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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
countryFlorida
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
previous_year2008
next_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 25 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Republican Party (United States)
last_election1**15**
seats1**19**
seat_change14
popular_vote1**2,234,534**
percentage1**55.61%**
swing15.69%
party2Democratic Party (United States)
last_election210
seats26
seat_change24
popular_vote21,528,756
percentage238.04%
swing29.61%
map_image
map_caption

Republican Democratic

The 2010 United States House of Representatives Elections in Florida were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Florida in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013. Florida had twenty-five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census, but would soon gain two more congressional seats in 2012.

A large majority of the incumbents sought re-election on November 2, and only the 12th district and the 17th district were open races. Upon the resignation of Robert Wexler, a special election was held in April to determine the new representative of 19th district. The winner of that race was Ted Deutch of the Democratic Party, who sought re-election on November 2.

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1170,82180.00%00.00%42,70520.00%213,526100.00%Republican hold
**District 2****136,371****53.60%****105,211****41.35%****12,856****5.05%****254,438****100.00%****Republican gain**
District 350,93233.89%94,74463.03%4,6253.08%150,301100.00%Democratic hold
District 4178,23877.21%00.00%52,60722.79%230,845100.00%Republican hold
District 5208,81567.43%100,85832.57%00.00309,673100.00%Republican hold
District 6179,34971.46%00.00%71,63228.54%250,981100.00%Republican hold
District 7185,47069.03%83,20630.97%00.00%268,676100.00%Republican hold
**District 8****123,586****56.11%****84,167****38.22%****12,491****5.67%****220,244****100.00%****Republican gain**
District 9165,43371.43%66,15828.57%00.00%231,591100.00%Republican hold
District 10137,94365.92%71,31334.08%00.00%209,256100.00%Republican hold
District 1161,81740.37%91,32859.63%00.00%153,145100.00%Democratic hold
District 12102,70448.14%87,76941.14%22,85710.72%213,330100.00%Republican hold
District 13183,81168.86%83,12331.14%00.00%266,934100.00%Republican hold
District 14188,34168.56%74,52527.13%11,8254.31%274,691100.00%Republican hold
District 15157,07964.73%85,59535.27%00.00%242,674100.00%Republican hold
District 16162,28566.85%80,32733.09%1510.06%242,763100.00%Republican hold
District 1700.00%106,36186.21%17,00913.79%123,370100.00%Democratic hold
District 18102,36068.89%46,23531.11%00.00%148,595100.00%Republican hold
District 1978,73337.30%132,09862.59%2280.11%211,059100.00%Democratic hold
District 2063,84538.10%100,78760.15%2,9381.75%167,570100.00%Democratic hold
District 21Republican hold
**District 22****118,890****54.36%****99,804****45.64%****0****0.00%****218,694****100.00%****Republican gain**
District 2326,41420.88%100,06679.12%00.00%126,480100.00%Democratic hold
**District 24****146,129****59.64%****98,787****40.31%****115****0.05%****245,031****100.00%****Republican gain**
District 2574,85952.15%61,13842.59%7,5565.26%143,553100.00%Republican hold
Total3,004,22558.71%1,853,60036.22%259,5955.07%5,117,420100.00%

District 1

Miller:
Race details

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 2

Southerland:
Boyd:
Democratic incumbent Allen Boyd ran for reelection, facing Republican nominee businessman Steve Southerland. Independent candidates Paul C. McKain and Dianne Berryhill were also on the ballot, and Ray Netherwood qualified as a write-in candidate.

In addition, Green Party candidate Steve Wilkie did not qualify for the congressional election.

Boyd won the Democratic primary against State Senate Democratic Leader Alfred Lawson, Jr. Southerland won the Republican primary against Eddie Hendry, Ron McNeil, Barbara F. Olschner and David Scholl. Southerland went on to unseat Boyd in the general election following, among other issues, voter discontent with the incumbent for his support of the policies of the President.

The district, which includes Tallahassee, voted 54%–45% for John McCain in 2008. Race details

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredAllen Boyd (D)Steve Southerland (R)
The Hill/ANGAOctober 16–19, 201038%**50%**
Voter Survey ServiceOctober 14–17, 201038%**50%**
National ResearchSeptember 29–30, 201030%**46%**
Tarrance Group†April 12–13, 201037%**52%**

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 3

Brown:
Yost:

Race details

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 4

Crenshaw:

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 5

Nugent:
This was an open seat, as Republican incumbent Ginny Brown-Waite retired, citing health reasons. Hernando County Sheriff Rich Nugent won the Republican primary to face Democratic businessman Jim Piccillo (, PVS, FEC), a former Republican and political novice. Nugent defeated Piccillo in the general election.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 6

Stearns:
Republican incumbent Cliff Stearns has held this seat since 1989. He was challenged by Independent candidate Steve Schonberg (campaign site, PVS).

