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2010 Georgia gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 Georgia gubernatorial election |
| country | Georgia (U.S. state) |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2006 Georgia gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2006 |
| next_election | 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2014 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| image1 | File:Nathan Deal, official 110th Congress photo (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | **Nathan Deal** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **1,365,832** |
| percentage1 | **53.02%** |
| image2 | File:Roy Barnes concession speech (cropped).jpg |
| nominee2 | Roy Barnes |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 1,107,011 |
| percentage2 | 42.97% |
| map_image | |
| map_size | 240px |
| map_caption | **Deal:** |
| **Barnes:** | |
| **Tie:** | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Sonny Perdue |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Nathan Deal |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Barnes:
Tie:
The 2010 Georgia gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Sonny Perdue was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on July 20. Democrats nominated former governor Roy Barnes, and Republicans nominated Representative Nathan Deal following a runoff on August 10. The Libertarian Party also had ballot access and nominated John Monds. Deal won the general election, and took office on January 10, 2011.
, this was the last election in which a candidate won the governorship by double digits. This is the first gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1990 in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. This was the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was the last gubernatorial election in which Douglas, Henry, and Newton counties voted for the Republican candidate and the last in which Baker, Early, Mitchell, Peach, Clinch, Brooks, and McIntosh counties voted for the Democratic candidate.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jeff Chapman, State Senator
- Nathan Deal, U.S. representative
- Karen Handel, Secretary of State of Georgia
- Eric Johnson, former state senator
- Ray McBerry, candidate for governor in 2006
- John Oxendine, insurance commissioner
- Otis Putnam
Declined
- Johnny Isakson, incumbent U.S. senator
Polling
Primary
| Poll source | Dates administered | John | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxendine | Karen | ||||||||
| Handel | Nathan | ||||||||
| Deal | Eric | ||||||||
| Johnson | Ray | ||||||||
| McBerry | Austin | ||||||||
| Scott | Jeff | ||||||||
| Chapman | Undecided | ||||||||
| Magellan Strategies | July 18, 2010 | 12% | **38%** | 20% | 17% | 3% | – | 3% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage | July 14, 2010 | 15% | **24%** | 16% | 13% | 3% | – | 6% | 22% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 13, 2010 | 20% | **25%** | **25%** | 13% | – | – | – | 14% |
| Mason-Dixon | July 8–13, 2010 | **31%** | 23% | 18% | 6% | 2% | – | 1% | 19% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 8, 2010 | 18% | **32%** | 18% | 8% | 3% | – | 3% | 14% |
| Survey USA | July 7–8, 2010 | **32%** | 23% | 12% | 12% | 5% | – | 4% | 10% |
| InsiderAdvantage | July 1, 2010 | **18%** | **18%** | 12% | 8% | 3% | – | 6% | **34%** |
| Survey USA | June 14–17, 2010 | **34%** | 18% | 17% | 6% | 3% | – | 4% | 17% |
| InsiderAdvantage | April 5, 2010 | **26%** | 18% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | **31%** |
| Rasmussen Reports | December 15, 2009 | **28%** | 14% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | **32%** |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2009 | **27%** | 12% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | -- | **35%** |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2009 | **31%** | 13% | 13% | 3% | 2% | -- | -- | **31%** |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2009 | **33%** | 11% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% | -- | **33%** |
| Strategic Vision | June 17, 2009 | **35%** | 13% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 2% | -- | 32% |
Runoff
| Poll source | Dates administered | Nathan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deal | Karen | ||
| Handel | |||
| Landmark Communications | August 7, 2010 | **44%** | 42% |
| Georgia Newspapers | August 7, 2010 | 42% | **47%** |
| Insider Advantage | August 5, 2010 | **46%** | **46%** |
| Landmark Communications | August 2, 2010 | 37% | **46%** |
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 23, 2010 | **39%** | 38% |
Results
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ]]|Initial primary results by county|
| | | | | | | | ]]|Runoff results by county}}
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Thurbert Baker, Attorney General of Georgia
- Roy Barnes, former governor of Georgia
- Bill Bolton
- Carl Camon
- Randal Mangham, state representative
- DuBose Porter, state representative
- David Poythress, former adjutant general of the Georgia National Guard, former commissioner of labor and candidate for governor in 1998
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Roy | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes | Thurbert | ||||||
| Baker | DuBose | ||||||
| Porter | Carl | ||||||
| Camon | David | ||||||
| Poythress | Undecided | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 13, 2010 | **59%** | 16% | 5% | -- | 5% | 12% |
| Mason-Dixon | July 8–13, 2010 | **54%** | 20% | 3% | -- | 7% | 16% |
| Survey USA | July 7–8, 2010 | **56%** | 18% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 9% |
| Survey USA | June 14–17, 2010 | **63%** | 13% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% |
| InsiderAdvantage | April 7, 2010 | **47%** | 18% | 5% | – | 6% | 24% |
| Rasmussen Reports | December 18, 2009 | **48%** | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2009 | **43%** | 19% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2009 | **42%** | 9% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 30% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2009 | **48%** | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 31% |
| Strategic Vision | June 17, 2009 | **49%** | 30% | 2% | - | 5% | 14% |
Results
| | | | | | | | ]]
Third party and independent candidates
Independent
- Neal Horsley
Libertarian Party
- John Monds, president of the Grady County NAACP
Write-in
- Samuel M. "Sam" Hay, III
- Jacob Perasso (Socialist Workers Party)
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | October 14, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | October 28, 2010 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 28, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Nathan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deal (R) | Roy | |||||
| Barnes (D) | John | |||||
