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2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| country | Louisiana |
| flag_year | 2006 |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| previous_year | 2004 |
| next_election | 2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| next_year | 2012 |
| election_date | November 4, 2008 |
| image_size | x200px |
| image1 | John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped).jpg |
| nominee1 | **John McCain** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| home_state1 | Arizona |
| running_mate1 | **Sarah Palin** |
| electoral_vote1 | **9** |
| popular_vote1 | **1,148,275** |
| percentage1 | **58.56%** |
| image2 | Obama portrait crop.jpg |
| nominee2 | Barack Obama |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| home_state2 | Illinois |
| running_mate2 | Joe Biden |
| electoral_vote2 | 0 |
| popular_vote2 | 782,989 |
| percentage2 | 39.93% |
| map_image | {{Switcher |
| title | President |
| before_election | George W. Bush |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Barack Obama |
| after_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
Main article: 2008 United States presidential election
| [[File:Louisiana Presidential Election Results 2008.svg|350px]] | Parish results |[[File:2008 US Presidential election in Louisiana by congressional district.svg|350px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:2008 LA Pres.svg|350px]] |Precinct results McCain Obama The 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 4, 2008, was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Louisiana was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 18.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a "red state". Although Bill Clinton carried the state twice, it has since shifted strongly toward the Republican Party. This is despite its having one of the largest percentages of African Americans in the country, one of the Democratic Party's most reliable voting blocs and which gave record-breaking support to Obama, the first African American on a major-party presidential ticket. Its shift to the right has been due almost entirely to its white population, which has become overwhelmingly Republican in the 21st century. It was one of five states to swing Republican from 2004, along with West Virginia, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. This marked the first time that Louisiana failed to back the winning candidate since 1968, when it voted for a third-party candidate George Wallace. In doing so, Obama became the first winning Democratic presidential nominee to lose Louisiana since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Calcasieu Parish since the parish's founding in 1840.
In this election, Louisiana voted 25.9% to the right of the nation at-large, or a 13.85 percent bigger differential than in 2004.
Primaries
Campaign
Predictions
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
| Source | Ranking | |
|---|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | ||
| Cook Political Report | ||
| The Takeaway | ||
| Electoral-vote.com | ||
| The Washington Post | Washington Post | |
| Politico | ||
| RealClearPolitics | ||
| FiveThirtyEight | ||
| CQ Politics | ||
| The New York Times | ||
| CNN | ||
| NPR | ||
| MSNBC | ||
| Fox News | ||
| Associated Press | ||
| Rasmussen Reports |
Polling
Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Louisiana
McCain won every pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 50% to 40%.
Fundraising
John McCain raised a total of $2,175,416 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,438,276.
Advertising and visits
Obama spent $368,039. McCain and his interest groups spent $6,019. McCain visited the state once, in New Orleans.
Analysis
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Polling in Louisiana gave a strong lead to McCain, sometimes as high as 19%, and Barack Obama did not seriously contest the state. Governor Bobby Jindal endorsed McCain early on in the primary season. Louisiana was also one of only two states to list Ron Paul on their official ballot (the other being Montana which gave the largest percentage to any third-party candidate nationwide). This was the last time any parish flipped in the state in a presidential election until 2024.
At the same time, however, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu avoided the Republican trend in the state and held onto her U.S. Senate seat, taking in 52.11% of the vote to State Treasurer John N. Kennedy, a Democrat who switched parties to run against Landrieu. Republicans picked up two U.S. House seats in Louisiana (LA-02 and LA-06 with Joseph Cao and Bill Cassidy, respectively). In a terrible year for the Republican Party nationwide, Louisiana provided the GOP with a ray of hope and optimism.
