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2011 Manitoba general election

Election in province of Canada

Election in province of Canada

FieldValue
election_name2011 Manitoba general election
countryManitoba
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
party_colourno
party_nameno
previous_election2007 Manitoba general election
previous_year2007
election_date
next_election2016 Manitoba general election
next_year2016
seats_for_election57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
opinion_polls#Opinion polls
turnout55.77%
<!-- NDP -->image1[[File:Greg Selinger 2010 (3x4 crop).jpgx160px]]
colour1
leader1Greg Selinger
leader_since1[October 17, 2009](2009-new-democratic-party-of-manitoba-leadership-election)
party1
leaders_seat1St. Boniface
last_election136 seats, 48.00%
seats1**37**
seat_change11
popular_vote1**199,066**
percentage1**46.16%**
swing11.84%
<!-- PC -->image2[[Image:Hugh McFadyen.jpgx160px]]
colour2
leader2Hugh McFadyen
leader_since2April 29, 2006
party2
leaders_seat2Fort Whyte
last_election219 seats, 37.89%
seats219
seat_change2
popular_vote2188,528
percentage243.71%
swing25.97%
<!-- Liberal -->image3[[Image:Lee Fehler with Jon Gerrard (cropped).pngx160px]]
colour3
leader3Jon Gerrard
leader_since3October 17, 1998
party3
leaders_seat3River Heights
last_election32 seats, 12.39%
seats31
seat_change31
popular_vote332,420
percentage37.52%
swing34.60%
map_imageManitoba_Election_2011_Results_Map.svg
map_size431px
map_captionPopular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
titlePremier
posttitlePremier after election
before_electionGreg Selinger
before_partyNew Democratic
after_electionGreg Selinger
after_partyNew Democratic
elected_members[elected members](40th-manitoba-legislature)
outgoing_members[outgoing members](39th-manitoba-legislature)

29 seats are needed for a majority The 2011 Manitoba general election was held to elect Members of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. It took place on October 4, 2011, due to the new fixed-date election laws. In the outgoing legislature, the New Democratic Party of Manitoba (NDP) held 37 of the 57 seats, the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba (PC Party) held 19 of the 57 seats and the Liberal Party of Manitoba held one of the 57 seats, after Kevin Lamoureux resigned his seat in the riding of Inkster to run as a Liberal candidate in a federal by-election.

Following the last census, electoral district boundaries were adjusted. There are 57 electoral districts.

Despite being perceived as a tight race in the run-up to voting, with The Globe and Mail expecting it to be the "closest in more than a decade", the NDP won its fourth consecutive term in government, taking 37 seats, an improvement of one from the 2007 election – thus gaining their largest majority ever in the Assembly – whilst the Progressive Conservatives failed to make any gains beyond closing the gap in the popular vote, and not a single incumbent was defeated. The PC leader Hugh McFadyen announced shortly thereafter that he would resign his post. Also facing a disappointing result in the election, Liberal leader Jon Gerrard also announced shortly after the election that he would resign his post once the party crowned a new leader in 2013.

Reorganization of electoral divisions

In 2006, the Electoral Divisions Act was amended to provide for the creation of a permanent commission to determine any necessary redistribution of seats in the Legislative Assembly by the end of 2008, and then every tenth year thereafter. Its final report would take effect upon the dissolution of the relevant Legislature. Following a series of hearings and an interim report, the commission's final report was issued in December 2008, which provided for the following changes:

Abolished ridingsNew ridings*New ridings**Reorganization of ridings**Merger of ridings**Renaming of ridings*

Incumbents not contesting their seats

*Retiring*PartyRidingIncumbent*Resigned*
NDPBurrowsDoug Martindale
ElmwoodBill Blaikie
Flin FlonGerard Jennissen
Lord RobertsDiane McGifford
Point DouglasGeorge Hickes
St. JamesBonnie Korzeniowski
St. Norberttitle=MLA Marilyn Brick won't stand againurl=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/mla-marilyn-brick-won-t-stand-again-1.1057799work=CBC Newsdate=February 12, 2011}}
Swan RiverRosann Wowchuk
Progressive ConservativeBrandon WestRick Borotsik
Lac du BonnetGerald Hawranik
PembinaPeter George Dyck
Portage la PrairieDavid Faurschou
RussellLen Derkach
LiberalInksterKevin Lamoureux

Party leaderships

The Green Party and the NDP chose new leaders since the last general election.

On August 27, 2009 Premier Gary Doer, after being Premier of Manitoba for ten years announced his resignation as Premier and leader of the NDP. The following day he was appointed Canada's Ambassador to the United States.

Three candidates entered the campaign to replace Doer: Steve Ashton, Greg Selinger and Andrew Swan. On September 28, 2009, Swan bowed out of the race and endorsed Selinger. Some pundits believe this was an attempt to stop Steve Ashton from becoming leader.

Ashton, first seen as a minor candidate, ended up being a heavy-weight and, gaining momentum, scored big victories in some ridings, however it wasn't enough to convince many MLAs or win union endorsement. Selinger won the leadership election on October 17, 2009 with 65.75% of the ballot. His victory was achieved in large part by being backed by unions and the vast majority of the party elite.

