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2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
countryNew Hampshire
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
previous_year2008
next_election2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image1File:John Lynch (cropped).jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee1**John Lynch**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**239,390**
percentage1**52.63%**
image23x4.svgnominee2 = John Stephen
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2205,433
percentage245.03%
map{{switcher
map_caption**Lynch:**
**Stephen:**
***Tie:***
titleGovernor
before_electionJohn Lynch
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionJohn Lynch
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|x245px |County results |x245px |Municipality results}} Stephen:

Tie:

The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth and final term.

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove). After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Lynch, incumbent Governor
  • Timothy Robertson, state representative
  • Frank Sullivan

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
  • Jack Kimball, businessman
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner
  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist

Declined

  • Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire Attorney General
  • Frank Guinta, Mayor of Manchester
  • Chuck Morse, former State Senator
  • John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJack
KimballJohn
StephenKaren
Testerman
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–12, 201024%**45%**8%
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–25, 201015%**26%**5%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–18, 201010%**29%**15%

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

  • John Babiarz, Libertarian
  • John Lynch, Democratic
  • John Stephen, Republican

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredJohn
Lynch (D)John
Stephen (R)
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 27, 2010**51%**45%
WMUR/UNHOctober 7–12, 2010**51%**38%
American Research GroupOctober 3–5, 2010**51%**41%
Granite State PollOctober 1, 2010**51%**34%
American Research GroupSeptember 22–26, 2010**42%**40%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15, 2010**48%**46%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–12, 2010**51%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 5, 2010**50%**39%
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–25, 2010**51%**34%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 26, 2010**47%**35%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–18, 2010**47%**36%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 7, 2010**47%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 8, 2010**50%**35%
Granite State PollJanuary 27-February 3, 2010**50%**30%

With Kimball

Poll SourceDates AdministeredJohn
Lynch (D)Jack
Kimball (R)
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–25, 2010**52%**29%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 26, 2010**50%**31%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–18, 2010**47%**35%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 7, 2010**50%**34%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 8, 2010**51%**32%
Research 2000February 1–3, 2010**59%**13%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 12, 2010**51%**32%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 14, 2009**52%**31%

With Morse

Poll SourceDates AdministeredJohn
Lynch (D)Chuck
Morse (R)
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 14, 2009**51%**29%

With Sununu

Poll SourceDates AdministeredJohn
Lynch (D)John
Sununu (R)
Granite State PollSeptember 25-October 2, 2009**50%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 14, 2009**48%**43%

With Testerman

Poll SourceDates AdministeredJohn
Lynch (D)Karen
Testerman (R)
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–25, 2010**52%**28%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 26, 2010**51%**32%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–18, 2010**47%**29%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 7, 2010**50%**33%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 8, 2010**54%**28%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 12, 2010**53%**30%

Results

By county

2014 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county)CountyJohn Lynch
DemocraticJohn Stephen
RepublicanOther votes#%#%#%
Belknap**11,021****48.7%**11,00848.7%5802.6%
Carroll**10,003****49.2%**9,89548.7%4132.1%
Cheshire**15,429****59.0%**10,08238.6%6242.4%
Coös**5,699****53.8%**4,59043.3%3062.9%
Grafton**18,618****59.3%**11,89837.9%8942.8%
Hillsborough**65,183****49.9%**62,70448.0%2,7042.1%
Merrimack**31,929****58.0%**21,54839.2%1,5502.8%
Rockingham51,71448.4%**53,049****49.6%**2,1932.0%
Strafford**22,807****59.4%**14,63938.1%9792.5%
Sullivan**7,943****54.7%**6,20342.7%3832.7%

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

  • Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)

References

References

  1. "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM.
  2. (April 23, 2010). "Lynch Leads All Republicans for Re-election in N.H.". Public Policy Polling.
  3. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf {{Dead link. (February 2022)
  4. (April 18, 2010). "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com.
  5. (September 14, 2010). "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico.
  6. John Distaso. (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader.
  7. "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com.
  8. "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com.
  9. (2010-07-29). "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com.
  10. (May 27, 2010). "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com.
  11. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_912907.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  12. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_728.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  13. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_421.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  14. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  15. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  16. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  17. (October 28, 2010). "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  18. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  19. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/election_2010_new_hampshire_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  20. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101105043035/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2010_gov101810.pdf WMUR/UNH]
  21. [http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/nhgov10/ American Research Group]
  22. [https://web.archive.org/web/20111208132212/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_fall_govapp100110.pdf Granite State Poll]
  23. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_new_hampshire_governor_september_15_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  24. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  25. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_2010_new_hampshire_governor_august_5_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  26. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_729.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  27. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/election_2010_new_hampshire_governor/ Rasmussen Reports]
  28. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  29. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_2010_new_hampshire_governor_april_7_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  30. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_2010_new_hampshire_governor_march_8_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  31. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100215175443/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_winter_govapp20910.pdf Granite State Poll]
  32. [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/2/23/NH/440 Research 2000]
  33. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_2010_new_hampshire_governor_january_12_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  34. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_2010_new_hampshire_governor_september_14_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
  35. [http://lcvonlinenews.blogspot.com/2009/10/governor-new-hampshire-2010.html Granite State Poll]
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