Results
| 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana | Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Republican** | **John McCain** | **Sarah Palin** | **1,148,275** | **58.56%** | **9** | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama | Joe Biden | 782,989 | 39.93% | 0 | |
| Louisiana Taxpayers | Ron Paul (no campaign) | Barry Goldwater Jr. | 9,368 | 0.48% | 0 | |
| Green | Cynthia McKinney | Rosa Clemente | 9,187 | 0.47% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Matt Gonzalez | 6,997 | 0.36% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Chuck Baldwin | Darrell Castle | 2,581 | 0.13% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers | James Harris | Alyson Kennedy | 735 | 0.04% | 0 | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva | Eugene Puryear | 354 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Prohibition | Gene Amondson | Leroy Pletten | 275 | 0.01% | 0 | |
| **Totals** | **1,960,761** | **100.00%** | **9** | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 62.0% |
By parish
| Parish | John McCain | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Barack Obama | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | Various candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other parties | Margin | Total | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 1,148,275 | 58.56% | 782,989 | 39.93% | 29,497 | 1.51% | 365,286 | 18.63% | 1,960,761 | |||||||||||||
| Acadia | 19,229 | 71.99% | 7,028 | 26.31% | 454 | 1.70% | 12,201 | 45.68% | 26,711 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allen | 6,333 | 66.90% | 2,891 | 30.54% | 243 | 2.57% | 3,442 | 36.36% | 9,467 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ascension | 31,239 | 67.08% | 14,625 | 31.40% | 707 | 1.52% | 16,614 | 35.68% | 46,571 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Assumption | 5,981 | 54.57% | 4,756 | 43.39% | 223 | 2.03% | 1,225 | 11.18% | 10,960 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Avoyelles | 10,236 | 60.43% | 6,327 | 37.35% | 375 | 2.21% | 3,909 | 23.08% | 16,938 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beauregard | 10,718 | 76.15% | 3,071 | 21.82% | 285 | 2.03% | 7,647 | 54.33% | 14,074 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bienville | 3,776 | 50.82% | 3,589 | 48.30% | 65 | 0.87% | 187 | 2.52% | 7,430 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bossier | 32,713 | 71.37% | 12,703 | 27.71% | 419 | 0.91% | 20,010 | 43.66% | 45,835 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Caddo | 52,228 | 48.07% | 55,536 | 51.11% | 896 | 0.82% | -3,308 | -3.04% | 108,660 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Calcasieu | 50,449 | 61.43% | 30,244 | 36.82% | 1,438 | 1.75% | 20,205 | 24.61% | 82,131 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Caldwell | 3,696 | 75.54% | 1,118 | 22.85% | 79 | 1.61% | 2,578 | 52.69% | 4,893 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cameron | 3,089 | 81.44% | 613 | 16.16% | 91 | 2.40% | 2,476 | 65.28% | 3,793 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Catahoula | 3,486 | 66.72% | 1,659 | 31.75% | 80 | 1.53% | 1,827 | 34.97% | 5,225 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Claiborne | 3,750 | 54.82% | 3,025 | 44.22% | 66 | 0.96% | 725 | 10.60% | 6,841 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Concordia | 5,668 | 59.49% | 3,766 | 39.53% | 93 | 0.98% | 1,902 | 19.96% | 9,527 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DeSoto | 6,883 | 56.16% | 5,242 | 42.77% | 132 | 1.08% | 1,641 | 13.39% | 12,257 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| East Baton Rouge | 95,390 | 48.34% | 99,652 | 50.50% | 2,307 | 1.17% | -4,262 | -2.16% | 197,349 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| East Carroll | 1,254 | 35.23% | 2,267 | 63.70% | 38 | 1.07% | -1,013 | -28.47% | 3,559 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| East Feliciana | 5,432 | 54.61% | 4,383 | 44.06% | 132 | 1.33% | 1,049 | 10.55% | 9,947 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Evangeline | 9,793 | 61.30% | 5,853 | 36.64% | 330 | 2.07% | 3,940 | 24.66% | 15,976 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Franklin | 6,278 | 67.09% | 2,961 | 31.64% | 119 | 1.27% | 3,317 | 35.45% | 9,358 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Grant | 6,907 | 80.71% | 1,474 | 17.22% | 177 | 2.07% | 5,433 | 63.49% | 