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2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election
countryTennessee
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2002 Tennessee gubernatorial election
previous_year2002
next_election2010 Tennessee gubernatorial election
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 7, 2006
image1File:Governor Bredesen (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Phil Bredesen**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,247,491**
percentage1**68.60%**
image2File:Jim Bryson Tennessee.jpg
nominee2Jim Bryson
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2540,853
percentage229.74%
map_image
map_size300px
map_caption**Bredesen**:
**Bryson**:
**Tie**:
titleGovernor
before_electionPhil Bredesen
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionPhil Bredesen
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
turnout49.97% 0.43 pp

Bryson:
Tie: The 2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Phil Bredesen was re-elected to a second term with 68.6% of the vote, defeating his Republican challenger Jim Bryson. Improving on his performance from 2002, Bredesen also carried every county in the state.

As of , this was the last time a Democrat won a majority of counties in the state, the last time a Democrat won any statewide race in Tennessee, and the most recent statewide election in Tennessee in which 88 of the state's 95 counties, including Knox County and Hamilton County, went to the Democratic candidate. Only Davidson, Shelby, Haywood, Hardeman, Houston, Jackson, and Lake counties have voted for a Democratic candidate in a presidential, Senate, or gubernatorial race since 2006. Eight years after this, Republican governor Bill Haslam would win every county in the state when he won re-election. This marked a sharp political shift in Tennessee.

Background

Phil Bredesen became governor amid a fiscal crisis, with a predicted state budget shortfall of $800 million. Much of the shortfall was due to TennCare, which was $650 million over budget. Sundquist had hoped to remedy the budget shortfall by implementing an income tax, but this proved wildly unpopular and was never enacted. Bredesen argued that services would have to be cut, saying, "you can't have Massachusetts services and Tennessee taxes." In 2003, he signed a 9% across-the-board spending cut. In 2004, he enacted a series of changes to TennCare, essentially removing 191,000 Medicaid-eligible patients and reducing benefits. By 2006, these changes had reduced the program's cost by more than $500 million. Bredesen used some of the savings to establish a "safety net" for health clinics affected by the cuts. In 2006, he implemented "Cover Tennessee" to cover people with preexisting conditions and the uninsured.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Phil Bredesen, incumbent governor of Tennessee
  • John Jay Hooker, perennial candidate
  • Tim Sevier
  • Walt Ward

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Jim Bryson, state senator
  • David M. Farmer
  • Joe Kirkpatrick
  • Mark Albertini
  • Wayne Thomas Bailey
  • Wayne Young
  • Timothy Thomas

Results

County results

|{{legend|#ffc8cd| | | | | | |{{legend|#aae5aa| ]]

General election

Candidates

  • Phil Bredesen (D)
  • Jim Bryson (R)
  • Carl Two Feathers Whitaker (I)
  • George Banks (I)
  • Charles E. Smith (I)
  • Howard W. Switzer (I)
  • David Gatchell (I)
  • Marivuana Stout Leinoff (I)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDatePhil
Bredesen (D)Jim
Bryson (R)
Survey USAOctober 25, 2006**66%**28%
Survey USAOctober 10, 2006**63%**32%
AccuratingsOctober 24, 2006**67%**33%
The Commercial AppealOctober 3, 2006**63%**22%
RasmussenOctober 3, 2006**63%**28%
RasmussenSeptember 7, 2006**58%**31%
ZogbyJune 13, 2006**58%**22%

