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2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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FieldValue
election_name2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana
countryLouisiana
flag_year2006
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana
previous_year2004
next_election2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image_sizex200px
image1John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped).jpg
nominee1**John McCain**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Arizona
running_mate1**Sarah Palin**
electoral_vote1**9**
popular_vote1**1,148,275**
percentage1**58.56%**
image2Obama portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2782,989
percentage239.93%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionGeorge W. Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2008 United States presidential election

| [[File:Louisiana Presidential Election Results 2008.svg|350px]] | Parish results |[[File:2008 US Presidential election in Louisiana by congressional district.svg|350px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:2008 LA Pres.svg|350px]] |Precinct results McCain Obama The 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 4, 2008, was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Louisiana was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 18.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a "red state". Although Bill Clinton carried the state twice, it has since shifted strongly toward the Republican Party. This is despite its having one of the largest percentages of African Americans in the country, one of the Democratic Party's most reliable voting blocs and which gave record-breaking support to Obama, the first African American on a major-party presidential ticket. Its shift to the right has been due almost entirely to its white population, which has become overwhelmingly Republican in the 21st century. It was one of five states to swing Republican from 2004, along with West Virginia, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. This marked the first time that Louisiana failed to back the winning candidate since 1968, when it voted for a third-party candidate George Wallace. In doing so, Obama became the first winning Democratic presidential nominee to lose Louisiana since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Calcasieu Parish since the parish's founding in 1840.

In this election, Louisiana voted 25.9% to the right of the nation at-large, or a 13.85 percent bigger differential than in 2004.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Takeaway
Electoral-vote.com
The Washington PostWashington Post
Politico
RealClearPolitics
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics
The New York Times
CNN
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Louisiana

McCain won every pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 50% to 40%.

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $2,175,416 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,438,276.

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $368,039. McCain and his interest groups spent $6,019. McCain visited the state once, in New Orleans.

Analysis

Voters wait in queue at a polling station in New Orleans

Polling in Louisiana gave a strong lead to McCain, sometimes as high as 19%, and Barack Obama did not seriously contest the state. Governor Bobby Jindal endorsed McCain early on in the primary season. Louisiana was also one of only two states to list Ron Paul on their official ballot (the other being Montana which gave the largest percentage to any third-party candidate nationwide). This was the last time any parish flipped in the state in a presidential election until 2024.

At the same time, however, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu avoided the Republican trend in the state and held onto her U.S. Senate seat, taking in 52.11% of the vote to State Treasurer John N. Kennedy, a Democrat who switched parties to run against Landrieu. Republicans picked up two U.S. House seats in Louisiana (LA-02 and LA-06 with Joseph Cao and Bill Cassidy, respectively). In a terrible year for the Republican Party nationwide, Louisiana provided the GOP with a ray of hope and optimism.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in LouisianaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****John McCain****Sarah Palin****1,148,275****58.56%****9**
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden782,98939.93%0
Louisiana TaxpayersRon Paul (no campaign)Barry Goldwater Jr.9,3680.48%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente9,1870.47%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez6,9970.36%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle2,5810.13%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisAlyson Kennedy7350.04%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaEugene Puryear3540.02%0
ProhibitionGene AmondsonLeroy Pletten2750.01%0
**Totals****1,960,761****100.00%****9**
Voter turnout (Voting age population)62.0%

