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2011 Hamburg state election
State election in Hamburg, Germany
State election in Hamburg, Germany
| Field | Value | |
|---|---|---|
| election_name | 2011 Hamburg state election | |
| country | Hamburg | |
| type | parliamentary | |
| ongoing | no | |
| previous_election | 2008 Hamburg state election | |
| previous_year | 2008 | |
| next_election | 2015 Hamburg state election | |
| next_year | 2015 | |
| seats_for_election | All 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament | |
| majority_seats | 61 | |
| election_date | 20 February 2011 | |
| turnout | 3,444,602 (57.3%) | |
| 6.2% | ||
| image1 | [[File:Olaf Scholz, August 2009 - by SPD-Schleswig-Holstein.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| leader1 | Olaf Scholz | |
| party1 | Social Democratic Party of Germany | |
| last_election1 | 45 seats, 34.1% | |
| seats1 | 62 | |
| popular_vote1 | 1,667,804 | |
| seat_change1 | 17 | |
| percentage1 | 48.4% | |
| swing1 | 14.3% | |
| image2 | [[File:Christoph Ahlhaus.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| leader2 | Christoph Ahlhaus | |
| party2 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |
| last_election2 | 56 seats, 42.6% | |
| seats2 | 28 | |
| popular_vote2 | 753,805 | |
| seat_change2 | 28 | |
| percentage2 | 21.9% | |
| swing2 | 20.7% | |
| image3 | [[Image:Anja Hajduk IMG 6220 edit.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| leader3 | Anja Hajduk | |
| party3 | Alliance 90/The Greens | |
| last_election3 | 12 seats, 9.6% | |
| seats3 | 14 | |
| popular_vote3 | 384,502 | |
| seat_change3 | 2 | |
| percentage3 | 11.2% | |
| swing3 | 1.6% | |
| image4 | [[File:2011-06-23-Katja-Suding-06.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| leader4 | Katja Suding | |
| party4 | Free Democratic Party (Germany) | |
| last_election4 | 0 seats, 4.8% | |
| seats4 | 9 | |
| popular_vote4 | 229,125 | |
| seat_change4 | 9 | |
| percentage4 | 6.7% | |
| swing4 | 1.9% | |
| image5 | [[Image:2011-06-23-dora-heyenn-by-RalfR-06.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| leader5 | Dora Heyenn | |
| party5 | The Left (Germany) | |
| last_election5 | 8 seats, 6.4% | |
| seats5 | 8 | |
| seat_change5 | 0 | |
| popular_vote5 | 220,428 | |
| percentage5 | 6.4% | |
| swing5 | 0.0% | |
| title | Mayor | |
| before_election | Christoph Ahlhaus | |
| before_party | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |
| after_election | Olaf Scholz | |
| after_party | Social Democratic Party of Germany |
6.2%
The 2011 Hamburg state election was held on 20 February 2011 to elect the members of the 20th Hamburg Parliament. The election was triggered by the collapse of the coalition government between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Green Alternative List (GAL), which had governed the state since 2008. The election was a landslide defeat for the CDU, which lost half its voteshare and seats. The margin of defeat for the incumbent Ahlhaus Senate is the largest in post-war German history and has not been met since. Much of this lost support flowed to the Social Democratic Party (SPD), which won 62 of the 121 seats in Parliament, forming a majority government led by Olaf Scholz.
Background
After the 2008 state election, the CDU formed a coalition government with the GAL. This was the first time such a government had been formed in Germany, as the Greens were seen as aligned with the SPD, typically in opposition to the CDU. Popular CDU mayor Ole von Beust was seen as a stabilising force for the government. After his retirement in August 2010 and the election of Christoph Ahlhaus as his successor, relations between the two parties became increasingly strained. In November 2010, GAL left the government. Ahlhaus formed a minority CDU Senate and the Parliament subsequently voted to dissolve itself and hold early elections.
