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2008 Missouri gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2008 Missouri gubernatorial election
countryMissouri
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2004 Missouri gubernatorial election
previous_year2004
next_election2012 Missouri gubernatorial election
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 4, 2008
image_sizex150px
<!-- Jay Nixon -->image1File:Jay Nixon (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Jay Nixon**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,680,661**
percentage1**58.40%**
<!-- Kenny Hulshof -->image2Image:Rep Kenny Hulshof (cropped).jpg
nominee2Kenny Hulshof
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,136,364
percentage239.49%
map_image{{switcher
default1
map_size270px
map_caption**Nixon:** 90%}}--
**Hulshof:** 90%}}
**Tie:** --
titleGovernor
before_electionMatt Blunt
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJay Nixon
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2008 Missouri gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|271px]] |County results |[[File:2008 Missouri gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|271px]] |Congressional district results |Precinct results -- Hulshof: 90%}} Tie: -- The 2008 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican Governor Matt Blunt decided to retire instead of seeking reelection to a second term in office. Despite John McCain narrowly carrying the state in the concurrent presidential election, Democratic nominee Jay Nixon won the open seat, defeating Republican nominee Kenny Hulshof in a landslide.

As of 2024, this remains the last gubernatorial election in which the Democratic Party improved upon its performance from the previous election.

Background

On January 22, 2008, Governor Blunt unexpectedly announced that he would not seek re-election because he had already "achieved virtually everything I set out to accomplish, and more ... Because I feel we have changed what I wanted to change in the first term, there is not the same sense of mission for a second."

A November 2007 poll conducted by SurveyUSA showed Blunt with a 44% approval rating. His approval among Republicans polled was 68%, and his rating among Democrats was 23%. On November 10, 2007, Democrat Jay Nixon filed the necessary paperwork with the Missouri Ethics Commission to launch a 2008 campaign for governor.

The gubernatorial and other statewide office primaries were held August 5, 2008. CQ Politics rated the race as 'Leans Democratic'.

Timeline

  • March 25, 2008 – Filing deadline for Democrats, Republicans and Libertarians
  • August 5, 2008 – Primary (gubernatorial and other statewide office) elections
  • August 19, 2008 – Filing deadline for other third parties and Independents
  • November 4, 2008 – General election.

Primaries

Republican primary

Democratic primary

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 16, 2008
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2008
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 4, 2008

Polling

SourceDateKenny
Hulshof (R)Jay
Nixon (D)
Public Policy PollingNovember 2, 200838%**58%**
Survey USANovember 2, 200839%**54%**
Survey USAOctober 26, 200838%**55%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 14, 200838%**57%**
Survey USASeptember 24, 200837%**54%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 11, 200839%**54%**
Public Policy PollingAugust 17, 200842%**48%**
Survey USAJuly 31, 200842%**48%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 7, 200838%**49%**
RasmussenJune 9, 200834%**54%**
Survey USAMay 20, 200833%**57%**
RasmussenMay 8, 200835%**51%**
RasmussenMarch 24, 200837%**48%**
RasmussenFebruary 13, 200830%**48%**

With Steelman

SourceDateSarah
Steelman (R)Jay
Nixon (D)
Survey USAJuly 31, 200841%**50%**
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 7, 200837%**46%**
RasmussenJune 9, 200834%**56%**
Survey USAMay 20, 200833%**58%**
RasmussenMay 8, 200835%**51%**
RasmussenMarch 24, 200839%**46%**
RasmussenFebruary 13, 200835%**46%**

With Blunt

SourceDateMatt
Blunt (R)Jay
Nixon (D)
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 12, 200742%**47%**
Research2000November 24, 200742%**51%**
RasmussenOctober 10, 2007**44%**43%
RasmussenAugust 23, 200743%**46%**
SurveyUSAJuly 25–27, 200738%**57%**