[2009 New Democratic Party of Manitoba leadership election](2009-new-democratic-party-of-manitoba-leadership-election)CandidateVotesPercentage
**Greg Selinger****1,317****65.75%**
Steve Ashton68534.20%
**Spoiled ballots**10.05%
**Total****2,003****100.00%**

The Green Party elected James Beddome to a two-year term party leader on November 15, 2008, defeating incumbent Andrew Basham and third candidate Shane Nestruck. After his victory, he said that he would work toward running a full slate of candidates in the next provincial election. He was the party's candidate for a by-election in the northeast Winnipeg division of Elmwood in early 2009.

Election campaign

Issues

Bipole III

Manitoba Hydro planned an alternative hydro-electric transmission line to Bipole I and II routes running through the Interlake region in Manitoba. Initially it planned a more easterly route to the east of Lake Winnipeg. The NDP ignored the expert opinion of Manitoba Hydro and decided to build the line on the west side of the province at a cost of $4.1 billion. Further, the NDP proposed the creation of a large UNESCO environmental heritage site named Pimachiowin Aki. Just days before his retirement as premier, Doer announced that the government would donate $10 million to the trust fund for UNESCO World Heritage site on the east side of Lake Winnipeg. The NDP claimed that an east side Bipole III route would jeopardise the UNESCO site and claimed that a heritage site would benefit First Nations communities more. The NDP proposed a longer, more expensive, alternative route through the west of Manitoba to preserve the environmental integrity of the east side. Subject to the Environmental Impact Statement to be completed in June 2011, the construction of the line will begin in the winter of 2012, one year after the election.

Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen opposes the western route stating that it would cost $1 billion to $1.75 billion more, it would destroy more trees, 15 out of 16 First Nations believed the Bipole III would be more economically beneficial, and would be more at risk from disasters as the Bipole lines in the Interlake. McFadyen promised that if elected he would cancel the western route, and build it down the east side. McFadyen also supported the UNESCO site on the east side and claims that Bipole III would not jeopardise the World Heritage Site.

Liberal leader Jon Gerrard proposed that instead of building the line down the east or west, Manitoba Hydro should put the cable under Lake Winnipeg as proposed by Dr. John Ryan, retired University of Winnipeg professor in 2008. In the fall of 2010 Gerrard asked Manitoba Hydro CEO Bob Brennan if he had inquired into the Lake Winnipeg route. Brennan said that he had not. Gerrard promised to build the line through Lake Winnipeg if elected.

Opinion polls

Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkNDPPCLiberalGreenOtherMBNDP}}MBPC}}MBLiberal}}MBGreen}}Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkMBNDP}}MBPC}}MBLiberal}}MBGreen}}OtherNDPPCLiberalGreen
Angus Reid Public Opiniondate=June 2017bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}**46**43830
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/110929%202011%20Election%20Main%20Press%20Release%20(Party%20Preference).pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120405184850/http://probe-research.com/documents/110929%202011%20Election%20Main%20Press%20Release%20(Party%20Preference).pdfarchive-date=5 April 2012url-status=dead}}**46**4374
Environicsurl=http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/breakingnews/manitoba-tories-hold-slight-lead-in-new-environics-opinion-poll-130576928.htmltitle=Manitoba Tories hold slight lead in new Environics opinion poll - Winnipeg Free Pressaccess-date=September 26, 2011archive-date=September 28, 2011archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110928051242/http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/breakingnews/manitoba-tories-hold-slight-lead-in-new-environics-opinion-poll-130576928.htmlurl-status=dead }}42**45**10
Viewpoints Researchurl=http://www.cjob.com/News/Local/Story.aspx?ID=1545343title = 680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader}}**41**325
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/110630%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120323152608/http://probe-research.com/documents/110630%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdfarchive-date=23 March 2012url-status=dead}}**44****44**93
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/110325%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110825032834/http://probe-research.com/documents/110325%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdfarchive-date=25 August 2011url-status=dead}}35**47**144
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/101217%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110715113836/http://probe-research.com/documents/101217%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdfarchive-date=15 July 2011url-status=dead}}38**42**155
Angus Reid Public Opinionurl=http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/2010.12.07_Politics_MB.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=www.angus-reid.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110617033430/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/2010.12.07_Politics_MB.pdfarchive-date=17 June 2011url-status=usurped}}37**46**1341
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/101006b%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110715114018/http://probe-research.com/documents/101006b%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdfarchive-date=15 July 2011url-status=dead}}40**42**126
Angus Reid Public Opiniondate=June 2017bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}34**49**1241
Viewpoints Researchurl=http://www.cjob.com/opinionpoll/provincialelection.aspxtitle = 680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader}}**39**381481
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/100630%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=probe-research.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110715113610/http://probe-research.com/documents/100630%20Provincial%20Party%20Standings.pdfarchive-date=15 July 2011url-status=dead}}**41**40136
Angus Reid Public Opinionurl=http://www.visioncritical.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/2010.06.10_Politics_MB.pdftitle=Archived copywebsite=www.visioncritical.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110720104256/http://www.visioncritical.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/2010.06.10_Politics_MB.pdfarchive-date=20 July 2011url-status=dead}}36**48**1231
Probe Research Incdate=November 2018bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}**42**391180
Angus Reid Public Opinionurl=http://www.visioncritical.com/2010/03/progressive-conservatives-lead-ruling-new-democrats-in-manitoba/title=Progressive Conservatives Lead Ruling New Democrats in Manitoba &#124; Vision Criticalwebsite=www.visioncritical.comaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100325054341/http://www.visioncritical.com/2010/03/progressive-conservatives-lead-ruling-new-democrats-in-manitoba/archive-date=25 March 2010url-status=dead}}37**44**1333
Probe Research Incdate=November 2018bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}**47**371141
Probe Research Incurl=http://news.probe-research.com/title=Probe Research Inc. - Recent Pollswebsite=news.probe-research.comaccessdate=April 20, 2023}}**45**38125
Probe Research Inc**45**36145
Environicsurl=http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=706title = Environics.net}}**43**3522
Environics**49**37122
Probe Research Inc**46**36135
Probe Research Inc41**43**106
Probe Research Inc**43**39135
Probe Research Inc**46**36135
Probe Research Inc**46**38133
[Election 2007](2007-manitoba-general-election)*37.89%**12.39%**1.34%**0.39%*