By parish

ParishJohn McCain
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,148,27558.56%782,98939.93%29,4971.51%365,28618.63%1,960,761
Acadia19,22971.99%7,02826.31%4541.70%12,20145.68%26,711
Allen6,33366.90%2,89130.54%2432.57%3,44236.36%9,467
Ascension31,23967.08%14,62531.40%7071.52%16,61435.68%46,571
Assumption5,98154.57%4,75643.39%2232.03%1,22511.18%10,960
Avoyelles10,23660.43%6,32737.35%3752.21%3,90923.08%16,938
Beauregard10,71876.15%3,07121.82%2852.03%7,64754.33%14,074
Bienville3,77650.82%3,58948.30%650.87%1872.52%7,430
Bossier32,71371.37%12,70327.71%4190.91%20,01043.66%45,835
Caddo52,22848.07%55,53651.11%8960.82%-3,308-3.04%108,660
Calcasieu50,44961.43%30,24436.82%1,4381.75%20,20524.61%82,131
Caldwell3,69675.54%1,11822.85%791.61%2,57852.69%4,893
Cameron3,08981.44%61316.16%912.40%2,47665.28%3,793
Catahoula3,48666.72%1,65931.75%801.53%1,82734.97%5,225
Claiborne3,75054.82%3,02544.22%660.96%72510.60%6,841
Concordia5,66859.49%3,76639.53%930.98%1,90219.96%9,527
DeSoto6,88356.16%5,24242.77%1321.08%1,64113.39%12,257
East Baton Rouge95,39048.34%99,65250.50%2,3071.17%-4,262-2.16%197,349
East Carroll1,25435.23%2,26763.70%381.07%-1,013-28.47%3,559
East Feliciana5,43254.61%4,38344.06%1321.33%1,04910.55%9,947
Evangeline9,79361.30%5,85336.64%3302.07%3,94024.66%15,976
Franklin6,27867.09%2,96131.64%1191.27%3,31735.45%9,358
Grant6,90780.71%1,47417.22%1772.07%5,43363.49%8,558
Iberia20,12760.68%12,49237.66%5491.66%7,63523.02%33,168
Iberville7,18543.75%9,02354.95%2131.30%-1,838-11.20%16,421
Jackson5,19067.09%2,45631.75%901.16%2,73435.34%7,736
Jefferson113,19162.50%65,09635.94%2,8331.56%48,09526.56%181,120
Jefferson Davis9,27868.72%3,92329.06%3002.22%5,35539.66%13,501
Lafayette62,05564.88%32,14533.61%1,4421.51%29,91031.27%95,642
Lafourche27,08971.49%9,66225.50%1,1423.01%17,42745.99%37,893
LaSalle5,60285.49%86013.12%911.39%4,74272.37%6,553
Lincoln10,68055.69%8,29243.23%2071.08%2,38812.46%19,179
Livingston43,26985.02%6,68113.13%9421.85%36,58871.89%50,892
Madison2,15240.60%3,10058.49%480.91%-948-17.89%5,300
Morehouse7,25854.98%5,79243.88%1501.14%1,46611.10%13,200
Natchitoches9,05453.05%7,80145.71%2121.24%1,2537.34%17,067
Orleans28,13019.08%117,10279.42%2,2071.50%-88,972-60.34%147,439
Ouachita41,74162.07%24,81336.90%6901.03%16,92825.17%67,244
Plaquemines6,89465.98%3,38032.35%1751.67%3,51433.63%10,449
Pointe Coupee6,70253.90%5,51644.36%2171.75%1,1869.54%12,435
Rapides36,61163.65%20,12734.99%7831.36%16,48428.66%57,521
Red River2,48453.66%2,08044.93%651.40%4048.73%4,629
Richland5,75162.64%3,31136.06%1191.30%2,44026.58%9,181
Sabine7,22674.87%2,24523.26%1811.88%4,98151.61%9,652
St. Bernard9,64371.21%3,49125.78%4073.01%6,15245.43%13,541
St. Charles16,45764.80%8,52233.56%4181.65%7,93531.24%25,397
St. Helena2,52240.78%3,56757.68%951.54%-1,045-16.90%6,184
St. James5,43243.23%6,99455.67%1381.10%-1,562-12.44%12,564
St. John the Baptist8,91241.15%12,42457.37%3201.48%-3,512-16.22%21,656
St. Landry21,65050.95%20,26847.70%5751.35%1,3823.25%42,493
St. Martin14,44359.55%9,41938.84%3901.61%5,02420.71%24,252
St. Mary13,18357.56%9,34540.80%3751.64%3,83816.76%22,903
St. Tammany83,07875.84%24,59622.45%1,8681.71%58,48253.39%109,542
Tangipahoa31,43464.68%16,43833.82%7301.50%14,99630.86%48,602
Tensas1,36744.97%1,64654.14%270.89%-279-9.17%3,040
Terrebonne28,21069.32%11,58128.46%9052.22%16,62940.86%40,696
Union7,61970.10%3,10328.55%1461.34%4,51641.55%10,868
Vermilion18,06972.76%6,26625.23%4982.01%11,80347.53%24,833
Vernon11,94675.76%3,53422.41%2891.83%8,41253.35%15,769
Washington12,21565.59%6,12232.87%2871.54%6,09332.72%18,624
Webster11,41762.49%6,61036.18%2431.33%4,80726.31%18,270
West Baton Rouge6,65456.08%5,04342.50%1691.42%1,61113.58%11,866
West Carroll4,04581.11%87817.61%641.28%3,16763.50%4,987
West Feliciana3,15056.05%2,41542.97%550.98%73513.08%5,620
Winn4,63268.40%2,04730.23%931.37%2,58538.17%6,772
Parish flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Caddo (largest city: Shreveport)
  • East Baton Rouge (largest city: Baton Rouge)

;Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Assumption (largest city: Napoleonville)
  • Pointe Coupee (largest city: New Roads)

By congressional district

John McCain carried six of the state's seven congressional districts, both McCain and Obama won a district won by the other party.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
**72.72%**25.68%Bobby Jindal ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
Steve Scalise ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress))
24.86%**74.13%**William J. Jefferson ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
Joseph Cao ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress))
**60.99%**37.03%Charles Melancon
**59.28%**39.57%Jim McCrery ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
John C. Fleming ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress))
**61.75%**36.96%Rodney Alexander
**57.40%**41.26%Don Cazayoux ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress))
Bill Cassidy ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress))
**63.14%**35.20%Charles Boustany

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:

  1. Lynn Skidmore
  2. Joe Lavigne
  3. Gordon Giles - He replaced Billy Nungesser, who was absent due to illness.
  4. Alan Seabaugh
  5. Karen Haymon
  6. Charles Davis
  7. Charlie Buckels
  8. Dianne Christopher
  9. Roger F. Villere Jr.

References

References

  1. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  2. (2009-01-01). "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.".
  3. (2015-05-05). "Presidential".
  4. (2009-04-22). "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions".
  5. "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".
  6. Based on Takeaway
  7. "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".
  8. "RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map".
  9. "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".
  10. (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times.
  11. (2008-10-31). "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN.
  12. (April 27, 2010). "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News.
  13. "roadto270".
  14. "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".
  15. [http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=22 Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections]
  16. "Presidential Campaign Finance".
  17. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
  18. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
  19. "Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Site.".
  20. "Official General Election Results". The Green Papers.
  21. [http://www.lataxpayers.com/ Louisiana Taxpayers]
  22. "Electoral College". [[California Secretary of State]].
  23. "Archived copy".
  24. (July 2016)
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