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2010 Slovak parliamentary election

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FieldValue
countrySlovakia
typeparliamentary
previous_election2006 Slovak parliamentary election
previous_year2006
next_election2012 Slovak parliamentary election
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 150 seats in the National Council
majority_seats76
election_date12 June 2010
turnout58.65% ( 3.98 pp)
image_size130x130px
image1Dmitry Medvedev in Slovakia 7 April 2010-14 (cropped).jpeg
leader1Robert Fico
party1Direction – Social Democracy
last_election150 seats, 29.1%
seats162
seat_change112
popular_vote1880,111
percentage134.8%
swing15.7 pp
image2Iveta Radicova (dec. 2010).jpg
leader2Iveta Radičová
party2Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party
last_election231 seats, 18.4%
seats228
seat_change23
popular_vote2390,042
percentage215.42%
swing22.9 pp
image3Richard Sulík (cropped).jpg
leader3Richard Sulík
party3Freedom and Solidarity
last_election3*Did not exist*
seats322
seat_change3*New*
popular_vote3307,287
percentage312.1%
swing3*New*
image4Ján Figeľ 2010 (cropped).jpg
leader4Ján Figeľ
party4Christian Democratic Movement
last_election414 seats, 8.3%
seats415
seat_change41
popular_vote4215,755
percentage48.5%
swing40.2 pp
image5Béla Bugár (cropped).jpg
leader5Béla Bugár
party5Most–Híd
last_election5*Did not exist*
seats514
seat_change5*New*
popular_vote5205,538
percentage58.1%
swing5*New*
image6Žilina P6112384 (cropped).jpg
leader6Ján Slota
party6Slovak National Party
last_election620 seats, 11.7%
seats69
seat_change611
popular_vote6128,490
percentage65.1%
swing66.7 pp
map_image2010 Slovak legislative election - Vote Strength.svg
map_captionResults of the election, showing vote strength by district.
titlePrime Minister
before_electionRobert Fico
after_electionIveta Radičová
before_partyDirection – Social Democracy
after_partySlovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party

Parliamentary elections were held in Slovakia on 12 June 2010. The elections were contested by eighteen parties, six of which passed the 5% threshold for sitting in parliament. Despite the incumbent Smer of Prime Minister Robert Fico winning a plurality, the new government consisted of a coalition led by the Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party's Iveta Radičová and included KDH, SaS and Most-Hid. However, her government fell on 11 October 2011 following a vote of no confidence with a new election called for 10 March 2012.

Background

A total of 2,401 candidates applied to contest the 150 seats.

Polls in February 2010 had indicated that the current governing party Smer-SD (Direction – Social Democracy) would win a plurality with a margin of 25%. However the five opposition right-wing parties – the Slovak Democratic and Christian Union (SDKÚ-DS), the Christian Democratic Movement (KDH), the Party of the Hungarian Coalition (SMK-MKP), Most–Híd, and Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) – could together gain a majority. There were conflicting reports during the campaign as to whether some of these parties would consider joining with Fico. During pre-election campaigning, reports indicated that the "Christian Democrats and the two ethnic Hungarian parties had not ruled out working with Fico." Rumours were reported that prime minister Robert Fico might have secretly agreed not to enter a coalition with the Slovak nationalists again, unless he had no other choice. A later poll by of the Czech News Agency suggested that the governing coalition would lose its majority, and that one of Fico's allies (HZDS) would struggle with the 5% barrier.

Participating parties

PartyIdeologyPolitical positionLeader
Direction – Social Democracy}}"Direction – Social Democracy (Smer–SD)Social democracy
Left-wing populismCentre-left
Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party}}"Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party (SDKÚ–DS)Liberal conservatism
Christian democracyCentre-right
Freedom and Solidarity}}"Freedom and Solidarity (SaS)Liberalism
Right-libertarianismCentre-right
Christian Democratic Movement}}"Christian Democratic Movement (KDH)Christian democracy
Social conservatismCentre-right
Most–Híd}}"Bridge (Most–Híd)Hungarian minority interests
Christian democracyCentre-right
Slovak National Party}}"Slovak National Party (SNS)Ultranationalism
Right-wing populismFar-right

Campaign

During the parliamentary elections the SDKÚ-DS ran on a platform of fiscal discipline and pledging to reinvigorate the economy.