Stearns won against Don Browning (campaign site, PVS) in the Republican primary.

On October 19, 2009, the Florida Whig Party announced that John Annarumma would be their nominee, but he later dropped out. Stearns won the general election with 71% of the vote.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 7

Mica:
Republican incumbent John Mica has held this district since 1993, and ran for re-election. He was challenged by Democratic nominee Palm Coast Navy veteran and nonprofit CEO Heather Beaven (campaign site, PVS, FEC).

Both Mica and Beaven ran unopposed in their respective primary elections. Peter Silva (campaign site) dropped out earlier. 2008 candidate Faye Armitage considered re-running, but decided against it.

Florida Whig Party candidate Stephen J. Bacon (campaign site) also ran. Mica was easily reelected.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 8

Webster:

Grayson ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Webster defeated Ross Bieling; Dan Fanelli, a former pilot; State Representative Kurt Kelly; 2008 GOP candidate Todd Long; Bruce O'Donoghue, businessman; and Patricia Sullivan, GOP activist.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredAlan Grayson (D)Daniel Webster (R)Other
Voter Survey ServiceOctober 22–25, 201041%**48%**5%
OnMessage, Inc.October, 201030%**46%**-
Voter Survey ServiceSeptember 25–27, 201036%**43%**11%
Public Policy PollingAugust 23–25, 2010**40%**27%23%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 9

Bilirakis: Republican Gus Bilirakis ran for re-election, having first won election in 2007 to replace his father, Michael Bilirakis, who had served the previous 23 years. Anita dePalma (campaign site, PVS) defeated Phil Hindahl (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary election. Bilirakis was reelected with 71% of the vote.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 10

Republican incumbent Bill Young was challenged by Democratic nominee State Senator Charlie Justice. Martin Rokicki qualified to run as a write-in candidate.

Young, who has represented this district since 1971 and is currently the longest-serving Republican in the House, ran unopposed in the Republican primary, local tea party activist Eric Forcade having withdrawn. Justice also ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Young was reelected to a 21st term.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 11

Castor:
Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor was challenged by Republican nominee Mike Prendergast (campaign site, PVS). Castor has held the seat since 2006. Castor was reelected with 60% of the vote.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 12

Ross:
Edwards: This was an open seat as Republican incumbent Adam Putnam ran for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture. Democratic nominee Polk County Elections Supervisor Lori Edwards (campaign site, PVS), Republican nominee former State Representative Dennis Ross (campaign site, PVS), and Tea Party nominee Polk County Commissioner Randy Wilkinson (campaign site, PVS) were on the general election ballot.

Edwards won against retired United States Navy chief Doug Tudor (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary. Ross won against John W. Lindsey, Jr. in the Republican primary. Wilkinson ran unopposed.

Ross won the general election with 48% of the vote; Edwards garnered 41%, and 11% of the voters chose Wilkinson.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredDennis Ross (R)Lori Edwards (D)Randy Wilkinson (T)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research†July 26–28, 201032%**35%**20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research†November 17–19, 200942%**46%**-

†Internal poll commissioned for Edwards campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 13

Buchanan:
Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan successfully ran for reelection, challenged by Democratic nominee The Reverend James T. Golden (campaign site, PVS).

Buchanan won against Don Baldauf (campaign site, PVS) in the Republican primary. Golden won against Rick Eaton (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 14

Mack:
Republican incumbent Connie Mack was challenged by Democratic nominee Jim Roach (campaign site, PVS) and Independent William Maverick Saint Claire (PVS). Mack was reelected in the general election.

In 2008, McCain won 57% of the vote.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 15

Posey:
First term Republican incumbent Bill Posey was reelected, defeating Democratic nominee former NASA executive and public administrator Shannon Roberts (campaign site, PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primary elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 16

Rooney:
First term Republican incumbent Tom Rooney ran for re-election, challenged by Democratic nominee Jim Horn (campaign site, PVS). William Dean has qualified as a write-in candidate. Rooney prevailed in the general election.

Rooney ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Horn won against Ed Tautiva (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary. St. Lucie County Commissioner Christopher Craft dropped out on March 26, 2010.

Rooney's predecessor Tim Mahoney, and Mahoney's predecessor Mark Foley, were both involved in scandals.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 17

Wilson:
This was an open seat, as Democratic incumbent Kendrick Meek ran for the U.S. Senate. Democratic nominee State Senator Frederica Wilson ran against Independent attorney Roderick D. Vereen (campaign site, PVS).

