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2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
countryNew Hampshire
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_date
image1File:Maggie Hassan, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee1**Maggie Hassan**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**378,934**
percentage1**54.61%**
image2File:Ovide Lamontagne (cropped).jpg
nominee2Ovide Lamontagne
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2294,024
percentage242.53%
map{{switcher
map_caption**Hassan:**
**Lamontagne:**
***Tie:***
titleGovernor
before_electionJohn Lynch
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionMaggie Hassan
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|x245px |County results |x245px |Municipality results |x245px |Congressional district results}} Lamontagne:

Tie:

The 2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, U.S. House elections, and various state and local elections.

Four-term incumbent governor John Lynch was eligible to seek a fifth term. In the fall of 2011, Lynch announced that he would retire rather than run for re-election. On September 11, 2012, Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Ovide Lamontagne defeated primary opponents to win their parties' nominations. Hassan won the election while carrying every county in the state and began the two-year term on January 3, 2013.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Jackie Cilley, former state Senator
  • Maggie Hassan, former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate
  • Bill Kennedy, firefighter and retired Air Force officer

Declined

  • Mark Connolly, former director of the New Hampshire's Bureau of Securities Regulation
  • Tom Ferrini, mayor of Portsmouth
  • Gary Hirshberg, chairman and former CEO of Stonyfield Farm
  • John Lynch, incumbent governor
  • Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth
  • Phil McLaughlin, former state Attorney General
  • Terry Shumaker, lawyer and former United States Ambassador to Trinidad and Tobago

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJackie
CilleyMaggie
HassanOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 2012400± 4.9%24%**30%****46%**
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 2012477± 4.5%20%**23%****57%**

Results

Results by county:

]]

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Ovide M. Lamontagne, attorney, 1992 congressional candidate, nominee for governor in 1996 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Kevin H. Smith, conservative activist and former state Representative
  • Robert Tarr

Declined

  • Bill Binnie, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Jeb Bradley, New Hampshire Senate Majority Leader and former U.S. Representative
  • Peter Bragdon, state Senate President
  • Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester
  • Steve Kenda, businessman
  • John Lyons, chairman of the New Hampshire Board of Education
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner and Republican nominee for governor in 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOvide
LamontagneKevin
SmithOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 2012662± 3.8%**49%**21%30%
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 2012555± 4.2%**53%**13%34%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 7–8, 20121,771± 2.3%**40%**12%**48%**

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

  • John Babiarz (Libertarian), businessman and party nominee for governor in 2000, 2002, and 2010
  • Maggie Hassan (D), former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate
  • Ovide Lamontagne (R), attorney, Republican nominee for governor in 1996, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 4, 2012750± 4%**50%**45%1%4%
New England CollegeNovember 3–4, 2012666± 4.1%**47%**45%1%7%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 20121,550± 2.5%**51%**47%2%
WMUR/University of New HampshireNovember 1–4, 2012789± 3.5%**54%**43%3%
WMUR/University of New HampshireOctober 31–November 2, 2012502± 4.4%**47%**42%3%8%
NBC/WSJ/MaristOctober 28–29, 20121013± 3.1%**49%**44%1%6%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26–28, 2012874± 3.3%**48%**44%8%
New England CollegeOctober 23–25, 2012571± 4.1%**45%****45%**1%9%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 23, 2012500± 4.5%46%**48%**1%5%
WMUR/University of New HampshireOctober 17–21, 2012773± 3.5%**43%**35%3%18%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17–19, 20121,036± 3.0%**45%**43%12%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 15, 2012500± 4.5%46%**48%**5%
Suffolk University/[7NEWS](7news)October 12–14, 2012500± 4.4%**41%**38%4%16%
American Research GroupOctober 9–11, 2012600± 4%40%**46%**3%11%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 9, 2012500± 4.5%**48%**46%5%
WMUR/University of New HampshireOctober 1–6, 2012419± 4.8%35%**39%**3%23%
WMUR/University of New HampshireSeptember 27–30, 2012600± 4.0%**38%**36%2%25%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 24–25, 2012862± 3.3%**51%**44%5%
NBC/*The Wall Street Journal*/Marist CollegeSeptember 23–25, 20121012± 3.1%**47%**45%1%7%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerSeptember 15–19, 2012600± 4.9%**48%**46%6%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 18, 2012500± 4.5%44%**48%**2%7%
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%**45%**43%12%
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%**33%**1%**35%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 20, 2012500± 4.5%36%**42%**22%
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%39%**40%**21%
WMUR/University of New HampshireApril 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%**34%**29%1%**36%**
WMUR/University of New HampshireJanuary 25–February 2, 2012495± 4.4%26%**32%**1%**41%**
Public Policy PollingJune 30–July 5, 2011662± 3.8%35%**41%**24%

With Cilley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJackie
Cilley (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%**42%****42%**16%
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%**35%**1%33%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 20, 2012500± 4.5%39%**41%**20%
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%**38%****38%**24%
WMUR/University of New HampshireApril 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%**31%**30%1%**38%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJackie
Cilley (D)Kevin
Smith (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%**39%**38%23%
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%**31%**28%1%39%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 20, 2012500± 4.5%**39%**37%24%
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%**37%**32%31%
WMUR/University of New HampshireApril 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%**30%**23%1%**47%**

