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2008 United States Senate election in Alabama

2008 election in United States

2008 United States Senate election in Alabama

2008 election in United States

FieldValue
election_name2008 United States Senate election in Alabama
countryAlabama
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2002 United States Senate election in Alabama
previous_year2002
next_election2014 United States Senate election in Alabama
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image_sizex150px
image1Jeff Sessions official portrait.jpg
nominee1**Jeff Sessions**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,305,383**
percentage1**63.36%**
image2Vivian Figures.jpg
nominee2Vivian Davis Figures
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2752,391
percentage236.52%
map_image
map_size250px
map_caption**Sessions**:
**Figures**:
**Tie**:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionJeff Sessions
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJeff Sessions
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Figures:
Tie: The 2008 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 4, 2008, to elect one of Alabama's members to the United States Senate. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Jeff Sessions won re-election to a third term.

Background

Since 1980, Alabama voters have increasingly voted for Republican candidates at the Federal level, especially in Presidential elections. By contrast, Democratic candidates have been elected to many state-level offices and, until 2010, comprised a longstanding majority in the Alabama Legislature; see Dixiecrat.

In the 2004 presidential election, George W. Bush won Alabama's nine electoral votes by a margin of 25 percentage points with 62.5% of the vote. The eleven counties that voted Democratic are part of the Black Belt counties, where African Americans are the majority racial group.

On January 10, 2007, Rep. Artur Davis announced that he would not run for the seat. Despite voting heavily for George W. Bush in 2004, Alabama still had a strong Democratic presence in 2008, and Democrats controlled majorities in both chambers in the Alabama Legislature. Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries Ron Sparks appeared to be preparing for a run, but on June 12, 2007, he announced that he would not seek the Senate seat, in order to avoid a primary battle with State Senator Vivian Davis Figures.

Primary elections were held on June 3.

Republican primary

Sessions' approval rating was 56% in December 2007.

Candidates

  • Earl Mack Gavin, perennial candidate
  • Jeff Sessions, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1997

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Vivian Davis Figures, State Senator from Mobile
  • Johnny Swanson, Army veteran
  • Mark Townsend, candidate for Governor in 2002

Results

County results

General election

Candidates

  • Vivian Figures, State Senator from Mobile (Democratic)
  • Darryl W. Perry (write-in), candidate for Pennsylvania State Treasurer in 2004 and candidate for Mayor of Birmingham in 2007
  • Jeff Sessions, incumbent U.S. Senator (Republican)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 23, 2008
CQ PoliticsOctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 4, 2008

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredVivian Davis
Figures (D)Jeff
Sessions (R)
SurveyUSAAugust 25–27, 200737%**59%**
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 14, 200730%**62%**
Rasmussen ReportsApril 2, 200836%**57%**
Rasmussen ReportsMay 27, 200829%**62%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 30, 200834%**58%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 31, 200831%**58%**
Survey USASeptember 16–17, 200831%**66%**
Survey USAOctober 8–9, 200833%**64%**
Survey USAOctober 27–28, 200832%**65%**

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Marengo (largest municipality: Linden)
  • Pickens (Largest city: Aliceville)
  • Colbert (Largest city: Muscle Shoals)
  • Lawrence (Largest city: Moulton)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Montgomery (largest municipality: Montgomery)

References

References

  1. (January 9, 2007). "Davis Won't Challenge Stevens". [[WTOK-TV]].
  2. (June 12, 2007). "Sparks says he won't seek U.S. Senate seat". [[The Birmingham News]].
  3. [http://www.sos.state.al.us/Elections/2008/ElectionInfo2008.aspx Election Dates] {{Webarchive. link. (December 25, 2007 from the ''Alabama Secretary of State''])
  4. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a09d0dbf-b724-4ffd-b82b-781d93912fd8 December 2007 SurveyUSA poll]
  5. (June 13, 2008). "Certified Primary Election Results: Republican Party". [[Alabama Republican Party]].
  6. (June 17, 2008). "Certified Primary Election Results: Democratic Party". [[Alabama Democratic Party]].
  7. [http://senate.dwp2016.org senate.dwp2016.org] {{Webarchive. link. (July 16, 2008)
  8. "al.com".
  9. "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008".
  10. link. (October 31, 2008 ''CQ Politics'')
  11. "2008 Senate ratings".
  12. "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics.
  13. "SurveyUSA".
  14. [https://joeledman.blogspot.com/ Rasmussen Reports]
  15. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080517133023/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alabama/election_2008_alabama_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  16. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080531234549/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alabama/election_2008_alabama_senate2 Rasmussen Reports]
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080517133023/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alabama/election_2008_alabama_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  18. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080517133023/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alabama/election_2008_alabama_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  19. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8ec168c4-ce4d-4ca0-8854-48031d0be3f6 Survey USA]
  20. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=afc9bc5e-e640-4373-9e11-7b5bf7fb7fd5/ Survey USA]
  21. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=29477487-154c-440d-bd34-123e584eedfb/ Survey USA]
  22. (November 25, 2008). "Certified General Election Results without write-in appendix". [[Secretary of State of Alabama]].
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