. [http://www.koreaherald.com/national/Detail.jsp?newsMLId=20120412000976 Left-wing alliance a double-edged sword for main opposition]. ''[[The Korea Herald]]'', 12 April 2012. Retrieved 12 April 2012.
  10. [http://www.arirang.co.kr/News/News_View.asp?nseq=127643&code=Ne2&category=2 D-6: Election Race Outside Capital Region]. [[Arirang News]], 11 April 2012. Retrieved 11 April 2012.
  11. {{usurped
  12. link. All-in Korea. Hur Woo(허우). (April 2012)
  13. Lee Tae-hoon. (12 April 2012). "Alliance benefits leftist party most". [[The Korea Herald]].
  14. [http://www.koreaherald.com/national/Detail.jsp?newsMLId=20120311000362 Signs of conservatives' division deepen], [[The Korea Herald]]. 23 March 2012.
  15. [http://www.koreaherald.com/national/Detail.jsp?newsMLId=20120322001075 Rift growing in opposition alliance], [[The Korea Herald]]. Retrieved 23 March 2012.
  16. KBS]], 26 March 2012. Retrieved 2 April 2012.
  17. Choe, Sang-hun. (11 April 2012). "South Koreans Vote in Parliamentary Elections". The New York Times.
  18. (11 April 2012). "Polls open in S Korean election". Sky News.
  19. Hancocks, Paula. (11 April 2012). "North Korean defector stands for South Korean election". CNN.
  20. Lim, Yun Suk. (11 April 2012). "South Korea set to elect first defector lawmaker". Channel News Asia.
  21. [http://english.donga.com/srv/service.php3?biid=2012040270928 Exploitation of illegal surveillance scandal]. ''[[The Dong-A Ilbo]]'', 2 April 2012. Retrieved 24 April 2012.
  22. [http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news6&N_Num=40&file_name=20120423130734.htm&Cpage=1 여론조사 공표금지 기간 전후, 총선 다큐멘터리 10일]. Realmeter, 23 April 2012. Retrieved 25 April 2012.
  23. Lee, Tae-hoon. (8 April 2012). "'Bad-boy' hopeful refuses to bow out". [[The Korea Times]].
  24. Park Si-soo. (4 May 2012). "Foul-mouthed podcaster hangs on to candidacy". [[The Korea Times]].
  25. Lee Sun-young. (8 April 2012). "Disgraced candidate vows to finish race". [[The Korea Herald]].
  26. (13 April 2012). "Kim's mouth cost him election". [[Korea JoongAng Daily]].
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  29. link. (16 January 2012). Son Bong-seok (손봉석). [[Kyunghyang Shinmun]]
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  31. Andy Jackson. (28 February 2012). "South Korean conservatives show renewed strength ahead of April elections". Asiancorrespondent.com.
  32. (13 March 2012). "KBS Survey: NFP, DUP in Close Contest in Approval Ratings". [[Korean Broadcasting System]].
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