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2006 United States Senate election in Florida

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2006 United States Senate election in Florida

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FieldValue
election_name2006 United States Senate election in Florida
countryFlorida
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 United States Senate election in Florida
previous_year2000
next_election2012 United States Senate election in Florida
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 7, 2006
image_sizex155px
image1Bill Nelson.jpg
nominee1**Bill Nelson**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**2,890,548**
percentage1**60.30%**
image2Katherine Harris (R–FL) (cropped).jpeg
nominee2Katherine Harris
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,826,127
percentage238.10%
map_image2006 United States Senate election in Florida results map by county.svg
map_size300px
map_captionCounty results
**Nelson:**
**Harris:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionBill Nelson
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBill Nelson
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Nelson:
Harris:
The 2006 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bill Nelson won re-election to a second term.

Background

During the Terri Schiavo case in March 2005, a talking points memo on the controversy was written by Brian Darling, the legal counsel to Republican Senator Mel Martínez of Florida. The memo suggested the Schiavo case offered "a great political issue" that would appeal to the party's base (core supporters) and could be used against Senator Bill Nelson, a Democrat from Florida who was up for reelection in 2006, because he had refused to co-sponsor the bill which came to be known as the Palm Sunday Compromise. Bill Nelson was nevertheless reelected as Senator on November 7, 2006, with 60% of the vote.

Florida was one of five Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that George W. Bush won in the 2004 presidential election.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • LeRoy Collins Jr., retired naval officer and son of former Governor LeRoy Collins
  • Katherine Harris, U.S. Representative and former Florida Secretary of State
  • Will McBride, attorney
  • Peter Monroe, businessman and former COO of the Federal Housing Administration

Endorsements

  • The Bradenton Herald: McBride
  • Florida (Jacksonville) Times-Union: Collins or Monroe
  • Gainesville Sun: Collins
  • Lakeland Ledger: Collins
  • Miami Herald: Collins
  • Naples Daily News: Collins
  • Orlando Sentinel: McBride
  • Palm Beach Post: Monroe
  • Sarasota Herald-Tribune: no endorsement
  • South Florida (Fort Lauderdale) Sun Sentinel: Monroe
  • St. Petersburg Times: Collins
  • Tampa Tribune: Collins

Polling

Poll SourceDateLeRoy
Collins Jr.Katherine
HarrisWill
McBridePeter
Monroe
Strategic VisionJuly 26, 20069%**45%**22%7%
Mason-DixonJuly 26, 20068%**36%**11%2%
QuinnipiacJuly 27, 20066%**40%**21%3%
Scroth Eldon & AssociatesAugust 11, 20069%**28%**11%5%
SurveyUSAAugust 24, 200620%**43%**15%7%
Strategic VisionAugust 30, 200619%**38%**21%5%
QuinnipiacAugust 31, 200611%**38%**22%3%
SurveyUSAAugust 31, 200612%**45%**22%5%
Mason-DixonSeptember 2, 200617%**38%**21%2%
**Primary Results**September 5, 200615%**49%**30%5%
Republican Primary results by county{{collapsible list

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Floyd Ray Frazier (Independent)
  • Katherine Harris, former Florida Secretary of State and former U.S. Representative (Republican)
  • Brian Moore, retired health care executive and former congressional candidate (Independent)
  • Bill Nelson, incumbent U.S. Senator (Democratic)
  • Belinda Noah (Independent)
  • Roy Tanner (Independent)

Campaign

The organization Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW), which monitors political corruption, complained to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) in October 2006 that the Bacardi beverage company had illegally used corporate resources in support of a fundraising event for Nelson in 2005. CREW had previously filed a similar complaint concerning a Bacardi fundraising event for Republican Senator Mel Martinez, an event that raised as much as $60,000 for Martinez's campaign. The amended complaint alleged that, on both occasions, Bacardi violated the Federal Election Campaign Act and FEC regulations by soliciting contributions from a list of the corporation's vendors.

Endorsements

In a rare move, all twenty-two of Florida's daily newspapers supported Nelson, while none supported Harris in the general election.

  • Bradenton Herald: Bill Nelson
  • Charlotte Sun-Herald: Bill Nelson
  • Daytona Beach News-Journal: Bill Nelson
  • Florida Times-Union: Bill Nelson
  • Fort Myers News-Press: Bill Nelson
  • Gainesville Sun: Bill Nelson
  • Lakeland Ledger: Bill Nelson
  • Miami Herald: Bill Nelson
  • Naples Daily News: Bill Nelson
  • Orlando Sentinel: Bill Nelson
  • Palm Beach Post: Bill Nelson
  • Pensacola News Journal: Bill Nelson
  • Saint Petersburg Times: Bill Nelson
  • Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Bill Nelson
  • Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers: Bill Nelson
  • South Florida Sun-Sentinel: Bill Nelson
  • Tallahassee Democrat: Bill Nelson
  • Tampa Tribune: Bill Nelson