Leadership approval rating

Polling FirmDate of PollingLink
align="center"**Greg Selinger**align="center"**Hugh McFadyen**align="center"**Jon Gerrard**
Probe Research IncJuly 3, 2010[https://web.archive.org/web/20110715113816/http://probe-research.com/documents/100630%20Leadership%20Approval.pdf](https://web.archive.org/web/20110715113816/http://probe-research.com/documents/100630%20Leadership%20Approval.pdf)
Disapproval rating

Results

Of 777,054 registered voters, 55.77% or 433,346 cast votes in the election. Although this is slightly lower than the 2007 election, voter turnout in Manitoba has generally declined since the mid-1970s when it reached 78.3% in the 1973 general election. About 78,500 voters took advantage of advance polls, more than any previous election.

|- style="background:#ccc;" ! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party ! rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party leader

!rowspan="2"|Candidates ! colspan="4" style="text-align:center;"|Seats ! colspan="3" style="text-align:center;"|Popular vote

- style="background:#ccc;"
}

Vote and seat summaries

|File:Ternary MB2007.svg |2007 |File:Ternary MB2011.svg |2011

Synopsis of results

Electoral
divisionWinning partyVotes[2007](2007-manitoba-general-election)1st
placeVotesShareMargin
#Margin
%2nd
placeNDPPCLibGrnIndCommTotalMBNDP}};"MBPC}};"MBLiberal}};"MBGreen}};"MBIndependent}};"MBCommunist}};"
Agassiz*New*PC4,39671.05%3,33253.85%NDP1,0644,396411316––6,187
Arthur-VirdenPCPC4,98365.97%2,70135.76%NDP2,2824,983288–––7,553
AssiniboiaNDPNDP5,09558.22%1,83720.99%PC5,0953,258194204––8,751
Brandon EastNDPNDP3,86454.95%1,15316.40%PC3,8642,711280177––7,032
Brandon WestPCPC4,23148.68%1511.74%NDP4,0804,231381–––8,692
BurrowsNDPNDP3,06359.34%1,74933.88%PC3,0631,314629124–325,162
CharleswoodPCPC4,83855.83%2,23725.81%NDP2,6014,838755472––8,666
ConcordiaNDPNDP4,00863.06%2,20534.69%PC4,0081,803237308––6,356
Dauphin*New*NDP4,48354.93%1,12713.81%PC4,4833,356124199––8,162
Dawson Trail*New*NDP4,29152.55%7379.03%PC4,2913,554321–––8,166
ElmwoodNDPNDP3,86454.61%1,46520.70%PC3,864Jim Maloway had previously been MLA for Elmwood between 1986 and 2008.2,399467346––7,076
EmersonPCPC3,98272.65%2,89852.87%NDP1,0843,982415–––5,481
Flin FlonNDPNDP1,89057.13%1,09333.04%PC1,890797510111––3,308
Fort Garry-RiverviewNDPNDP5,14655.55%2,09422.61%PC5,1463,052666399––9,263
Fort RichmondNDPNDP4,02653.47%1,11814.85%PC4,0262,908369226––7,529
Fort RougeNDPNDP4,50151.26%2,47028.13%Lib4,5011,7702,031478––8,780
Fort WhytePCPC5,59462.44%2,93932.81%NDP2,6555,594710–––8,959
GimliNDPNDP5,01251.52%8028.24%PC5,0124,210197309––9,728
InterlakeNDPNDP3,37450.46%4717.04%PC3,3742,903194–215–6,686
KewatinookNDPNDP2,04357.15%65418.29%PC2,0431,3894994––3,575
KildonanNDPNDP4,80859.51%1,92823.86%PC4,8082,880391–––8,079
Kirkfield ParkNDPNDP4,92846.75%210.20%PC4,9284,907367339––10,541
La VérendryeNDPPC4,48764.07%2,65737.94%NDP1,8304,487351335––7,003
Lac du BonnetPCPC4,35054.30%1,26315.77%NDP3,0874,350284290––8,011
LakesidePCPC5,04365.80%3,05839.90%NDP1,9855,043257379––7,664
LoganNDPNDP2,98558.75%2,11741.67%Lib2,985840868335–535,081
Midland*New*PC5,13969.45%3,38945.80%NDP1,7505,139511–––7,400
MintoNDPNDP3,61566.40%2,78251.10%PC3,615833609331–565,444
Morden-Winkler*New*PC4,91885.53%4,25974.07%NDP6594,918173–––5,750
MorrisPCPC5,68174.00%4,19454.63%NDP1,4875,681509–––7,677
Point DouglasNDPNDP3,80673.28%2,88955.62%PC3,806917257176–385,194
Portage la PrairiePCPC3,58452.24%88612.91%NDP2,6983,584579–––6,861
RadissonNDPNDP5,03355.14%1,44515.83%PC5,0333,588506–––9,127
Riding Mountain*New*PC4,46558.47%1,83223.99%NDP2,6334,465272267––7,637
RielNDPNDP5,35254.90%1,43614.73%PC5,3523,916480–––9,748
River EastPCPC5,24751.34%7357.19%NDP4,5125,247188274––10,221
River HeightsLibLib4,75645.92%1,36713.20%PC1,8433,3894,756370––10,358
RossmereNDPNDP5,39256.59%1,96220.59%PC5,3923,430356351––9,529
Seine RiverNDPNDP5,50053.07%9318.98%PC5,5004,569295–––10,364
SelkirkNDPNDP4,27956.02%1,27116.64%PC4,2793,008351–––7,638
SouthdaleNDPNDP5,66252.01%7647.02%PC5,6624,898327–––10,887
Spruce WoodsPCPC4,49566.65%2,56538.03%NDP1,9304,495319–––6,744
St. BonifaceNDPNDP5,91468.87%4,37750.97%PC5,9141,537606530––8,587
St. JamesNDPNDP4,43249.75%1,01811.43%PC4,4323,414685377––8,908
St. JohnsNDPNDP4,15765.96%2,75243.67%PC4,1571,405348392––6,302
St. NorbertNDPNDP3,96645.15%310.35%PC3,9663,935883–––8,784
St. PaulPCPC5,55459.59%2,06322.13%NDP3,4915,554276–––9,321
St. VitalNDPNDP5,02360.08%2,14725.68%PC5,0232,876461–––8,360
SteinbachPCPC5,46985.49%4,98177.86%NDP4885,469440–––6,397
Swan RiverNDPNDP4,28056.15%1,20215.77%PC4,2803,078264–––7,622
The MaplesNDPNDP3,89451.83%1,95125.97%PC3,8941,9431,395281––7,513
The PasNDPNDP2,99573.61%2,03650.04%PC2,995959115–––4,069
ThompsonNDPNDP2,58668.52%1,51840.22%PC2,5861,068120–––3,774
TransconaNDPNDP4,48858.23%1,82023.61%PC4,4882,668551–––7,707
TuxedoPCPC4,83952.74%2,50927.34%NDP2,3304,8391,516491––9,176
Tyndall ParkLibNDP2,59645.16%58910.25%Lib2,5969082,007237––5,748
WolseleyNDPNDP4,22960.73%2,86141.08%Green4,2298505171,368––6,964