Opinion polls

According to polling agency Focus in May 2010, eight parties would cross the 5% threshold needed for participation in parliament.

PartyJanuary 2010February 2010March 2010April 2010May 2010June 2010
Direction – Social Democracy41.4%38.6%38.4%36.8%35.3%29.5%
Slovak National Party6.2%6.2%6.3%8.6%6.1%7.7%
People's Party – Movement for a Democratic Slovakia6.5%5.8%5.4%5.4%5.1%5%
Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party15.2%11.3%14.3%13.6%14%12.1%
Freedom and Solidarity5.1%9.6%8.6%11.5%13.3%12.4%
Christian Democratic Movement9.0%9.6%9.7%8.6%8.3%9.2%
Most–Híd5.2%5.6%6.9%5.1%5.6%6.5%
Party of the Hungarian Coalition5.6%5.1%5.2%5.1%5.9%5.2%

According to a poll of the Institute of public affairs (IVO) the voter participation would be about 50 to 60%.

Results

Results by region

RegionSmer-SDSDKÚ-DSSaSKDHMost-HídSNSSMK/MKPĽS-HZDSSDĽĽSNSOther partiesDirection – Slovak Social Democracy}};"Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party}}Freedom and Solidarity}}Most–Híd}}Slovak National Party}}Party of the Hungarian Community}}Party of the Democratic Left (Slovakia, 2005)}}People's Party Our Slovakia}}
Bratislava Region25.11**27.58**18.037.998.253.850.952.692.040.64
Trnava Region**26.98**13.6810.887.0918.183.6710.283.271.980.89
Trenčín Region**44.78**12.9712.637.971.417.110.025.932.781.09
Nitra Region**30.70**11.819.125.2517.264.4412.903.161.931.03
Žilina Region**42.45**12.6112.7510.981.409.070.024.362.590.93
Banská Bystrica Region**35.15**14.2212.685.447.185.065.415.402.792.18
Prešov Region**41.68**13.669.9114.971.673.750.054.592.602.08
Košice Region**31.61**16.0711.028.1610.133.645.315.362.601.79
Total in Slovakia**34.80**15.4212.158.538.135.084.334.332.421.33
Cities**32.46**19.6815.037.987.204.622.433.562.391.34
Villages**37.64**10.208.629.199.255.636.655.262.441.32

File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 SMER.png|SMER File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 SDKUDS.png|SDKÚ-DS File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 SaS.png|SaS File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 KDH.png|KDH File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 MostHid.png|Most-Híd File:Results Slovak parliament elections 2010 SNS.png|SNS

New government

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Fico's Direction – Social Democracy (Smer) party increased its seat share by 12 to 62. However, Fico faced an uphill battle to remain prime minister, as his coalition partners were decimated. The Slovak National Party barely passed the 5% vote threshold required for parliamentary representation while losing 11 of their 20 seats, while the People's Party – Movement for a Democratic Slovakia was shut out of the chamber altogether. Despite the setback, Fico said that he wanted to try to form a cabinet even though his leftist coalition could only command 71 of the 150 parliament seats and would thus force the need for at least one of the opposing centre-right parties. This has been described as an unlikely, but possible, occurrence, because opposition parties stated during the election that they would not enter government with Fico. One analyst said that he "strictly rule[d] out that any of the centre-right parties could team up with Smer."

The Slovak President, Ivan Gasparovic, asked Fico to attempt to form a government stating that "I believe that the party that won such support from the people deserves the chance."

