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2008 United States presidential election in Utah

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2008 United States presidential election in Utah

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FieldValue
election_name2008 United States presidential election in Utah
countryUtah
flag_year1922
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2004 United States presidential election in Utah
previous_year2004
next_election2012 United States presidential election in Utah
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image1File:John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped).jpg
image_size200x200px
nominee1**John McCain**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Arizona
running_mate1**Sarah Palin**
electoral_vote1**5**
popular_vote1**596,030**
percentage1**62.58%**
image2File:Obama portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2327,670
percentage234.41%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionGeorge W. Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2008 United States presidential election

| [[File:Utah Presidential Election Results 2008.svg|250px]] | County results | [[File:UT-08-pres-districts.svg|250px]] | Congressional district results McCain Obama The 2008 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 4, 2008. It was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Utah was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 28% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Highlighting its status as a GOP bastion, Utah gave McCain one of his largest victories over Democrat Barack Obama, a near two-to-one margin. Obama did nevertheless manage to carry three counties, and significantly improved upon John Kerry's performance in 2004.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Takeaway
Electoral-vote.com
The Washington PostWashington Post
Politico
RealClearPolitics
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics
The New York Times
CNN
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Utah

McCain won every pre-election poll conducted in this state, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 55% of the vote. The final three-poll average showed McCain leading 59% to 31%.

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $1,165,621 in the state. Barack Obama raised $2,121,563.

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $297,645. McCain spent just $250. Neither campaign visited the state.

Analysis

Utah is a heavily Republican state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide in 1964, and even then the state voted considerably to the right of the nation. Johnson is also the last Democrat to manage even 40 percent of Utah's popular vote. The majority of the state's population is Mormon and highly conservative, especially on social issues. Utah gave George W. Bush his largest margin of victory in 2004 over John Kerry, as Bush received over 71 percent to Kerry's 26 percent and carried every county in the state.

With 62.15 percent of the popular vote, Utah proved to be McCain's third strongest state in the 2008 election after Oklahoma and neighboring Wyoming.

Although McCain easily won Utah in 2008, Obama did very well for a Democrat in this Republican stronghold. Obama was able to reduce McCain's margin of victory by narrowly winning Salt Lake County, the state's most populous county that contains the state capital of Salt Lake City, by a mere 296 votes–the first time a Democrat had carried that county since 1964. Obama also carried Summit and Grand counties, both of which have significantly lower Mormon populations than the rest of the state. Nonetheless, Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Carbon County since Woodrow Wilson in 1912.

This election was the Democratic presidential nominee's best showing in Utah since 1968. In substantially Native American and non-Mormon – but historically heavily Republican – San Juan County, Obama's performance was the best by a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1940.

During the same election, popular incumbent Republican Governor Jon Huntsman Jr. was reelected to a second term in a massive landslide victory, taking in 77.74 percent of the vote over Democrat Bob Springmeyer's 19.65 percent and Libertarian Dell Schanze's 2.62 percent. At the state level, however, Democrats did manage to pick up two seats in the Utah House of Representatives.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in UtahPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****John McCain****Sarah Palin****596,030****62.58%****5**
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden327,67034.41%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle12,0121.26%0
Peace and FreedomRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez8,4160.88%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root6,9660.73%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente9820.10%0
OthersOthers2930.03%0
**Totals****952,370****100.00%****5**
Voter turnout (Voting age population)55.5%

