2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by district:

District 1

Nunnelee:
Morris:

In 2010 the 1st district included Horn Lake, Olive Branch, Southaven and Tupelo. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Democrat Travis Childers, who was elected in a 2008 special election, was the incumbent. Childers was re-elected in the regularly-scheduled 2008 election with 55 percent of the vote. In 2010 the Republican nominee was Alan Nunnelee, a member of the Mississippi State Senate. A. G. Baddley, an electrician; Les Green, a teacher; Rick "Rico" Hoskins; and Wally Pang, a retired restaurateur, ran as independent candidates. Gail Giaramita, a nurse, ran as the Constitution Party nominee. Harold Taylor, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Mississippi, ran as the Libertarian Party nominee. Barbara Dale Washer, a teacher, ran as the Reform Party nominee.

Angela McGlowan, a Fox News political analyst; and Henry Ross, a former mayor of Eupora, also ran for the Republican nomination. Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven who ran unsuccessfully in both 2008 elections, said in March 2009 that he would not run again in 2010. Merle Flowers, a member of the Mississippi Senate, met with the National Republican Congressional Committee in June 2009, but ultimately decided not to run.

Childers raised $1,817,037 and spent $1,796,376. Nunnelee raised $1,739,384 and spent $1,617,120. Green raised $40,296 and spent the same amount. Pang raised no money and spent $6,900. Giaramita raised $12,730 and spent $12,913.

In a poll of 303 likely voters, conducted in June 2010 by the Tarrance Group for Nunnelee's campaign, 50 percent of respondents supported Nunnelee while 42 percent favored Childers and 8 percent were undecided. In an Anzalone-Liszt poll of 400 likely voters, conducted in August and September 2010, Childers led with 46 percent to Nunnelee's 41 percent. Republican internal polls of 300 likely voters by Tarrance, conducted in September and October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 48 percent to 41 percent and by 51 percent to 40 percent respectively. A poll of 603 likely voters, conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 44 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided.

''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Nunnelee an 82 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Childers's 45 percent. Nunnelee was re-elected in 2012 and 2014. Childers unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014.

Republican primary results

Predictions

General election results

District 2

In 2010 the 2nd district included Clinton, Greenville and parts of Jackson. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 66 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 33 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.

Democrat Bennie Thompson, who took office in 1993, was the incumbent. Thompson was re-elected in 2008 with 69 percent of the vote. George Bailey and Richard Cook, a teacher, also ran in the Republican primary. Ashley Norwood ran as the Reform Party nominee.

Thompson raised $1,808,681 and spent $1,343,456. Marcy raised $47,933 and spent $40,847. In a poll of 442 registered voters and likely voters, conducted by JMC Enterprises in September 2010, 35 percent of respondents intended to vote for Thompson while 34 percent intended to vote for Marcy and 31 percent were undecided. A JMC poll of 441 registered voters and likely voters conducted in October 2010 found Thompson leading with 42 percent to Marcy's 41 percent, while 17 percent were undecided. Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Thompson a 99 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 57 percent of the vote to Marcy's 40 percent.

On election day Thompson was re-elected with 61 percent of the vote to Marcy's 38 percent. Thompson was re-elected in 2012 and 2014.

Republican primary results

Republican primary runoff results

Predictions

General election results

District 3

In 2010 the 3rd district included Meridian, Pearl and parts of Jackson. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 39 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Republican Gregg Harper, who was first elected in 2008, was the incumbent. In 2008 Harper received 63 percent of the vote. James D. Jackson, a sociology professor; and Shawn O'Hara, a frequent candidate for office, also sought the Democratic nomination. O'Hara's sister, Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill, also ran as the Reform Party nominee.

Harper raised $715,014 and spent $688,959. Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Harper a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 70 percent of the vote to Gill's 28 percent. On election day Harper was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Gill's 31 percent. Gill unsuccessfully ran for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner in 2011, and died in a car accident in October 2012. Harper was again re-elected in 2012 and 2014.

Democratic primary results

Predictions

General election results

District 4

Palazzo:
Taylor:

In 2010 the 4th district included Gulfport and Hattiesburg. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 67 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 32 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Democrat Gene Taylor, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. Taylor was re-elected in 2008 with 75 percent of the vote. Joe Tegerdine, a businessman, also sought the Republican nomination. Tim Hampton, the Libertarian Party nominee, and Anna Jewel Revies, the nominee of the Reform Party, also ran.

Taylor raised $855,983 and spent $968,943. Palazzo raised $1,079,453 and spent $1,026,476. Tegerdine raised $74,586 and spent $74,500.

In a poll by the Tarrance Group, conducted for Palazzo's campaign in September 2010, 45 percent of respondents supported Taylor while 41 percent favored Palazzo. In October 2010 Taylor said his own internal polling showed him leading Palazzo by eight percentage points. Another poll by Tarrance for Palazzo's campaign, conducted later in October 2010 with a sample size of 300 likely voters, Palazzo led with 43 percent to Taylor's 41 percent, while 3 percent supported other candidates and 12 percent were undecided.

On election day Palazzo was elected with 52 percent of the vote to Taylor's 47 percent. Palazzo was re-elected in 2012 and 2014.

Republican primary results

Predictions

General election results

References

References

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