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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

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Field	Value
election_name	2008 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
country	North Carolina
type	legislative
ongoing	no
previous_election	2006 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
previous_year	2006
next_election	2010 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
next_year	2010
seats_for_election	All 13 North Carolina seats in the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
last_election1	7
seats1	8
seat_change1	1
popular_vote1	2,293,971
percentage1	54.42%
swing1	1.51%
party2	Republican Party (United States)
last_election2	6
seats2	5
seat_change2	1
popular_vote2	1,901,517
percentage2	45.11%
swing2	1.98%
map_image
map_caption

Democratic Republican The United States House of Representative elections of 2008 in North Carolina were held on November 4, 2008, as part of the biennial election to the United States House of Representatives. All thirteen seats in North Carolina, and 435 nationwide, were elected to the 111th United States Congress. The party primary elections were held on May 6, 2008.

Carried on the coattails of Barack Obama winning the state in the presidential election, the Democrats added one seat to their seven won in 2006. The Republican Party won the other five. In the 8th district, Democrat Larry Kissell defeated incumbent Robin Hayes. All other incumbents won re-election. The Republicans' hold on the 10th district had been thought to be at risk by CQ Politics, but Republican Patrick McHenry won re-election. The Democrats increased their total vote share by 1.5% statewide, and 2.5% if excluding the 1st, which the Republicans didn't contest in 2006.

It is not to be confused with the election to the North Carolina House of Representatives, which was held on the same day.

Summary

District	2008 status	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
1	G. K. Butterfield	Re-election		G. K. Butterfield	Dean Stephens
2	Bob Etheridge	Re-election		Bob Etheridge	Dan Mansell	Will Adkins
3	Walter B. Jones Jr.	Re-election	Craig Weber		Walter B. Jones Jr.
4	David Price	Re-election		David Price	B.J. Lawson
5	Virginia Foxx	Re-election	Roy Carter		Virginia Foxx
6	Howard Coble	Re-election	Teresa Sue Bratton		Howard Coble
7	Mike McIntyre	Re-election		Mike McIntyre	Will Breazeale
8	Robin Hayes	Defeated		Larry Kissell	Robin Hayes
9	Sue Myrick	Re-election	Harry Taylor		Sue Myrick	Andy Grum
10	Patrick McHenry	Re-election	Daniel Johnson		Patrick McHenry
11	Heath Shuler	Re-election		Heath Shuler	Carl Mumpower	Keith Smith
12	Mel Watt	Re-election		Mel Watt	Ty Cobb Jr.
13	Brad Miller	Re-election		Brad Miller	Hugh Webster

District 1

This district, located in the northeastern portion of the state, is represented by Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who first won it in a 2004 special election. It is the only majority-black district in the state, and is overwhelmingly Democratic (Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9). It is one of the few districts in the former Confederacy that has not elected a Republican since the end of Reconstruction. Butterfield was opposed by Republican William A. "Dean" Stephens. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 2

This district includes several suburban and rural areas near Raleigh, Rocky Mount and Fayetteville. It has been represented by Democrat Bob Etheridge since 1997. The district is a swing district on paper (CPVI of R+3); it narrowly supported Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, and gave equally narrow margins to George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. However, Etheridge is very popular in this area. In 2008, he faced his 2006 opponent, Republican Dan Mansell, and Libertarian Will Adkins. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 3

This district stretches along the northeastern and east-central portions of the state, including the Outer Banks. It has been represented by Republican Walter B. Jones Jr. since 1995. Although Democrats have a 14-point plurality of registered voters, Jones had long been thought to have an unbreakable hold on this district. Much of this area had been part of the 1st prior to 1993, and Jones's father, popular 14-term Democrat Walter B. Jones Sr., is still an icon in this region. However, Jones's voting record has shifted increasingly to the center for some time, and he has become one of the most vocal Republican opponents of the Iraq War. This has caused considerable chagrin among Republicans in his district. Onslow County Commissioner Joe McLaughlin announced in mid-2007 that he would challenge Jones in the Republican primary. Jones defeated McLaughlin in the May 6 primary, with about 60 percent of the vote. 2006 Democratic nominee Craig Weber won his party's primary over Marshall Adame, carrying about 70 percent of the vote. The district has a CPVI of R+15—a three-way statistical tie for the most Republican district in the state, making it a very difficult pickup for Democrats on paper. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 4