: = open seat : = winning candidate was in previous Legislature : = incumbent had switched allegiance : = previously incumbent in another riding : = incumbency arose from a byelection gain : = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature : = other incumbents renominated : = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada : = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote shareShare won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2007.SwingPositive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2007; negative points to 2007's second-place party being swung to.%Change (pp)%Change (pp)ToChange (pp)
AgassizPC46.0171.05
Arthur-VirdenPCHold51.91{{bartable-4.89-11embackground:#708090}}65.97{{bartable1.92-11embackground:}}PC
AssiniboiaNDPHold62.00{{bartable0.15-11embackground:#708090}}58.22{{bartable-3.99-11embackground:}}PC
Brandon EastNDPHold53.12{{bartable-5.60-11embackground:#708090}}54.95{{bartable1.00-11embackground:}}NDP
Brandon WestPCHold59.79{{bartable-7.02-11embackground:#708090}}48.68{{bartable0.63-11embackground:}}PC
BurrowsNDPHold47.08{{bartable-3.03-11embackground:#708090}}59.34{{bartable-11.41-11embackground:}}PC
CharleswoodPCHold61.09{{bartable1.66-11embackground:#708090}}55.83{{bartable1.21-11embackground:}}PC
ConcordiaNDPHold49.79{{bartable2.37-11embackground:#708090}}63.06{{bartable-5.99-11embackground:}}PC
DauphinNDP62.0954.93
Dawson TrailNDP58.1852.55
ElmwoodNDPHold52.56{{bartable2.58-11embackground:#708090}}54.61{{bartable-6.90-11embackground:}}PC
EmersonPCHold44.42{{bartable-5.09-11embackground:#708090}}72.65{{bartable12.54-11embackground:}}PC
Flin FlonNDPHold35.34{{bartable-0.91-11embackground:#708090}}57.13{{bartable-20.46-11embackground:}}Lib
Fort Garry-RiverviewNDPHold65.06{{bartable9.49-11embackground:#708090}}55.55{{bartable-2.57-11embackground:}}PC
Fort RichmondNDPHold62.91{{bartable-3.15-11embackground:#708090}}53.47{{bartable0.87-11embackground:}}PC
Fort RougeNDPHold61.22{{bartable-1.07-11embackground:#708090}}51.26{{bartable4.29-11embackground:}}NDP
Fort WhytePCHold61.91{{bartable2.76-11embackground:#708090}}62.44{{bartable10.49-11embackground:}}PC
GimliNDPHold65.98{{bartable3.07-11embackground:#708090}}51.52{{bartable-7.22-11embackground:}}PC
InterlakeNDPHold53.36{{bartable-3.17-11embackground:#708090}}50.46{{bartable-9.04-11embackground:}}PC
KewatinookNDPHold35.68{{bartable2.18-11embackground:#708090}}57.15{{bartable-1.31-11embackground:}}PC
KildonanNDPHold54.97{{bartable-3.60-11embackground:#708090}}59.51{{bartable-2.12-11embackground:}}PC
Kirkfield ParkNDPHold68.97{{bartable-0.24-11embackground:#708090}}46.75{{bartable-2.57-11embackground:}}PC
La VerendryePCGain53.61{{bartable-6.45-11embackground:#708090}}64.07{{bartable26.25-11embackground:}}PC
Lac du BonnetPCHold58.04{{bartable-0.48-11embackground:#708090}}54.30{{bartable-4.71-11embackground:}}NDP
LakesidePCHold57.12{{bartable-0.52-11embackground:#708090}}65.80{{bartable9.61-11embackground:}}PC