With Smith

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)Kevin
Smith (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%**42%**39%20%
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%**31%**29%1%**39%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 20, 2012500± 4.5%36%**39%**25%
Public Policy PollingMay 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%**37%**31%32%
WMUR/University of New HampshireApril 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%**29%**24%1%**46%**

With Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Kennedy (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%29%**35%**1%**36%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Kennedy (D)Kevin
Smith (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%27%**29%**1%**44%**

With Bradley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Connolly (D)Jeb
Bradley (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%30%**38%**31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)Jeb
Bradley (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%33%**39%**28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Marchand (D)Jeb
Bradley (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%32%**38%**31%

With Connolly

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Connolly (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%34%**40%**26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Connolly (D)John
Stephen (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%**36%****36%**28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Connolly (D)John E.
Sununu (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%**44%**20%

With Gatsas

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)Ted
Gatsas (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New HampshireJanuary 25-February 2, 2012495± 4.4%27%**29%**1%43%

With Lynch

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Lynch (D)Jeb
Bradley (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%**54%**35%11%
Public Policy PollingMarch 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%**57%**33%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Lynch (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%**54%**36%10%
Public Policy PollingMarch 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%**57%**33%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Lynch (D)John
Stephen (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%**55%**34%11%
Public Policy PollingMarch 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%**57%**29%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Lynch (D)John E.
Sununu (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%**51%**40%8%
Public Policy PollingMarch 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%**54%**36%11%

With Marchand

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Marchand (D)Ovide
Lamontagne (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%33%**40%**27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Marchand (D)John
Stephen (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%34%**36%**30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSteve
Marchand (D)John E.
Sununu (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%35%**44%**21%

With Stephen

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)John
Stephen (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%**37%**27%

With Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMaggie
Hassan (D)John E.
Sununu (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%**45%**19%

Results

By county

2014 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county)CountyMaggie Hassan
DemocraticOvide Lamontagne
RepublicanOther votes#%#%#%
Belknap**16,756****50.3%**15,70247.1%8462.6%
Carroll**14,339****51.4%**12,89346.2%6792.5%
Cheshire**25,136****63.0%**13,49033.8%1,2693.2%
Coös**8,929****58.0%**6,06939.4%4002.6%
Grafton**29,412****61.9%**16,47634.7%1,6343.4%
Hillsborough**104,547****52.0%**90,62145.1%5,9423.0%
Merrimack**46,037****58.2%**31,12739.3%1,9722.5%
Rockingham**84,287****50.8%**77,09546.5%4,5022.7%
Strafford**37,120****59.5%**23,38737.5%1,8833.0%
Sullivan**12,371****58.0%**8,16638.3%7903.7%

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic

  • Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)

By congressional district

Hassan won both congressional districts.

DistrictHassanLamontagneRepresentative
**52.98%**44.43%Carol Shea-Porter
**56.38%**40.66%Annie Kuster

References

References

  1. Langley, Karen. (September 16, 2011). "Lynch will not seek a fifth term". [[Concord Monitor]].
  2. "2012 Election Information". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
  3. "Lamontagne, Hassan will face off in governor's race".
  4. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/states/new-hampshire New Hampshire]
  5. Hall, Beth LaMontagne. (February 7, 2012). "Former state Sen. Cilley enters race for governor". [[New Hampshire Union Leader]].
  6. Marchocki, Kathryn. (October 25, 2011). "Former Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan makes gubernatorial bid official". [[New Hampshire Union Leader]].
  7. Claffey, Jason. (April 4, 2012). "Democratic Field for Governor to Expand". [[Patch Media.
  8. Timmins, Annmarie. (April 5, 2012). "Political newcomer to run for governor". [[Concord Monitor]].
  9. Landrigan, Kevin. (February 11, 2012). "Mark Connolly, financial whistle-blower, won't run for governor". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
  10. Ireland, Doug. (January 13, 2012). "Stonyfield CEO steps down". [[The Eagle-Tribune]].
  11. Cresta, Joey. (December 21, 2011). "Ex-Mayor accepts UNH job, ending political rumblings". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
  12. (January 26, 2012). "McLaughlin won't run for governor". [[The Laconia Daily Sun]].
  13. Pindell, James. (February 7, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: Shumaker Will Not Run For Governor". [[WMUR-TV]] Political Scoop.
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  17. Houghton, Kimberly. (September 19, 2011). "Ovide Lamontagne makes candidacy for governor official". [[New Hampshire Union Leader]].
  18. DiStaso, John. (November 16, 2011). "Conservative Kevin Smith says 'I'm in' for governor". [[New Hampshire Union Leader]].
  19. (June 20, 2012). "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
  20. Curtis, Danielle. (May 17, 2012). "Binnie won't enter governor race". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
  21. Pindell, James. (January 26, 2012). "Bradley Won't Run For Governor". [[WMUR-TV]] Political Scoop.
  22. Cleveland, Kathy. (September 22, 2011). "Sen. Peter Bragdon rules out run for governor in 2012". [[Milford Cabinet]].
  23. Landrigan, Kevin. (March 8, 2012). "Manchester mayor Gatsas bows out of race for governor". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
  24. Landrigan, Kevin. (March 31, 2012). "Kenda rules out run for governor". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
  25. Pindell, James. (February 13, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: NH Education Board Chair Not Running For Governor". Political Scoop.
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