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2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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FieldValue
election_name2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina
countrySouth Carolina
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2002 United States Senate election in South Carolina
previous_year2002
next_election2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image1File:Lindsey Graham, Official Portrait 2006 (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1Lindsey Graham
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote11,076,150
percentage157.52%
image23x4.svg
nominee2Bob Conley
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2790,216
percentage242.25%
map_image
map_size230px
map_captionGraham:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionLindsey Graham
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionLindsey Graham
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Conley:
The 2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham won election to a second term.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Lindsey Graham, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Buddy Witherspoon, former National Committeeman of the South Carolina Republican Party
  • Tim Carnes, former pastor

Polling

SourceDateGrahamWitherspoon
Public Policy PollingJanuary 17, 200852%5%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Bob Conley, pilot
  • Michael Cone, attorney

Campaign

Conley, a conservative Democrat, supported ending illegal immigration, "protecting American workers," bringing American troops home from the Iraq War, increasing veterans' benefits, reducing American dependence on foreign oil, tougher regulations on Wall Street (bringing back Glass-Steagall), ending Wall Street bailouts, repealing the Patriot Act, "cutting spending," and "fidelity to the Constitution." He also opposed same-sex marriage.

Michael Cone, Conley's primary opponent, criticized Conley for being too conservative, that "We've nominated a Republican in a Democratic primary." Conley was a Republican but left the party due to frustration over immigration, trade, and the Iraq War. Some compared him to Republican Congressman Ron Paul, as Conley supported Paul in his presidential campaign.

Results

Results by county:

]] Conley defeated Cone in the primary election on June 16, following a recount, by a margin of 1,058 votes.

General election

Candidates

  • Bob Conley (D), pilot
  • Lindsey Graham (R), incumbent U.S. Senator

Campaign

Conley, who had switched to the Democratic Party from the Republican Party, was opposed by much of the Democratic establishment because of his controversial positions such as his vocal opposition to immigration reform and same-sex marriage and his support of Ron Paul's presidential bid. A number of prominent Democratic figures in the state, including U.S. Congressman Jim Clyburn, supported Lindsey Graham over Conley in the general election. Political scientist Bill Moore claimed "The bottom line is, by not paying attention to this race, they ended up embarrassed by what has transpired: a Republican getting the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. Senate and a Republican who comes across as even more conservative than Lindsey Graham."

Graham had $3.8 million. In fact, he spent more time on the campaign trail for John McCain than he has defending his own seat. Conley only raised $23,628 during the campaign. Conley was so unknown that even Graham admitted "Almost no one knows my opponent. The Democrats really didn't field a — make a serious challenge — in terms of trying to find an opponent for me."

Despite Conley's landslide defeat, he is the last Democrat to carry McCormick County in a Senate election as of 2023.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 23, 2008
CQ PoliticsOctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 4, 2008

Polling

Poll SourceDates administeredConleyGraham
Public Policy PollingJuly 9–11, 200832%54%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 18, 200841%50%
Survey USASeptember 21–22, 200840%54%
Survey USAOctober 12–13, 200840%56%
Survey USAOctober 28–29, 200839%58%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
  • Darlington (largest city: Hartsville)
  • Dillon (Largest city: Dillon)
  • Abbeville (Largest city: Abbeville)
  • Chesterfield (Largest city: Cheraw)
  • Lancaster (Largest city: Lancaster)

References

References

  1. [http://www.wbtv.com/Global/story.asp?S=8500031 ''US Senate recount shows Conley to face Graham.''] WBTV 3 News. June 16, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008
  2. [http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/8562/13685/en/summary.html 2008 General election statewide results.] South Carolina State Election Commission. Accessed November 17, 2008.
  3. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080918145243/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_SC_Release_011708.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  4. (June 27, 2008). "2008 Republican and Democratic Primary".
  5. Hunter, Jack. (June 18, 2008). "Democrat Bob Conley offers conservatives a real choice in November".
  6. "The Issues".
  7. Elonkey. [https://elonkey.blogspot.com/2008/06/bob-conley-ron-paul-democrat.html Bob Conley: "The Ron Paul Democrat"] {{Webarchive. link. (September 18, 2008 June 23, 2008)
  8. [http://www.wbtv.com/Global/story.asp?S=8500031 US Senate recount shows Conley to face Graham. WBTV 3 News.]
  9. (July 1, 2008). "RECOUNT - 2008 Republican and Democratic Primary".
  10. [http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/06/20/america/Graham-Challenger.php ''Graham's Dem challenger was SC county GOP official.''] [[International Herald Tribune]], June 20, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008
  11. [http://www.thestate.com/localelections/story/579119.html ''Graham easily wins second term.'']{{Dead link. (August 2019). The State]], November 5, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008.
  12. [http://www2.scnow.com/scp/news/politics/south_carolina/article/republican_graham_aims_to_turn_aside_dem_challenge/17537/ Republican Graham aims to turn aside Dem challenge. SCNOW]{{Dead link. (June 2023)
  13. "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008".
  14. link. (October 28, 2010 ''CQ Politics'')
  15. "2008 Senate ratings".
  16. "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics.
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080904060117/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC_715.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  18. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080923162022/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/south_carolina/election_2008_south_carolina_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  19. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=eadbaab5-cffc-4f78-8947-b6a644d3eb03 Survey USA]
  20. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=af366778-2141-4274-8033-3e7b70c583bf/ Survey USA]
  21. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7283ffa7-828d-4345-b44c-7e6a908196cc/ Survey USA]
  22. (June 1, 2009). "2008 General Election".
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