By county

CountyJohn McCain
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticCharles Baldwin
ConstitutionRalph Nader
Peace and FreedomBob Barr
LibertarianVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%#%#%#%Totals596,03062.15%327,67034.17%12,0121.25%8,4160.88%6,9660.73%7,9020.82%268,36027.98%958,996
Beaver1,90275.54%54221.53%301.19%210.83%120.48%110.44%1,36054.01%2,518
Box Elder15,22879.24%3,31117.23%2211.15%1470.76%1270.66%1830.95%11,91762.01%19,217
Cache29,12769.48%10,29424.56%1,1532.75%3150.75%3720.89%6611.58%18,83344.92%41,922
Carbon4,09152.30%3,46844.34%620.79%901.15%480.61%630.81%6237.96%7,822
Daggett29766.89%13129.50%20.45%81.80%10.23%51.13%16637.39%444
Davis77,34169.74%30,47727.48%1,1751.06%9560.86%8110.73%1420.13%46,86442.26%110,902
Duchesne4,68981.24%91115.78%661.14%270.47%370.64%420.73%3,77865.46%5,772
Emery3,35875.02%97321.74%430.96%390.87%260.58%370.83%2,38553.28%4,476
Garfield1,71078.37%40518.56%160.73%110.50%110.50%291.32%1,30559.81%2,182
Grand1,87145.65%2,06750.43%280.68%561.37%300.73%471.05%-196-4.78%4,099
Iron12,51875.06%3,25819.53%3522.11%1380.83%1630.98%2491.50%9,26055.53%16,678
Juab2,68373.19%74120.21%1293.52%300.82%280.76%551.50%1,94252.98%3,666
Kane2,21269.65%85626.95%270.85%310.98%240.76%260.82%1,35642.70%3,176
Millard3,65377.08%75815.99%2645.57%270.57%340.72%30.06%2,89561.09%4,739
Morgan3,31179.06%68916.45%1022.44%280.67%290.69%290.69%2,62262.61%4,188
Piute63579.28%14117.60%131.62%70.87%20.25%30.37%49461.68%801
Rich83182.36%15415.26%90.89%50.50%50.50%50.50%67767.10%1,009
Salt Lake176,69248.09%176,98848.17%3,2290.88%3,7681.03%2,5560.70%4,2111.15%-296-0.08%367,444
San Juan2,63851.42%2,40646.90%450.88%250.49%140.27%20.04%2324.52%5,130
Sanpete6,66475.06%1,63118.37%3243.65%870.98%540.61%1181.33%5,03356.69%8,878
Sevier6,39479.35%1,35916.87%1311.63%520.65%530.66%690.85%5,03562.48%8,058
Summit6,95641.11%9,53256.34%750.44%1260.74%1040.61%1270.75%-2,576-15.23%16,920
Tooele10,99862.98%5,83033.38%2061.18%1510.86%1370.78%1410.81%5,16829.60%17,463
Uintah8,44182.84%1,46214.35%1571.54%450.44%370.36%470.46%6,97968.49%10,189
Utah122,22477.71%29,56718.80%2,8771.83%1,1190.71%1,3110.83%1810.12%92,65758.91%157,279
Wasatch5,43062.96%2,89233.53%810.94%861.00%300.35%1061.23%2,53829.43%8,625
Washington37,31174.57%10,82621.64%6281.26%3120.62%4130.83%5451.09%26,48552.93%50,035
Wayne94070.04%33524.96%100.75%120.89%120.89%332.46%60545.08%1,342
Weber45,88561.99%25,66634.67%5570.75%6970.94%4850.66%7320.99%20,21927.32%74,022
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Grand (largest municipality: Moab)
  • Salt Lake (largest city: Salt Lake City)
  • Summit (largest city: Park City)

By congressional district

McCain won all three of the state's congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
**63.62%**33.42%Rob Bishop
**57.72%**39.55%Jim Matheson
**67.35%**29.25%Chris Cannon ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
Jason Chaffetz ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress))

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated 5 electors because it has 3 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:

  1. Scott Simpson
  2. Richard Snelgrove
  3. Stan Lockhart
  4. Enid Greene-Mickelesen
  5. Mark Shurtleff

References

References

  1. (2009-01-01). "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.".
  2. (2015-05-05). "Presidential".
  3. (2009-04-22). "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions".
  4. "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".
  5. Based on Takeaway
  6. "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".
  7. "RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map".
  8. "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".
  9. (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times.
  10. (2008-10-31). "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN.
  11. (April 27, 2010). "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News.
  12. "roadto270".
  13. "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".
  14. "Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  15. "Presidential Campaign Finance".
  16. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
  17. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
  18. "CNN Election Center 2004 - Utah Results".
  19. "2008 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  20. "CNN Election Center 2008 - Utah Results".
  21. "ksl.com - Final Tally: Obama Wins Salt Lake County".
  22. "elections.utah.gov-Official Canvass of Utah Vote".
  23. "1968 General Election Results - Utah".
  24. Our Campaigns; [https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=191876 UT US Presidential Election November 04 2008]
  25. "Electoral College". [[California Secretary of State]].
  26. "Untitled Document".
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