LoganNDPHold48.04{{bartable1.99-11embackground:#708090}}58.75{{bartable4.79-11embackground:}}NDP
MidlandPC51.3569.45
MintoNDPHold46.43{{bartable-4.00-11embackground:#708090}}66.40{{bartable2.78-11embackground:}}NDP
Morden-WinklerPC40.7885.53
MorrisPCHold50.69{{bartable-3.44-11embackground:#708090}}74.00{{bartable17.02-11embackground:}}PC
Point DouglasNDPHold44.04{{bartable3.90-11embackground:#708090}}73.28{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}NDP
Portage la PrairiePCHold50.99{{bartable-6.23-11embackground:#708090}}52.24{{bartable3.93-11embackground:}}PC
RadissonNDPHold61.48{{bartable1.24-11embackground:#708090}}55.14{{bartable-1.58-11embackground:}}PC
Riding MountainPC54.0158.47
RielNDPHold64.14{{bartable1.10-11embackground:#708090}}54.90{{bartable-2.42-11embackground:}}PC
River EastPCHold67.00{{bartable-0.57-11embackground:#708090}}51.34{{bartable4.49-11embackground:}}PC
River HeightsLiberalHold72.51{{bartable3.16-11embackground:#708090}}45.92{{bartable-5.15-11embackground:}}PC
RossmereNDPHold60.07{{bartable-1.63-11embackground:#708090}}56.59{{bartable-4.12-11embackground:}}PC
Seine RiverNDPHold70.82{{bartable7.56-11embackground:#708090}}53.07{{bartable-3.81-11embackground:}}PC
SelkirkNDPHold54.77{{bartable-4.41-11embackground:#708090}}56.02{{bartable0.38-11embackground:}}PC
SouthdaleNDPHold70.13{{bartable4.39-11embackground:#708090}}52.01{{bartable0.96-11embackground:}}PC
Spruce WoodsPCHold48.64{{bartable-5.75-11embackground:#708090}}66.65{{bartable0.56-11embackground:}}NDP
St. BonifaceNDPHold59.50{{bartable-0.06-11embackground:#708090}}68.87{{bartable2.83-11embackground:}}NDP
St. JamesNDPHold62.02{{bartable2.89-11embackground:#708090}}49.75{{bartable-6.13-11embackground:}}PC
St. JohnsNDPHold48.34{{bartable-3.11-11embackground:#708090}}65.96{{bartable-2.86-11embackground:}}PC
St. NorbertNDPHold64.25{{bartable-1.22-11embackground:#708090}}45.15{{bartable-8.59-11embackground:}}PC
St. PaulPCHold58.28{{bartable1.50-11embackground:#708090}}59.59{{bartable1.13-11embackground:}}NDP
St. VitalNDPHold60.35{{bartable1.89-11embackground:#708090}}60.08{{bartable-1.46-11embackground:}}PC
SteinbachPCHold49.66{{bartable-0.32-11embackground:#708090}}85.49{{bartable2.51-11embackground:}}PC
Swan RiverNDPHold59.66{{bartable-5.56-11embackground:#708090}}56.15{{bartable-2.25-11embackground:}}PC
The MaplesNDPHold54.91{{bartable-0.14-11embackground:#708090}}51.83{{bartable-4.33-11embackground:}}PC
The PasNDPHold30.40{{bartable-6.23-11embackground:#708090}}73.61{{bartable4.74-11embackground:}}NDP
ThompsonNDPHold36.72{{bartable-3.10-11embackground:#708090}}68.52{{bartable-5.38-11embackground:}}NDP
TransconaNDPHold51.24{{bartable2.44-11embackground:#708090}}58.23{{bartable-10.50-11embackground:}}PC
TuxedoPCHold62.31{{bartable1.78-11embackground:#708090}}52.74{{bartable5.48-11embackground:}}PC
Tyndall ParkNDPGain51.50{{bartable-9.95-11embackground:#708090}}45.16{{bartable10.81-11embackground:}}NDP
WolseleyNDPHold55.60{{bartable0.32-11embackground:#708090}}60.73{{bartable-3.16-11embackground:}}Green

