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2010 Michigan gubernatorial election

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2010 Michigan gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Michigan gubernatorial election
countryMichigan
typepresidential
ongoingno
turnout42.9% 7.8
previous_election2006 Michigan gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
next_election2014 Michigan gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image1File:Rick Snyder.jpg
nominee1**Rick Snyder**
party1Republican Party (United States)
running_mate1**Brian Calley**
popular_vote1**1,874,834**
percentage1**58.11%**
image2File:March 24th, 2011 Student Rally, Lansing MI (01) (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee2Virg Bernero
party2Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate2Brenda Lawrence
popular_vote21,287,320
percentage239.90%
map_caption**Synder:**
**Bernero:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionJennifer Granholm
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionRick Snyder
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
map{{switcher

Bernero:
Tie: |300px |County results |[[File:2010 Michigan gubernatorial election.svg|300px]] |Precinct results}} The 2010 Michigan gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm and lieutenant governor John D. Cherry were prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadline passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans. Both the Cook Political Report and the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rated the election as leaning Republican.

The Republican primary race was highly competitive; both local and national polling reported Congressman Pete Hoekstra, state Attorney General Mike Cox, and businessman Rick Snyder as being front-runners for the Republican Party nomination. The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010. The final polls just days before the primary election showed that, while Lansing mayor Virg Bernero was in the lead, over a quarter of those polled were still undecided. The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 PM on May 11, 2010.

A total of 1,575,167 registered voters voted in the primaries, with 66.4% of them voting in the Republican primary. Analysts believe a large portion of Democrats crossed party lines to vote for Snyder, whose ad campaign targeted bipartisan and independent support. In Michigan, voters may vote in either primary regardless of their political affiliation, but can only vote for one party. Ballots with split tickets are not counted in partisan races. Both races came in more disparate than predicted. Snyder won with a near 10-point lead over closest rival Pete Hoekstra, and Bernero won with an even larger 17-point lead over early favorite state house speaker Andy Dillon. Both nominees portrayed themselves as political outsiders. On August 25, Snyder appointed State Representative Brian Calley as his running mate. On August 28, Bernero appointed Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence as his running mate.

Snyder won a decisive victory over Bernero in the general election, winning by nearly 20 percentage points. , this was the last time the counties of Ingham, Marquette, Eaton, Saginaw, Bay, and Muskegon voted for the Republican candidate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Virg Bernero, Mayor of Lansing
  • Andy Dillon, Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives

Withdrew

  • Robert Bowman, former Michigan treasurer (ended exploratory bid on February 15, 2010)
  • John D. Cherry, Lieutenant Governor (ended exploratory bid on January 5, 2010)
  • Hansen Clarke, member of the Michigan Senate (ended bid on January 15, 2010; ran for Congress instead)
  • John Freeman, former member of the Michigan House of Representatives (ended bid on January 11, 2010)
  • Dan Kildee, former Genesee County Treasurer (ended exploratory bid on March 5, 2010)
  • Alma Wheeler Smith, member of the Michigan House of Representatives (ended exploratory bid on May 10, 2010)
  • Geoffrey Fieger, attorney and nominee for governor in 1998

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn D. CherryAndy DillonGeorge PerlesJohn FreemanAlma Wheeler SmithDan KildeeVirg Bernero
EPIC-MRAJuly 28, 2010--32%--------**40%**
EPIC-MRAJune 12–15, 2010--**34%**--------24%
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 2010--23%--------**26%**
EPIC-MRAMay 22–26, 2010--**29%**--------23%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 22, 2010--**13%**----9%--12%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24, 2010--**12%**----10%--8%
Denno-Noor ResearchMarch 3–5, 2010--**13%**----6%6%11%
EPIC-MRAFebruary 22–25, 2010--**17%**----7%12%8%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111204105344/http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20091122/NEWS06/911220488/1001/News/Poll-shows-Michigan-voters-lack-enthusiasm-for-party-politics&template=fullarticledate=December 4, 2011 }}November 12–17, 2009**20%**6%6%2%2%----
EPIC-MRAOctober 11–15, 2009**33%**--3%2%5%----
Marketing Resource GroupSeptember 12–20, 2009**40%**----9%8%----

