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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

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FieldValue
election_name2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
countryIndiana
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
previous_year2006
next_election2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
next_year2010
seats_for_electionAll 9 Indiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Democratic Party (United States)
last_election1**5**
seats1**5**
seat_change1
popular_vote1**1,388,963**
percentage1**51.89%**
swing13.15%
party2Republican Party (United States)
last_election24
seats24
seat_change2
popular_vote21,240,577
percentage246.34%
swing23.56%
map_image
map_caption

Democratic Republican The 2008 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who will represent the State of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. The elections coincide with the 2008 U.S. presidential election.

The delegation comprised five Democrats and four Republicans. All 9 incumbents won re-election. As of , this is the last time in which Democrats won both a majority of U.S. House seats and the House popular vote in Indiana.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2008PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic1,388,96351.89%5-
Republican1,240,57746.34%4-
Libertarian47,3061.77%0-
Independents40-
**Totals****2,676,850****100.00%****9****-**

District 1

Visclosky:

This district includes a small strip of northwest Indiana and had been represented by Democrat Pete Visclosky since January 1985. The district has been one of the most Democratic in Indiana. John Kerry defeated George W. Bush in this district 55% to 44% in 2004.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 2

Donnelly:

This district is centered on South Bend, Indiana and the Indiana portion of the Michiana region. It had been represented by Democrat Joe Donnelly since January 2007.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Polling

SourceDateJoe
Donnelly (D)Luke
Puckett (R)
South Bend Tribune/
Research 2000September 29–30, 2008**53%**35%

Results

District 3

Souder:
This district is located in the northeast corner of Indiana and has a large population center in Fort Wayne. Republican Mark Souder represented the district since January 1995 and was challenged by Mike Montagano in 2008. George W. Bush defeated John Kerry in this district 68% to 31%.

Polling

SourceDateDemocrat: Mike MontaganoRepublican: Mark Souder
Howey GaugeOctober 23–24, 2008**44%**41%
Research 2000October 16–18, 200840%**45%**
Winston GroupOctober 15–16, 200841%**50%**
Cooper and SecrestOctober 6–7, 200839%**44%**
Cooper and SecrestApril 24–27, 200828%**55%**

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 4

Buyer:
Ackerson: }}

This district is located in west-central Indiana. Located within the district is the city of West Lafayette, Lafayette, Bedford, Monticello, Brownsburg, Plainfield, Zionsville, Lebanon, Frankfort, Greenwood and parts of Indianapolis and many smaller suburban towns. It had been represented by Republican Steve Buyer since January 1993.

Polling

SourceDateDemocrat: Nels AckersonRepublican: Steve Buyer
Journal & CourierSeptember 12–14, 200836%**38%**

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 5

This district located mostly north of Indianapolis is one of the most reliably Republican in America, having voted 71%-28% for George W. Bush in 2004. It was represented by Republican Dan Burton.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 6

Pence: }}

This district takes in a large portion of eastern Indiana, including the cities of Muncie, Anderson, and Richmond. It was represented by Republican Mike Pence.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 7

This district is in the heart of Central Indiana and encompasses most of Marion County/Indianapolis. André Carson won the special election to fill this seat and represented since March 13, 2008.

Carson won the primary election with 46%, while Woody Myers received 24%, David Orentlicher received 21%, and Carolene Mays received 8%. Carson and his Republican challenger in the special election, Jon Elrod, were set to face off in the general election but Elrod dropped out. Gabrielle Campo was selected by a party caucus to face the incumbent, Carson. John Kerry defeated George W. Bush in this district 58% to 41% in 2004.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Polling

SourceDateDemocrat: André CarsonRepublican: Gabrielle Campo
Research 2000/WISH-TVOctober 24–28, 2008**53%**38%
date=April 2019bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}September 29-October 3, 2008**51%**35%

Results

District 8

Ellsworth:

This district has been nicknamed the "Bloody Eighth" because of a series of hard-fought tight campaigns and political reversals. It ousted six incumbents from 1966 to 1982. The election in 1984 was so close that it was decided in Congress. In 2000, a New York Times reporter said of the district: "With a populist streak and a conservative bent, this district does not cotton to country-club Republicans or to social-engineering liberals," and also said "More than 95 percent white and about 41 percent rural, the region shares much of the flavor of the Bible Belt." Evansville and Terre Haute are located within its limits and was represented by Democrat Brad Ellsworth.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

District 9

Hill:
Sodrel:

This district is located in southeast Indiana. This swing district has been recently fought out by Democrat Baron Hill and Republican Mike Sodrel. Hill beat Sodrel in 2002, Sodrel beat Hill in 2004, and Hill beat Sodrel in 2006 to become the 9th's representative. Hill spent the most on his campaign of those in Indiana, spending $2.2 million. The largest city located within the district is Bloomington followed by Columbus, New Albany, Jeffersonville, and Clarksville which all have Democratic Mayors or Council Presidents.

Polling

SourceDateDemocrat: Baron HillRepublican: Mike Sodrel
Survey USAOctober 22–23, 2008**54%**39%
Survey USAOctober 4–5, 2008**53%**38%
date=April 2019bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}September 29-October 3, 2008**49%**37%
Survey USASeptember 8–10, 2008**50%**39%
date=July 2016bot=InternetArchiveBotfix-attempted=yes }}July 28–30, 2008**49%**42%
Survey USAJune 16–18, 2008**51%**40%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2008
RothenbergNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2008
CQ PoliticsNovember 6, 2008

Results

References

References

  1. "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives". Clerk.house.gov.
  2. (6 November 2006). "2008 Competitive House Race Chart". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
  3. (2 November 2006). "2008 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  4. (6 November 2008). "2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  5. (7 November 2008). "Battle for the House of Representatives". Real Clear Politics.
  6. "Race Ratings Chart: House". Congressional Quarterly Inc.
  7. (July 2016)
  8. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/politics_nation/2008/10/in_03_scaring_souder.html Howey Gauge]
  9. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/politics_nation/2008/10/in_03_scaring_souder.html Research 2000]
  10. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/politics_nation/2008/10/in_03_scaring_souder.html Winston Group]
  11. [https://web.archive.org/web/20081128022833/http://blueindiana.net/showDiary.do?diaryId=3248 Cooper and Secrest]
  12. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110716172329/http://swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2172 Cooper and Secrest]
  13. [http://www.jconline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2008809140331 Journal & Courier]
  14. Staff, The Hill. (May 7, 2008). "State by State".
  15. "'''Indystar.com''': Elrod drops race against Andre Carson".
  16. "'''Indystar.com''': GOP selects a newcomer to face Carson".
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110706062047/http://www.wishtv.com/generic/news/politics/Indiana_Poll Research 2000/WISH-TV]
  18. (April 2019)
  19. "General election".
  20. Dirk Johnson, [https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D00E5D8113CF933A25753C1A9669C8B63 "The 2000 Campaign: An Indiana Race; Conservatives Face Off in Quirky Populist District"], [[The New York Times]], October 10, 2000
  21. Groppe, Maureen. (December 6, 2008). "Baron Hill's win over Mike Sodrel most expensive". [[The Indianapolis Star]].
  22. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6569356f-c1ed-4de5-a910-204d8ecb4e2d/ Survey USA]
  23. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8089d6e2-6a5d-434d-99d3-10e87f0594f7/ Survey USA]
  24. (April 2019)
  25. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ed92755b-8801-4586-a4f8-281dc7b94e32 Survey USA]
  26. (July 2016)
  27. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d889972b-765a-49b9-b23a-4aefbc6e90ba Survey USA]
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