8,558 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Iberia | 20,127 | 60.68% | 12,492 | 37.66% | 549 | 1.66% | 7,635 | 23.02% | 33,168 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Iberville | 7,185 | 43.75% | 9,023 | 54.95% | 213 | 1.30% | -1,838 | -11.20% | 16,421 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jackson | 5,190 | 67.09% | 2,456 | 31.75% | 90 | 1.16% | 2,734 | 35.34% | 7,736 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jefferson | 113,191 | 62.50% | 65,096 | 35.94% | 2,833 | 1.56% | 48,095 | 26.56% | 181,120 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jefferson Davis | 9,278 | 68.72% | 3,923 | 29.06% | 300 | 2.22% | 5,355 | 39.66% | 13,501 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lafayette | 62,055 | 64.88% | 32,145 | 33.61% | 1,442 | 1.51% | 29,910 | 31.27% | 95,642 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lafourche | 27,089 | 71.49% | 9,662 | 25.50% | 1,142 | 3.01% | 17,427 | 45.99% | 37,893 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LaSalle | 5,602 | 85.49% | 860 | 13.12% | 91 | 1.39% | 4,742 | 72.37% | 6,553 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 10,680 | 55.69% | 8,292 | 43.23% | 207 | 1.08% | 2,388 | 12.46% | 19,179 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Livingston | 43,269 | 85.02% | 6,681 | 13.13% | 942 | 1.85% | 36,588 | 71.89% | 50,892 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Madison | 2,152 | 40.60% | 3,100 | 58.49% | 48 | 0.91% | -948 | -17.89% | 5,300 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Morehouse | 7,258 | 54.98% | 5,792 | 43.88% | 150 | 1.14% | 1,466 | 11.10% | 13,200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Natchitoches | 9,054 | 53.05% | 7,801 | 45.71% | 212 | 1.24% | 1,253 | 7.34% | 17,067 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Orleans | 28,130 | 19.08% | 117,102 | 79.42% | 2,207 | 1.50% | -88,972 | -60.34% | 147,439 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ouachita | 41,741 | 62.07% | 24,813 | 36.90% | 690 | 1.03% | 16,928 | 25.17% | 67,244 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Plaquemines | 6,894 | 65.98% | 3,380 | 32.35% | 175 | 1.67% | 3,514 | 33.63% | 10,449 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pointe Coupee | 6,702 | 53.90% | 5,516 | 44.36% | 217 | 1.75% | 1,186 | 9.54% | 12,435 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rapides | 36,611 | 63.65% | 20,127 | 34.99% | 783 | 1.36% | 16,484 | 28.66% | 57,521 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Red River | 2,484 | 53.66% | 2,080 | 44.93% | 65 | 1.40% | 404 | 8.73% | 4,629 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Richland | 5,751 | 62.64% | 3,311 | 36.06% | 119 | 1.30% | 2,440 | 26.58% | 9,181 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sabine | 7,226 | 74.87% | 2,245 | 23.26% | 181 | 1.88% | 4,981 | 51.61% | 9,652 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Bernard | 9,643 | 71.21% | 3,491 | 25.78% | 407 | 3.01% | 6,152 | 45.43% | 13,541 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Charles | 16,457 | 64.80% | 8,522 | 33.56% | 418 | 1.65% | 7,935 | 31.24% | 25,397 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Helena | 2,522 | 40.78% | 3,567 | 57.68% | 95 | 1.54% | -1,045 | -16.90% | 6,184 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. James | 5,432 | 43.23% | 6,994 | 55.67% | 138 | 1.10% | -1,562 | -12.44% | 12,564 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. John the Baptist | 8,912 | 41.15% | 12,424 | 57.37% | 320 | 1.48% | -3,512 | -16.22% | 21,656 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Landry | 21,650 | 50.95% | 20,268 | 47.70% | 575 | 1.35% | 1,382 | 3.25% | 42,493 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Martin | 14,443 | 59.55% | 9,419 | 38.84% | 390 | 1.61% | 5,024 | 20.71% | 24,252 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Mary | 13,183 | 57.56% | 9,345 | 40.80% | 375 | 1.64% | 3,838 | 16.76% | 22,903 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Tammany | 83,078 | 75.84% | 24,596 | 22.45% | 1,868 | 1.71% | 58,482 | 53.39% | 109,542 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tangipahoa | 31,434 | 64.68% | 16,438 | 33.82% | 730 | 1.50% | 14,996 | 30.86% | 48,602 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tensas | 1,367 | 44.97% | 1,646 | 54.14% | 27 | 0.89% | -279 | -9.17% | 