Skip to content
Surf Wiki
Save to docs
politics

From Surf Wiki (app.surf) — the open knowledge base

2012 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

State election in Germany


State election in Germany

FieldValue
election_name2012 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
countryNorth Rhine-Westphalia
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
previous_election2010 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
previous_year2010
next_election2017 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
next_year2017
seats_for_electionAll 237 seats in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia, including 56 overhang and leveling seats
majority_seats119
election_date13 May 2012
turnout7,901,268 (59.6% 0.3 pp)
image1[[File:NRW-Ministerpräsidentin Hannelore Kraft (SPD) (10578724733).jpg150x150px]]
candidate1Hannelore Kraft
party1Social Democratic Party of Germany
last_election167 seats, 34.5%
seats199
seat_change132
popular_vote13,049,983
percentage139.1%
swing14.6 pp
image2[[File:Norbert Röttgen 2012 (portrait crop).jpg150x150px]]
candidate2Norbert Röttgen
party2Christian Democratic Union of Germany
last_election267 seats, 34.6%
seats267
seat_change20
popular_vote22,050,321
percentage226.3%
swing28.3 pp
image3[[File:Sylvia Löhrmann.jpg150x150px]]
candidate3Sylvia Löhrmann
party3Alliance 90/The Greens
last_election323 seats, 12.1%
seats329
seat_change36
popular_vote3884,298
percentage311.3%
swing30.8 pp
image4[[File:Christian Lindner crop.jpg150x150px]]
candidate4Christian Lindner
party4Free Democratic Party (Germany)
last_election413 seats, 6.7%
seats422
seat_change49
popular_vote4670,082
percentage48.6%
swing41.9 pp
image5[[File:Joachim Paul.jpg150x150px]]
candidate5Joachim Paul
party5Pirate Party Germany
last_election50 seats, 1.6%
seats520
seat_change520
popular_vote5609,176
percentage57.8%
swing56.2 pp
image6[[File:Katharina Schwabedissen 2012 2 (cropped).png150x150px]]
candidate6Katharina Schwabedissen
party6The Left (Germany)
last_election611 seats, 5.6%
seats60
seat_change611
popular_vote6194,428
percentage62.5%
swing63.1 pp
map_image2012 North Rhine-Westphalia state election.svg
map_size400px
map_captionResults for the single-member constituencies.
titleGovernment
before_electionFirst Kraft cabinet
before_partySPD–Green
posttitleGovernment after election
after_electionSecond Kraft cabinet
after_partySPD–Green

The 2012 North Rhine-Westphalia state election was held on 13 May 2012 to elect the members of the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia. The incumbent minority government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Hannelore Kraft was returned with a majority and continued in office. The seat count drastically increased from 181 in the previous election to 237.

Background

Germany's largest state has often been described as a bellwether in recent years. The SPD governed continuously from 1966 until a CDU–FDP coalition took control in the 2005 state election. This defeat led Chancellor Gerhard Schröder to call a federal election, which he lost.

In the 2010 state election, the CDU held a 0.1% lead over the SPD, though both parties won 67 seats. The SPD and Greens emerged one seat short of a majority, while the CDU and FDP were 10 seats short. This was due to the new presence of The Left. After failed negotiations with The Left, the SPD and Greens formed a minority government with SPD leader Hannelore Kraft as Minister-President. The state budget was rejected by the Landtag on 14 March 2012. The government expected the FDP to abstain from the vote, allowing it to pass. However, the CDU, FDP, and Left all voted against the budget, and it was rejected. This led to the dissolution of the Landtag and a snap election.

Campaign and issues

The SPD and Greens sought to win a majority; polls predicted they would make gains. The CDU nominated federal Environment Minister Norbert Röttgen as their lead candidate. He was criticised for refusing to state whether, if the CDU lost the election, he would continue to lead the state party or return to federal politics. Opinion polls showed that voters preferred Kraft as Minister-President by a wide margin. The CDU made tackling the state's €230 billion debt a key issue; at one point they used a giant inflatable "debt mountain" as a prop.

The FDP had fallen out of six state elections since joining the federal government in 2009, but had managed to retain their seats with 8.2% of the vote in the Schleswig-Holstein state election a week before the North Rhine-Westphalia election.