This district includes the heart of the Triangle area, including part of Raleigh and all of Durham and Chapel Hill, North Carolina. It has been represented by Democrat David Price since 1997 (he previously represented the 4th from 1987 to 1995). Despite a CPVI of only D+5, the influence of the state's three major research universities plus Price's status as an Appropriations subcommittee chairman (or "Cardinal") make Price a heavy favorite. Two Republicans competed in a May primary for the right to face Price: Augustus Cho and William (B.J.) Lawson. Lawson won, with about 70 percent of the vote. Libertarian Maximillian Longley also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 5

Democrats Roy Carter and Diane Hamby filed to run against incumbent Virginia Foxx. Carter won the May 6 primary, with just over 50 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 6

Democrats Johnny J. Carter, Jay Ovittore, and Teresa Sue Bratton (campaign website) filed to run against incumbent Howard Coble. Bratton won the May 6 primary, with 61 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 7

McIntyre:

Republican Will Breazeale opposed incumbent Mike McIntyre. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 8

Democratic nominee Larry Kissell won against incumbent Robin Hayes, reversing the result from 2006 when Kissell came up only 329 votes short of upsetting Hayes. Libertarian Thomas Hill also ran. CQ Politics rated it as 'No Clear Favorite', The Rothenberg Political Report as 'Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic', and The Cook Political Report as 'Republican Toss Up'

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
Hayes (R-i) vs Kissell (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 9

Ross Overby and Harry Taylor ran in the Democratic primary, and incumbent Sue Myrick faced opposition from Jack Stratton in the Republican primary. Taylor defeated Overby, with about 58 percent of the vote, while Myrick easily won re-nomination with 92 percent of the vote. Libertarian Andy Grum also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 10

Republican incumbent Patrick McHenry defeated Democratic nominee Daniel Johnson, but the margin of victory was McHenry's smallest to date. Johnson defeated Steve Ivester in the May 6 Democratic primary, with about 60 percent of the vote. McHenry won the Republican primary, garnering about 67 percent of the vote in a race against attorney Lance Sigmon. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Republican Favored', while Cook Political Report ranked it as 'Likely Republican'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Race Rankings from Cook Political Report
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
McHenry (R-i) vs Johnson (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 11

Shuler:
First-term incumbent Heath Shuler faced Carl Mumpower, who won a three-way Republican primary that included Spence Campbell and John C. Armor. Shuler was favored, since he did not face opposition from the man he defeated in 2006, former Rep. Charles H. Taylor. Libertarian Keith Smith also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 12

Incumbent Mel Watt was the heavy favorite over little-known Republican and U.S. Army veteran Ty Cobb Jr. (no known relation to the baseball legend Ty Cobb). CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

District 13

Incumbent Brad Miller faced Republican former state senator Hugh Webster, after easily defeating little-known Derald Hafner in the Democratic primary, with 88 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 6, 2008
Rothenberg		November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics		November 7, 2008
CQ Politics		November 6, 2008

References

(6 November 2006). "2008 Competitive House Race Chart". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
(2 November 2006). "2008 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
(6 November 2008). "2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
(7 November 2008). "Battle for the House of Representatives". Real Clear Politics.
"Race Ratings Chart: House". Congressional Quarterly Inc.
"2008 General Election". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
link. (October 28, 2010 ''CQ Politics'')
[https://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2008/10/2008-house-ratings.html 2008 House Ratings] ''The Rothenberg Political Report'', October 14, 2008.
[http://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2008-10-15_12-45-22.php 2008 Competitive House Race Chart] {{Webarchive. link. (2008-10-16 ''The Cook POlitical Report'', October 14, 2008.)
[http://www.ourcampaigns.com/CandidateDetail.html?CandidateID=10402 OurCampaigns.com]
"Charlotte Observer {{!}} 05/06/2008 {{!}} Congress District 10: McHenry wins by wide margin over Sigmon".
"Salisbury Post".

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