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2006 Maryland gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2006 Maryland gubernatorial election
countryMaryland
typepresidential
ongoingno
turnout57.53% 4.32%
previous_election2002 Maryland gubernatorial election
previous_year2002
next_election2010 Maryland gubernatorial election
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 7, 2006
image_sizex150px
image1Image:Martin O'Malley, photo portrait, visiting Maryland National Guard, June 8, 2008.jpg
nominee1**Martin O'Malley**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate1**Anthony Brown**
popular_vote1**942,279**
percentage1**52.69%**
image2File:Robert ehrlich speaking at healthierUS summit cropped.jpg
nominee2Bob Ehrlich
party2Republican Party (United States)
running_mate2Kristen Cox
popular_vote2825,464
percentage246.16%
map_image{{Switcher
map_size295px
map_caption**O'Malley**: 90%}} --
**Ehrlich**:
titleGovernor
before_electionBob Ehrlich
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionMartin O'Malley
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

| [[File:2006 Maryland gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|295px]] | County results | Precinct results -- Ehrlich:

The 2006 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term, but was defeated by the Democratic nominee, Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley. Ehrlich was the only incumbent governor to lose a general election in the 2006 midterms.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Martin O'Malley, Mayor of Baltimore

Campaign

Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and Montgomery County Executive Doug Duncan emerged as the two Democratic candidates for governor in late 2005. Early polling indicated that O'Malley would have the advantage in both the Democratic primary and the general election, with a solid lead over Duncan in the primary and a several point lead over Ehrlich in the general.

As the gubernatorial campaign intensified, Duncan withdrew from the race, citing his diagnosis with clinical depression. In the same announcement, he threw his support behind O'Malley and declined to seek another office in the fall. No other Democratic candidate had announced, so O'Malley was unopposed in the primary election.

O'Malley selected Anthony Brown, a black State Delegate from Prince George's County and a veteran of the Iraq War, as his running mate.

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Bob Ehrlich, incumbent governor

Campaign

Ehrlich sought a second term as governor and did not face opposition at any point in the Republican primary. Incumbent lieutenant governor Michael Steele ran for the U.S. Senate instead of seeking a second term as lieutenant governor, so Ehrlich named Maryland Secretary of Disabilities Kristen Cox, who is blind, as his running mate.

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Martin O'Malley, Mayor of Baltimore (D)
  • Bob Ehrlich, incumbent governor of Maryland (R)
  • Ed Boyd, temporary employment agency recruiter (G)
  • Christopher A. Driscoll (P)

Campaign

Elected to his first term in 2002, incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term as governor, opposed by the Democratic nominee, Martin O'Malley, the mayor of Baltimore. Both candidates emerged from uncontested primary elections and a contentious election season began.

Early in the campaign, Ehrlich boasted decent approval ratings from Maryland citizens, with a Gonzalez Research poll taken during October 2005 showing him with a 49% approval rating. and The Baltimore Sun poll from November 2005 giving the Governor a 50% approval and a 33% disapproval. However, the unpopularity of the national Republican Party and President George W. Bush dragged Ehrlich's re-election chances down.

Ehrlich launched attack ads that hit O'Malley on crime in Baltimore under his tenure as Mayor, calling the murder rate in Baltimore "awful" and "an embarrassment to the state of Maryland." O'Malley countered with one television ad that featured testimonials from local community leaders, Howard County Executive James N. Robey, Baltimore County Executive James T. Smith Jr. and another ad that attacked Ehrlich for breaking his promise to end parole for violent criminals.

The Washington Post and The Washington Times both endorsed Ehrlich in his bid for re-election, with the Times praising Ehrlich's "brand of moderate conservatism that offers a refreshing contrast" to the state's historically Democratic leanings and the Post called him "a generally proficient, pragmatic governor" and praised him for "successes on transportation, the environment and education."

In turn, The Baltimore Sun endorsed O'Malley, saying, "the progress under the mayor's tenure is clear and irrefutable", and that he addressed "rising crime, failing schools and shrinking economic prospects." O'Malley also called upon the praise given to him by TIME Magazine when they named him one of the country's "Top 5 Big City Mayors."