The Pirate Party ran on a loose platform of Internet freedom and grassroots democracy.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2010 resultVotes (%)Seats
Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}**CDU**Christian Democratic Union of Germany
*Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands*Christian democracyNorbert Röttgen34.6%
Social Democratic Party of Germany}}**SPD**Social Democratic Party of Germany
*Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands*Social democracyHannelore Kraft34.5%
Alliance 90/The Greens}}**Grüne**Alliance 90/The Greens
*Bündnis 90/Die Grünen*Green politicsSylvia Löhrmann12.1%
Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}**FDP**Free Democratic Party
*Freie Demokratische Partei*Classical liberalismChristian Lindner6.7%
The Left (Germany)}}**Linke**The Left
*Die Linke*Democratic socialismKatharina Schwabedissen5.6%

Opinion polling

Party polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
sizeCDUSPDGrüneFDPLinkePiratenOthersLeadChristian Democratic Union of Germany}};"Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"Alliance 90/The Greens}};"Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};"The Left (Germany)}};"Pirate Party Germany}};"
[2012 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/news/2012/landtagswahl-nordrhein-westfalen-2012.htm)13 May 201226.3**39.1**11.38.62.57.84.3Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"12.8
[INFO GmbH](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)3–5 May 20121,00733**38**115481Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)27 Apr–7 May 20121,06330**37**1263.58.53Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)24 Apr–4 May 20121,05331**37**115493Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
[Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)30 Apr–3 May 20121,08231**38**116383Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)1–3 May 20121,00330**38.5**11647.53Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8.5
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)20–29 Apr 20121,03831**36**1154103Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5
[Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)23–27 Apr 20121,00832**37**1053103Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)23–24 Apr 20121,00132**38**10549?Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)17–19 Apr 20121,00131**39**114393Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
[Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)17–19 Apr 20121,04534**37**114383Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)5–16 Apr 20121,06432**36**134483Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[INFO GmbH](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)4–7 Apr 20121,00529**40**1033113Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)22–24 Mar 20121,00132**40**124354Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
[Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)15–17 Mar 20121,00333**39**114463Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
[Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)14–15 Mar 20121,07334**37**132464Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)14 Mar 20121,00234**38**142453Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
14 Mar 2012State budget is rejected by the Landtag; snap election is called
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)2–12 Mar 20121,065**33****33**172573Tie
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)22–23 Feb 20121,004**35****35**172353Tie
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)27 Jan–6 Feb 20121,01831**33**153675Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)6–16 Jan 20121,03931**33**173583Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)14–21 Dec 20111,00531**34**154673Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)2–12 Dec 20111,02631**34**154673Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)28 Oct–7 Nov 20111,04230**31**183594Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"1
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)11–13 Oct 20111,00031**35**163474Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)October 20111,00030**32**174584Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)8–15 Sep 2011982**33****33**17656Tie
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)29 Jul–4 Aug 20111,06332**34**20554Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
[Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)1–7 Jul 20111,00432**33**21347Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"1
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)29–31 Mar 20111,000**34**30244422Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)4–10 Mar 20111,000**35****35**14556Tie
[Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)18–28 Jan 20111,008**35**3417446Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"1
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)19–25 Jan 2011635**36****36**15445Tie
[YouGov](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)20–24 Jan 20111,02924.7**30.6**14.15.58.61.315.2Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5.9
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)16–18 Dec 20101,00032**36**18455Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)11–15 Oct 20101,00231**35**19357Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)6–8 Jul 20101,00132**36**17564Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)25 Jun 2010?35**36**12674Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"1
[Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm)17–26 May 20101,00134**35**12676Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"1
[2010 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/news/2010/landtagswahl-nordrhein-westfalen-2010.htm#absolut)9 May 2010**34.6**34.512.16.75.61.64.9Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"0.1

Seat forecast

Analysts on election.de forecast the likely results of the 128 direct mandates. These seats traditionally have been held by either the CDU or SPD, with minor parties standing little chance of winning any.

