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2008 United States Senate election in Texas

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FieldValue
election_name2008 United States Senate election in Texas
countryTexas
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2002 United States Senate election in Texas
previous_year2002
next_election2014 United States Senate election in Texas
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image_size150x150px
image1File:John Cornyn official portrait, 2009 (cropped).jpg
nominee1**John Cornyn**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**4,337,469**
percentage1**54.82%**
image2File:NORIEGA (cropped).jpg
nominee2Rick Noriega
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote23,389,365
percentage242.84%
map_image2008 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
map_size310px
map_captionCounty results
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionJohn Cornyn
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJohn Cornyn
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Cornyn:
Noriega:
The 2008 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican John Cornyn defeated Democratic nominee Rick Noriega, a member of the Texas House of Representatives, to win election to a second term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Gene Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
  • Ray McMurrey, teacher at Mary Carroll High School
  • Rick Noriega, State Representative
  • Rhett Smith, U.S. Navy veteran and auditor at the Texas Department of Human Services

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • John Cornyn, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Larry Kilgore, conservative/Secessionist activist

Results

General election

Candidates

  • John Cornyn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Rick Noriega (D), State Representative
  • Yvonne Adams Schick (L), real estate entrepreneur

Campaign

Cornyn, running as an incumbent, had a 42% approval rating with a 43% disapproval rating in June 2007. Texas is a red state, that Republican presidential nominee John McCain won with over 55% of the vote. Cornyn slightly underperformed McCain. However, Noriega underperformed both 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in Texas and Cornyn's 2002 opponent, Ron Kirk, with Noriega receiving just 42.8% of the vote.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 23, 2008
CQ PoliticsOctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 4, 2008

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRick Noriega (D)John Cornyn (R)
RasmussenSeptember 18, 200730%**53%**
Research 2000September 24–26, 200735%**51%**
Rasmussen ReportsMay 1, 200843%**47%**
Research 2000/Daily KosMay 5–7, 200844%**48%**
Baselice & AssociatesMay 20–25, 200833%**49%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 2, 200835%**52%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 25, 200835%**48%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 30, 200839%**50%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 29, 200843%**50%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21, 200840%**55%**

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Bexar (largest municipality: San Antonio)
  • Harris (largest municipality: Houston)
  • Brewster (largest city: Alpine)
  • Uvalde (largest city: Uvalde)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Bee (Largest city: Beeville)
  • Caldwell (Largest city: Lockhart)
  • Fisher (Largest city: Rotan)
  • Foard (Largest city: Crowell)
  • Haskell (Largest city: Haskell)
  • Marion (Largest city: Jefferson)
  • Pecos (Largest city: Fort Stockton)
  • Refugio (Largest city: Refugio)
  • San Augustine (Largest city: San Augustine)
  • San Patricio (Largest city: Portland)
  • Terrell (Largest city: Sanderson)
  • Morris (Largest city: Daingerfield)
  • Newton (Largest city: Newton)
  • Calhoun (Largest city: Port Lavaca)
  • Robertson (Largest city: Hearne)

References

References

  1. "Our Campaigns - TX US Senate - D Primary Race - Mar 04, 2008".
  2. "Our Campaigns - TX US Senate - R Primary Race - Mar 04, 2008".
  3. "NewsBank".
  4. "SurveyUSA News Poll #12245".
  5. "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008".
  6. link. (October 28, 2010 ''CQ Politics'')
  7. "2008 Senate ratings".
  8. "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics.
  9. [http://www.texasmonthly.com/blogs/burkablog/2007/09/rasmussen-hillary-trailing-in-texas.php Rasmussen]
  10. [http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/9/27/14642/2928 Research 2000]
  11. [http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/8/163458/6653/565/512005 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
  12. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080910020225/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/May29%202008%20Texas%20Survey%20Release%20on%20US%20Senate%20Race.pdf Baselice & Associates]
Info: Wikipedia Source

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