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2010 United States Senate election in Colorado

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2010 United States Senate election in Colorado

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in Colorado
countryColorado
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in Colorado
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in Colorado
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1MichaelBennetofficialphoto.jpg
nominee1**Michael Bennet**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**854,685**
percentage1**48.08%**
image2Ken Buck official congressional photo (cropped 2).jpg
nominee2Ken Buck
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2824,789
percentage246.40%
map_image
map_size250px
map_caption**Bennet:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionMichael Bennet
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionMichael Bennet
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Buck:
Tie:
The 2010 United States Senate election in Colorado took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. In December 2008, President-elect Barack Obama nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Ken Salazar as Secretary of the Interior. After Salazar resigned from his seat, Democratic governor Bill Ritter appointed Denver Public Schools Superintendent Michael Bennet to fill the seat.

Bennet won a full term, defeating former state House speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary, and Republican nominee Ken Buck in the general election. With a margin of 1.7%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2010 Senate election cycle after the concurrent one in Illinois.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Michael Bennet, incumbent U.S. Senator

Eliminated in primary

  • Andrew Romanoff, former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives

Endorsements

Bennet

  • President Barack Obama
  • U.S. Senator Russ Feingold
  • Congresswoman Diana DeGette
  • Congressman Ed Perlmutter
  • Congresswoman Betsy Markey
  • U.S. Senator Mark Udall
  • Congressman Jared Polis
  • Congressman John Salazar
  • Former U.S. Senator Gary Hart
  • Governor Bill Ritter

Romanoff

  • Former president Bill Clinton

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredMichael
BennetAndrew
RomanoffUndecided
The Tarrance GroupSeptember 16–17, 2009**41%**27%32%
Public Policy PollingMay 19, 2010**46%**31%23%
Survey USAJune 15–17, 2010**53%**36%11%
Survey USAAugust 1, 201045%**48%**7%
Public Policy PollingAugust 7–8, 2010**49%**43%9%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | |

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ken Buck, Weld County District Attorney

Eliminated in primary

  • Jane Norton, former Lieutenant Governor of Colorado

Eliminated in convention

  • Cleve Tidwell, businessman
  • Robert Greenheck
  • Steve Barton

Withdrew

  • Tom Wiens, former state senator

Declined

  • Bob Beauprez, former U.S. Representative for Colorado's 7th congressional district
  • Troy Eid, U.S. Attorney for United States District Court for the District of Colorado
  • Ryan Frazier, Aurora city councilman

Endorsements

  • Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator
  • Erick Erickson, blogger
  • Tom Wiens, state senator According to her website:
  • American Conservative Union
  • Family Research Council
  • Susan B. Anthony List
  • Bill Owens, Governor
  • Sarah Palin, former Governor
  • William L. Armstrong, former U.S. Senator
  • Hank Brown, former U.S. Senator
  • Sam Brownback, U.S. Senator
  • Tom Coburn, U.S. Senator
  • Bob Beauprez, former U.S. Congressman
  • John Suthers, State Attorney General
  • Mark Hillman, former state treasurer
  • Jan Brewer, Arizona Governor
  • Wayne Allard, Former U.S. Senator
  • Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator
  • Josh Penry, state senator
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredKen
BuckJane
Norton
The Tarrance GroupSeptember 16–17, 200915%**45%**
Public Policy PollingMarch 3, 201017%**34%**
MagellanMarch 14, 201013%**41%**
MagellanApril 19, 2010**32%**29%
Public Policy PollingMay 19, 201026%**31%**
MagellanJune 8, 2010**42%**32%
Survey USAJune 15–17, 2010**53%**37%
Public Opinion StrategiesJune 20–21, 201033%**39%**
Survey USAAugust 1, 2010**50%**41%
Public Policy PollingAugust 7–8, 201043%**45%**

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Mac Stringer

Eliminated in primary

  • John Finger

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

  • Michael Bennet (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Ken Buck (R), Weld County DA

Minor

Campaign

This was one of the most expensive elections in the nation, as more than $30 million was spent by outside organizations. Conservative third party groups hammered Bennet for voting 92% of the time with the Democratic leadership, including voting for healthcare reform and the stimulus package. Liberal third party groups called Buck extremist. Bennet focused on attacking Buck's views on abortion, which he believed should be banned including those of cases of rape and incest. He was also attacked for wanting to eliminate the Seventeenth Amendment and refusing to prosecute an alleged rapist as Weld County district attorney. Planned Parenthood mounted a mail campaign, targeting women voters with the warning that "Colorado women can't trust Ken Buck." Bennet won the women vote by 17 points according to exit polls. After the election, Buck conceded to the Denver Post that the main reason why he lost is because of social issues.

Debates

  • September 12: Sponsored by Club 20 in Grand Junction

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 26, 2010
Inside ElectionsOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredMichael
Bennet (D)Ken
Buck (R)
Public Policy PollingApril 17–19, 2009**40%**39%
Public Policy PollingAugust 14–16, 2009**39%**35%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 9, 2009**43%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 8, 200938%**42%**
Daily Kos/Research 2000January 11–13, 2010**41%**38%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 13, 201038%**43%**
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 2, 201041%**45%**
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 2, 201038%**44%**
Public Policy PollingMarch 5–8, 2010**47%**40%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 5, 201040%**44%**
Rasmussen ReportsMay 3, 201041%**48%**
Public Policy PollingMay 19, 2010**45%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 7, 201041%**46%**
Survey USAJune 15–17, 201043%**46%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 8, 201039%**48%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 26, 201042%**48%**
Survey USAAugust 1, 2010**43%****43%**
Public Policy PollingAugust 10, 2010**46%**43%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 11, 201041%**46%**
Ipsos/ReutersAugust 20–22, 201040%**49%**
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 30, 201044%**47%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 14, 201045%**49%**
CNN/TimeSeptember 17–21, 201044%**49%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 27, 201043%**51%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 27, 201043%**51%**
McClatchy/MaristSeptember 26–28, 201042%**50%**
Survey USASeptember 28–30, 201043%**48%**
Public Policy PollingSeptember 30 – October 2, 2010**46%**45%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 14, 201045%**47%**
Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 16, 201045%**46%**
Ipsos/ReutersOctober 18, 201045%**48%**
SurveyUSAOctober 19–21, 2010**47%****47%**
Public Policy PollingOctober 21–23, 2010**47%****47%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 25, 201044%**48%**
CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchOctober 20–26, 201046%**47%**
Marist CollegeOctober 26–28, 201045%**49%**
Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 30, 201046%**50%**
Public Policy PollingOctober 30–31, 201048%**49%**