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocraticKey:
Participant Absent Not invited Invited WithdrawnDemocratic Party (US)}}"Democratic Party (US)}}"Virg BerneroAndy Dillon1
Jun. 21, 2010WOOD-TVSuzanne Geha
Brian Sterling[C-SPAN](https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/michigan-gubernatorial-democratic-primary-debate/226627)

Results

Results by county

| | | | ]]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Bouchard, Sheriff of Oakland County and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2006
  • Mike Cox, Michigan Attorney General
  • Tom George, state senator
  • Pete Hoekstra, U.S. representative
  • Rick Snyder, businessman

Withdrew

  • David Kniffen, businessman
  • Terri Lynn Land, Michigan Secretary of State (became Bouchard's running mate)
  • Tim Rujan, Huron County Commissioner (failed to qualify)

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMike CoxPete HoekstraMike BouchardRick SnyderTom GeorgeDavid Kniffen
EPIC-MRAJuly 29, 201024%23%10%**26%**1%--
Detroit News 4/WDIVJuly 18, 2010**26.4%**25.6%11.6%20.2%1.8%--
EPIC-MRAJune 12–15, 2010**26%**24%16%20%2%--
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 201017%19%15%**20%**9%--
EPIC-MRAMay 22–26, 201018%**30%**16%17%2%--
Rasmussen ReportsApril 22, 201013%**28%**9%14%----
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 30, 201013%**27%**6%18%----
Marketing Research GroupMarch 10–15, 2010**21%****21%**10%20%1%-
Denno-Noor ResearchMarch 3–5, 201012%**28%**8%18%2%--
EPIC-MRAFebruary 22–25, 201021%**27%**10%12%1%--
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNovember 17–19, 2009**27%**24%12%3%3%--
Detroit Free PressNovember 12–17, 200915%**21%**13%5%3%--
EPIC-MRAOctober 11–15, 200928%**29%**--14%3%2%
Marketing Resource GroupSeptember 12–20, 2009**27%**23%15%------
Marketing Resource GroupMarch 4–10, 200915%17%--------

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanKey:
Participant Absent Not invited Invited WithdrawnRepublican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Mike BouchardMike CoxTom GeorgePete HoekstraRick Snyder12
Jul. 13, 2010WDIV-TVDevin Scillian[C-SPAN](https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/michigan-gubernatorial-republican-primary-debate/228184)
Jul. 24, 2010WOOD-TVSusan Shaw
Brian Sterling[C-SPAN](https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/michigan-gubernatorial-republican-primary-debate/226855)

Results

Results by county

| |{{legend|#ffccd0|Snyder— |{{legend|#ffccaa|Hoekstra— | | |{{legend|#e9ddaf|Cox— | ]]

Other parties

Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections. The Natural Law Party also has automatic ballot access in Michigan, but chose not to run a candidate for governor in 2010.

Libertarian Party candidates

The Libertarian Party of Michigan nominee was Kenneth Proctor. The nomination was won at the Michigan Libertarian Convention held in Okemos, Michigan on Saturday, May 22, in accordance with Michigan state law. He beat out Bhagwan Dashairya, who had been the 2006 U.S. Taxpayers Party nominee for governor. The delegates ended up selecting Dashairya as the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Congress in District 8.

Proctor's running mate was Dr. Erwin Haas, Maryland of Grand Rapids. Haas received the Lt. Governor nomination unanimously.

Green Party candidates

The Green Party of Michigan held their statewide nominating convention July 31 and August 1 in Lansing, and nominated Harley Mikkelson for governor and Lynn Meadows for lieutenant governor.

U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates

The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing. In a nearly unanimous vote, Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor.

According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia's agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority."

The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia's website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."