The second placed Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party had coalition talks with the Christian Democratic Movement, Freedom and Solidarity and Most–Híd. On 16 June it was reported that the four opposition parties which had won seats in the parliament had agreed to form a government under the leadership of Radičová.

An agreement on the distribution of ministries was reached on 28 June 2010. Radičová was then sworn in as PM on 8 July 2010, after her coalition (comprising SDKU, KDH, SaS and Most-Hid) secured a majority of 79 seats in the 150-seat parliament and Fico and his cabinet tendered their resignations. The new government pledged to cut state spending and the budget deficit and to attract more foreign investment, while steering clear of tax rises. "We are ready to take responsibility over the country at a time when it is coping with the impact of a deep economic crisis and the irresponsible decisions of our political predecessors." They have also sought, through Most-Hid, to rebuild links with Hungary that were badly damaged by the adoption of contentious language and citizenship laws.

Fall of government

On 11 October 2011, parliament voted to approve the expansion of the European Financial Stability Fund on the grounds, according to the Freedom and Solidarity, that Slovakia, the second poorest eurozone country, should not bailout richer countries such as Greece and for bank re-capitalisation. As Slovakia was the last eurozone country to vote on the measure, Radičová made it a no confidence vote. The measure then failed by 21 votes after both Freedom and Solidarity and Smer abstained. However, another vote was expected with Smer rumoured to support it should there be a new election and more stringent terms. Smer came to an agreement with the governing coalition to support the measure in what Fico called "the most important document of this period." He also explained the first round rejection of the measure as "saying 'no' to a rightist government, but we're saying 'yes' to the rescue fund." As per the agreement between the two parties, Minister of Foreign and European Affairs Mikulas Dzurinda said that a snap election had been called: "We decided that as the first point of [Thursday's] parliamentary session, we will work on a proposal to shorten the voting period, with the goal of organising an election on 10 March. Immediately after [13 October or 14 October] we will debate proposals related to the EFSF."

Notes

References

References

  1. (2 February 2010). "Slovakia's parliamentary elections set for June 12". The Slovak Spectator.
  2. "Voľby do Národnej rady Slovenskej republiky". Volbysr.sk.
  3. "Radio Slovakia International". Rozhlas.sk.
  4. "Radio Slovakia International". Rozhlas.sk.
  5. posten. "Premier fürchtet um Regierungsmehrheit".
  6. (14 April 2010). "Corruption rife, but fails to rile Slovak voters".
  7. (7 May 2010). "Business finance news – currency market news – online UK currency markets – financial news – Interactive Investor". Iii.co.uk.
  8. posten. (22 May 2010). "Regierungskoalition in Umfragen ohne Mehrheit".
  9. "FOCUS". Focus-research.sk.
  10. (13 June 2010). "Slovakia's leftist leader wins Pyrrhic victory as right claims majority". Deutsche Welle.
  11. Bednarikova, Tatiana. (13 June 2010). "Slovak president taps leftist premier to form government".
  12. (13 June 2010). "Slovak right wins vote and look set to oust leftist PM". Reuters.
  13. (October 2011)
  14. (29 June 2010). "Coalition parties agree on ministries and SaS presiding over parliament". The Slovak Spectator.
  15. (8 July 2010). "Slovak president appoints liberal Radicova as PM".
  16. (16 June 2010). "Slovak right backs Radičová to lead cabinet". EurActiv.
  17. (8 July 2010). "Sociologist Iveta Radicova becomes Slovakia's first female prime minister". Istockanalyst.com.
  18. (7 July 2010). "Fri, Jul 9, 2010 – Sociologist Iveta Radicova becomes Slovakia's first female prime minister". The Irish Times.
  19. Rob Cameron. (11 October 2011). "Slovakia votes down eurozone bailout expansion plans".
  20. "Slovak lawmakers reject eurozone's revamped EFSF rescue fund". Bangkok Post.
  21. (12 October 2011). "Slovak rivals reach deal to back EU bailout fund".
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