Changes in party shares

RidingGreenLiberalNDPPC%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)
Agassiz5.11*New*6.64*New*17.20*New*71.05*New*
Arthur-Virden3.81{{bartable-1.32-11embackground:}}30.21{{bartable-0.60-11embackground:}}65.97{{bartable1.92-11embackground:}}
Assiniboia2.33{{bartable2.33-11embackground:}}2.22{{bartable-3.30-11embackground:}}58.22{{bartable-3.99-11embackground:}}37.23{{bartable4.95-11embackground:}}
Brandon East2.52{{bartable2.52-11embackground:}}3.98{{bartable-3.97-11embackground:}}54.95{{bartable1.00-11embackground:}}38.55{{bartable0.46-11embackground:}}
Brandon West4.38{{bartable0.34-11embackground:}}46.94{{bartable-0.54-11embackground:}}48.68{{bartable0.63-11embackground:}}
Burrows2.40{{bartable2.40-11embackground:}}12.19{{bartable1.69-11embackground:}}59.34{{bartable-11.41-11embackground:}}25.46{{bartable6.69-11embackground:}}
Charleswood5.45{{bartable5.45-11embackground:}}8.71{{bartable-4.86-11embackground:}}30.01{{bartable-1.80-11embackground:}}55.83{{bartable1.21-11embackground:}}
Concordia4.85{{bartable1.52-11embackground:}}3.73{{bartable-2.28-11embackground:}}63.06{{bartable-5.99-11embackground:}}28.37{{bartable6.75-11embackground:}}
Dauphin2.44*New*1.52*New*54.93*New*41.12*New*
Dawson Trail–*New*3.93*New*52.55*New*43.52*New*
Elmwood4.89{{bartable4.89-11embackground:}}6.60{{bartable-10.88-11embackground:}}54.61{{bartable-6.90-11embackground:}}33.90{{bartable12.89-11embackground:}}
Emerson7.57{{bartable-10.89-11embackground:}}19.78{{bartable-1.65-11embackground:}}72.65{{bartable12.54-11embackground:}}
Flin Flon3.36{{bartable3.36-11embackground:}}15.42{{bartable-6.98-11embackground:}}57.13{{bartable-20.46-11embackground:}}24.09{{bartable24.09-11embackground:}}
Fort Garry-Riverview4.31{{bartable-4.16-11embackground:}}7.19{{bartable-8.56-11embackground:}}55.55{{bartable-2.57-11embackground:}}32.95{{bartable15.29-11embackground:}}
Fort Richmond3.00{{bartable-0.26-11embackground:}}4.90{{bartable-13.49-11embackground:}}53.47{{bartable0.87-11embackground:}}38.62{{bartable12.87-11embackground:}}
Fort Rouge5.44{{bartable-0.83-11embackground:}}23.13{{bartable-7.40-11embackground:}}51.26{{bartable4.29-11embackground:}}20.16{{bartable5.41-11embackground:}}
Fort Whyte7.92{{bartable-6.29-11embackground:}}29.64{{bartable-4.20-11embackground:}}62.44{{bartable10.49-11embackground:}}
Gimli3.18{{bartable3.18-11embackground:}}2.03{{bartable-5.16-11embackground:}}51.52{{bartable-7.22-11embackground:}}43.28{{bartable9.20-11embackground:}}
Interlake2.90{{bartable-1.64-11embackground:}}50.46{{bartable-9.04-11embackground:}}43.42{{bartable7.47-11embackground:}}
Kewatinook2.63{{bartable2.63-11embackground:}}1.37{{bartable-4.27-11embackground:}}57.15{{bartable-1.31-11embackground:}}38.85{{bartable2.95-11embackground:}}
Kildonan–{{bartable-2.51-11embackground:}}4.84{{bartable-2.00-11embackground:}}59.51{{bartable-2.12-11embackground:}}35.65{{bartable6.63-11embackground:}}
Kirkfield Park3.22{{bartable3.22-11embackground:}}3.48{{bartable-9.08-11embackground:}}46.75{{bartable-2.57-11embackground:}}46.55{{bartable8.43-11embackground:}}
La Verendrye4.78{{bartable4.78-11embackground:}}5.01{{bartable-1.22-11embackground:}}26.13{{bartable-24.99-11embackground:}}64.07{{bartable26.25-11embackground:}}
Lac du Bonnet3.62{{bartable3.62-11embackground:}}3.55{{bartable-3.82-11embackground:}}38.53{{bartable4.91-11embackground:}}54.30{{bartable-4.71-11embackground:}}
Lakeside4.95{{bartable0.54-11embackground:}}3.35{{bartable-2.81-11embackground:}}25.90{{bartable-7.34-11embackground:}}65.80{{bartable9.61-11embackground:}}
Logan6.59{{bartable6.59-11embackground:}}17.08{{bartable0.17-11embackground:}}58.75{{bartable4.79-11embackground:}}16.53{{bartable3.41-11embackground:}}
Midland–*New*6.91*New*23.65*New*69.45*New*
Minto6.08{{bartable6.08-11embackground:}}11.19{{bartable-10.77-11embackground:}}66.40{{bartable2.78-11embackground:}}15.30{{bartable2.82-11embackground:}}