Results

Democratic

By county

Countycolspan="2" style="text-align: center;"Phil Bredesen
*Democratic*colspan="2" style="text-align: center;"Jim Bryson
*Republican*colspan="2" style="text-align: center;"Other votes%#%#%
**Anderson****72.4%****16,881**25.9%6,0491.7%
**Bedford****68.2%****7,240**30.3%3,2151.5%
**Benton****74.8%****4,128**23.1%1,2732.1%
**Bledsoe****57.8%****2,274**39.6%1,5602.6%
**Blount****65.4%****23,433**32.9%11,7911.7%
**Bradley****55.2%****14,492**43.4%11,4011.4%
**Campbell****67.5%****6,793**30.5%3,0731.9%
**Cannon****70.4%****2,978**27.6%1,1672.0%
**Carroll****70.3%****6,379**27.5%2,4932.3%
**Carter****56.6%****9,211**41.1%6,6862.3%
**Cheatham****65.3%****7,506**33.3%3,8241.5%
**Chester****62.6%****2,730**35.5%1,5472.0%
**Claiborne****62.1%****4,732**35.3%2,6932.6%
**Clay****69.2%****1,717**27.6%6853.2%
**Cocke****59.2%****5,741**38.7%3,7522.2%
**Coffee****68.4%****10,498**29.5%4,5342.1%
**Crockett****74.0%****3,299**24.4%1,0901.6%
**Cumberland****61.3%****11,741**37.4%7,1721.3%
**Davidson****76.0%****132,712**22.3%38,9771.7%
**Decatur****70.7%****2,791**27.1%1,0682.2%
**DeKalb****69.8%****3,848**28.3%1,5591.9%
**Dickson****69.4%****10,016**28.9%4,1641.7%
**Dyer****69.5%****7,642**28.5%3,1302.1%
**Fayette****61.8%****7,701**36.9%4,5991.3%
**Fentress****55.4%****2,859**42.8%2,2071.8%
**Franklin****71.8%****9,179**26.8%3,4301.3%
**Gibson****73.6%****11,473**24.9%3,8901.5%
**Giles****72.0%****6,135**26.3%2,2431.7%
**Grainger****59.7%****3,289**38.1%2,1002.1%
**Greene****57.9%****10,669**40.1%7,3762.0%
**Grundy****70.1%****2,692**26.7%1,0243.3%
**Hamblen****62.3%****10,377**36.4%6,0571.3%
**Hamilton****70.3%****75,261**28.5%30,4821.3%
**Hancock****50.8%****960**46.6%8802.6%
**Hardeman****75.6%****5,895**22.3%1,7402.1%
**Hardin****63.6%****4,666**34.3%2,5162.1%
**Hawkins****60.3%****8,903**37.6%5,5522.0%
**Haywood****80.0%****4,722**18.5%1,0931.5%
**Henderson****61.7%****5,293**35.8%3,0722.4%
**Henry****73.9%****7,289**24.4%2,4021.7%
**Hickman****70.5%****4,714**27.6%1,8441.9%
**Houston****77.7%****2,111**20.9%5671.4%
**Humphreys****76.9%****4,824**21.6%1,3541.5%
**Jackson****74.0%****2,895**23.6%9242.4%
**Jefferson****62.5%****8,307**36.0%4,7821.5%
**Johnson****51.6%****2,491**45.9%2,2142.5%
**Knox****71.5%****87,537**27.2%33,2661.4%
**Lake****81.1%****1,252**16.6%2572.3%
**Lauderdale****75.0%****5,146**22.8%1,5672.1%
**Lawrence****63.0%****7,843**35.3%4,3991.7%
**Lewis****63.5%****2,506**32.9%1,2973.7%
**Lincoln****60.3%****4,890**37.7%3,0592.0%
**Loudon****66.3%****10,797**32.3%5,2571.5%
**McMinn****60.3%****8,299**37.7%5,1952.0%
**McNairy****62.7%****4,855**35.0%2,7082.3%
**Macon****63.7%****3,507**34.8%1,9171.5%
**Madison****72.9%****21,889**25.9%7,7711.2%
**Marion****70.0%****6,162**27.3%2,4072.6%
**Marshall****72.4%****6,050**26.1%2,1781.6%
**Maury****69.8%****16,274**29.1%6,7781.2%
**Meigs****62.6%****2,046**35.4%1,1562.0%
**Monroe****59.8%****7,484**38.9%4,8761.3%
**Montgomery****71.0%****25,465**25.6%9,1853.3%
**Moore****65.1%****1,388**32.8%7002.0%
**Morgan****68.4%****3,454**29.8%1,5071.7%
**Obion****76.9%****7,539**20.9%2,0492.2%
**Overton****73.4%****4,820**25.0%1,6451.6%
**Perry****71.6%****1,673**25.7%6002.7%
**Pickett****56.6%****1,205**41.8%8901.6%
**Polk****62.9%****3,218**34.6%1,7722.5%
**Putnam****68.9%****13,830**29.3%5,8791.8%
**Rhea****59.1%****5,004**38.9%3,2971.9%
**Roane****70.7%****12,389**27.5%4,8071.8%
**Robertson****67.1%****12,664**31.8%5,9951.1%
**Rutherford****65.2%****40,034**33.5%20,5351.3%
**Scott****61.1%****3,230**36.5%1,9312.3%
**Sequatchie****65.9%****2,761**32.2%1,3512.0%
**Sevier****57.4%****13,355**38.8%9,0233.8%
**Shelby****67.4%****210,470**20.7%64,59311.9%
**Smith****69.4%****4,719**22.6%1,5312.9%
**Stewart****77.8%****3,314**22.3%9523.4%
**Sullivan****60.9%****27,024**39.5%17,4792.6%
**Sumner****62.8%****29,713**33.7%15,9382.8%
**Tipton****63.2%****10,433**35.5%5,8431.3%
**Trousdale****78.3%****2,000**21.8%5570.0%
**Unicoi****61.6%****3,298**39.1%2,0951.3%
**Union****62.6%****2,743**37.7%1,6530.0%
**Van Buren****71.7%****1,347**28.3%5330.0%
**Warren****74.6%****8,324**25.5%2,8481.9%
**Washington****62.3%****21,092**36.9%12,3601.0%
**Wayne****55.4%****2,232**45.5%1,8311.0%
**Weakley****73.5%****7,233**26.6%2,6213.3%
**White****70.6%****5,231**28.9%2,1402.6%
**Williamson****58.2%****35,058**42.2%25,3841.4%
**Wilson****64.5%****23,207**33.3%11,9902.2%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Bledsoe (Largest city: Pikeville)
  • Claiborne (Largest city: Harrogate)
  • Hardin (Largest city: Savannah)
  • Lincoln (Largest city: Fayetteville)
  • Macon (Largest city: Lafayette)
  • Pickett (Largest city: Byrdstown)
  • Rutherford (Largest city: Murfreesboro)
  • Sumner (Largest city: Hendersonville)
  • Wilson (Largest city: Mt. Juliet)
  • Tipton (Largest city: Atoka)
  • Madison (Largest city: Jackson)
  • Chester (Largest city: Henderson)
  • Henderson (Largest city: Lexington)
  • Wayne (Largest city: Waynesboro)
  • Williamson (Largest city: Franklin)
  • Scott (Largest city: Oneida)
  • Cumberland (Largest city: Crossville)
  • Meigs (Largest city: Decatur)
  • Hamilton (Largest city: Chattanooga)
  • Bradley (Largest city: Cleveland)
  • McMinn (Largest city: Athens)
  • Blount (Largest city: Maryville)
  • Loudon (Largest city: Lenoir City)
  • Monroe (Largest city: Sweetwater)
  • Sevier (Largest city: Sevierville)
  • Jefferson (Largest city: Jefferson City)
  • Grainer (Largest city: Bean Station)
  • Hamlben (Largest city: Morristown)
  • Greene (Largest city: Greenville)
  • Hancock (Largest city: Sneedville)
  • Hawkins (Largest city: Kingsport)
  • Sullivan (Largest city: Kingsport)
  • Johnson (Largest city: Mountain City)
  • Washington (Largest city: Johnson City)
  • Carter (Largest city: Elizabethton)
  • Unicoi (Largest city: Erwin)
  • Rhea (Largest city: Dayton)
  • Fayette (Largest town: Oakland)
  • Fentress (Largest city: Jamestown)
  • Lawrence (Largest city: Lawrenceburg)
  • McNairy (Largest city: Selmer)
  • Moore (Largest city: Lynchburg)
  • Union (Largest city: Maynardville)
  • Weakley (Largest city: Martin)

