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2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina
countryNorth Carolina
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in North Carolina
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1Richard Burr official portrait crop.jpg
nominee1**Richard Burr**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,458,046**
percentage1**54.81%**
image2File:Elaine Marshall IACA 2018 (cropped).jpg
nominee2Elaine Marshall
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,145,074
percentage243.05%
map_image
map_caption**Burr:**
**Marshall:**
**Tie:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionRichard Burr
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionRichard Burr
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Marshall:
Tie: The 2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 2, 2010. The filing deadline for the primaries was February 26; the primaries were held on May 4, with a Democratic primary runoff held on June 22. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a second term. Burr is the first incumbent to win re-election for this seat since Sam Ervin's last re-election in 1968.

Burr was the first Republican re-elected to this seat. Burr's 54.8% also represented the highest vote share a North Carolina Republican received since the state began directly electing its senators.

This was one of the five Republican-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2008 presidential election.

Background

This Senate seat was unfavorable to incumbents over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat was re-elected since Sam Ervin in 1968. His successor, Democrat Robert Burren Morgan, was defeated for re-election in 1980, along with many other incumbents from his party. His Republican successor, John Porter East, committed suicide in 1986. East's appointed successor, Jim Broyhill, served for just four months, resigning upon his November 1986 election loss to former Democratic Governor Terry Sanford. In 1992, the seat changed hands yet again, as Sanford was defeated by wealthy GOP businessman Lauch Faircloth, who himself lost in his bid for a second term six years later by John Edwards. In 2004, no incumbent was defeated, as Edwards was running for vice president and was not allowed to be on the ballot in both races. However, that year the seat did change parties for the fifth time in a row, with Richard Burr defeating Bill Clinton's onetime Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Eddie Burks, Asheboro City Councilman
  • Richard Burr, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Brad Jones, businessman
  • Larry Linney, former State Representative

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRichard
BurrBrad
JonesEddie
Burks
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15, 2010**55%**10%3%
Public Policy PollingMarch 12–15, 2010**58%**5%4%
Public Policy PollingApril 8–11, 2010**67%**7%3%
Survey USAApril 26, 2010**59%**6%3%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

From the North Carolina State Board of Elections:

  • Cal Cunningham, former State Senator
  • Susan Harris, retired accountant
  • Ken Lewis, attorney
  • Elaine Marshall, North Carolina Secretary of State and candidate in 2002
  • Marcus Williams, attorney
  • Ann Worthy, former Gaston County Board of Education member

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredElaine
MarshallCal
CunninghamKenneth
Lewis
MarshallDecember 1, 2009**42%**5%7%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15, 2010**29%**12%5%
Public Policy PollingMarch 12–15, 2010**20%**16%11%
Public Policy PollingApril 8–11, 2010**23%**17%9%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSAApril 25, 2010**23%**19%10%
Public Policy PollingApril 27, 2010**26%**23%7%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 2010**28%**21%9%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 4, 2010**42%**37%––
Public Policy PollingMay 8–10, 2010**36%****36%**––

Results

Primary results by county:

| | | | | | | | | | | | ]] ***** Note: Since no candidate received 40% of the vote on May 4, state law allowed a runoff (or "second primary") election if requested by the second-place finisher. Cunningham requested such a runoff.

Runoff results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

General election

Candidates

  • Michael Beitler (L), lecturer of Bryan School of Business and Economics at the University of North Carolina at Greensboro
  • Richard Burr (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Elaine Marshall (D), North Carolina Secretary of State

Campaign

Marshall was endorsed by The Charlotte Observer, The Wilmington Star-News, the Elizabeth City Daily Advance and The Southern Pines Pilot. Burr was endorsed by the Greensboro News & Record and the Asheville Citizen-Times.