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 6, 2006

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll SourceDateBill
Nelson (D)Katherine
Harris (R)
Strategic Vision (R)July 20, 2005**48%**40%
Strategic Vision (R)August 21, 2005**47%**38%
QuinnipiacAugust 31, 2005**57%**33%
Strategic Vision (R)September 22, 2005**48%**36%
RasmussenNovember 14, 2005**53%**36%
QuinnipiacNovember 15, 2005**55%**31%
Strategic Vision (R)November 30, 2005**48%**32%
RasmussenJanuary 5, 2006**54%**31%
RasmussenFebruary 14, 2006**49%**40%
Strategic Vision (R)February 22, 2006**49%**34%
QuinnipiacFebruary 24, 2006**53%**31%
University of North FloridaMarch 15, 2006**48%**28%
Mason-DixonMarch 29, 2006**51%**35%
Strategic Vision (R)March 30, 2006**56%**28%
Zogby/WSJMarch 31, 2006**50%**37%
RasmussenApril 14, 2006**57%**27%
QuinnipiacApril 20, 2006**56%**27%
Strategic Vision (R)April 26, 2006**56%**24%
RasmussenMay 22, 2006**60%**33%
Strategic Vision (R)May 25, 2006**56%**26%
QuinnipiacMay 25, 2006**58%**25%
Zogby/WSJJune 21, 2006**51%**33%
Strategic Vision (R)June 28, 2006**61%**26%
QuinnipiacJune 30, 2006**59%**26%
Zogby/WSJJuly 24, 2006**55%**34%
Strategic Vision (R)July 26, 2006**60%**22%
Mason-DixonJuly 26, 2006**57%**29%
QuinnipiacJuly 27, 2006**61%**24%
RasmussenJuly 28, 2006**61%**33%
St. Petersburg TimesAugust 11, 2006**60%**25%
Zogby/WSJAugust 28, 2006**52%**32%
Strategic Vision (R)August 30, 2006**63%**20%
RasmussenSeptember 5, 2006**57%**34%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 11, 2006**51%**33%
SurveyUSASeptember 14, 2006**53%**38%
Mason-DixonSeptember 20–22, 2006**53%**35%
Strategic Vision (R)September 27, 2006**59%**31%
RasmussenSeptember 27, 2006**56%**33%
RasmussenOctober 4, 2006**54%**37%
SurveyUSAOctober 10, 2006**55%**37%
QuinnipiacOctober 11, 2006**61%**33%
Mason-DixonOctober 16–17, 2006**57%**31%
Strategic Vision (R)October 25, 2006**58%**35%
QuinnipiacOctober 25, 2006**64%**29%
St. Petersburg TimesOctober 28, 2006**56%**30%
Strategic Vision (R)November 2, 2006**59%**33%
Mason-DixonNovember 3, 2006**58%**34%
SurveyUSANovember 5, 2006**59%**36%

|}

Results

As expected, Nelson was easily reelected. He won with 60.3% of the vote winning by 1,064,421 votes or 22.2%, and carried 57 of Florida's 67 counties. Nelson was projected the winner almost immediately when the polls closed at 7 P.M. EST.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Gilchrist (Largest city: Trenton)
  • Sumter (Largest city: The Villages)
  • Bradford (Largest city: Starke)
  • Charlotte (Largest city: Charlotte)
  • Columbia (Largest city: Lake City)
  • DeSoto (Largest city: Arcadia)
  • Escambia (Largest city: Pensacola)
  • Hardee (Largest city: Wachula)
  • Highlands (Largest city: Sebring)
  • Indian River (Largest city: Sebastian)
  • Lake (Largest city: Clermont)
  • Lee (Largest city: Cape Coral)
  • Suwannee (Largest city: Live Oak)
  • Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
  • Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
  • Hendry (Largest city: Clewiston)
  • Marion (Largest city: Ocala)

References

References

  1. (April 6, 2005). "Senator's office produced Schiavo memo". Associated Press.
  2. (April 4, 2005). "The Seattle Times: Nation & World: GOP memo says issue offers political rewards". The Washington Post.
  3. "Orlando Sentinel - Central Florida Political Pulse: Florida Senate race archives".
  4. "Archived copy".
  5. [http://www.jacksonville.com/tu-online/stories/082706/opi_opinion.shtml U.S. SENATE: It's a toss up. Jacksonville.com]
  6. http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/content/nation/epaper/2006/08/25/a9a_endorse_0825.html {{dead link. (July 2021)
  7. [http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/opinion/15308276.htm 404. MiamiHerald.com]{{dead link. (July 2021)
  8. [http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/opinion/orl-ed27106aug27,0,534520.story Topic Galleries - OrlandoSentinel.com]{{Dead link. (August 2019)
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  17. (August 2019)
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