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 19th Hamburg Parliament.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2008 result | Votes (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Democratic Union of Germany}} | **CDU** | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |||
| *Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands* | Christian democracy | Christoph Ahlhaus | 42.58% | ||
| Social Democratic Party of Germany}} | **SPD** | Social Democratic Party of Germany | |||
| *Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands* | Social democracy | Olaf Scholz | 34.15% | ||
| Alliance 90/The Greens}} | **GAL** | Green Alternative List | |||
| *Grün-Alternative-Liste Hamburg* | Green politics | Anja Hajduk | 9.58% | ||
| The Left (Germany)}} | **Linke** | The Left | |||
| *Die Linke* | Democratic socialism | Dora Heyenn | 6.45% |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| size | CDU | SPD | GAL | Linke | FDP | Others | Lead | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};" | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};" | Alliance 90/The Greens}};" | The Left (Germany)}};" | Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};" | |||||
| [2011 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/news/2011/buergerschaftswahl-hamburg-2011.htm) | 20 Feb 2011 | – | 21.9 | **48.4** | 11.2 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 5.5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 26.5 | |||||||
| [GMS](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 15–17 Feb 2011 | 1,002 | 25 | **43** | 15 | 6 | 5 | 6 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 18 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 8–10 Feb 2011 | 1,004 | 23.5 | **45** | 14 | 5.5 | 5 | 7 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21.5 | |||||||
| [Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 7–10 Feb 2011 | 1,686 | 23 | **46** | 14.5 | 6 | 5 | 5.5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 23 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 4–10 Feb 2011 | 1,002 | 24 | **45** | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 28 Jan–2 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | 25 | **46** | 14 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21 | |||||||
| [Trend Research Hamburg](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 26–31 Jan 2011 | 627 | 25 | **45** | 16 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 20 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 7–11 Jan 2011 | 1,000 | 26 | **43** | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17 | |||||||
| [Trend Research Hamburg](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10–14 Dec 2010 | 648 | 24 | **45** | 16 | 8 | 3 | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10–12 Dec 2010 | 1,000 | 22 | **43** | 19 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21 | |||||||
| [Trend Research Hamburg](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 2–7 Dec 2010 | 678 | 22 | **45** | 17 | 7 | 3 | 6 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 23 | |||||||
| [Trend Research Hamburg](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29 Nov–2 Dec 2010 | 653 | 24 | **44** | 17 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 20 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29 Nov–1 Dec 2010 | 1,002 | 28 | **45** | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17 | |||||||
| [Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29–30 Nov 2010 | 1,006 | 22 | **41** | 21 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 19 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 6–10 Nov 2010 | 1,004 | 35 | **40** | 12 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 5 | |||||||
| [Trend Research Hamburg](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 15–19 Oct 2010 | 612 | 25 | **35** | 17 | 11 | 4 | 8 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 10 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 19–20 Jul 2010 | 1,005 | 35 | **41** | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 6 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29 Jun–2 Jul 2010 | 1,007 | 36 | **39** | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 19–23 Apr 2010 | 1,004 | 34 | **37** | 10 | 8 | 8 | ? | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 17–21 Feb 2009 | 1,000 | **31** | **31** | 16 | 10 | 7 | 5 | Tie | ||||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | December 2009 | 1,001 | **38** | 34 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 4 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 26–30 Nov 2009 | 1,004 | **36** | 33 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 19–22 Feb 2009 | 1,000 | **36** | 33 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 2 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 22–27 Nov 2008 | 1,003 | **44** | 31 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 13 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29 April–5 May 2008 | 1,004 | **43** | 34 | 10 | 7 | 4.5 | 1.5 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 9 | |||||||
| [2008 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 24 Feb 2008 | – | **42.6** | 34.1 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 2.5 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 8.5 |
Election result
References
References
- (29 November 2010). "Hamburg vote set for February after coalition collapses". The Local.
- (20 February 2011). "Merkel's party hammered in state elections". Deutsche Welle.
- Pidd, Helen. (20 February 2011). "Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats suffer heavy Hamburg defeat". The Guardian.
- (28 November 2010). "Germany's only CDU-Green coalition falls". The Local.
- Knight, Dennis. (February 18, 2011). "Trend-Setting Loss Would Spell Trouble for Merkel". Spiegel Online.
- [http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,731612,00.html "Veit Medick: 'Union schäumt, SPD träumt. Koalitionsbruch in Hamburg.'"] ''Der Spiegel'', 28 November 2010
- (29 November 2010). "Greens in Hamburg end coalition with CDU". Deutsche Welle.
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