General election

Debates

On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by WXYZ-TV, WWJ (AM) and Crain's Detroit Business. Then in early September, Bernero offered Snyder a deal of eight debates. Snyder proposed a counter-offer of three debates, which Bernero refused. A Detroit Free Press editorial was critical of Snyder for not agreeing to debates. Bernero called Snyder a wimp for not agreeing to debate him. An impromptu debate developed after Bernero crashed a town hall meeting Snyder was hosting in Westland on September 13. The two sides agreed to an hour-long televised debate, broadcast on October 10 from the studios of WTVS in Wixom. A group of Detroit clergy invited the two major party candidates to a debate there on October 21. Only Bernero accepted the invitation.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredVirg
Bernero (D)Rick
Snyder (R)
Detroit News/WDIV Local 4October 25–26, 201035%**53%**
Free Press/WXYZ-TV Channel 7October 23–26, 201037%**55%**
Rossman Group/Team TelComOctober 18, 201036%**50%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 17, 201034%**54%**
Mitchell ResearchOctober 10, 201029%**49%**
EPIC-MRAOctober 3–7, 201029%**49%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 20, 201038%**51%**
Public Policy PollingSeptember 17–19, 201031%**52%**
Mitchell ResearchAugust 25–29, 201026%**53%**
Detroit NewsAugust 9–10, 201032%**51%**
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 4, 201037%**49%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 10, 201030%**42%**
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 201028%**44%**
EPIC-MRAMay 22–26, 201028%**51%**
EPIC-MRAMarch 28–31, 201029%**42%**
Michigan Research GroupMarch 10–15, 201026%**42%**