3,040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Terrebonne | 28,210 | 69.32% | 11,581 | 28.46% | 905 | 2.22% | 16,629 | 40.86% | 40,696 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Union | 7,619 | 70.10% | 3,103 | 28.55% | 146 | 1.34% | 4,516 | 41.55% | 10,868 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Vermilion | 18,069 | 72.76% | 6,266 | 25.23% | 498 | 2.01% | 11,803 | 47.53% | 24,833 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Vernon | 11,946 | 75.76% | 3,534 | 22.41% | 289 | 1.83% | 8,412 | 53.35% | 15,769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | 12,215 | 65.59% | 6,122 | 32.87% | 287 | 1.54% | 6,093 | 32.72% | 18,624 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Webster | 11,417 | 62.49% | 6,610 | 36.18% | 243 | 1.33% | 4,807 | 26.31% | 18,270 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| West Baton Rouge | 6,654 | 56.08% | 5,043 | 42.50% | 169 | 1.42% | 1,611 | 13.58% | 11,866 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| West Carroll | 4,045 | 81.11% | 878 | 17.61% | 64 | 1.28% | 3,167 | 63.50% | 4,987 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| West Feliciana | 3,150 | 56.05% | 2,415 | 42.97% | 55 | 0.98% | 735 | 13.08% | 5,620 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Winn | 4,632 | 68.40% | 2,047 | 30.23% | 93 | 1.37% | 2,585 | 38.17% | 6,772 |
Democratic Republican ]]
;Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Caddo (largest city: Shreveport)
- East Baton Rouge (largest city: Baton Rouge)
;Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Assumption (largest city: Napoleonville)
- Pointe Coupee (largest city: New Roads)
By congressional district
John McCain carried six of the state's seven congressional districts, both McCain and Obama won a district won by the other party.
| District | McCain | Obama | Representative | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **72.72%** | 25.68% | Bobby Jindal ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||
| Steve Scalise ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||||
| 24.86% | **74.13%** | William J. Jefferson ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||
| Joseph Cao ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||||
| **60.99%** | 37.03% | Charles Melancon | |||||||
| **59.28%** | 39.57% | Jim McCrery ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||
| John C. Fleming ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||||
| **61.75%** | 36.96% | Rodney Alexander | |||||||
| **57.40%** | 41.26% | Don Cazayoux ([110th Congress](110th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||
| Bill Cassidy ([111th Congress](111th-united-states-congress)) | |||||||||
| **63.14%** | 35.20% | Charles Boustany |
Electors
Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:
- Lynn Skidmore
- Joe Lavigne
- Gordon Giles - He replaced Billy Nungesser, who was absent due to illness.
- Alan Seabaugh
- Karen Haymon
- Charles Davis
- Charlie Buckels
- Dianne Christopher
- Roger F. Villere Jr.
References
References
- "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
- (2009-01-01). "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.".
- (2015-05-05). "Presidential".
- (2009-04-22). "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions".
- "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".
- Based on Takeaway
- "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".
- "RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map".
- "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".
- (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times.
- (2008-10-31). "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN.
- (April 27, 2010). "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News.
- "roadto270".
- "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".
- [http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=22 Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections]
- "Presidential Campaign Finance".
- "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
- "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
- "Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Site.".
- "Official General Election Results". The Green Papers.
- [http://www.lataxpayers.com/ Louisiana Taxpayers]
- "Electoral College". [[California Secretary of State]].
- "Archived copy".
- (July 2016)
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