Morden-Winkler–*New*3.01*New*11.46*New*85.53*New*
Morris6.63{{bartable-3.82-11embackground:}}19.37{{bartable-13.20-11embackground:}}74.00{{bartable17.02-11embackground:}}
Point Douglas3.39{{bartable-1.92-11embackground:}}4.95{{bartable-9.77-11embackground:}}73.28{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}17.65{{bartable5.68-11embackground:}}
Portage la Prairie8.44{{bartable-0.85-11embackground:}}39.32{{bartable-3.08-11embackground:}}52.24{{bartable3.93-11embackground:}}
Radisson5.54{{bartable-2.45-11embackground:}}55.14{{bartable-1.58-11embackground:}}39.31{{bartable4.03-11embackground:}}
Riding Mountain3.50*New*3.56*New*34.48*New*58.47*New*
Riel4.92{{bartable-7.07-11embackground:}}54.90{{bartable-2.42-11embackground:}}40.17{{bartable9.49-11embackground:}}
River East2.68{{bartable2.68-11embackground:}}1.84{{bartable-5.02-11embackground:}}44.14{{bartable-2.14-11embackground:}}51.34{{bartable4.49-11embackground:}}
River Heights3.57{{bartable-0.48-11embackground:}}45.92{{bartable-5.15-11embackground:}}17.79{{bartable-1.98-11embackground:}}32.72{{bartable7.61-11embackground:}}
Rossmere3.68{{bartable3.68-11embackground:}}3.74{{bartable-2.82-11embackground:}}56.59{{bartable-4.12-11embackground:}}36.00{{bartable3.26-11embackground:}}
Seine River2.85{{bartable-8.08-11embackground:}}53.07{{bartable-3.81-11embackground:}}44.09{{bartable11.89-11embackground:}}
Selkirk4.60{{bartable-3.95-11embackground:}}56.02{{bartable0.38-11embackground:}}39.38{{bartable3.56-11embackground:}}
Southdale3.00{{bartable-6.21-11embackground:}}52.01{{bartable0.96-11embackground:}}44.99{{bartable5.25-11embackground:}}
Spruce Woods4.73{{bartable-6.58-11embackground:}}28.62{{bartable6.03-11embackground:}}66.65{{bartable0.56-11embackground:}}
St. Boniface6.17{{bartable-0.70-11embackground:}}7.06{{bartable-6.55-11embackground:}}68.87{{bartable2.83-11embackground:}}17.90{{bartable5.01-11embackground:}}
St. James4.23{{bartable-0.26-11embackground:}}7.69{{bartable-0.97-11embackground:}}49.75{{bartable-6.13-11embackground:}}38.33{{bartable7.36-11embackground:}}
St. Johns6.22{{bartable1.48-11embackground:}}5.52{{bartable-4.32-11embackground:}}65.96{{bartable-2.86-11embackground:}}22.29{{bartable5.70-11embackground:}}
St. Norbert10.05{{bartable-4.26-11embackground:}}45.15{{bartable-8.59-11embackground:}}44.80{{bartable12.85-11embackground:}}
St. Paul2.96{{bartable-8.52-11embackground:}}37.45{{bartable7.39-11embackground:}}59.59{{bartable1.13-11embackground:}}
St. Vital–{{bartable-4.68-11embackground:}}5.51{{bartable-4.84-11embackground:}}60.08{{bartable-1.46-11embackground:}}34.40{{bartable10.99-11embackground:}}
Steinbach–{{bartable-3.62-11embackground:}}6.88{{bartable2.14-11embackground:}}7.63{{bartable-1.03-11embackground:}}85.49{{bartable2.51-11embackground:}}
Swan River3.46{{bartable-0.49-11embackground:}}56.15{{bartable-2.25-11embackground:}}40.38{{bartable2.74-11embackground:}}
The Maples3.74{{bartable3.74-11embackground:}}18.57{{bartable4.16-11embackground:}}51.83{{bartable-4.33-11embackground:}}25.86{{bartable-3.56-11embackground:}}
The Pas2.83{{bartable-6.86-11embackground:}}73.61{{bartable4.74-11embackground:}}23.57{{bartable2.12-11embackground:}}
Thompson3.18{{bartable-12.79-11embackground:}}68.52{{bartable-5.38-11embackground:}}28.30{{bartable18.17-11embackground:}}
Transcona7.15{{bartable-1.96-11embackground:}}58.23{{bartable-10.50-11embackground:}}34.62{{bartable12.46-11embackground:}}
Tuxedo5.35{{bartable5.35-11embackground:}}16.52{{bartable-5.48-11embackground:}}25.39{{bartable-5.35-11embackground:}}52.74{{bartable5.48-11embackground:}}
Tyndall Park4.12{{bartable4.12-11embackground:}}34.92{{bartable-22.81-11embackground:}}45.16{{bartable10.81-11embackground:}}15.80{{bartable7.88-11embackground:}}
Wolseley19.64{{bartable7.57-11embackground:}}7.42{{bartable-4.01-11embackground:}}60.73{{bartable-3.16-11embackground:}}12.21{{bartable0.89-11embackground:}}

