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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
countryIowa
flag_imageFlag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
previous_year2008
next_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 5 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Democratic Party (United States)
last_election1**3**
seats1**3**
seat_change1
popular_vote1479,874
percentage143.36%
swing17.95%
party2Republican Party (United States)
last_election22
seats22
seat_change2
popular_vote2**597,414**
percentage2**53.99%**
swing26.78%
map_image
map_caption

Democratic Republican The 2010 House elections in Iowa occurred on November 2, 2010, and elected the members of the State of Iowa's delegation to the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Iowa has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census.

These elections were held concurrently with the United States Senate elections of 2010 (including one in Iowa), the United States House elections in other states, and various state and local elections. All five of Iowa's incumbent representatives were re-elected.

Despite losing the popular vote, Democrats won a majority of congressional districts in Iowa, which they have only done once since- in 2018. As a result, Iowa became one of four states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2010, the other states being New Jersey, Illinois, and North Carolina.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2010PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican597,41453.9%220
Democratic479,87443.3%330
Libertarian8,4430.76%000
Independent20,8601.88%000
**Totals****1,106,591****100.00%****5****5****—**

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1100,21947.52%104,42849.51%6,2552.97%210,902100%Democratic Hold
District 2104,31945.92%115,83950.99%7,0173.09%227,175100%Democratic Hold
District 3111,92546.49%122,14750.73%6,6842.78%240,756100%Democratic Hold
District 4152,58865.62%74,30031.95%5,6312.42%232,519100%Republican Hold
District 5128,36365.75%63,16032.35%3,7161.90%195,239100%Republican Hold
Total597,41453.99%479,87443.36%29,3032.65%1,106,591100%

District 1

Campaign

In this liberal-leaning district based in northeastern Iowa, incumbent Democratic Congressman Bruce Braley ran for a third term against Republican attorney Ben Lange, Libertarian Rob Petsche, and independent candidate Jason Faulkner. Though Braley was overwhelmingly re-elected to his second term two years prior, the anti-Democratic mood in the country contributed to the Congressman experiencing a tough fight for re-election. The race attracted the attention of both national party organizations, and thousands of dollars were reserved for airtime by the DCCC and the NRCC. Though Braley emerged victorious on election day, it was by a slim 4,000 vote and two percent margin, which was the thinnest margin of victory out of the entire Iowa congressional delegation.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredBruce Braley (D)Ben Lange (R)Undecided
Voter/Consumer ResearchAugust 31-September 3, 2010**50%**39%-

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 2

Campaign

In a rematch from 2008, incumbent Democratic Congressman Dave Loebsack faced Republican challenger Mariannette Miller-Meeks when he ran for a third term in this southeastern Iowa-based district, the most liberal of the congressional districts in the state. Polling indicated that the race would be close, and both parties’ congressional campaign committees spent on television advertisements, but ultimately, Congressman Loebsack defeated Miller-Meeks by a 10,000 vote, five percent margin.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredDavid Loebsack (D)Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)Gary Sicard (L)Undecided
Tarrance GroupOctober 18–19, 201044%**45%**1%11%
Tarrance GroupSeptember 13–14, 2010**41%**40%6%13%
Voter/Consumer ResearchAugust 31-September 3, 2010**47%**39%--
Susquehanna Polling and ResearchJune 23–25, 2010**46%**41%--

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 3

Campaign

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Leonard Boswell ran for an eighth term in this marginally liberal district that includes parts of the Waterloo – Cedar Falls metropolitan area, metro Des Moines, and Cedar Rapids. Congressman Boswell, who has faced difficult elections every year, faced Republican State Senator Brad Zaun in the general election. Though early polling indicated that Boswell was in trouble, he managed to turn the tide and edged out Zaun by a four percent margin.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredLeonard Boswell (D)Brad Zaun (R)Undecided
The Hill/ANGAOctober 19–21, 2010**49%**37%11%
Anzalone Liszt ResearchOctober 2–5, 2010**47%**38%-
Bennett, Petts and NormingtonOctober 3–4, 2010**49%**41%-
Voter/Consumer ResearchAugust 31-September 3, 2010**48%**39%8%
American Action ForumAugust 16–18, 201041%**51%**8%
Victory EnterprisesAugust 4–5, 201038%**45%**-
Victory EnterprisesJune 17, 201032%**41%**-

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublicanKey:
Participant Absent Not invited Invited WithdrawnDemocratic Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Leonard BoswellBrad Zaun1
Iowa Politics.com
KCCILynne Campbell
Kevin Cooney[C-SPAN](https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/iowa-3rd-district-house-debate/236315)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 4

Campaign

Though Republican Congressman Tom Latham represents a centrist district, he has never had much trouble winning re-election since he was first elected in 1994. This year, Congressman Latham faced the Democratic nominee, Bill Maske, a school superintendent, and independent candidate Dan Lensing. Latham was never in peril of losing his seat and managed to crush Maske and Lensing to win a ninth term in Congress.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 5

Campaign

Congressman Steve King, a Republican, represents the most conservative district in Iowa, which is rooted in the staunchly conservative areas of western Iowa. King is an outspoken conservative seeking his fifth term in Congress, and he faced Democrat Matthew Campbell in the general election. Though Democrats had high hopes for Campbell's campaign, he was ultimately not able to beat back the conservative tendencies of the district and lost to King in a landslide.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

References

References

  1. "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  2. Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  3. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100913124606/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/boswell-leads-zaun-in-new-poll.html Voter/Consumer Research]
  4. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
  5. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  6. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  7. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  8. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
  9. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
  10. [http://mariannettemillermeeks.com/download/PollingMemo2.pdf Tarrance Group] {{Webarchive. link. (2010-11-05)
  11. [http://mariannettemillermeeks.com/download/PollingMemo2.pdf Tarrance Group] {{Webarchive. link. (2010-11-05)
  12. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100913124606/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/boswell-leads-zaun-in-new-poll.html Voter/Consumer Research]
  13. {{usurped
  14. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101210220205/http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-4/125987-district-by-district-iowa The Hill/ANGA]
  15. {{usurped
  16. {{usurped
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100913124606/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/boswell-leads-zaun-in-new-poll.html Voter/Consumer Research]
  18. [https://web.archive.org/web/20130518234701/http://americanactionforum.org/files/IA%2003%20Toplines.pdf American Action Forum]
  19. {{usurped
  20. {{usurped
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