Polling firmFieldwork dateCDUSPDLeadChristian Democratic Union of Germany}};"Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"
2012 state election13 May 201229**99**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"70
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120512.html)12 May 201239**89**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"50
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120505.html)5 May 201238**90**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"52
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120428.html)28 Apr 201241**87**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"46
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120421.html)21 Apr 201254**74**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120414.html)14 Apr 201239**89**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"50
[election.de](http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/content.pl?url=/img/poll/nw_wp_120407.html)7 Apr 201246**82**Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"36
2010 state election9 May 2010**67**61Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8

Minister-President polling

Polling firmFieldwork date[[File:Hannelorekraft.jpg90px]][[File:Bundesumweltminister norbert roettgen cdu.jpg90px]]LeadHannelore KraftSPDNorbert RöttgenCDUSocial Democratic Party of Germany}};"Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};"
[INFO GmbH](https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/nrw-wahl-2012/handelsblatt-umfrage-nrw-waehler-lassen-roettgen-fallen/6614998.html?ticket=ST-2550-G2IEyZw0oMoanRirOPfI-ap5)11 May 2012**53**22Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"31
[YouGov](https://www.bild.de/regional/hamburg/landtag-schleswig-holstein/kubicki-rettet-fdp-im-landtag-24012852.bild.html)7 May 2012**46**19Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"27
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen4 May 2012**63**27Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"36
[Infratest dimap](https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend1518.html)3 May 2012**58**26Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"32
[Forsa](https://www.stern.de/politik/deutschland/land-tags-wahlen-es-wird-knapp-fuer-rot-gruen-in-nrw-3849480.html)2 May 2012**56**25Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"31
[Infratest dimap](https://web.archive.org/web/20120428035021/http://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundeslaender/nordrhein-westfalen/laendertrend/2012/april/)22 Apr 2012**58**30Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"28
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20 Apr 2012**55**32Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"23
INFO GmbH14 Apr 2012**49**21Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"28
[Infratest dimap](https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend1500.html)25 Mar 2012**57**28Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"29
[Forsa](https://www.stern.de/politik/deutschland/stern-umfrage-kraft-ist-deutlich-beliebter-als-roettgen-3276634.html)21 Mar 2012**56**26Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"30
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen15 Mar 2012**54**30Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"24
[Infratest dimap](https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend1486.html)14 Mar 2012**57**26Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"31
[YouGov](https://archive.today/20120906035334/http://www.ksta.de/html/artikel/1331653404417.shtml)14 Mar 2012**42**21Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21
[Infratest dimap](https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend1486.html)26 Feb 2012**51**29Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"22
YouGov19 Jan 2012**36**17Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"19

Election result

There was a major swing from the CDU to the SPD and to the Pirates, who entered their fourth state parliament in a row. The Greens stayed essentially level, while the FDP bucked the national trend, achieving a 2-point swing in their favour. This was attributed to the popular leadership of Christian Lindner. Lindner was elected FDP federal leader one year later, after their historic defeat in the 2013 German federal election. The Left lost over half their voteshare and lost their seats after just two years in the Landtag.

The SPD won a landslide in the direct mandates, winning 99 seats to the CDU's 29. This led to a large number of overhang seats for the SPD and leveling seats for other parties, increasing the size of the Landtag from 181 to 237 seats.

State CDU leader Norbert Röttgen resigned, but refused to become leader of the opposition in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia, instead continuing to serve as Minister for the Environment. Because of that, in what was considered unceremonious and highly unusual move (ministers are normally given the courtesy of resigning by themselves even after scandals), Chancellor Merkel fired him under Article 64 of the German Basic Law three days after the election.

Sources

References

  1. "Merkel's austerity push rejected in bellwether state".
  2. (14 May 2012). "EU leaders set for showdown on fate of euro as crisis deepens".
  3. (14 March 2012). "Biggest German state heads for early election". [[The Local]].
  4. von Hellfeld, Matthias. (15 March 2012). "Budget bungle forces snap state election". [[Deutsche Welle]].
  5. (14 March 2012). "North Rhine-Westphalia Faces Snap Election". [[Spiegel Online]].
  6. (11 May 2012). "Angela Merkel prepares for an austerity backlash as key state goes to".
  7. (13 May 2012). "In Rebuke to Merkel's Party, Social Democrats Win German Vote". The New York Times.
Info: Wikipedia Source

This article was imported from Wikipedia and is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Content has been adapted to SurfDoc format. Original contributors can be found on the article history page.

Want to explore this topic further?

Ask Mako anything about 2012 North Rhine-Westphalia state election — get instant answers, deeper analysis, and related topics.

Research with Mako

Free with your Surf account

Content sourced from Wikipedia, available under CC BY-SA 4.0.

This content may have been generated or modified by AI. CloudSurf Software LLC is not responsible for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of AI-generated content. Always verify important information from primary sources.

Report