Results

By county

CountyRick Snyder (R)Virg Bernero (D)OthersPercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotes
Alcona**63.4%****2,896**33.2%1,5183.4%155
Alger**54.9%****2,075**41.3%1,5593.8%143
Allegan**72.3%****26,990**25.3%9,4382.4%895
Alpena**57.1%****5,753**39.6%3,9823.3%333
Antrim**70.6%****7,295**26.6%2,7532.8%288
Arenac**64.0%****3,521**33.2%1,8252.9%159
Baraga**59.5%****1,578**37.1%9833.5%92
Barry**72.8%****15,300**25.0%5,2432.2%470
Bay**59.6%****23,622**38.2%15,1472.2%868
Benzie**62.3%****4,709**34.7%2,6252.9%222
Berrien**62.2%****28,519**35.3%16,1782.5%1,123
Branch**71.9%****9,183**25.9%3,3062.3%290
Calhoun**62.8%****25,967**35.2%14,5722.0%809
Cass**63.6%****8,879**33.4%4,6612.9%411
Charlevoix**68.8%****7,048**28.5%2,9182.8%283
Cheboygan**67.2%****6,775**29.9%3,0162.8%285
Chippewa**60.7%****7,114**36.4%4,2612.9%345
Clare**64.8%****6,078**32.2%3,0183.0%279
Clinton**65.5%****18,425**32.8%9,2391.7%466
Crawford**66.2%****3,233**30.3%1,4773.5%171
Delta**57.8%****7,558**39.2%5,1223.0%397
Dickinson**63.5%****5,910**33.7%3,1342.9%266
Eaton**59.7%****24,927**38.1%15,8992.2%921
Emmet**69.7%****9,183**27.6%3,6322.8%368
Genesee46.7%62,589**51.3%****68,708**2.0%2,635
Gladwin**64.0%****5,756**33.2%2,9862.7%247
Gogebic47.3%2,511**49.4%****2,627**3.3%176
Grand Traverse**69.6%****23,541**27.8%9,3952.6%879
Gratiot**65.6%****7,234**32.1%3,5372.3%253
Hillsdale**71.2%****10,055**26.0%3,6752.7%388
Houghton**59.9%****7,295**36.8%4,4793.3%397
Huron**69.9%****8,453**27.7%3,3472.5%297
Ingham**49.0%****43,181**48.8%42,9612.2%1,927
Ionia**72.2%****13,269**25.9%4,7541.9%358
Iosco**61.5%****5,943**35.5%3,4353.0%287
Iron**56.0%****2,516**40.6%1,8253.4%154
Isabella**61.7%****9,865**36.1%5,7762.2%345
Jackson**64.1%****31,914**34.0%16,9471.9%961
Kalamazoo**59.4%****46,823**38.7%30,4991.9%1,535
Kalkaska**70.5%****4,096**25.3%1,4674.2%245
Kent**68.9%****134,019**29.4%57,1421.8%3,448
Keweenaw**62.9%****691**34.1%3743.0%33
Lake**60.5%****2,220**36.9%1,3542.7%98
Lapeer**66.8%****19,771**30.7%9,0722.5%752
Leelanau**65.5%****7,467**32.1%3,6552.4%278
Lenawee**61.9%****19,611**35.6%11,2842.4%769
Livingston**75.0%****51,560**23.3%15,9941.7%1,147
Luce**65.9%****1,285**31.5%6152.6%50
Mackinac**65.7%****3,129**31.8%1,5112.5%119
Macomb**61.3%****164,660**36.7%98,6752.0%5,365
Manistee**60.3%****5,513**36.6%3,3523.1%282
Marquette**49.2%****10,690**47.4%10,3013.3%727
Mason**67.0%****6,871**30.7%3,1522.3%239
Mecosta**68.3%****8,079**29.5%3,4852.3%268
Menominee**57.6%****4,114**39.1%2,7973.3%234
Midland**70.1%****20,262**27.8%8,0412.1%615
Missaukee**76.7%****4,057**20.9%1,1052.4%127
Monroe**60.3%****28,911**37.4%17,9172.4%1,139
Montcalm**68.2%****12,170**29.4%5,2372.4%433
Montmorency**67.8%****2,625**28.7%1,1133.5%136
Muskegon**53.9%****27,567**44.1%22,5522.0%1,006
Newaygo**70.2%****10,503**27.4%4,1012.4%364
Oakland**60.1%****272,040**38.4%173,6151.5%6,982
Oceana**67.7%****5,710**30.2%2,5492.1%175
Ogemaw**64.4%****4,866**32.3%2,4423.3%248
Ontonagon**54.9%****1,585**40.8%1,1764.3%124
Osceola**72.1%****5,518**24.9%1,9013.0%229
Oscoda**66.8%****2,079**28.8%8964.3%135
Otsego**70.3%****6,130**26.9%2,3492.7%238
Ottawa**79.1%****71,847**19.3%17,5341.6%1,437
Presque Isle**62.5%****3,427**34.5%1,8923.0%163
Roscommon**65.1%****6,450**31.8%3,1573.1%306
Saginaw**55.7%****37,920**42.6%29,0081.7%1,159
St. Clair**66.0%****34,503**31.4%16,4252.6%1,340
St. Joseph**70.6%****10,794**27.0%4,1262.4%374
Sanilac**71.8%****9,576**25.9%3,4532.3%309
Schoolcraft**56.3%****1,787**40.5%1,2853.3%104
Shiawassee**60.9%****14,245**36.8%8,5952.3%546
Tuscola**66.1%****12,314**31.4%5,8502.4%455
Van Buren**64.1%****13,985**33.3%7,2642.7%579
Washtenaw48.4%58,029**49.9%****59,829**1.8%2,147
Wayne38.3%201,424**60.2%****316,514**1.5%7,812
Wexford**70.5%****7,251**26.3%2,7073.1%320