Fundraising

These totals reflect the campaign accounts of the candidates themselves, and do not include independent expenditures by other groups.

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
Michael Bennet (D)$11,463,661$10,698,578$763,541$887,692
Ken Buck (R)$3,827,432$3,011,656$1,039,994$100,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Garfield (largest municipality: Glenwood Springs)
  • Bent (Largest city: Las Animas)
  • Mineral (Largest city: Creede)
  • Rio Grande (Largest city: Monte Vista)
  • Archuleta (Largest city: Pagosa Springs)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Chaffee (largest city: Salida)
  • Ouray (largest city: Ouray)

Notes

References

References

  1. (December 15, 2008). "Salazar poised to head Interior". Denver Post.
  2. (January 19, 2009). "Ken Salazar Resigns From Senate".
  3. Crummy, Karen. (January 2, 2009). "Michael Bennet chosen as next Senator". [[Denver Post]].
  4. Johnson, Kirk. "Michael Bennet News". The New York Times.
  5. (January 27, 2009). "Colorado's Bennet Needs to Get Better Known for 2010". CQ Politics.
  6. (February 10, 2009). "Who Will Face Bennet?". Roll Call.
  7. Riley, Michael. (August 29, 2009). "''Denver Post'' article on Andrew Romanoff". Denverpost.com.
  8. (17 September 2009). "Sen. Bennet wins Obama’s support". [[The Denver Post]].
  9. (29 June 2010). "Clinton rocks Colo., backs Romanoff". [[Politico]].
  10. [http://www.coloradopolicyinstitute.com/Key%20Findings%20CPI%209-21-09.pdf The Tarrance Group] {{Webarchive. link. (July 8, 2011)
  11. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_518.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  12. [http://www.denverpost.com/politics/ci_15326334 Survey USA]
  13. [http://www.denverpost.com/election2010/ci_15650614 Survey USA]
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  15. (August 10, 2010). "Colorado Primary Results". Politico.
  16. "State election results, 2010 (PDF)".
  17. (April 27, 2009). "The Buck starts here".
  18. Bartels, Lynn. (August 17, 2009). "Former Lt. Gov. Norton mulling U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post.
  19. (May 25, 2010). "Denver Daily - Wiens, U.S. Senate candidate, drops out". Thedenverdailynews.com.
  20. "Beauprez not running for Senate - The Scorecard". Politico.Com.
  21. (January 8, 2009). "Troy Eid to resign, run for Colorado attorney general". Coloradoindependent.com.
  22. Fender, Jessica. (October 14, 2009). "Aurora's Ryan Frazier has work cut out for him in shift to challenge U.S. Rep. Ed Perlmutter". The Denver Post.
  23. Eli Stokols. (April 14, 2010). "Tea Party Endorsement: Tea Party idol DeMint endorses Buck in Colorado Senate race". KDVR.
  24. (April 23, 2010). "DeMint on Buck endorsement: 'We've got to have an earthquake election'". Coloradoindependent.com.
  25. "CO US Senate - R Primary Race - August 10, 2010". Our Campaigns.
  26. (May 24, 2010). "Conservatives Rally Behind Norton". Janenortonforcolorado.com.
  27. "CO US Senate - R Primary Race - August 10, 2010". Our Campaigns.
  28. (28 June 2010). "Chamber comes to Norton’s aid". [[Politico]].
  29. [http://www.coloradopolicyinstitute.com/Key%20Findings%20CPI%209-21-09.pdf The Tarrance Group] {{Webarchive. link. (July 8, 2011)
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  32. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120303123930/http://www.greeleytribune.com/article/20100620/NEWS/100629988/1008%26parentprofile%3D1001/ Survey USA]
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  34. (August 11, 2010). "Colorado - County Vote Results". ap.org.
  35. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110708171909/http://cnmnewsnetwork.com/129853/co-colorado-election-2010-results-senate-update [CO] Colorado Election 2010 Results [SENATE UPDATE]. CNM News Network]
  36. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101001010458/http://www.buckforcolorado.com/bennet-vs-bennet%E2%80%94claims-represent-colorado-votes-washington-agenda-92-time Buck for Congress (campaign website)]
  37. (October 27, 2010). "Money Has Poured Into Colorado's Senate Race". npr.org.
  38. (November 13, 2010). "Abortion was winning issue for Dems". politico.com.
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  40. "Senate". [[Cook Political Report]].
  41. "Senate Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  42. "Battle for the Senate". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  43. "2010 Senate Ratings". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  44. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". [[CQ Politics]].
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  74. [http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/CO101026/October%2030,%202010_CO_Complete%20Survey%20Findings.pdf Marist College]
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  76. (August 2019). "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Colorado". fec.gov.
  77. "State Cumulative Report".
  78. "Colorado - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". [[The New York Times]].
  79. "2010 Abstract of Votes Cast". Office of Secretary of State - State of Colorado.
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