Results

On election night, Nixon won easily, even though fellow Democrat Barack Obama lost in Missouri in the concurrent presidential election (albeit by only 4,000 votes). Nixon was able to perform well in rural parts of the state. When combined with heavily populated, strong Democratic areas like St. Louis and Kansas City, Hulshof didn't have a chance to come back. Nixon was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Missouri. Hulshof conceded defeat at 9:02 P.M. Central Time.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Caldwell (Largest city: Hamilton)
  • Daviess (Largest city: Gallatin)
  • Gentry (Largest city: Albany)
  • Crawford (Largest city: Cuba)
  • Oregon (Largest city: Thayer)
  • Vernon (Largest city: Nevada)
  • Lincoln (Largest city: Troy)
  • St. Clair (Largest city: Appleton City)
  • Livingston (Largest city: Chillicothe)
  • Andrew (Largest city: Savannah)
  • Atchison (Largest city: Tarkio)
  • Benton (Largest city: Warsaw)
  • Camden (Largest city: Osage Beach)
  • Carter (Largest city: Van Buren)
  • Cass (Largest city: Harrisonville)
  • Dallas (Largest city: Buffalo)
  • Dent (Largest city: Salem)
  • Douglas (Largest city: Ava)
  • Howell (Largest city: West Plains)
  • Laclede (Largest city: Lebanon)
  • Maries (Largest city: Belle)
  • Morgan (Largest city: Versailles)
  • Ozark (Largest city: Gainesville)
  • Pulaski (Largest city: Fort Leonard Wood)
  • Polk (Largest city: Bolivar)
  • Phelps (Largest city: Rolla)
  • Ripley (Largest city: Doniphan)
  • Texas (Largest city: Licking)
  • Wright (Largest city: Mountain Grove)
  • Webster (Largest city: Marshfield)
  • Audrain (Largest city: Mexico)
  • Bates (Largest city: Butler)
  • Chariton (Largest city: Salisbury)
  • Clark (Largest city: Kahoka)
  • Dunklin (Largest city: Kennett)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Washington)
  • Henry (Largest city: Clinton)
  • Hickory (Largest city: Hermitage)
  • Howard (Largest city: Fayette)
  • Iron (Largest city: Ironton)
  • Knox (Largest city: Edina)
  • Lafayette (Largest city: Odessa)
  • Lewis (Largest city: Canton)
  • Linn (Largest city: Brookfield)
  • Madison (Largest city: Fredericktown)
  • Nodaway (Largest city: Maryville)
  • Pike (Largest city: Bowling Green)
  • Reynolds (Largest city: Ellington)
  • Scott (Largest city: Sikeston)
  • Shannon (Largest city: Winona)
  • St. Francois (Largest city: Farmington)
  • Wayne (Largest city: Piedmont)
  • Buchanan (Largest city: St. Joseph)
  • Washington (Largest city: Potosi)
  • Iron (largest city: Ironton)
  • St. Charles (largest city: O'Fallon)
  • Pettis (largest city: Sedalia)
  • Adair (largest city: Kirksville)
  • Greene (largest city: Springfield)
  • Johnson (largest city: Warrensburg)
  • Monroe (Largest city: Monroe City)

References

References

  1. Shelton, Missy. (January 22, 2008). "Governor Matt Blunt Will Not Seek Re-election". [[KSMU]].
  2. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=875af2a3-1bf2-4291-ab03-00e54f1c405c ''Survey USA'']
  3. [http://www.columbiatribune.com/2005/Nov/20051110News008.asp Article]{{dead link. (February 2018)
  4. [http://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/2008primary/ August 5, 2008 State Primary Election Information] ''Missouri Secretary of State''
  5. link. (2008-10-12 ''CQ Politics'', October 8, 2008)
  6. [http://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/calendar/2008cal.asp 2008 Missouri Election Calendar] from the ''Missouri Secretary of State''
  7. "Aug 5, 2008 Primary Election : Election Night Map : Missouri Secretary of State".
  8. "2008 Governor Race ratings".
  9. "2008 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  10. "THE LAST LAST WORD The Crystal Ball's Final Projections for the 2008 Election".
  11. (November 4, 2008). "2008 Missouri Governor Race". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  12. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Missouri_1103967.pdf/ Public Policy Polling]
  13. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ff462685-8503-45a3-b448-84a2fb062b12/ Survey USA]
  14. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d5910d9a-6a74-4072-8746-9d5234c36359/ Survey USA]
  15. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080712180524/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_governor_elections/missouri/election_2008_missouri_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  16. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9cb3dd6c-723e-4835-a673-f8a563625cca/ Survey USA]
  17. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Missouri_820.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  18. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7e8e4efd-dafd-41b5-8e8c-ed974ddfb1c6/ Survey USA]
  19. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080712180524/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_governor_elections/missouri/election_2008_missouri_governor Rasmussen]
  20. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=56747b35-b96a-4d18-98cd-ade699e03dc6 Survey USA]
  21. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080813161325/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_governor_elections/missouri/nixon_d_lead_growing_in_missouri_governor_s_race Rasmussen]
  22. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080604164525/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/missouri/missouri_governor_toplines_march_24_2008 Rasmussen]
  23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20080217154657/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_governor_elections/election_2008_missouri_governor Rasmussen]
  24. [https://web.archive.org/web/20071219090837/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/missouri_2008_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
  25. {{usurped
  26. [https://web.archive.org/web/20070830215621/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/state_toplines/missouri_toplines_august_23_2007 Rasmussen]
  27. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8384602e-7a93-4779-b82f-bdddb1cd370c/ SurveyUSA]
Info: Wikipedia Source

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