: = did not field a candidate in 2007

By-elections since 2011

|Progressive Conservative | Jacob Nasekapow |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Total valid votes !align="right"|2,743 !align="right"|100.00 !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Rejected and declined votes !align="right"|14 !align="right"| !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Turnout !align="right"|2,757 !align="right"|22.10 !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Electors on the lists !align="right"|12,475 !align="right"| !align="right"| |}

|Progressive Conservative | Doyle Piwniuk |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Total valid votes !align="right"|4,600 !align="right"|100.00 !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Rejected and declined votes !align="right"|10 !align="right"| !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Turnout !align="right"|4,610 !align="right"|33.55 !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Electors on the lists !align="right"|13,739 !align="right"| !align="right"| |}

|Progressive Conservative | Shannon Martin | Independent | Ray Shaw |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Total valid votes !align="right"|3,775 !align="right"| !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Rejected and declined votes !align="right"|17 !align="right"| !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Turnout !align="right"|3,792 !align="right"|27.51 !align="right"| |- style="background:white;" ! style="text-align:right;" colspan="3"|Electors on the lists !align="right"|13,782 !align="right"| !align="right"| |}

References

Opinion poll sources

References

  1. [http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/breakingnews/Lamoureux-resigns-as-MLA-eyes-federal-run-106463653.html?viewAllComments=y Lamoureux resigns as MLA, eyes federal run]. Winnipeg Free Press, November 1, 2010. Retrieved April 1, 2011.
  2. Lambert, Steve. (October 4, 2011). "Manitoba election expected to be the closest in more than a decade". The Globe and Mail.
  3. (October 5, 2011}}{{Dead link). "NDP wins another Manitoba election". The Montreal Gazette.
  4. [http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/10/19/manitoba-liberal-leader-faces-ultimatum-resign-jon-gerrard_n_1020841.html Manitoba Liberal Leader Jon Gerrard Won't Run Again] {{Webarchive. link. (October 22, 2011 . ''[[Huffington Post]]'', October 19, 2011.)
  5. {{Cite canlaw. (2006)
  6. . ["Proposed Boundaries"](http://www.boundariescommission.mb.ca/maps/proposed.aspx). *Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission*.
  7. . (December 2008). ["Final Report"](https://www.boundariescommission.mb.ca/wp-content/uploads/edbc-final-report-2008.pdf). *Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission*.
  8. [http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/breakingnews/longtime-member-of-manitoba-legislature-no-seeking-re-election-this-fall-119098839.html Longtime member of Manitoba legislature [not] seeking re-election this fall]. Winnipeg Free Press, April 1, 2011. Retrieved April 2, 2011.
  9. (July 11, 2011). "Bill Blaikie leaving political life". CBC News.
  10. (February 22, 2011). "The Premier had praise for the dedication of our retiring M.L.A.". CFAR 590.
  11. (February 4, 2011). "McGifford won't run again". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  12. (May 11, 2011). "MLA Korzeniowski won't seek re-election". Winnipeg Free Press.
  13. (February 12, 2011). "MLA Marilyn Brick won't stand again". [[CBC News]].
  14. (July 4, 2011). "First female ag minister won't seek re-election". The Manitoba Co-operator.
  15. Bruce Owen. (December 15, 2010). "Peter George Dyck leaving politics". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  16. Larry Kusch. (March 25, 2011). "MLA Hawranik announces resignation". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  17. Don Radford. "Peter George Dyck leaving politics". Winkler Times.
  18. Rob Swyston. (March 26, 2011). "MLA David Faurschou stepping down". [[Winnipeg Sun]].
  19. Kusch, Larry. (February 8, 2011). "Derkach won't seek eighth term in office". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  20. Kevin Engstrom. (August 27, 2009). "Premier Gary Doer resigns". [[Winnipeg Sun]].
  21. Larry Kusch, Bruce Owen. (September 28, 2009). "Swan out, backs Selinger's NDP leadership bid". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  22. (October 17, 2009). "Selinger picked as Manitoba's next NDP premier". [[CBC News]].
  23. Dan Lett. (October 18, 2009). "Selinger must prove NDP has life after Doer". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  24. (October 13, 2009). "Doer announces $10-M UNESCO trust fund". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  25. Ethan Cable. (November 25, 2009). "West-side line is a $1.4 billion mistake, critics say". [[The Uniter]].
  26. "Bipole III". [[Manitoba Hydro]].
  27. Larry Kusch. (November 8, 2010). "McFadyen vows to put end to hydro line down west side". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  28. Dr. John Ryan. (February 9–11, 2010). "Proposal for a Manitoba Hydro Cable under Lake Winnipeg". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  29. Ross Romaniuk. (August 3, 2010). "Go under lake: Grit". [[Winnipeg Sun]].
  30. "Elections Manitoba official results". Electionsmanitoba.ca.
  31. "Voter Turnout in Manitoba: An Ecological Analysis".
  32. "Winnipeg Free Press".
  33. . ["Results of 39th General Election, May 22, 2007"](https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Results/Elections/2007). *[[Elections Manitoba]]*.
  34. . ["Results of 40th General Election, October 4, 2011"](https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Results/Elections/2011). *[[Elections Manitoba]]*.
  35. "Official Election Results".
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