Debates

  • October 11: Sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Education Foundation and moderated by Carl Kasell. It was televised by UNC-TV in Raleigh.
  • October 14: In Raleigh
  • October 21: Sponsored by N.C. Association of Broadcasters and moderated by Judy Woodruff in Durham.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 26, 2010
RothenbergOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMoERichard
Burr (R)Elaine
Marshall (D)Michael
Beitler (L)
Public Policy PollingMarch 12–15, 2009± 3.1%**43%**35%––
Public Policy PollingAugust 4–10, 2009± 3.6%**43%**31%––
Public Policy PollingSeptember 2–8, 2009± 4.0%**42%**31%––
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15, 2009± 4.5%**48%**38%––
Public Policy PollingOctober 2–4, 2009± 3.8%**44%**32%––
Public Policy PollingNovember 9–11, 2009± 3.7%**45%**34%––
Public Policy PollingDecember 11–13, 2009± 4.0%**42%**37%––
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 2010± 3.8%**44%**37%––
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 27, 2010± 4.5%**47%**37%––
Public Policy PollingFebruary 12–15, 2010± 3.5%**43%**33%––
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 23, 2010± 4.5%**50%**34%––
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 22, 2010± 4.5%**51%**35%––
Rasmussen ReportsApril 19, 2010± 4.5%**50%**32%––
Rasmussen ReportsMay 5, 2010± 4.5%**48%**40%––
Public Policy PollingMay 8–10, 2010± 3.9%**43%**42%––
Rasmussen ReportsJune 3, 2010± 3.0%**50%**36%––
Public Policy PollingJune 4–6, 2010± 3.9%**46%**39%––
Rasmussen ReportsJune 23, 2010± 4.5%**44%**43%––
SurveyUSAJune 23–24, 2010± 4.0%**50%**40%6%
Public Policy PollingJune 26–27, 2010± 4.4%**38%**33%10%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 6, 2010± 4.5%**52%**37%––
Survey USAJuly 8–11, 2010± 4.2%**46%**36%6%
Lake ResearchJuly 15–19, 2010± 4.0%35%**37%**5%
Public Policy PollingJuly 27–31, 2010± 3.9%**39%**37%7%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 3, 2010± 4.5%**49%**40%––
Public Policy PollingAugust 27–29, 2010± 3.6%**43%**38%6%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 8, 2010± 4.5%**54%**38%––
SurveyUSASeptember 14, 2010± 4.1%**58%**32%6%
CivitasSeptember 15–17, 2010± 4.0%**49%**29%3%
Public Polling PolicySeptember 23–26, 2010± 3.8%**49%**36%4%
High Point UniversitySeptember 25–30, 2010± 5.0%**45%**31%4%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 12, 2010± 4.5%**52%**38%––
Public Policy PollingOctober 15–17, 2010± 4.0%**48%**40%3%
SurveyUSAOctober 22–25, 2010± 4.1%**53%**38%5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 29–31, 2010± 3.4%**52%**40%2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Richard Burr (R)$8,444,115$8,735,725$1,600,695$0
Elaine Marshall (D)$2,561,900$2,229,840$329,886$71,500
Michael Beitler (L)$16,302$9,951$6,350$11,906
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Caswell (largest city: Yanceyville)
  • Columbus (largest municipality: Whiteville)
  • Yancey (largest municipality: Burnsville)
  • Perquimans (largest city: Hertford)
  • Camden (largest city: Camden)
  • Tyrrell (largest municipality: Columbia)
  • Guilford (largest city: Greensboro)
  • Swain (largest municipality: Cherokee)
  • Granville (largest city: Oxford)
  • Hyde (largest community: Ocracoke)
  • Jackson (largest town: Cullowhee)
  • Wake (largest town: Raleigh)

References

References

  1. "State Board of Elections Calendar". Sboe.state.nc.us.
  2. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/north_carolina/election_2010_north_carolina_senate Election 2010: North Carolina Senate], [[Rasmussen Reports]], March 24, 2010.
  3. (January 21, 2010). "Asheboro council member to challenge Burr". [[News & Record]].
  4. (February 16, 2010). "Western NC businessman files for Senate race". The Sun News}} {{Dead link.
  5. (March 2, 2010). "He's at it again: Larry Linney files for U.S. Senate run". [[Asheville Citizen-Times]]}} {{Dead link.
  6. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=25a12adf-9012-424e-b4f3-8b73d86aaf90 Survey USA]
  7. (February 26, 2010). "State Board of Elections: Candidate Filing List". Sboe.state.nc.us.
  8. "NC-Sen: Democrats get Cunningham". The Washington Post.
  9. McArdle, John. (November 2018). "Good News, Bad Timing on N.C. Senate Race". CQ Politics.
  10. Christensen, Rob. "News & Observer: 2nd-tier Senate hopefuls soldier on". Newsobserver.com.
  11. "News & Observer: Durham lawyer eyes Burr seat". Projects.newsobserver.com.
  12. (March 10, 2009). "Democrats expand their search for Burr challenger".
  13. "News & Observer blog: Marshall running for U.S. Senate". Projects.newsobserver.com.
  14. [https://archive.today/20130131130730/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/nc_2010_sen_primary_marshall_1.php Marshall]
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  24. "News & Observer: Cunningham wants a runoff". Projects.newsobserver.com.
  25. "Bryan School directory".
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  27. "Editorial: Burr for Senate : News-Record.com : Greensboro & the Triad's most trusted source for local news and analysis". News & Record.
  28. "Tar Heels need a senator who can say yes | The Asheville Citizen-Times | citizen-times.com".
  29. "News". The Asheville Citizen-Times.
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