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Alger (largest city: Munising)
  • Alpena (largest city: Alpena)
  • Arenac (largest city: Standish)
  • Benzie (largest city: Frankfort)
  • Berrien (largest city: Niles)
  • Cass (largest city: Dowagiac)
  • Clare (largest city: Clare)
  • Clinton (largest city: St. Johns)
  • Delta (largest city: Escanaba)
  • Gladwin (largest city: Gladwin)
  • Gratiot (largest city: Alma)
  • Iosco (largest city: East Tawas)
  • Iron (largest city: Iron River)
  • Jackson (largest city: Jackson)
  • Leelanau (largest settlement: Greilickville)
  • Lenawee (largest city: Adrian)
  • Mason (largest city: Ludington)
  • Menominee (largest city: Menominee)
  • Oceana (largest city: Hart)
  • Ogemaw (largest city: West Branch)
  • Ontonagon (largest village: Ontonagon)
  • Presque Isle (largest city: Rogers City)
  • Roscommon (largest settlement: Houghton Lake)
  • Schoolcraft (largest city: Manistique)
  • St. Clair (largest city: Port Huron)
  • Bay (largest city: Bay City)
  • Calhoun (largest city: Battle Creek)
  • Eaton (largest city: Charlotte)
  • Isabella (largest city: Mount Pleasant)
  • Lake (largest village: Baldwin)
  • Manistee (largest city: Manistee)
  • Monroe (largest city: Monroe)
  • Saginaw (largest city: Saginaw)
  • Shiawassee (largest city: Owosso)
  • Van Buren (largest city: South Haven)
  • Kalamazoo (Largest city: Kalamazoo)
  • Oakland (Largest city: Troy)
  • Keweenaw (Largest city: Ahmeek)
  • Houghton (Largest city: Houghton)
  • Mackinac (Largest city: St. Ignace)
  • Dickinson (Largest city: Iron Mountain)
  • Baraga (Largest city: Baraga)
  • Chippewa (Largest city: Sault Ste. Marie)
  • Alcona (Largest city: Harrisville)
  • Tuscola (Largest city: Caro)
  • Ionia (largest city: Ionia)
  • Montcalm (Largest city: Greenville)
  • Midland (Largest city: Midland)
  • Muskegon (largest city: Muskegon)
  • Luce (Largest city: Newberry)
  • Crawford (Largest city: Grayling)
  • Berrien (largest city: Niles)
  • Lenawee (largest city: Adrian)
  • Ingham (largest city: Lansing)
  • Marquette (largest city: Marquette)

References

References

  1. "General Election Voter Registration/Turnout Statistics".
  2. "2010 Official Michigan Primary Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com.
  3. [http://www.detnews.com/article/20100105/POLITICS02/1050391/Lt.-Gov.-Cherry-won-t-run-for-governor]{{dead link. (May 2017)
  4. (2010-08-17). "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com.
  5. (2010-08-04). "Election 2010: Michigan Governor – Rasmussen Reports". Rasmussenreports.com.
  6. 1871media.com – info@1871media.com. "Poll: Cox leads Michigan governor's race". LegalNewsline.
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  9. [http://www.wwj.com/Cherry-May-Not-Seek-Governor-s-Seat/6034971] {{webarchive. link. (January 8, 2010)
  10. (2010-01-05). "John Cherry tells AP he's out of MI race". BostonHerald.com.
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  15. (2010-08-05). "Rick Snyder, Virg Bernero will test voters' opinions on organized labor, outsourcing". [[AnnArbor.com]].
  16. . (August 25, 2010). ["It's a go: Rick Snyder names Brian Calley as GOP running mate (video)"](http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/08/its_a_go_rick_snyder_names_bri.html). *MLive Media Group.*.
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  18. [http://wwj.cbslocal.com/2010/08/03/primary-election-results/]{{Dead link. (August 2010)
  19. (March 2010). "Speaker of the House Andy Dillon declares Democratic run for governor". MLive.com.
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  21. [http://www.detnews.com/article/20100115/POLITICS02/1150426/1022/State-Sen.-Hansen-Clarke-drops-out-of-governor-s-race State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race], Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
  22. [http://www.detnews.com/article/20100112/POLITICS02/1120429/1022/rss10 Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested], Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
  23. (5 March 2010). "Dan Kildee announces his withdrawal from race for Michigan governor". MLive.com.
  24. Bell, Dawson. (2010-05-10). "Rep. Wheeler Smith abandons bid for governor". Detroit Free Press.
  25. (2010-03-26). "Fieger mulling second gov run".
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  27. [http://www.freep.com/article/20100618/NEWS15/100618066/1319/Cox-leads-Republican-candidates-for-governor EPIC-MRA]
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  33. link. (December 4, 2011)
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  37. (August 2019). "Elections : Elections News and Photos". chicagotribune.com.
  38. [http://www.detnews.com/article/20090603/POLITICS02/906030408/1361/Bouchard-enters-race-for-governor]{{dead link. (May 2017)
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