Wilson won the Democratic primary, running against community activist and executive director of FANM (Haitian Women of Miami) Marleine Bastien (campaign site, PVS), former State Representative Phillip Brutus, State Representative James Bush III, North Miami Councilman Scott Galvin (campaign site, PVS), Miami Gardens Mayor Shirley Gibson (campaign site, PVS), physician Rudy Moise (campaign site, PVS), State Representative Yolly Roberson, and Miami Gardens City Councilman and attorney Andre Williams (campaign site, PVS). The Miami Herald newspaper endorsed Shirley Gibson in the Democratic primary.

Teacher Corey Poitier was the lone announced Republican candidate, but he dropped out.

Wilson won 86.2% of the vote in the general election.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 18

Ros-Lehtinen: Republican incumbent Ileana Ros-Lehtinen had held this seat since 1989, and was challenged by Rolando A. Banciella (campaign site, PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primaries. Ros-Lehtinen won the general election.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 19

Deutch: Democrat Robert Wexler resigned on January 3, 2010, to become president of the Washington-based Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation. His seat was filled by Ted Deutch, the winner of a special election, held on April 13. Deutch faced Joe Budd (campaign site, PVS), running unopposed in the Republican primary, along with write-in candidate Stan Smilan (campaign site) in the general election. Deutsch was easily re-elected.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 20

Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz was challenged by Republican nominee businesswoman Karen Harrington (campaign site, PVS) of Davie. Independents Stanley Blumenthal (campaign site, PVS) and Bob Kunst (campaign site, PVS) were also running. Florida Whig Party candidate Clayton Schock (campaign site) ran as a write-in. Wasserman Schultz was re-elected.

Wasserman Schultz ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Harrington won against businessman Robert Lowry (campaign site, PVS) of Hollywood, and trans woman Donna Milo (campaign site, PVS).

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 21

This district was an open election, as Republican incumbent Lincoln Diaz-Balart was retiring. His brother Mario Diaz-Balart, current Representative of the 25th District, ran unopposed for this seat on November 2, 2010.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 22

Democratic incumbent Ron Klein was seeking re-election in this Palm Beach-Broward County district, and was challenged and defeated by Republican nominee Allen West, the former military officer whom Klein defeated 55–45 in 2008.

Klein defeated Paul Renneisen (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary. West defeated David Brady (campaign site, PVS) in the Republican primary.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredRon Klein (D)Allen West (R)
Voter Survey ServiceOctober 17–19, 201044%**47%**
Harstad Strategic Research†align centerSeptember 20–22, 2010**48%**43%
Wilson Research Strategies†September 20–22, 201042%**48%**
Anzalone Research†September 14–16, 2010**48%**40%
Wilson Research Strategies†April 18–19, 201042%**44%**

†Internal poll (Wilson Research Strategies for West and Anzalone Research and Harstad Strategic Research for Klein)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 23

Hastings:
Sansaricq: Democratic incumbent Alcee Hastings has held this seat since 1993 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee Bernard Sansaricq (campaign site, PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primary elections. Hastings was reelected by a wide margin.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 24

Adams:
Democratic incumbent Suzanne Kosmas was challenged and defeated by Republican nominee Sandy Adams. Green Party nominee Nicholas Ruiz III, PhD., qualified as a write-in candidate.

Kosmas defeated former Winter Springs Mayor Paul Partyka in the Democratic primary. Adams defeated Karen Diebel, Tom Garcia, Deon Long and Craig Miller in the Republican primary.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredSuzanne Kosmas (D)Sandra Adams (R)
Mclaughlin & AssociatesSeptember 22–23, 201039%**49%**
1=[Hamilton Campaigns](https://web.archive.org/web/20071205125111/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/FLPoll.htm#2nd)}}†September 22–23, 2010**45%**43%
Public Opinion StrategiesAugust 31-September 1, 201037%**49%**
Hamilton Campaigns†August, 201043%**49%**

†Internal poll for Kosmas campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

District 25

Republican incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart held this district since 2003 but on February 11, 2010, announced that he would not seek another term in the 25th district but would instead run for his brother's seat in the 21st District of Florida. Republican nominee State Representative David Rivera, Democratic nominee Joe Garcia, Tea Party nominee Roly Arrojo (PVS), and Florida Whig Party nominee Craig Porter (campaign site, PVS) were running. Rivera prevailed in the general election.

Rivera defeated Mariana 'Marili' Cancio (campaign site, PVS) and Paul Crespo (campaign site , PVS) in the Republican primary. Garcia defeated Luis Meurice (campaign site, PVS) in the Democratic primary. Arrojo and Porter were unopposed in their respective primaries.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredDavid Rivera (R)Joe Garcia (D)
Voter Survey ServiceOctober 29, 2010**44%**40%
Voter Survey ServiceOctober 25–26, 2010**44%**43%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner†September 12–19, 201033%**40%**
Benenson Strategy Group†March 24–27, 201035%**38%**

†Internal poll for Garcia campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

References

References

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  25. {{usurped
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  27. {{usurped
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