| Monds (L) | Other | Undecided | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2010 | **49%** | 39% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| Insider Advantage | Unavailable | **49%** | 41% | 3% | -- | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2010 | **50%** | 41% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Insider Advantage | September 27, 2010 | **45%** | 37% | 5% | -- | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 21, 2010 | **45%** | 39% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| Insider Advantage | September 16, 2010 | **42%** | **42%** | 5% | -- | 11% |
| Survey USA | September 10–12, 2010 | **49%** | 38% | 9% | -- | 4% |
| Insider Advantage | August 17, 2010 | **45%** | 41% | 5% | -- | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 11, 2010 | **51%** | 42% | -- | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21, 2010 | **49%** | 43% | -- | 4% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 20, 2010 | **47%** | 40% | -- | 6% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 22, 2010 | **46%** | 39% | -- | 7% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 17, 2010 | **43%** | 41% | -- | 5% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 26–28, 2010 | 38% | **43%** | -- | -- | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18, 2010 | **43%** | 37% | -- | -- | -- |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 20, 2010 | 42% | **43%** | -- | -- | -- |
Results
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Early (largest city: Blakely)
- McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien)
- Peach (largest municipality: Fort Valley)
- Brooks (largest city: Quitman)
- Burke (largest municipality: Waynesboro)
- Chatham (largest city: Savannah)
- Washington (largest municipality: Sandersville)
- Sumter (largest city: Americus)
- Jefferson (largest city: Louisville)
- Muscogee (largest city: Columbus)
- Rockdale (largest town: Conyers)
References
References
- "Deal defeats Barnes to take Governor's Mansion". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
- (August 2010)
- Amy, Jeff. (December 19, 2021). "Johnny Isakson, former Georgia Republican U.S. senator, dies".
- [http://www.magellanstrategies.com/index.php/2010/07/final-georgia-governor-gop-primary-survey-071910/ Magellan Strategies]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100720142502/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_715_1505.aspx InsiderAdvantage]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_2010_republican_primary_for_governor_of_georgia_july_13_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100719174759/http://savannahnow.com/latest-news/2010-07-15/poll-barnes-poised-win-georgia-dem-nomination-gop-headed-runoff Mason-Dixon]
- [http://www.magellanstrategies.com/index.php/2010/07/georgia-governor-gop-primary-survey-71310/ Magellan Strategies]
- [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=565890ae-814f-466b-a722-fbbbd992ebe2/ Survey USA]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100705101410/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_72_1488.aspx InsiderAdvantage]
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- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_2010_republican_primary_for_governor_of_georgia_october_20_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/georgia/toplines_election_2010_georgia_gop_primary_august_18_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20090625200443/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_republican_primary_for_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20091001181646/http://strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_061709.htm Strategic Vision]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20110723175231/http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/Report-GA-Statewide-Poll-8_7_10.pdf Landmark Communications]
- [http://www.ajc.com/news/georgia-politics-elections/handel-leads-deal-in-587549.html Georgia Newspapers]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100817021304/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/story.aspx?sid=1539 Insider Advantage]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100805000711/http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2010/08/02/landmark-poll-karen-handel-sam-olens-lead-gop-runoffs/ Landmark Communications]
- [http://www.mclaughlinonline.com/lib/sitefiles/GA_Gov_Memo_0723.pdf McLaughlin & Associates] {{Webarchive. link. (July 14, 2011)
- (July 20, 2010). "Georgia Secretary of State".
- "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com.
- Jim Galloway. (June 3, 2009). "Roy Barnes to join 2010 race for Georgia governor | Political Insider". Blogs.ajc.com.
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_georgia_democratic_primary_for_governor_july_13_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100413062142/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_47_1348.aspx InsiderAdvantage]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_democratic_primary_for_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_2010_georgia_democratic_primary_for_governor_october_20_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/georgia/toplines_election_2010_georgia_democratic_primary_august_18_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20090625200435/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_democratic_primary_for_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- "7/20/2010 - Governor". Sos.georgia.gov.
- "Georgia 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com.
- [http://www.lp.org/news/press-releases/john-monds-to-seek-libertarian-nomination-for-ga-governor "John Monds to seek Libertarian nomination for Governor"] www.lp.org. Retrieved September 15, 2009.
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
- "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- (October 28, 2010). "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101013024334/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1012_1640.aspx Insider Advantage]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101003124320/http://southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_928_1619.aspx Insider Advantage]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_georgia_governor_september_21_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100919234759/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_916_1605.aspx Insider Advantage]
- [http://www.13wmaz.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=52 Survey USA]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100822150516/http://www.wsbtv.com/news/24689714/detail.html Insider Advantage]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_georgia_governor_august_11_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_georgia_governor_july_21_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_GA_303.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- "11/2/2010 - Federal and Statewide".
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