References

References

  1. (November 7, 2006). "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2006". Tennessee Secretary of State.
  2. (2011). "Gov. Phil Bredesen (D)". National Journal Magazine.
  3. Roger Abramson. (2011-01-06). "Phil Bredesen Made a Successful Governor for One Mind-blowing Reason: He Did Just What He Said". The Nashville Scene.
  4. "August 3, 2006, Democratic Primary: Governor". Tennessee Secretary of State.
  5. "August 3, 2006, Republican Primary: Governor". Tennessee Secretary of State.
  6. "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006".
  7. "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".
  8. "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  9. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics.
  10. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=3a0d37ec-4732-4058-bdd5-db30c7453229 Survey USA]
  11. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=df5df9c0-48e2-4240-bf76-2a114832af4b Survey USA]
  12. [http://www.accuratings.com Accuratings] {{Webarchive. link. (December 30, 2010)
  13. [http://www.commercialappeal.com/mca/politics/article/0,1426,MCA_1496_5033596,00.html The Commercial Appeal]
  14. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061021124508/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/TennesseeGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  15. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061021125346/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/TennesseeGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  16. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060614213509/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1125 Zogby]
  17. "November 7, 2006, General Election: Governor". Tennessee Secretary of State.
  18. (2006-11-07). "2006 Gubernatorial Results by County".
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