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateMartin
O'Malley (D)Bob
Ehrlich (R)
SurveyUSANovember 5, 2006**50%**47%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.November 1, 2006**47%**46%
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbyOctober 31, 2006**49.3%**43.9%
Public Opinion StrategiesOctober 31, 2006**46%**45%
RasmussenOctober 30, 2006**50%**47%
The Washington PostOctober 29, 2006**55%**45%
RasmussenOctober 17, 2006**53%**45%
USA Today/GallupOctober 6, 2006**53%**41%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.September 24, 2006**50%**44%
Survey USASeptember 20, 2006**51%**44%
RasmussenSeptember 20, 2006**49%**42%
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbySeptember 11, 2006**52.5%**39.6%
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbyAugust 28, 2006**52.0%**42.2%
RasmussenAugust 18, 2006**50%**43%
August 14, 2006**41%****41%**
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJuly 24, 2006**51.3%**42.2%
RasmussenJuly 17, 2006**49%**42%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.July 16, 2006**46%**38%
The Washington PostJune 25, 2006**51%**40%
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJune 21, 2006**53.1%**39.2%
Opinion WorksApril 27, 2006**46%**37%
RasmussenApril 21, 2006**51%**42%
Gonzales ResearchApril 18, 2006**46%**41%
RasmussenJanuary 13, 200642%**47%**
The Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJanuary 13, 2006**53%**40%
RasmussenNovember 22, 2005**46%**40%
The Baltimore SunNovember 6, 2005**48%**33%
The Baltimore SunOctober 25, 2005**48%**42%
RasmussenJuly 18, 200541%**46%**
The Baltimore SunApril 17, 2005**45%**39%
The Baltimore SunJanuary 2005**40%****40%**

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Charles (largest municipality: Waldorf)
  • Howard (largest municipality: Columbia)

References

References

  1. "2006 Gubernatorial General Election - County-Wide Turnout". [[Maryland State Board of Elections]].
  2. "Democrat support plunges for Ehrlich". The Washington Times.
  3. "Official 2006 Gubernatorial Primary Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor".
  4. Nitkin, By Andrew A. Green and David. (November 6, 2005). "An early edge for Ehrlich's rivals".
  5. (1 February 2017). "Trump makes blue-state Republicans squirm".
  6. (8 November 2006). "Cardin, O'Malley Win in Statewide Democratic Wave". [[The Washington Post]].
  7. Wagner, John. (2006-09-30). "Ehrlich Ads Hammer O'Malley on Crime". [[The Washington Post]].
  8. (August 12, 2008). "Martin O'Malley 2005 TV Ad: The Real Record in Baltimore".
  9. (August 12, 2008). "Martin O'Malley 2005 TV Ad: The Real Question".
  10. "Ehrlich for governor, Steele for Senate". The Washington Times.
  11. (October 25, 2006). "For Governor in Maryland".
  12. (October 29, 2006). "O'Malley for governor".
  13. Thompson, Mark. (April 25, 2005). "Wonk 'n' Roller".
  14. "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006".
  15. "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".
  16. "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  17. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics.
  18. (January 2, 2007). "Governor race a tossup - baltimoresun.com".
  19. "WSJ.com".
  20. [https://archive.today/20110718010729/http://www.thewbalchannel.com/politics/10202931/detail.html?rss=bal&psp=news Public Opinion Strategies]
  21. "Election Polls 2006: Maryland Governor".
  22. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/28/AR2006102801039.html Washington Post]
  23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061021124342/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/MarylandGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  24. "USA Today/Gallup".
  25. [https://web.archive.org/web/20070311035054/http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/elections/bal-te.md.poll24sep24,0,548623.story?coll=bal-home-headlines Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.]
  26. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10281".
  27. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061021124742/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/MarylandGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  28. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060821185024/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/marylandGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  29. "2006 Maryland Senate Race | RealClearPolling".
  30. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060720173607/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/mdGov.htm Rasmussen]
  31. "Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.".
  32. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_mdpolitics_062706.htm The Washington Post]
  33. "Opinion Works".
  34. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060423150423/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/April%202006/Maryland%20Governor%20April.htm Rasmussen]
  35. "Gonzales Research".
  36. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060115040700/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/January%202006/Maryland%20Governor%20January%2010.htm Rasmussen]
  37. "The Wall Street Journal/Zogby".
  38. "Rasmussen".
  39. "Baltimore Sun".
  40. "Baltimore Sun".
  41. "Rasmussen".
  42. "Baltimore Sun".
  43. "Official 2006 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor".
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